Multinational Capital Budgeting Chapter Fourteen Eitman, Stonehill, & Moffett July 17, 2016 Chapter 18 - Capital Budgeting 1 Relevant cash flows Incremental cash flows Book definition: The incremental cash flows for a project evaluation consist of any and all changes to the firm’s future cash flows that are a direct consequence of taking on the project. July 17, 2016 Chapter 18 - Capital Budgeting 2 Incremental Cash Flows incremental Cash inflow revenues generated specific to a project incremental Cash outflow direct costs accrued specific to a project opportunity costs of foregone opportunities sunk costs cost already incurred, not incremental costs Externalities (cannibalization July 17, 2016 Chapter 18 - Capital Budgeting 3 Capital expense - not included Accountants count capital expenses For capital budgeting one must deduct the actual cash flow when it occurs Capital versus Current Expense t0 t1 t2 t3 Capital 0 (33,333) (33,333) (33,334) Current (100,000 0 0 0 July 17, 2016 Chapter 18 - Capital Budgeting 4 Tax effects of capital expenses CCA - capital cost allowances or Depreciation these are capital expenses, not cash expenses Since these affect Taxable income deducted before taxes added back in after taxes July 17, 2016 Chapter 18 - Capital Budgeting 5 Net Working Capital - included Incremental change in CA cash accounts receivable to support additional sales inventories Input inventories output inventories Financed by an incremental change in CL increase in payables (more input inventories) increase in accruals (more labor) July 17, 2016 Chapter 18 - Capital Budgeting 6 Net Working Capital con’t NWC = CA - CL must be financed through Debt or Equity Change in NWC at t = 0, negative CF, CA are obtained prior to production at t = 1 . . ., negative or positive negative added CA needed because or increased production positive CA released because of reduced production at t = T, NWC returned to the firm for use elsewhere July 17, 2016 Chapter 18 - Capital Budgeting 7 Opportunity Costs - included as foregone possibilities cash flows from land or buildings which could be leased if not used cost of a manager that must be hired to replace someone reallocated to the project July 17, 2016 Chapter 18 - Capital Budgeting 8 Sunk Costs - not included costs already incurred the cost of a feasibility study cost of building already owned July 17, 2016 Chapter 18 - Capital Budgeting 9 Side Effects - externalities try to include these, if possible potential positive cash flows marketing advantages of an existing network salvage value of the of machines or plants potential negative cash flows pollution adjust for potential effects of inflation July 17, 2016 Chapter 18 - Capital Budgeting 10 Example - assumptions Project operating cash flows 46,000 units will be sold first year $5.20/unit 15% growth in demand per year 3-year project COGS = 58% of sales Administrative costs = $20,000 CCA category 30% Marginal tax rate = 40% rw = 12.4% July 17, 2016 Chapter 18 - Capital Budgeting 11 Depreciation UCC CCA t0 t1 t2 t3 115,000 97,750 68,425 47,897 (17,250) (29,325) (20,528) 1st year’s CCA 50% of 30% of previous UCC 2nd year’s CCA 30% of previous UCC July 17, 2016 Chapter 18 - Capital Budgeting 12 Earnings Before Interest & Taxes t1 t2 t3 Revenue 230,000 264,500 304,175 (COGS) (133,400) (153,410) (176,422) (Op costs) (20,000) (20,000) (20,000) (CCA) (17,250) (29,325) (20,528) EBIT July 17, 2016 59,350 61,765 Chapter 18 - Capital Budgeting 87,225 13 Operating Cash Flows EBIT (Taxes) CCA t1 59,350 (23,740) 17,250 t2 61,765 (24,706) 29,325 t3 87,225 (34,890) 20,528 Oper CF 52,860 66,380 72,863 July 17, 2016 Chapter 18 - Capital Budgeting 14 Working Capital requirements 1st year Current Assets Current Liabilities Cash Securities Receivables Input Inv Output Inv Payables Notes Labor Acc Tax Acc CA 2,600 0 3,950 2,880 4,130 13,560 July 17, 2016 CL Chapter 18 - Capital Budgeting 3,150 1,500 2,250 1,240 8,140 15 Capital Expenditures • Investment cost = $115,000 • • • • • • • Purchase price Installation cost Salvage = $53,000 UCC = $47,897 Capital Gain = 5,103 Tax = 5,103*0.7*0.4=$1,429 Gain net of tax = $3,674 July 17, 2016 Chapter 18 - Capital Budgeting 16 Net Working Capital & Capital Spending t0 t1 t2 NWC needed (5,420) Current NWC 0 5,420 6,233 7,168 Change NWC (5,420) (813) (935) 7,168 Capital Exp (115,000) July 17, 2016 (6,233) (7,168) t3 Chapter 18 - Capital Budgeting 0 3,674 17 Total Cash Flows t0 Oper CFs (5,420) Cap Exp (115,000) July 17, 2016 t2 t3 52,860 66,230 72,863 Chg NWC NCFs t1 (813) (935) 7,168 3,674 (120,420) 52,047 65,295 83,705 Chapter 18 - Capital Budgeting 18 Net Present Value NPV I 3 t 1 120,420 NCFt t 1 rw 83,705 65,295 52,047 3 2 1.124 1.124 1.124 120,420 46,305 51,683 58,946 36,514 July 17, 2016 Chapter 18 - Capital Budgeting 19 NPV – benefits Adjusts for time value of money Adjust for risk wacc Uses all incremental cash flows Uses economically justified benchmark All the investors in the firm receive their required rate of return wacc July 17, 2016 Chapter 18 - Capital Budgeting 20 Cost cutting proposals incremental CFs only Cost of the upgrade Cost savings from upgrade Cost and installation = $35,000 CCA rate 30% Tax rate = 40% r = 12.4% Cost savings annually = $15,000 for 4 years Salvage = $10,000 (70%) July 17, 2016 Chapter 18 - Capital Budgeting 21 Cost cutting proposals con’t Savings (CCA) t0 t1 15,000 (5,250) Op Inc (Tax) CCA Salvage (35,000) NCF (35,000) July 17, 2016 9,750 (3,900) 5,250 11,100 t2 15,000 (8,925) t3 15,000 (6,248) t4 15,000 (4,373) 6,075 (2,430) 8,925 8,752 (3,501) 6,248 10,627 (4,251) 4,373 147 12,570 11,499 10,896 Chapter 18 - Capital Budgeting 22 NPV cost cutting proposal 11,100 12,570 11,499 10,896 NPV 35,000 2 3 4 1.124 1.124 1.124 1.124 35,000 9,875 9,950 8,098 6,827 251 36,514 July 17, 2016 Chapter 18 - Capital Budgeting 23 Incremental CFs Cost cutting Replacing an asset Change to oper inc Cost of new machine Salvage Salvage of old machine Change to oper inc Cost of new machine Salvage of new machine Start with operating income Net of COGS, Operating Costs, taxes CCAs have already been deducted before taxes CCAs have already been added back after taxes July 17, 2016 Chapter 18 - Capital Budgeting 24 Complexities Different tax laws Regulatory environment Market protection Environmental regulation Calculated in foreign currency terms Calculated in home currency terms Nationalization Capital controls (rules against repatriation of profits) Sale and repatriation Affect weighted average cost of capital Real exchange rate changes (operating & transaction exposure) Net Present Value Political risk Segmented capital markets Separability of capital budgeting and financing decisions July 17, 2016 Chapter 18 - Capital Budgeting 25