Course Overview and Overview of Optimization in Ag Economics Lecture 1 Course Outline Static Optimization Overview of Optimality Review of Linear Algebra Optimality Conditions Algorithms Optimization on a Computer Dynamic Optimization A Review of Dynamic Mathematics Calculus of Variations Optimal Control Applications of Optimal Control Overview of Optimization The Basic Microeconomic Problem Definition of Economics The Consumer’s Problem Max U ( x) x s.t. px Y The Producer’s Problem Max py wx s.t. y F ( x) Food and Diet Problem Agricultural applications of the food and diet problems include both human and animal diets. The food and diet research can be characterized by two major focuses: Least cost combination of foods to meet dietary needs. Stigler’s “Cost of subsistence”. Least cost feed ration studies. The basic application would involve minimizing the cost of a diet subject to some nutritional constraint: min cx x s.t. Ax b c is a vector of prices for each food, x is a vector of choice levels for each food, A is a matrix of nutrients provided by each food, and b is a vector of minimum nutritional requirements. More advanced formulations of the diet problem have been developed in the guise of the household production model. General form household production problem: max U y y,x s.t. y F x px I where F(x) denotes the production relationship between purchased foodstuffs and consumable goods (y). p is the price vector for purchased foodstuffs, and I is income A linear formulation of such a model can be expressed as max U y y,x s.t. y Ax px I In addition to foodstuffs, x can be augmented to include labor use. Farm and Agribusiness Management Initially, linear programming was used to find optimal crop mix. This work has grown into large extension farm planning efforts such as OK farms. These models tend to be either general linear or integer max cx x s.t. Ax b x could be a vector of possible crop alternatives (wheat, cotton, and oats), c was a conformable vector of net returns from each crop activity, A is a matrix of resource constraints 1 1 Land 1 A .2 .3 .1 Labor 25 100 10 Capital b is the vector of resource constraints. One way that risk may enter the farm management model is by complicating the objective function: max E U x x s.t. Ax b where E[.] is the expected value operator, U(.) is the utility function, A is the resource coefficients, b is the vector of resource constraints, and x is the level of each activity. Freund shows that given that preferences are negative exponential and returns are normally distributed, the expected utility function becomes: U x exp x E U x x xx x N , 2 Therefore, the maximization problem becomes a nonlinear optimization problem max x xx x 2 s.t. Ax b However, given that few closed form conjugates exist, technologies have evolved to allow direct optimization of more generalized problems: y U y y N x, xx Farm Firm Development The typical farm firm development model is primarily interest in firm growth. max c1 c2 A11 T 12 s.t. 0 0 c3 0 0 A22 0 T23 A33 0 0 x1 x 2 cn x3 xn 0 x1 b1 0 x2 b2 0 x3 b3 Ann xn bn Focusing on the first two constraints A11 x1 b1 T12 x1 A22 x2 b2 A22 x2 b2 T12 x1 So decisions made in year 1 could also affect the resources available in year 2. Again generalizing the model, a decision in year 1 may have multiple possible outcomes: x 11 max c11 A11 T s.t. 12 T22 T32 p1c12 0 A12 0 0 0 0 A22 0 p2 c22 x p3c32 12 x22 x32 0 x11 b1 0 x12 b2 0 x22 b3 A32 x32 b4 p1 denotes the probability of event 1 occurring, p2 is the probability of event 2 occurring, and p3 is the probability of event 3 occurring. If event 1 occurs, the profit vector c12 and T12 resources transfer to period 2. A12 x12 b12 T12 x11 A22 x22 b22 T22 x11 A32 x32 b32 T32 x11 Production Response Production response models have been used to study the impact of some policy or external shock to the sector. From the firm level, the effect of changing fertilizer prices, labor availability, or support prices on firm outputs, profits, and input demands can be mapped out, much like the duality approach to production. The firm level effects are then aggregated to the sector level. An example of this type of model is CARD.