NAME: ANSWERS Tansey-Ec. 4550 July 17, 2016 EXAM FINAL (vertical market portion of final) PART I. Do as many of these as possible. Each article adds ABOUT 30 points to the exam. For each of the following articles, there is an underlined event in bold letters that causes a shift in demand or supply. There is also a market failure [bracketed in italicized bold letters]. In each of the five answer sheets provided for each article: A. Set up and write down the LONGEST POSSIBLE supply chain that uses ALL BUT ONE of the markets and participants listed under the article. Each market and participant can be used at most one time. B. In the market where the underlined event first has its impact, circle the letter of the appropriate shift on the answer sheet: "A" represents a leftward (upward) shift in supply. "B" represents a rightward (downward) shift in supply. "C" represents a leftward (downward) shift in demand. "D" represents a rightward (upward) shift in demand. C. To indicate the vertical impacts of the underlined initial event, place "X"'s on the answer sheet over the appropriate letter in the rest of the markets in your supply chain based on the rules of supply and demand transmission to vertical markets that we studied in class. (Every market must have a shift that is circled or have an X, but no market should have more than one circle (or “X”). D. On your answer sheet describe each market as monopoly, oligopoly, monopolistic competition, perfect competition, monopsony, oligopsony, bilateral monopoly, or bilateral oligopoly. Support your description first by: (a) Circling the size of the market? Circle if it is international (“I”), national (“N”), regional (“R”), statewide, or local (“L”) (b) Circling “Y” if there is product differentiation and “N” if there isn’t. (c) Circling on the answer sheet “m” if there are many, “f” if there are few, and “1” if there is only one firm in the market place. Do this for both the buyers and sellers in a market. E. Answer the additional questions for each article. 1 Article 1. Slow Harvest Prompts USDA to Raise Crop-Price Outlook http://online.wsj.com/article/SB125789919795042543.htm Business, November 12, 2009 Wall Street Journal/Online Issue The slowest harvest season in decades across the Midwest and South forced the U.S. Agriculture Department to trim its huge production forecasts and raise its price outlook for everything from corn and rice to cotton. The USDA said in its monthly crop report Tuesday that it expects U.S. corn farmers to harvest 12.9 billion bushels, down 1% from its October forecast. While corn production would still be the second highest on record, and up 7% from last year, demand for corn to make things such as ethanol fuel is so strong that the department's economists raised the price they expect U.S. farmers to receive on average to $3.55 a bushel, give or take 30 cents. That is up 6% from the one-month-old forecast. Much of the middle of the nation -- from the Great Lakes to the Mississippi Delta -- received at least twice the normal amount of rainfall in October. That, combined with unusually cool temperatures, slowed crop development and made fields too wet for farmers to navigate with harvesting equipment. By Sunday, farmers in the major corn states had managed to harvest just 37% of that crop compared with 82% on average by that point over the past five years. This harvest is the slowest since at least the mid-1970s, when the federal government began tracking harvest progress. In addition to lower-than-expected yields, the rainy fall is stinging recession-weary farmers who now are spending more on propane to dry their crops than they had planned. The rain delay also means some farmers won't be able to clear their fields of corn and soybeans in time to plant wheat this fall. Dave Koons, a 61-year-old farmer in Tower Hill, Ill., said Tuesday that he was able to plant only 100 acres of wheat this fall, half of what he had planned. "A lot of farmers around here have never seen anything like this," said Mr. Koons, who also grows 800 acres of corn and soybeans. The rainy weather also is muddying the U.S. farm sector's response to the food crisis that in 2007 and 2008 roiled prices for consumers and the food industry. Late last year, the global recession punctured sky-high agricultural commodity prices, and a world-wide planting boom has helped replenish grain supplies strained by demand from the biofuels industry and the growing middle class in emerging nations such as China. But weather problems in the U.S., as well as rice-production problems in countries such as India and the Philippines, mean that prices of some major crops probably won't fall back anytime soon to their pre-2007 levels. In the Mississippi Delta, where some areas received 400% of normal rainfall in October, the potential yield of cotton and rice fields is shrinking, too. The USDA Tuesday cut its one-month-old cotton production forecast by 3.8% to 12.5 million bales, each of which weighs 480 pounds. Government forecasters shaved their onemonth-old forecast of U.S. rice production by 1%. By Scott Kilman Markets and Participants Retail bread Wheat milling company Labor market Wheat farmer 2 grocery store wholesale bread Bakery Commercial harvesters wheat Consumer bio fuels Flour Participants Markets Commeercial Harvesters Seller Labor Market Wheat farmers Buyer Extent: I N R L Wheat Seller Wheat milling CompanyExtent: I N R L Buyer Flour Seller Bakery Extent: I N R L Buyer Wholesale Bread Seller Grocery store Buyer Extent: I N R L Retail Bread Seller Consumers Buyer Product (m=many,f=few,1=one) Type of Market SHIFTS OF: Differentiation SELLERS BUYERS (eg. Monopoly, SUPPLY DEMAND (Y= yes, N=no) competition,etc) Left Right Left Right Y Nm perfect competition f 1 m f 1 ___________ A B XC D “ Y Nm f 1 m f 1 ___________ A B C D Oligopoly X A B C D monopolistic competition m f 1 m f 1 ___________ X A “ B C D B C D Y Nm Y N f 1 m f 1 ___________ Extent: I N R L Y Nm f 1 m f 1 ___________ X A Extent: I N R L Y Nm f 1 m f 1 ___________ A B C D Extent: I N R L Y Nm f 1 m f 1 ___________ A B C D Seller Buyer Seller Buyer Seller Buyer Article 2. Y N m f 1 m f 1 ___________A B C D NOTE: even though there is no mention of the indirect shifts (Xs) they Must occur. Every market should have one and only one shift. 10 PTS FOR EACH SECTION NOVEMBER 17, 2009 Retail Sales Rise on Autos By JEFF BATER WASHINGTON -- U.S. retail sales surged more than expected in October on rebounding demand for cars, easing fears of the toll rising unemployment might take on the economic recovery. Retail sales increased 1.4%, the government said Monday, much better than the 0.9% increase projected by Wall Street for the first month of the fourth quarter. But the report wasn't exactly a picture of strength. September sales were revised way down, to a 2.3% decrease from a previously estimated 1.5% tumble. And aside from automobiles in October, other sales rose just 0.2%. It was the third increase in a row, yet smaller than the 0.4% climb predicted by economists. 3 Consumer spending makes up 70% of GDP, which is the broad measure of U.S. economic activity. The retail-sales data are an important indicator of consumer spending. Concerns have mounted that joblessness, a remnant of the severe recession, will stop people from spending money and thwart the recovery. The U.S. unemployment rate rose to 10.2% in October, the highest since April 1983. Incomes have fallen in the past year, and getting credit remains difficult. "It seems unlikely that households will be able to spend more freely any time soon," said Paul Dales, an economist at Capital Economist. "We continue to think that the failure of households to join the party will be the main reason why the overall economic recovery disappoints." Big retailers aren't exactly brimming with cheer as the holidays near. WalMart Stores Inc. last week projected earnings of $1.08 to $1.12 a share in the fourth quarter. Its U.S. chief, Eduardo Castro-Wright, said in a conference call: "We recognize that some customers may be more cautious in their holiday spending." Monday's lukewarm retail sales report showed U.S. sales of autos and parts rebounded partly in October, up 7.4% in October after a September crash of 14.3% with the expiration of the government "cash for clunkers" incentive program to boost car sales. In October, filling station sales were flat. Excluding sales of gasoline and cars, other retailers' sales increased 0.3% last month, the third consecutive gain. Health and personal-care stores increased 0.5%. Restaurants and bars were up 1.2%. Mail order and Internet retailers rose 1.0%. But housing-related categories fell sharply, with furniture retailers down 0.8% and building material and garden supplies dealers dropping 2.4%. Electronic and appliance-store sales fell 0.6%. Food and beverage stores increased 0.1% and clothing stores were up by 0.4%. General merchandise stores rose 0.8%. Sporting goods, hobby, book and music stores fell 1.2%. Another report said U.S. business inventories in September fell 0.4%, less than the 0.8% drop expected. Inventories of cars grew because sales fell with the end of [government's "cash for clunkers" car-rebate program.] "Inventories still appear to be overbuilt because of weak sales, although not nearly as badly as they were at the beginning of the year," Insight Economics analyst Steven Wood said. The Federal Reserve Bank of New York's Empire Manufacturing Survey showed its general business conditions index fell by 11 points to 23.51 from 34.57 in October. November is the fourth consecutive month that the general business conditions index has remained in positive territory. 4 —Karen Talley and Deborah Lynn Blumberg contributed to this article. Write to Jeff Bater at jeff.bater@dowjones.com Printed in The Wall Street Journal, page A8 Markets and Participants Car distributors Auto workers Consumers Wholesale cars Retail cars automobile manufacturers Car dealers Participants Markets Autoworkers Labor Seller Market Automobile manufacturers Extent: I N R L Buyer Manufactured Seller Cars Extent: I N R L Car Distributors Buyer Seller Wholesale cars Extent: I N R L Buyer Car dealers SellerRetail Cars Buyer Extent: I N R L Consumers Service stations Labor market manufactured cars Product (m=many,f=few,1=one) Type of Market SHIFTS OF: Differentiation SELLERS BUYERS (eg. Monopoly, SUPPLY DEMAND (Y= yes, N=no) competition,etc) Left Right Left Right bilateral Y Nm f 1 m f oligopoly 1 ___________ A B CX D Y Nm “ f 1 m f 1 ___________ A B CX D Y Nm f 1 m f 1 ___________ Oligopoly “ A B CX D Y Nm f 1 m f 1 ___________ A B C D Extent: I N R L Y Nm f 1 m f 1 ___________ A B C D Extent: I N R L Y Nm f 1 m f 1 ___________ A B C D Extent: I N R L Y Nm f 1 m f 1 ___________ A B C D Seller Buyer Seller Buyer Seller Buyer Seller Buyer Y N m f 1 m f 1 ___________A B C D 8 PTS FOR EACH SECTION (32 IN ALL) NOTE: the labor market is uinionized and the distributors are franchises of the auto companies. What type of government intervention is shown in brackets (and underlined) in the above excerpt?_______Subsidy What type of government failure is suggested by the underlined part of the above excerpt? The government may be causing dynamic market failure by changing expectations and timing of purchases. Administrative 5 cost of cash for clunkers. Compliance cost-auto companies loss of sales due to expiration of clunker program. Also externalities, market power. Article 3. By SPENCER SWARTZ LONDON—Energy forecasters increasingly predict slowing growth in global oil demand in the years ahead, but some OPEC nations are heading in the opposite direction and ramping up their capacity to pump oil. Qatar, for example, is set to raise its oil-production capacity early next year from an existing field known as Al Shaheen. The more than $6 billion expansion project brightens the revenue prospects of the Mideast state but highlights a bigger problem brewing for its partners in the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries. After keeping a tight tether on supply in recent years by cautiously investing, the 12nation cartel finds itself battling an untimely convergence of lackluster consumption that magnifies its own rising supply capacity—which may in turn reignite old battles between members over market share and ultimately push oil prices lower. OPEC output capacity is expected to increase around one million barrels a day in 2010 as projects enter service in Angola, Iraq, Qatar and Saudi Arabia, according to Bill FarrenPrice, energy director at Medley Global Advisors. "Significant challenges face OPEC next year," Mr. Farren-Price says. "It will struggle to integrate a wave of new OPEC production capacity that vastly exceeds world demand for its crude." Many of the projects started development well before the recession. Projects like Al Shaheen may swell OPEC's nominal spare production capacity, a measure of its overall capability to bring barrels to consumers, to roughly 7.5 million barrels a day. That would will leave OPEC capacity up about 15% from 2008 at almost a 10-year high, depending on how much oil the group is actually producing. Operated by Denmark's AP Moller-Maersk, the offshore Al Shaheen field started producing crude in the early 1990s and could almost double in capacity to over 500,000 barrels a day, says Qatar oil minister Abdullah Bin Hamad Al-Attiyah. "The expansion is coming along as expected," he said, dismissing concern about depressed demand. Mr. Al-Attiyah and other OPEC officials say China, India and other parts of Asia will remain OPEC's fastest-growing markets. OPEC exports to Asia, not including Japan, grew by 22% in 2000-08, according to OPEC data. By comparison, shipments to North America, mainly the U.S., were flat in that period. 6 Prices, meanwhile, have risen about 77% this year to $79 a barrel, thanks in part to a weak U.S. dollar that is encouraging investors to buy higher-yielding oil futures contracts, and on big OPEC production cuts this year. Those cuts are likely to be kept in place at the group's final meeting of the year scheduled for Dec. 22 in Angola, OPEC officials say. But problems seem set to mount. In the near term, a persistent glut in crude inventory this year is expected to tarry into 2010. Meanwhile, the long-term outlook is softening. The International Energy Agency, a Paris-based energy adviser to industrialized nations, last week sharply downgraded its world demand forecast to 2015 to 88 million barrels a day, just three million barrels a day more than today, due to fallout from the recession and energy efficiency efforts. Yet, OPEC is cranking up its ability to produce oil-and that [could extend the current supply glut.] "With these expected capacity additions, mediocre economic performance and weak demand, we currently foresee \[OPEC\] spare capacity to remain above five million barrels a day beyond 2015," said one senior Gulf OPEC official. Among the most aggressive has been Angola, which has doubled its production capacityfrom a low base-since 2004, to about 2.1 million barrels a day. Most of the output from its 100,000-barrel-a-day Tombua-Landana offshore project will start in 2010. Chevron Corp. is developing the $3.8 billion project. "We have new projects that will start in coming years. We will want a higher quota at some point," an Angolan oil ministry official said. At the same time, Saudi Arabia is completing one of its biggest oil-drilling programs, boosting the kingdom's total oil output capacity to 12.5 million barrels a day by early next year, up about a net 1.5 million barrels a day versus a few years ago. Then there are big capacity increases coming in Iraq and Nigeria, two OPEC producers riven with security problems in recent years that have sharply cut oil output. Now, they may be getting their petroleum sectors back on their feet with new projects and the resurrection of dormant facilities. BP PLC and other companies that recently signed drilling contracts with the Iraqi government requiring them to deliver quick results will "rehabilitate" existing oil fields, which may elevate Iraq's crude output next year by 300,000 barrels a day to a total of 2.8 million barrels a day. David Kirsch, director of market intelligence at PFC Energy, thinks Iraq's total capacity could top four million barrels a day by 2015 if political and security problems don't get in the way. Even on that conservative assumption, such output would make it hard for OPEC "to manage markets over the medium term," Mr. Kirsch said. 7 In Nigeria, a government amnesty that offered thousands of militants money to stop destroying oil infrastructure may yet fall apart-but so far has held up the past few months. That has allowed Nigeria to export more crude and more barrels could hit the market soon. Markets and Participants Retail Gasoline Al Shaheen Service Stations OPEC Refined Oil Crude Oil Oil Refineries Participants Markets Al Shaheen OPEC Seller Buyer Seller Oil refineries Buyer Seller Service Stations Consumers Buyer Seller Buyer Land Market Consumers International Energy Agency Land Market Product (m=many,f=few,1=one) Type of Market SHIFTS OF: Differentiation SELLERS BUYERS (eg. Monopoly, SUPPLY DEMAND (Y= yes, N=no) competition,etc) Left Right Left Right Bilateral m f 1 m f 1 Oligopoly ___________ Extent: I N R L Y N Extent: I N R L Y Nm Crude Oil Refined Oil Extent: I N R L “ f 1 m f 1 ___________ A B C D Oligopoly Y Nm Retail Gasoline f 1 m f 1 ___________ Perfect Competition AX B C D Extent: I N R L Y Nm f 1 m f 1 ___________ AX B C D Extent: I N R L Y Nm f 1 m f 1 ___________ A B C D Extent: I N R L Y Nm f 1 m f 1 ___________ A B C D Extent: I N R L Y Nm f 1 m f 1 ___________ A B C D Seller Buyer A B C D X X Seller Buyer Seller Buyer Seller Buyer Y N m f 1 m f 1 ___________A B C D What is the market failure suggested by the bold, italicized bracketed part of the quotation? Failure to ration, market power What type of government intervention would be the least restrictive way to deal with such a market failure. Antitrust. (government rationing. Taxes/subsidies. regulation.) What type of government failure would likely occur from such intervention? Dynamic, government reinforced market power, administrative cost, compliance cost. 8 PTS FOR EACH SECTION (32 IN ALL) 8 Weigh the market failures and against the government failures qualitatively. Should the government intervene to correct this type of market failure? Article 4. In Senate, coal fuels climate deals By LISA LERER | 11/17/09 5:19 AM EST Forget the debate over green jobs, wind farms and solar power. In the Senate, all deals on climate change run through coal country. Black gold has maintained a tight hold over the climate bill — despite a damaging lobbying scandal this summer, growing public health concerns and a destructive toxic coal ash spill that smothered 300 acres in eastern Tennessee last December. “They don’t have a deal until they get the coal-state senators, and they are a long way from doing it,” said Sen. John Rockefeller (D-W.Va.). “They’re going to need us to pass a bill.” And coal-state senators haven’t been shy about their needs. On Thursday, a group of 14 coal-state members, in a letter to Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-Nev.), urged Senate Democrats to offer more protection in the climate bill for coal-dependent utilities. “You’ve got to have the coal states,” said Peter Gray, chairman of the environmental law practice at McKenna Long & Aldridge. “If Democrats want a climate change bill, they are going to have to accept concessions to the coal industry.” Even the Senate’s most liberal Democrats recognize the stronghold coal has in the Senate. “There are folks who would say, ‘Well, let’s just shut down coal-powered plants.’ That is not going to happen,” said Oregon Sen. Jeff Merkley, a liberal Democrat who supports stronger environmental and accountability standards for coal plants. “You are not going to have 60 votes in the Senate to shut down coal.” Thirty-four states rely on coal as a driver of economic activity. Department of Energy studies from 2007 found that coal provides about half of all American power and employed more than 80,000 people in mines. Each one of those positions creates another 3½ jobs on railways, barges and elsewhere in the economy, according to the National Mining Association. 9 Coal’s economic reach has translated into significant lobbying power in Washington. Coal provides more jobs than nearly any other energy source because of the low degree of automation in the mining process. Most of those jobs — either in the mines or on the railways that send coal shipments across the country — are unionized. As a result, support for coal can mean critical election-year backing from unions. “Union support can give lawmakers in tight races decisive leads by delivering large voting blocs,” Kevin Book, managing director of ClearView Energy Partners, wrote in a recent research note. “Coal-friendly policies have the potential to unlock political support from organized laborers all the way from the mine shaft to the smokestack.” And while the unions deliver votes back home, the coal corporations deliver cash in Washington. [ Last year, the mining industry spent nearly $31 million on lobbying and gave $6.3 million in political contributions.] In the Senate, top recipients included Reid, Commerce Committee Chairman Rockefeller and Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.). The industry’s influence doesn’t seem to be harmed after one of the most prominent coal organizations came under congressional investigation for hiring a subcontractor that sent forged letters purporting to be from community groups opposing the House climate bill just days before the legislation came to the floor. And while Sen. Barbara Boxer (D-Calif.) received a lot of attention for forcing her climate change bill through the Environment and Public Works Committee, this legislation still has to run through a gantlet of coal-state committee chairmen, including Rockefeller, Finance Committee Chairman Max Baucus (D-Mont.) and Agriculture Committee Chairwoman Blanche Lincoln (D-Ark.). In fact, Boxer has already had to make some concessions to the industry in her bill, agreeing to distribute funding for coal technologies sooner. Coal-state senators are also pushing hard to weaken short-term emissions targets, to mandate greater economic incentives to develop cleaner coal technologies and for funding to ease the transition to a cap-and-trade system. The coal industry also has a major issue with the proposed 20 percent reduction in greenhouse gas emissions by 2020. Baucus and other coal-state senators would like to see a 14 percent to 17 percent emissions target to give the industry more time to develop new technologies like carbon capture and sequestration — a still-experimental technology that would catch greenhouse gas emissions before they enter the air and bury them in holes in the ground or under the ocean. But while the coal industry and its backers keep chipping away at the Boxer bill, a weaker emissions target could be a deal breaker for liberal Democrats. 10 “I’ll do everything I can to oppose that,” Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) said of the lowered targets. And earlier this month, Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse (D-R.I.) took a direct shot at the industry, proposing short-term emissions cuts of 28.5 percent. Rhode Island is one of a handful of states that use very little coal power. “I think there’s a danger that coal interests will demand such a large share of the proceeds of the bill that it creates a backlash,” said Whitehouse. “So I think they’ve got to be aware of their own prudential limitations.” Taken from http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1109/29596_Page2.html on 11/17/09 at 4:43 PM Markets and Participants Consumers Miners Utilities 11 Coal Coal Companies Labor Market Electricity Kevin Book Participants Miners Markets Seller Buyer Coal companies Seller Utilities Buyer Seller Consumers Buyer Product (m=many,f=few,1=one) Type of Market SHIFTS OF: Differentiation SELLERS BUYERS (eg. Monopoly, SUPPLY DEMAND (Y= yes, N=no) competition,etc) Left Right Left Right Labor Market Y Nm Extent: I N R L Coal Oligopsony f 1 m f 1 ___________ A BX C D Bilateral Oligopoly A B C D Y Nm f 1 m f 1 ___________ Extent: I N R L Y Nm f 1 m f 1 ___________ Extent: I N R L Y Nm f 1 m f 1 ___________ A B C D Extent: I N R L Y Nm f 1 m f 1 ___________ A B C D Extent: I N R L Y Nm f 1 m f 1 ___________ A B C D Extent: I N R L Y Nm f 1 m f 1 ___________ A B C D Extent: I N R L Electricity Monopoly AX B C D Seller Buyer Seller Buyer Seller Buyer Seller Buyer Seller Buyer Y N m f 1 m f 1 ___________A B C D What is the market failure suggested by the bold, italicized bracketed part of the quotation? Lobbying can only be done when a firm has enough profit- through market power- to pay for the lobbying. Inequities, Externalities. What type of government intervention would be the least restrictive way to deal with such a market failure? Market power is best handled with antitrust What type of government failure would likely occur from such intervention? Administrative cost, compliance cost (shutting down the coal companies, creating shortages of electricity), and efficiency costs all work here. Weigh the market failures against the government failures qualitatively. 6 PTS FOR EACH SECTION (24 IN ALL) Should the government intervene to correct this type of market failure? Article 5. 12 20 August 27, 2009, 1:41 PM ET Clean Cities: DOE Boosts Nat-Gas Vehicles With $300 Million These really aren’t happy days for biofuels. More where that came from (AP) As The Wall Street Journal reported today, the entire sector—from corn ethanol to nextgeneration biofuels—has been poleaxed by everything from the credit crunch to its own inability to turn promises into reality. Now the Department of Energy seems to be adding insult to injury. Yesterday, the DOE unveiled the “Clean Cities Grants,” a $300 million slice of the stimulus package meant to spur development of [cleaner, alternative transport systems for cities across the country. ] The big winner? Natural gas. The big losers? Biofuel and biodiesel. The program dished out roughly two dozen grants meant to build 542 refueling locations across the country and put more than 9,000 alternative-fuel vehicles on the road. Only a fraction of those refueling stations will be for ethanol or biodiesel; the majority are for compressed natural gas, liquid natural gas, or propane. One project, for instance, will help finance a 700-mile LNG corridor from California to Utah “along one of the nation’s most heavily traveled truck routes.” T. Boone Pickens must be smiling today. “Maybe it’s not a forever solution, but the only thing that’s ready to go today is natural gas,” says David Woodburn, senior research analyst at ThinkEquity in Chicago, who covers alternative fuels. The fact that the money comes from the stimulus package, he says, explains in part natural gas’ field day: As attractive as electric batteries and nextgeneration biofuels may be, they are still tomorrow’s solutions (if even then). A year after Mr. Pickens unveiled his eponymous plan to use natural gas for transport and lessen dependence on foreign oil, the stars seem to be aligning. That’s partly because natural gas appeals to so many different constituencies: The energy-security crowd, environmentalists, natural-gas companies desperately looking for new markets to unload a domestic glut, and so on. Congress has legislation that would boost federal tax credits for the purchase of naturalgas fueled vehicles. Influential politicians and think tanks are increasingly warming up to natural gas as a low-carbon alternative to fossil fuels. Still, the “Clean Cities” program really is just the tiniest start: The DOE estimates it will save 38 million gallons of gasoline a year. That’s 0.027% of U.S. annual consumption. 13 http://blogs.wsj.com/environmentalcapital/2009/08/27/clean-cities-doe-boosts-nat-gasvehicles-with-300-million/tab/print/ Markets and Participants Biofuel distributors Consumers Contract farm labor market Bio-Fuel refiners Participants Farmers Labor contractors wholesale biofuel retail biofuel Markets Farm workers Seller Buyer Labor contractors Seller Buyer Farmers Product (m=many,f=few,1=one) Type of Market SHIFTS OF: Differentiation SELLERS BUYERS (eg. Monopoly, SUPPLY DEMAND (Y= yes, N=no) competition,etc) Left Right Left Right Farm Labor market Extent: I N R L grains for biofuel service stations Farm workers farm labor market oligopsony Y Nm f 1 m f 1 ___________ oligopoly A BX C D Contract farm labor Y Extent: I N R L Market Nm f 1 m f 1 ___________ A BX C D Extent: for I N biofuels R L Grains Y Nm f 1 m f 1 oligopsony ___________ A BX C D Seller Buyer Bio-Fuel refiners Seller Buyer Bio-fuel distributors Wholesale biofuel Bilateral oligopoly Extent: I N R L Y Nm f 1 m f 1 ___________ A BX C D Retail Extent: Biofuels I N R L Y Nm f 1 m f 1 oligopoly ___________ A B C D Extent: I N R L Y Nm f 1 m f 1 ___________ A B C D Extent: I N R L Y Nm f 1 m f 1 ___________ A B C D Seller Buyer Consumers Seller Buyer Seller Buyer Seller Buyer Y N m f 1 m f 1 ___________A B C D NOTE: this is where you need to read very carefully. Notice the statement “The big winner? Natural gas. The big losers? Biofuel and biodiesel.” that comes right after the underlined passage. The government is subsidizing 14 the SUBSTITUTES for biofuel which will first show up at the retail level and work its way down to the biofuel companies. The impact on biofuels is a big externality (public bad) of the government action. What is the market failure suggested by the bold, italicized bracketed part of the quotation? If the government action is designed to to make “alternative transport systems cleaner” then implicitly the market failure is the polluting, “unclean” transport systems. This would be a public bad or externality. What type of government intervention would be the least restrictive way to deal with such a market failure? Subsidy is what is mentioned in the article and probably is the least restrictive way to deal with the problem. What type of government failure would likely occur from such intervention? Government causes compliance costs and inefficiencies (eg. Externalities, public bads) here. The article mentions T.Boone Pickens who will be one of the beneficiaries of the government largesse; implicitly the government is bestowing market power on him and producers of natural gas and natural gas vehicles. Should the government intervene to correct this type of market failure? Weigh the market failures against the government failures qualitatively. 10 PTS FOR EACH SECTION (40 IN ALL) PART II. (60 points) A. Fill in the following table and graph the demand, marginal revenue, average total cost, average variable cost, and marginal cost curves in the graph below. Make sure you calculate the price elasticity of demand in the last column of the table. 15 Quan Tity (Q) Total Revenue ($) Total Costs ($) Fixed Costs ($) Variable Costs ($) 0 20 40 50 60 70 0 160 280 300 300 280 20 80 120 170 240 385 20 20 20 20 20 20 0 60 100 150 220 365 Price ($/Q) Marginal Revenue ($/Q) 8 7 6 5 4 8 6 2 0 -2 Average Total Cost ($/Q) Average Variable Cost ($/Q) 4 3 3 2.5 3.4 3 4 3.666667 5.5 5.214286 Marginal Cost ($/Q) 3 2 5 7 14.5 Profit ($) -20 80 160 130 60 -105 AveRage proFit ($/Q) Elasticity 4 4 -5 2.6 -1.44 1 -1 -1.5 -0.69 (2 PTS EACH COLUMN) 20 PTS. IN ALL B. Graph ? ! C. With an arrow ( )point to the output on the X-axis where profit will be maximized where MR=0MC D. Circle the output at which revenue will be maximized.where MR=0 E. Put an exclamation point (!) where the greatest efficiency of production can be achieved. Minimum of ATC F. [Bracket] the shutdown point (corresponding to the shutdown price on the Y-axis and output at the shutdown price) Minimum of AVC G. Place a question mark (?) where output would have to be to minimize total cost. H. Place a rectangle around the OUTPUT at which average profit would be maximized. 16 (4 PTS. EACH FOR THE 6 ABOVE QUESTIONS: 24 POINTS) I. (2 PTS. EACH-TOTAL 6 PTS) At what output level would a firm with the above cost and revenue curves end up producing, based on their long run incentives? __40 (min of ATC) units in a competitive market. __60 (max market share (i.e. revenue))_ units for an oligopoly. __40 (max profit) units for a monopoly. J. (4 PTS) Which of the following types of markets is the above diagram most likely to represent in the short run? (a) A competitive market. (b) A monopolistically competitive market *(c) A monopoly or oligopoly.(because DOWNWARD SLOPING demand curve far above ATC) (d) A bilateral monopoly or bilateral oligopoly (CAN’T TELL BECAUSE THIS IS THE PRODUCT MARKET, NOT A FAQCTOR MARKET). K. (4 PTS) Which of the following is NOT true of producing at an output of 70 units in the above table? *A) Demand is elastic.(ABSOLUTE VALUE OF ELASTICITY IS LESS THAN 1.0) B) Marginal revenue is negative. C) Total revenue declines relative to revenue at a production rate of 60 units. D) Total revenue is positive. 17