Chapter 14 14.1 Equal-variances t-test of 1 2 H 0 : (1 2 ) 0 H1 : (1 2 ) 0 t 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 ( x 1 x 2 ) (1 2 ) 1 1 s 2p n1 n 2 A B t-Test: Two-Sample Assuming Equal Variances Mean Variance Observations Pooled Variance Hypothesized Mean Difference df t Stat P(T<=t) one-tail t Critical one-tail P(T<=t) two-tail t Critical two-tail C This Year 3 Years Ago 8.29 10.36 8.13 8.43 100 100 8.28 0 198 -5.09 0.0000 1.6526 0.0000 1.9720 t = –5.09, p-value = 0. There is overwhelming evidence to conclude that there has been a decrease over the past three years. 14.2 a z-test of p1 p 2 (case 1) H 0 : (p1 p 2 ) 0 H1 : ( p1 p 2 ) 0 z 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 (p̂1 p̂ 2 ) 1 1 p̂(1 p̂) n1 n 2 A B C D z-Test of the Difference Between Two Proportions (Case 1) Sample proportion Sample size Alpha Sample 1 Sample 2 0.4336 0.2414 113 87 0.05 317 z Stat P(Z<=z) one-tail z Critical one-tail P(Z<=z) two-tail z Critical two-tail E 2.83 0.0024 1.6449 0.0047 1.9600 z = 2.83, p-value = .0024. There is enough evidence to infer that customers who see the ad are more likely to make a purchase than those who do not see the ad. b Equal-variances t-test of 1 2 H 0 : (1 2 ) 0 H1 : (1 2 ) 0 t 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 ( x 1 x 2 ) (1 2 ) 1 1 s 2p n1 n 2 A B t-Test: Two-Sample Assuming Equal Variances Mean Variance Observations Pooled Variance Hypothesized Mean Difference df t Stat P(T<=t) one-tail t Critical one-tail P(T<=t) two-tail t Critical two-tail Ad 97.38 621.97 49 522.35 0 68 0.90 0.1853 1.6676 0.3705 1.9955 C No Ad 92.01 283.26 21 t = .90, p-value = .1853. There is not enough evidence to infer that customers who see the ad and make a purchase spend more than those who do not see the ad and make a purchase. c z-estimator of p p̂ z / 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 p̂(1 p̂) n A B z-Estimate of a Proportion Sample proportion Sample size Confidence level 0.4336 113 0.95 C D Confidence Interval Estimate 0.4336 Lower confidence limit Upper confidence limit E 0.0914 0.3423 0.5250 We estimate that between 34.23% and 52.50% of all customers who see the ad will make a purchase. d t-estimator of x t/2 s n 318 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 A B t-Estimate: Mean C D Ad Mean Standard Deviation LCL UCL 97.38 24.94 90.22 104.55 We estimate that the mean amount spent by customers who see the ad and make a purchase lies between $90.22 and $104.55. 14.3 t-test of D H0 : D 0 H1 : D 0 t xD D sD / n D 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 A B t-Test: Paired Two Sample for Means Mean Variance Observations Pearson Correlation Hypothesized Mean Difference df t Stat P(T<=t) one-tail t Critical one-tail P(T<=t) two-tail t Critical two-tail C Before 381.00 39001 25 0.96 0 24 0.70 0.2438 1.7109 0.4876 2.0639 After 373.12 40663 25 t = .70, p-value = .2438. There is not enough evidence to conclude that the equipment is effective. 14.4 a z-test of p H 0 : p = .95 H1 : p > .95 z p̂ p p(1 p) n 319 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 A B z-Test: Proportion C D Prority 0.9714 245 0.95 1.54 0.0619 1.6449 0.1238 1.9600 Sample Proportion Observations Hypothesized Proportion z Stat P(Z<=z) one-tail z Critical one-tail P(Z<=z) two-tail z Critical two-tail z = 1.54, p-value = .0619. There is not enough evidence to infer that the spokesperson's claim is true. b z-test of p1 p 2 (case 1) H 0 : (p1 p 2 ) 0 H1 : ( p1 p 2 ) 0 z (p̂1 p̂ 2 ) 1 1 p̂(1 p̂) n1 n 2 A 1 z-Test: Two Proportions 2 3 4 Sample Proportions 5 Observations 6 Hypothesized Difference 7 z Stat 8 P(Z<=z) one tail 9 z Critical one-tail 10 P(Z<=z) two-tail 11 z Critical two-tail B C D Prority Ordinary 0.9714 0.9101 245 378 0 3.02 0.0013 1.6449 0.0026 1.9600 z = 3.02, p-value = .0013. There is enough evidence to infer that Priority Mail delivers letters within two days more frequently than does ordinary mail. 14.5 Equal-variances t-test of 1 2 H 0 : (1 2 ) 0 H1 : (1 2 ) 0 t ( x 1 x 2 ) (1 2 ) 1 1 s 2p n n 2 1 320 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 A B t-Test: Two-Sample Assuming Equal Variances Mean Variance Observations Pooled Variance Hypothesized Mean Difference df t Stat P(T<=t) one-tail t Critical one-tail P(T<=t) two-tail t Critical two-tail C Discount No Discount 13.06 18.22 30.26 38.13 50 50 34.20 0 98 -4.41 0.0000 1.6606 0.0000 1.9845 t = –4.41, p-value = 0. There is enough evidence to infer that the discount plan works. 14.6 Speeds: Equal-variances t-test of 1 2 H 0 : (1 2 ) 0 H1 : (1 2 ) 0 t 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 ( x 1 x 2 ) (1 2 ) 1 1 s 2p n n 2 1 A B t-Test: Two-Sample Assuming Equal Variances Mean Variance Observations Pooled Variance Hypothesized Mean Difference df t Stat P(T<=t) one-tail t Critical one-tail P(T<=t) two-tail t Critical two-tail C Speeds Before Speeds After 31.74 31.42 4.50 4.41 100 100 4.45 0 198 1.07 0.1424 1.6526 0.2849 1.9720 t = 1.07, p-value = .1424. There is not enough evidence to infer that speed bumps reduce speeds. Proper stops: Equal-variances t-test of 1 2 H 0 : (1 2 ) 0 H1 : (1 2 ) 0 321 t 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 ( x 1 x 2 ) (1 2 ) 1 1 s 2p n n 2 1 A B t-Test: Two-Sample Assuming Equal Variances Mean Variance Observations Pooled Variance Hypothesized Mean Difference df t Stat P(T<=t) one-tail t Critical one-tail P(T<=t) two-tail t Critical two-tail C Stops Before Stops After 7.82 7.98 1.83 1.84 100 100 1.83 0 198 -0.84 0.2021 1.6526 0.4042 1.9720 t = –.84, p-value = .2021. There is not enough evidence to infer that speed bumps increase the number of proper stops. 14.7 t-estimator of x t/2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 s n A B t-Estimate: Mean C D PSI Mean Standard Deviation LCL UCL 4.20 1.93 3.93 4.46 LCL = 3.93, UCL = 4.46. We estimate that on average tires are between 3.93 and 4.46 pounds per square inch below the recommended amount. Tire life: LCL = 100(3.93) = 393, UCL = 100(4.46) = 446. We estimate that the average tire life is decreased by between 393 and 446 miles. Gasoline consumption: LCL = .1(3.93) = .393, UCL = .1(4.46) = .446. We estimate that average gasoline consumption increases by between .393 and .446 gallons per mile. 14.8 t-test of D 322 H0 : D 0 H1 : D 0 t xD D sD / n D 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 A B t-Test: Paired Two Sample for Means C Before 28.94 61.45 50 0.87 0 49 3.73 0.000 1.677 0.000 2.010 Mean Variance Observations Pearson Correlation Hypothesized Mean Difference df t Stat P(T<=t) one-tail t Critical one-tail P(T<=t) two-tail t Critical two-tail After 26.22 104.30 50 t = 3.73, p-value = .0002. There is enough evidence to infer that the law discourages bicycle use. 14.9 z -test of p1 p 2 (case 1) H 0 : (p1 p 2 ) 0 H1 : ( p1 p 2 ) 0 z 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 (p̂1 p̂ 2 ) 1 1 p̂(1 p̂) n1 n 2 A z-Test: Two Proportions Sample Proportions Observations Hypothesized Difference z Stat P(Z<=z) one tail z Critical one-tail P(Z<=z) two-tail z Critical two-tail B C D Cardizem Placebo 0.084 0.0797 607 301 0 0.22 0.4126 1.6449 0.8252 1.9600 z = .22, p-value = .4126. There is not enough evidence to indicate that Cardizem users are more likely to suffer headache and dizziness side effects than non-users. 323 14.10 t-test of H 0 : 200 H 1 : 200 t x s/ n 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 A t-Test: Mean B C D Pedestrians 209.13 60.01 200 39 0.96 0.1711 1.6849 0.3422 2.0227 Mean Standard Deviation Hypothesized Mean df t Stat P(T<=t) one-tail t Critical one-tail P(T<=t) two-tail t Critical two-tail t = .96, p-value = .1711. There is not enough evidence to infer that the franchiser should build on this site. 14.11 a z-test of p1 p 2 (case 1) H 0 : p1 p 2 = 0 H1 : p 1 p 2 > 0 z 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 (p̂1 p̂ 2 ) 1 1 p̂(1 p̂) n1 n 2 A z-Test: Two Proportions Sample Proportions Observations Hypothesized Difference z Stat P(Z<=z) one tail z Critical one-tail P(Z<=z) two-tail z Critical two-tail B C D Smokers NoSmokers 0.041 0.024 1000 1000 0 2.14 0.0160 1.6449 0.0320 1.9600 z = 2.14, p-value = .0160. There is evidence to infer that children in smoke-free households are less likely to be in fair to poor health than children in households with smokers. b z-estimator of p 324 p̂(1 p̂) n p̂ z / 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 A z-Estimate: Proportion Sample Proportion Observations LCL UCL B Smokers 0.0410 1000 0.0287 0.0533 LCL = .0287, UCL = .0533. We estimate that between 2.87% and 5.33% of all children living in households with smokers are in fair to poor health. Number of children: LCL = 10 million(.0287) = 287,000, UCL = 10 million(.0533) = 533,000. Between 287,000 and 533,000 children living with at least one smoker are estimated to be in fair to poor health. 14.12 z-test of p H 0 : p = .5 H1 : p > .5 z 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 p̂ p p(1 p) n A B z-Test: Proportion Sample Proportion Observations Hypothesized Proportion z Stat P(Z<=z) one-tail z Critical one-tail P(Z<=z) two-tail z Critical two-tail C D Winner 0.5296 625 0.5 1.48 0.0694 1.6449 0.1388 1.9600 z = 1.48, p-value = .0694. There is not enough evidence to conclude that more Floridians believe that Mr. Bush won than Floridians who believe Mr. Gore won. 14.13 t-tests of 45 minutes: H 0 : = 45 H1 : < 45 t x s/ n 325 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 A t-Test: Mean B C 45 minutes 41.75 3.63 45 19 -4.01 0.0004 1.7291 0.0008 2.0930 Mean Standard Deviation Hypothesized Mean df t Stat P(T<=t) one-tail t Critical one-tail P(T<=t) two-tail t Critical two-tail 60 minutes: D H 0 : = 60 H1 : < 60 t x s/ n 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 A t-Test: Mean B Mean Standard Deviation Hypothesized Mean df t Stat P(T<=t) one-tail t Critical one-tail P(T<=t) two-tail t Critical two-tail 80 minutes: C D 60 minutes 58.75 5.02 60 19 -1.11 0.1399 1.7291 0.2798 2.0930 H 0 : = 80 H1 : < 80 t x s/ n 326 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 A t-Test: Mean B C 80 minutes 69.05 6.31 80 19 -7.76 0.0000 1.7291 0.0000 2.0930 Mean Standard Deviation Hypothesized Mean df t Stat P(T<=t) one-tail t Critical one-tail P(T<=t) two-tail t Critical two-tail 100 minutes: D H 0 : = 100 H1 : < 100 t x s/ n 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 A t-Test: Mean B Mean Standard Deviation Hypothesized Mean df t Stat P(T<=t) one-tail t Critical one-tail P(T<=t) two-tail t Critical two-tail 125 minutes: C D 100 minutes 90.40 12.35 100 19 -3.48 0.0013 1.7291 0.0026 2.0930 H 0 : = 125 H1 : < 125 t x s/ n 327 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 A t-Test: Mean B C Mean Standard Deviation Hypothesized Mean df t Stat P(T<=t) one-tail t Critical one-tail P(T<=t) two-tail t Critical two-tail D 125 minutes 110.05 17.11 125 19 -3.91 0.0005 1.7291 0.0010 2.0930 Overall Conclusion: p-values are .0004, .1399, 0, .0013, and .0005, respectively. In four of the jobs there is overwhelming evidence to conclude that the times specified by the schedule are greater than the actual times. 14.14 Unequal-variances t-test of 1 2 H 0 : (1 2 ) 0 H1 : (1 2 ) 0 t ( x 1 x 2 ) ( 1 2 ) s 12 s 22 n1 n 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 A B C t-Test: Two-Sample Assuming Unequal Variances Mean Variance Observations Hypothesized Mean Difference df t Stat P(T<=t) one-tail t Critical one-tail P(T<=t) two-tail t Critical two-tail Quit Did not quit 2.04 0.72 2.05 1.40 259 1626 0 316 14.06 0.0000 1.6497 0.0000 1.9675 t = 14.06, p-value = 0. There is enough evidence to infer that quitting smoking results in weight gains. 14.15 F-test of 12 / 22 H 0 : 12 / 22 1 H1 : 12 / 22 1 328 F 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 s12 s 22 A B C F-Test Two-Sample for Variances Mean Variance Observations df F P(F<=f) one-tail F Critical one-tail Brand A Brand B 145.95 144.78 16.45 4.25 100 100 99 99 3.87 0.0000 1.3941 F = 3.87, p-value = 0. There is overwhelming evidence to infer that Brand B is superior to Brand A. 14.16 a z-test of p1 p 2 (case 1) (Success = 2) H 0 : p1 p 2 = 0 H1 : p 1 p 2 0 z 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 (p̂1 p̂ 2 ) 1 1 p̂(1 p̂) n1 n 2 A z-Test: Two Proportions B Sample Proportions Observations Hypothesized Difference z Stat P(Z<=z) one tail z Critical one-tail P(Z<=z) two-tail z Critical two-tail C D Male most Male less 0.5962 0.8077 52 52 0 -2.36 0.0092 1.6449 0.0184 1.96 z = –2.36, p-value = .0184. There is enough evidence that men’s choices are affected by the attractiveness of women’s pictures b z-test of p1 p 2 (case 1) (Success = 2) H 0 : p1 p 2 = 0 H1 : p 1 p 2 0 329 z 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 (p̂1 p̂ 2 ) 1 1 p̂(1 p̂) n n 2 1 A z-Test: Two Proportions Sample Proportions Observations Hypothesized Difference z Stat P(Z<=z) one tail z Critical one-tail P(Z<=z) two-tail z Critical two-tail B C D Female most Female less 0.7885 0.8269 52 52 0 -0.50 0.3094 1.6449 0.6188 1.96 z = –.50, p-value = .6188. There is not enough evidence to infer that women’s choices are affected by the attractiveness of men’s pictures. 14.17 t-test of D H0 : D 0 H1 : D 0 t xD D sD / n D A B C 1 t-Test: Paired Two Sample for Means 2 3 Price shown Price not shown 4 Mean 56.15 60.31 5 Variance 243.68 467.71 6 Observations 100 100 7 Pearson Correlation 0.79 8 Hypothesized Mean Difference 0 9 df 99 10 t Stat -3.12 11 P(T<=t) one-tail 0.0012 12 t Critical one-tail 1.6604 13 P(T<=t) two-tail 0.0024 14 t Critical two-tail 1.9842 t = –3.12, p-value = .0012. There is overwhelming evidence to conclude that ads with no price shown are more effective in generating interest than ads that show the price. 14.18 t-estimator of 330 x t/2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 s n A B t-Estimate: Mean C D Calls 0.320 0.717 0.204 0.436 Mean Standard Deviation LCL UCL LCL = .204, UCL = .436. On average, each copier is estimated to require between .204 and .436 service calls in the first year. Total number of service calls: LCL = 1000(.204) = 204, UCL = 1000(.436) = 436. It is estimated that the company's copiers will require between 204 and 436 service calls in the first year. 14.19 z-test of p1 p 2 (case 1) H 0 : p1 p 2 = 0 H1 : p 1 p 2 > 0 z 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 (p̂1 p̂ 2 ) 1 1 p̂(1 p̂) n n 2 1 A z-Test: Two Proportions B Sample Proportions Observations Hypothesized Difference z Stat P(Z<=z) one tail z Critical one-tail P(Z<=z) two-tail z Critical two-tail C D Exercisers Watchers 0.4250 0.3675 400 400 0 1.66 0.0482 1.6449 0.0964 1.9600 z = 1.66, p-value = .0482. There is evidence to infer that exercisers are more likely to remember the sponsor's brand name than those who only watch. 14.20 Unequal-variances t-test of 1 2 H 0 : (1 2 ) 0 H1 : (1 2 ) 0 331 t ( x 1 x 2 ) ( 1 2 ) s 12 s 22 n1 n 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 A B C t-Test: Two-Sample Assuming Unequal Variances Mean Variance Observations Hypothesized Mean Difference df t Stat P(T<=t) one-tail t Critical one-tail P(T<=t) two-tail t Critical two-tail Leftover Returned 61.71 70.57 48.99 203.98 14 53 0 44 -3.27 0.0011 1.6802 0.0021 2.0154 t = –3.27, p-value = .0011. There is enough evidence to support the professor's theory. 14.21 Equal-variances t-test of 1 2 H 0 : (1 2 ) 0 H1 : (1 2 ) 0 t ( x 1 x 2 ) ( 1 2 ) s 12 s 22 n1 n 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 A B t-Test: Two-Sample Assuming Equal Variances Mean Variance Observations Pooled Variance Hypothesized Mean Difference df t Stat P(T<=t) one-tail t Critical one-tail P(T<=t) two-tail t Critical two-tail C Echinacea Placebo 7.02 7.06 2.51 2.42 262 262 2.47 0 522 -0.31 0.3799 1.6478 0.7598 1.9645 t = –.31, p-value = .3799. There is not enough evidence to conclude that Echinacea is effective. 14.22 a z-test of p 332 H 0 : p = 104,320/425,000 = .245 H1 : p > .245 z 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 p̂ p p(1 p) n A B z-Test: Proportion C D Deliver 0.2825 400 0.245 1.74 0.0406 1.6449 0.0812 1.9600 Sample Proportion Observations Hypothesized Proportion z Stat P(Z<=z) one-tail z Critical one-tail P(Z<=z) two-tail z Critical two-tail z = 1.74, p-value = .0406. There is enough evidence to indicate that the campaign will increase home delivery sales. b z-test of p H 0 : p = 110,000/425,000 = .259 H1 : p > .259 z 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 p̂ p p(1 p) n A B z-Test: Proportion C Sample Proportion Observations Hypothesized Proportion z Stat P(Z<=z) one-tail z Critical one-tail P(Z<=z) two-tail z Critical two-tail D Deliver 0.2825 400 0.259 1.07 0.1417 1.6449 0.2834 1.9600 z = 1.07, p-value = .1417. There is not enough evidence to conclude that the campaign will be successful. 14.23 Equal-variances t-test of 1 2 H 0 : (1 2 ) 0 H1 : (1 2 ) 0 333 t 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 ( x 1 x 2 ) (1 2 ) 1 1 s 2p n n 2 1 A B t-Test: Two-Sample Assuming Equal Variances Mean Variance Observations Pooled Variance Hypothesized Mean Difference df t Stat P(T<=t) one-tail t Critical one-tail P(T<=t) two-tail t Critical two-tail C ABS speed No ABS speed 34.72 33.94 25.27 25.63 100 100 25.45 0 198 1.09 0.1394 1.6526 0.2788 1.9720 t = 1.09, p-value = .2788. There is not enough evidence that operating an ABS-equipped car changes a driver's behavior. 14.24a Equal-variances t-test of 1 2 H 0 : (1 2 ) 0 H1 : (1 2 ) 0 t ( x 1 x 2 ) (1 2 ) 1 1 s 2p n1 n 2 A B C 1 t-Test: Two-Sample Assuming Equal Variances 2 3 Expenses MSA Expenses Regular 4 Mean 347.24 479.25 5 Variance 21043 21128 6 Observations 63 141 7 Pooled Variance 21102 8 Hypothesized Mean Difference 0 9 df 202 10 t Stat -6.00 11 P(T<=t) one-tail 0.0000 12 t Critical one-tail 1.6524 13 P(T<=t) two-tail 0.0000 14 t Critical two-tail 1.9718 t = –6.00, p-value = 0. There is enough evidence to infer that medical expenses for those under the MSA plan are lower than those who are not. 334 b z-test of p1 p 2 (case 1) H 0 : p1 p 2 = 0 H1 : p 1 p 2 < 0 z 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 (p̂1 p̂ 2 ) 1 1 p̂(1 p̂) n1 n 2 A z-Test: Two Proportions B C D Health MSA Health Regular 0.7619 0.7801 63 141 0 -0.29 0.3867 1.6449 0.7734 1.9600 Sample Proportions Observations Hypothesized Difference z Stat P(Z<=z) one tail z Critical one-tail P(Z<=z) two-tail z Critical two-tail z = –.29, p-value = .3867. There is not enough evidence to support the critics of MSA. 14.25 a z-test of p1 p 2 (case 1) H 0 : p1 p 2 = 0 H1 : p 1 p 2 > 0 z 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 (p̂1 p̂ 2 ) 1 1 p̂(1 p̂) n1 n 2 A z-Test: Two Proportions Sample Proportions Observations Hypothesized Difference z Stat P(Z<=z) one tail z Critical one-tail P(Z<=z) two-tail z Critical two-tail B C D Topiramate Placebo 0.2364 0.1042 55 48 0 1.76 0.0390 1.6449 0.0780 1.96 z = 1.76, p-value = .0390. There is enough evidence to conclude that topiramate is effective in causing abstinence for the first month. 335 b z-test of p1 p 2 (case 1) H 0 : p1 p 2 = 0 H1 : p 1 p 2 > 0 z 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 (p̂1 p̂ 2 ) 1 1 p̂(1 p̂) n1 n 2 A z-Test: Two Proportions Sample Proportions Observations Hypothesized Difference z Stat P(Z<=z) one tail z Critical one-tail P(Z<=z) two-tail z Critical two-tail B C D Topiramate Placebo 0.5091 0.1667 55 48 0 3.64 0.0001 1.6449 0.0002 1.96 z = 3.64, p-value = .0001. There is enough evidence to conclude that topiramate is effective in causing alcoholics to refrain from binge drinking in the final month. 14.26 Time to solve the 48 problems: Equal-variances t-test of 1 2 H 0 : (1 2 ) 0 H1 : (1 2 ) 0 t 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 ( x 1 x 2 ) (1 2 ) 1 1 s 2p n1 n 2 A B C t-Test: Two-Sample Assuming Equal Variances Mean Variance Observations Pooled Variance Hypothesized Mean Difference df t Stat P(T<=t) one-tail t Critical one-tail P(T<=t) two-tail t Critical two-tail Diet 581.95 2716.6 20 2469.1 0 38 1.94 0.0300 1.6860 0.0601 2.0244 336 Not 551.5 2221.5 20 t = 1.94, p-value = .0300. There is enough evidence to conclude that dieters take longer to solve the 48 problems than do nondieters. Successfully repeat string of five letters: z-test of p1 p 2 (case 1) H 0 : p1 p 2 = 0 H1 : p 1 p 2 < 0 z 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 (p̂1 p̂ 2 ) 1 1 p̂(1 p̂) n1 n 2 A z-Test: Two Proportions B C Diet Sample Proportions Observations Hypothesized Difference z Stat P(Z<=z) one tail z Critical one-tail P(Z<=z) two-tail z Critical two-tail D Not 0.50 20 0 -1.99 0.0234 1.6449 0.0468 1.96 0.80 20 z = –1.99, p-value = .0234. There is enough evidence to conclude that dieters are less successful at repeating string of five letters. Successfully repeat string of five words: z-test of p1 p 2 (case 1) H 0 : p1 p 2 = 0 H1 : p 1 p 2 > 0 z 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 (p̂1 p̂ 2 ) 1 1 p̂(1 p̂) n1 n 2 A z-Test: Two Proportions B C Diet Sample Proportions Observations Hypothesized Difference z Stat P(Z<=z) one tail z Critical one-tail P(Z<=z) two-tail z Critical two-tail 0.35 20 0 -1.58 0.0567 1.6449 0.1134 1.96 D Not 0.60 20 z = –1.58, p-value = .0567. There is not enough evidence to conclude that dieters are less successful at repeating string of five words. 337 Case 14.1 California Verbal Learning Test (CVLT) scores Equal-variances t-test of 1 2 H 0 : (1 2 ) 0 H1 : (1 2 ) 0 t 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 ( x 1 x 2 ) (1 2 ) 1 1 s 2p n1 n 2 A B C t-Test: Two-Sample Assuming Equal Variances Mean Variance Observations Pooled Variance Hypothesized Mean Difference df t Stat P(T<=t) one-tail t Critical one-tail P(T<=t) two-tail t Critical two-tail User Nonuser 71.53 69.66 82.64 49.71 58 47 67.93 0 103 1.16 0.1246 1.6598 0.2491 1.9833 t = 1.16, p-value = .1246. Logical Memory Test (LMT) score H 0 : (1 2 ) 0 H1 : (1 2 ) 0 t ( x 1 x 2 ) (1 2 ) 1 1 s 2p n n 2 1 338 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 A B C t-Test: Two-Sample Assuming Equal Variances Mean Variance Observations Pooled Variance Hypothesized Mean Difference df t Stat P(T<=t) one-tail t Critical one-tail P(T<=t) two-tail t Critical two-tail User Nonuser 57.67 56.64 27.24 28.98 58 47 28.02 0 103 1.00 0.1609 1.6598 0.3218 1.9833 t = 1.00, p-value = .1609. Conclusion of both tests: There is not enough evidence to conclude that HRT helps improve cognitive performance among women over 75. Case 14.2 a z-estimator of p 1 2 3 4 5 6 A z-Estimate: Proportion Sample Proportion Observations LCL UCL B Aware 0.9717 283 0.9524 0.9910 Total: LCL = 836,200(.9524) = 796,397, UCL = 836,200(.9910) = 828,674 b z-estimator of p A 1 z-Estimate: Proportion 2 3 Sample Proportion 4 Observations 5 LCL 6 UCL B Modify 0.6466 283 0.5910 0.7023 Total: LCL = 836,200(.5910) = 494,194, UCL = 836,200(.7023) = 587,263 c z-test of p1 p 2 (case 1) H 0 : p1 p 2 = 0 H1 : p 1 p 2 < 0 339 z 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 (p̂1 p̂ 2 ) 1 1 p̂(1 p̂) n n 2 1 A z-Test: Two Proportions B C D LSES HSES 0.1521 0.6732 447 153 0 -12.32 0 1.6449 0 1.96 Sample Proportions Observations Hypothesized Difference z Stat P(Z<=z) one tail z Critical one-tail P(Z<=z) two-tail z Critical two-tail z = –12.32, p-value = 0. There is enough evidence to conclude that women in the HSES group are more aware than are women in the LSES group. z-test of p1 p 2 (case 1) d H 0 : p1 p 2 = 0 H1 : p 1 p 2 < 0 z 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 (p̂1 p̂ 2 ) 1 1 p̂(1 p̂) n1 n 2 A z-Test: Two Proportions Sample Proportions Observations Hypothesized Difference z Stat P(Z<=z) one tail z Critical one-tail P(Z<=z) two-tail z Critical two-tail B C D LSES HSES 0.1588 0.4641 447 153 0 -7.67 0 1.6449 0 1.96 z = –7.67, p-value = 0. There is enough evidence to conclude that women in the HSES group are more likely to use HRT than are women in the LSES group. 340 Case 14.3 a z-test of p (success = 1, vote "No") H 0 : p = .5 H1 : p > .5 z 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 p̂ p p(1 p) n A B z-Test: Proportion C D Planned vote 0.5382 641 0.5 1.94 0.0265 1.6449 0.0530 1.9600 Sample Proportion Observations Hypothesized Proportion z Stat P(Z<=z) one-tail z Critical one-tail P(Z<=z) two-tail z Critical two-tail z = 1.94, p-value = .0265. There is evidence to infer that if the referendum were held on the day of the poll, the majority of Quebec would vote to remain in Canada. b z-estimator p1 p 2 (success = 2, vote "Yes") (p̂1 p̂ 2 ) z / 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 p̂1 (1 p̂1 ) p̂ 2 (1 p̂ 2 ) n1 n2 A B C z-Estimate: Two Proportions Sample Proportions Observations LCL UCL D Francophone Anglophone 0.5553 0.0794 515 126 0.4123 0.5397 LCL = .4123, UCL = .5397. We estimate that the difference between French-speaking and Englishspeaking Quebecers in their support for separation lies between 41.23% and 53.97%. 341 342