DRAGGED DOWN BY WEIGHT: THE ACADEMIC COST OF OBESITY A Thesis Presented to the faculty of the Department of Economics California State University, Sacramento Submitted in partial satisfaction of the requirements for the degree of MASTER OF ARTS in Economics by Gregory Robert Wade SPRING 2012 DRAGGED DOWN BY WEIGHT: THE ACADEMIC COST OF OBESITY A Thesis by Gregory Robert Wade Approved by: __________________________________, Committee Chair Ta-chen Wang, Ph.D. __________________________________, Second Reader Suzanne O’Keefe, Ph.D. ____________________________ Date ii Student: Gregory Robert Wade I certify that this student has met the requirements for format contained in the University format manual, and that this thesis is suitable for shelving in the Library and credit is to be awarded for the thesis. ______________ Kristin Kiesel, Ph.D. , Graduate Coordinator ___________________ Date Department of Economics iii Abstract of DRAGGED DOWN BY WEIGHT: THE ACADEMIC COST OF OBESITY by Gregory Robert Wade Statement of Problem Obesity is a major public health problem with associated economic costs that may include academic costs incurred by obese grade school students. Previous research has indicated that gender, discrimination, and self-esteem play prominent roles. Sources of Data Early Childhood Longitudinal Study K-8 Full Sample Data File, 2009 Kindergarten Class 1998-99 (ECLS-K) National Center for Education Statistics U.S. Department of Education Conclusions Reached The academic cost of obesity varies by gender and academic subject. Obese girls and boys have significantly lower subject test scores than normal weight peers, especially in gender-specific academic strengths. Obese students from ethnic groups with a low obesity rate have significantly lower test scores than normal-weight same-group peers, which is not true for high obesity rate ethnic groups. The effects of diet and obesity on test scores are largely independent of one another. Self-concept is a mechanism by which obesity effects test scores. _______________________, Committee Chair Ta-chen Wang _______________________ Date iv ACKNOWLEDGMENTS Marisa A. Deziderio Larry L. Wade Joyce A. Wade Terrence L. Wade Dirk Unger Keith Plutchok Thomas Hanzo Doug Hoffman v TABLE OF CONTENTS Page Acknowledgments......................................................................................................... v List of Tables ............................................................................................................. vii Chapter 1. INTRODUCTION……………..………………………………………………… 1 2. LITERATURE REVIEW ........................................................................................4 3. DATA……………….. ......................................................................................... 16 4. EMPIRICAL METHODS ..................................................................................... 28 5. FINDINGS ............................................................................................................ 36 Instrumental Variable...................................................................................... 44 Random vs. Fixed Effects Discussion ............................................................ 53 Gender Differences ......................................................................................... 54 6. CONCLUSION ..................................................................................................... 65 Appendix A. Full Summary Statistics .................................................................... 72 Appendix B. Full Random Effects Cross-section, Grade 8 ..................................... 77 Appendix C. Full Random Effects Longitudinal, Grades 3 and 8 ............................82 Appendix D. Standardized Self-Concept Regression ...............................................86 Work Cited ................................................................................................................. 88 vi LIST OF TABLES Tables Page 1.1 Summary Statistics: Test Scores .......................................................................... 19 1.2 Summary Statistics: Body Mass Index ................................................................ 20 1.3 Correlation Matrix: Body Mass Index .................................................................. 21 1.4 Summary Statistics: Core Variables .................................................................... 23 1.5 Correlation Matrix: Six Variables ........................................................................ 27 2. Random Effects Cross-Section, Grade 8 ............................................................... 37 3. Two-Stage Least Squares IV Regression ............................................................... 45 4. Random Effects Longitudinal, Grades 3 and 8 ...................................................... 48 5. Random versus Fixed Effects ................................................................................ 53 6. Interactive Gender Variables Regressions ............................................................ 55 7. Coefficients on Interaction Terms between Race, Gender and Obesity ............... 58 8. Coefficients on Obese for Grade 3 Test Score Regressions ................................. 60 vii 1 Chapter 1 INTRODUCTION There has been a large increase in childhood obesity in the United States in recent years. According to the 2007–2008 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey, obesity among adolescents aged 12–19 moved from 5.0% in 1976 to 18.1% in 2008 (Ogden, 2010). Obese students are at risk for serious health problems, peer rejection, low selfesteem, and poor performance in school (Paxton 2005). This thesis considers the academic cost of obesity on standardized test performance at the middle and elementary school levels. Previous researchers used general measures of academic performance such as grade level attainment or grade point average. They observed students from kindergarten to twelfth-grade. Some researchers examined gender and race, others did not. All studies attempted to include valid control variables. In general, their results showed a negative correlation between obesity and academic performance, and were often stronger for girls than boys. One issue that has not been sufficiently explored is how weight categories, discrete academic subjects, and gender interact with one another. In fact, this is the first research that analyzes all three of these factors at the secondary education level. Apart from three studies, the previous literature lacks dependent variables which measure academic performance in different areas of study. Even those which do limit subject areas 2 to reading and math. This thesis further includes measurements in science scores. Apart from one study, previous researchers have failed to control for dietary factors in their models, even though over-consuming the unhealthy foods is at the heart of the obesity epidemic. This thesis controls for dietary factors. Previous researchers have speculated about psychosocial mechanisms that mediate between obesity and academic performance without including a self-esteem variable in their models. A self-concept variable is included here in several different cross-sectional and longitudinal models. This thesis asks two fundamental questions. First, do test scores vary across weight categories? Second, does the test score and weight category relationship vary by either academic subject or gender? Three secondary questions are also considered. First, do results change when the model is altered to address reverse causality? Second, do results vary by race? Third, does self-concept function as a mechanism which allows weight category to affect test score? The dataset used is the Early Childhood Longitudinal Study (ECLS 2009), which tracked a cohort of students from kindergarten to eighth-grade. This thesis uses the newly-released eighth-grade data, and also data from third-grade and kindergarten. The thoroughness of this federal study reduced the limitations of this thesis, which would have been greater with a different dataset. Data was lacking only for parent Body Mass Index (BMI), which prevented the use of this type of instrumental variable. This gave rise 3 to an instrument using kindergarten-entry BMI. ECLS is a hierarchical dataset with schools as a group variable, which led to the use of random-effects models. Results from the random-effects regressions show that the academic costs of obesity vary based on interactions between gender and subjects. That is to say significant negative relationships are found for obese girls and reading scores, and for obese boys and math and science scores. This is true for both cross-sectional and longitudinal models. The organization of the remainder of this thesis is as follows: review of the previous literature, data and summary statistics, empirical methods, findings and analysis, conclusion, appendices, and works cited. 4 Chapter 2 LITERATURE REVIEW This thesis depends to a large extent on earlier studies. The studies examined in this review date back to 1994 and fall into three categories. There are four studies which find no correlation between obesity and academic performance, six studies which find a correlation without examining gender or race, and five studies which find a correlation with aspects of gender or race. The only general consensus is that the relationship between obesity and academic performance warrants continued research. Three of the researchers who found no correlation cited control variables as the major reason for this. Among researchers not interested in gender or racial questions, disputes regarding the significance of obese or overweight status were confined to the ages of students, the dependent variable used, or the academic subject being measured. Gender researchers agreed that girls were at risk for poor educational outcomes. Sabia (2007) has asserted that there are four possible reasons for a negative relationship between obesity and academic performance. First, obesity could cause physical and psychological constraints on studying, including deficits of attention, motivation, or self-esteem. As a result, performance may suffer. Second, teachers and other students might discriminate against overweight students. Third, poor performance in school may cause students to compensate by overeating. Lastly, the correlation may be due to other factors that affect both, such as poverty. 5 The actual effect of these explanations remains unclear. Students who perform poorly in school may experience enough stress or depression that their appetite suffers, and they lose weight. Weight loss may be a result of an active, non-studious approach to adolescence. Weight gain may be a byproduct of the time constraints faced by serious, sedentary students putting in long hours. Kaestner and Grossman (2008) argue that while obesity may lead to social ostracism, fewer social relationships may provide more time for studying. Empirical studies reflect these unclear theoretical predictions. A number of researchers used the same dataset. Crosnoe and Muller (2004), Sabia (2007), and Okunade et al. (2009) all used the National Longitudinal Study of Adolescent Health (1995-2002). Both Kaestner and Grossman (2008), and Nsiah and Joshi (2009), used the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth (1997 cohort). Datar et al. (2006, 2004) and Wendt (2009) used the Early Childhood Longitudinal Study (1998-2009). The following four studies attest to the unclear connections between weight and academic performance. All four discuss the important effect of control variables within their models. Kaestner and Grossman (2008) examined the correlation between adolescent weight and highest grade completed, highest grade attended, and dropout status. After controlling for maternal characteristics, they found that educational attainment by overweight and obese teenagers is similar to that of their normal weight peers. Crosnoe and Muller (2004) found no effect for obesity on Grade Point Average for any groups after they controlled for previous accomplishment. 6 In a cross-sectional study of black, inner-city third and fourth graders in Philadelphia, Tershakovec et al. (1994) controlled for socioeconomic status. Thirty-five percent of the students were obese. They found no correlation between obesity and school performance. A correlation was found between obesity and abnormal scores on a child behavior and hyperactivity inventory completed by the parent. Researchers also found that obese children were twice as likely as normal-weight peers to be placed in remedial or special education classes, but it is unclear why. A student may have a genuine need for special education or remediation, which also results in obesity. For example, medications used to treat learning disabilities can lead to weight gain. However, it may be that placements reflect discrimination. In a study of children using U.S. data by Li et al. (2008), a correlation between Body Mass Index and academic performance was found to be insignificant after adjusting for family characteristics. However, BMI and cognitive functioning were negatively correlated at a statistically significant level after controlling for family characteristics, physical activity, television habits, social development, and blood pressure. “Cognitive functioning” is defined by a child’s scores on block design, which is a measure of visualspatial organization and general mental ability. The authors acknowledge that future research is needed to determine the nature and significance of this association. It may be that “academic performance” measures things which involve social learning, and for the block design there is no social learning. 7 Wendt (2009) has commented that while the link between obesity and educational outcomes may seem to evidence significant negative correlation across both crosssectional and longitudinal datasets, as well as across cultures, this correlation is sometimes weakened after controlling for socioeconomic status. Significant Correlation Six studies show that inquiry into the relationship between overweight status and academic performance has yielded less than uniform results. These researchers did not examine gender or race. Sigfusdotir (2006) conducted a study of Icelandic youths age 1415. The results show that after controlling for family, personal and dietary factors, a high BMI was generally correlated with lower educational achievement. Laitinen et al. (2002) followed a cohort of students for thirty-one years in Finland. They found that obesity at age 14 was correlated with low school performance at age 16, and with a low level of educational attainment at age 31. These two Nordic studies represent the most clear cut examples of a general negative correlation between weight and academic performance. It should be noted that these studies were conducted in nations with homogenous cultures and more equitable economies than the United States. In Thailand, Mo-suwan et al. (1999) showed that being overweight and becoming overweight during adolescence (grades 7-9) was associated with poor school performance, although this correlation did not exist for younger students (grades 3-6). Overweight students in grades 7-9 had a mean Grade Point Average 0.20 point lower 8 than that of normal weight students; they were also twice as likely as their normal-weight peers to have low grades (below a “C”) in mathematics and Thai language. The authors controlled for gender, age, grade-level and school. Students in grades 7-9 who became overweight over a two-year period had a mean GPA 0.48 point lower than students who did not become overweight. This study is unique in two respects. First, it is a weightperformance study in which the longitudinal results outweigh the cross-sectional results. Second, it shows a clear difference between older and younger students. Li (1994) used data from children ranging from age 6 to 13 in China, and showed obese students scored significantly lower than normal weight students on two different measures of IQ. The investigators controlled for education level of the parents and for medical issues. However, Duckworth (2011) suggests that IQ tests measure motivation as much as intelligence. She claims that IQ tests are unreliable because highly intelligent people may earn a low score if they are not motivated to go along with the social regime in which they exist. This is important given that motivation is a postulated mechanism by which obesity affects academic performance. In the United States, the research of Nsiah and Joshi (2009) on the academic costs of being overweight included three aspects. First, they sought to identify how the relationship between obesity and GPA differ in rural versus urban locales. Second, they explored the psychological aspects of obesity by comparing results for actual student weight versus self-perceived bodyweight. Finally, they used quantile regression to study 9 achievers of different levels. They found “rural” was a protective factor against the negative effects of obesity on academic performance. Another finding was that selfperceived overweight status had a stronger negative relationship than actual weight to academic success. This validates the notion that self-image plays a role in the weightperformance correlation. Finally, they found that low achievers were hit harder by obesity than middle or high achievers. The authors hypothesized that less value is placed on thinness in the countryside versus in the city; rural overweight students therefore suffer less from low self-esteem and poor performance. Wendt (2009) made use of academic subject test scores. She constructed fifthgrade cross-sectional and K-5 longitudinal mixed-effects models, which use both fixed and random effects. Coefficients are estimated using fixed effects, and variances are estimated using random effects. Thus, a school-level single intercept captured unobserved characteristics of each school. Similarly, a student-level single intercept captured unobserved characteristics of each student. In her cross-sectional model, overweight and obese fifth-graders scored significantly lower scores on math tests than normal-weight peers. Significant results for reading scores were limited to obese students, at the 10% level. Her longitudinal model examined how changes in weight status affected reading and math test scores. Students were placed into categories: remained normal weight, became overweight, became normal weight, and remained overweight. Students who became or remained overweight during the five-year period scored significantly lower in math than their remained normal weight peers. The author included statistically 10 significant control variables in her models that included reading habits, television habits, parental education and expectations, household movement, food insecurity, teacher experience, teacher turnover, and percentage of minority students. Gender All authors reviewed here who studied gender agreed that the negative effects of obese and overweight status on academic performance appeared strongest in girls. Israel and Ivanova (2002) wrote that overweight girls tend to report lower levels of self-esteem than do overweight boys. Pesa et al. (2000) wrote that overweight girls who experience discrepancies between their body image and cultural ideals may suffer lower self-esteem than overweight boys, who may not relate their physiques to self-esteem. They also wrote that after controlling for body image, they found no significant differences in self-esteem between overweight and normal weight adolescent girls. It is not clear at this time if obese girls encounter more discrimination than obese boys, or if this impacts self-esteem or motivation. There were five studies which found a correlation with aspects of gender. Falkner et al. (2001) studied seventh, ninth, and eleventh graders. Obese girls were 1.5 times more likely to be held back a grade compared to normal weight girls, but there was no significant effect for obese boys. The authors controlled for grade level, race, and socioeconomic status. Obese girls were significantly more likely than normal weight peers to report emotional problems, hopelessness, or a suicide attempt in the last year. 11 Obese boys were significantly more likely than normal weight peers to report serious problems, feel friends did not care about them, or expect to quit school. Obese girls and boys were both significantly less likely to hang out with friends in the last week versus normal weight peers, which is in line with the social ostracism theory of Kaestner and Grossman (2008). Datar et al. (2004) compared the math and reading test scores of normal and overweight boys and girls in kindergarten and first-grade. There were significant differences between the normal and overweight groups for both genders and both gradelevels, before controlling for socioeconomic and behavioral factors. After such controls, only overweight boys scored significantly lower in math than their normal weight peers in the kindergarten cross-section. There were no significant results in the longitudinal regression. The results indicated to the authors that overweight status was a marker for poor academic performance, not a causal factor. Datar et al. (2006) performed a longitudinal study on boys and girls between kindergarten-entry and the end of third grade. They examined the correlation between changes in overweight status and school outcomes, principally reading and math test scores. Among girls, changing from normal to overweight between kindergarten and third grade was correlated significantly with reductions in reading and math scores, selfcontrol, interpersonal skills, and effective approaches to learning, and with an increase in external behavior problems. Girls who were always overweight had significant increases 12 in internal behavior problems and grade repetition. Boys who became overweight had significant absences from school. The authors concluded that a change to overweight status during the first four years of school was a risk factor for adverse school outcomes among girls but not boys. The authors explain their results in part by gender differences in body dissatisfaction. They cite Phares (2004) and Wang (2005), who have documented that girls prefer to be leaner, while boys prefer to be heavier. Race Datar et al. (2004, 2006) found that while racial categories influenced test score, the effect of overweight status on test score was not significantly different across racial categories. In contrast, Sabia (2007) and Okunade et al. (2009) did find differences across race and gender. Sabia (2007) found a significant negative correlation between bodyweight and Grade Point Average for white girls and non-white boys aged 14-17. There was not significant correlation between bodyweight and GPA for white boys or non-white girls. Okunade et al. (2009) regressed a binary variable, on-time high school graduation, on BMI categories (obese, overweight, and normal weight). They controlled for individual, household, and community characteristics. They found no effect for overweight or obese boys on timely high school completion, but a significant negative effect for girls in both categories. They found obese Asian girls are 38% less likely to graduate on time, while overweight Asian girls are 14% less likely to do so. Obese 13 Hispanic girls were 17% less likely to finish on-time, while the overweight category was insignificant. On-time graduation was 9% less likely for overweight white girls, but results for obese white girls were insignificant. No significant results were found for Black girls. This kind of race-based obesity and academics research is new and inconclusive. Lowry et al. (2007) has written that, perhaps due to subculture attitudes, overweight black female adolescents do not show the declines in self-esteem that are seen in overweight white female adolescents. Their research on the self-esteem of overweight Hispanic female adolescents is mixed, and may be related to cultural assimilation. Literature Critique Two of the studies addressed concerns over reverse causality. For example, students may eat in response to poor performance. Sabia (2007), and Nsiah and Joshi (2009) employed parent obesity as an instrumental variable. It is not influenced by student performance, and is highly correlated with child obesity since obesity is half-genetic. However, this variable would be biased if it correlated with socioeconomic factors. The challenge of finding an appropriate instrumental variable to reduce endogeneity is considerable. In fact, none of the other writers cited in this review were able to do so. In this thesis, kindergarten-entry Body Mass Index data was used to create an instrumental variable. Eighth-grade subject tests were then regressed on the instrumented dummy variable, obese eighth-grade student. In this manner, test scores cannot influence BMI category. 14 Four of the studies controlled for school factors. Mo-suwan (1999) used a random sampling of schools and classrooms in Southern Thailand. Crusnoe and Muller (2004) used five school-level variables including socioeconomics, minority percentage, social involvement, sports participation, and romantic activity. Datar (2006) controlled for enrollment numbers, minority percentage, and change of schools. Wendt (2009) controlled for private schools, minority percentage, percent of students at grade-level nationally, and teacher turnover. Datar (2006) and Wednt (2009) also control for school factors by using schools as a group variable, as does this thesis. Four of the studies had methodological problems. Kaestner and Grossman (2008) acknowledged that, because only 5-10% of students actually repeated a grade or dropped out, their study lacked statistical power. The study by Tershakovec et al. (2004) consisted of only 104 students divided into two grades. The study by Li et al. (2008) did not control for parent cognitive ability, or for unobserved factors associated with the obese or control groups in their cross-sectional model. Although Sigfusdotir et al. (2006) used a student survey to obtain valuable diet data, the survey also asked students to self-report their height and weight, and their average grade in four subjects. Actual measurements and student records would have been more accurate and effective. Mo-suwan et al. (1999) used seven valid variables, including a dependent variable (GPA), a variable of interest (BMI), and five different socioeconomic variables. However, the model suffers from omitted variable bias and is published without F-test or R-squared results. 15 Literature Summary Models and findings varied. Some writers found no significant relationship between obesity and academic performance after adding control variables to their models. Other writers found this relationship remained after including numerous control variables in their cross-sectional and longitudinal models. The models featured a variety of dependent variables, including grade-level attainment, on-time graduation, lifetime educational attainment, grade point average, IQ tests, reading and math tests, and behavioral measures. The GPA model constructed by Nsiah and Joshi (2009) explained 13% of the variance using 15 explanatory variables, while the on-time graduation model by Okunade et al. (2009) explained 25% of the variance using 16 explanatory variables. In comparison, this thesis’ longitudinal test score model explained over 60% of the variance using 27 explanatory variables. Certain research findings stand out. First, Wendt (2009) found the obesity effect on fifth-grade test scores was greater in math than reading, in both cross-sectional and longitudinal models. Second, Nsiah and Joshi (2009) found that self-perceived overweight status had a stronger negative correlation with GPA than actual bodyweight. Finally, the results from Datar (2006), Falkner (2001) and Okunade (2009) showed that overweight girls were more likely than normal weight girls to have lower reading and math scores in third grade, to repeat grades at both the elementary and secondary levels, and to not graduate on-time. 16 Chapter 3 DATA The analysis uses data from the Early Childhood Longitudinal Study, begun in 1998. The study was sponsored by the U.S. Department of Education, and over 1500 American schools were involved. The ECLS followed a nationally representative cohort of children from kindergarten into middle school. Baseline kindergarten data was collected in the fall and spring of school year 1998-99. This process was repeated in first grade. Data collection was then limited to the spring semester only of third, fifth, and eighth grades. The survey gathered information on students’ academic performance, physical health and growth, social development, emotional well-being, family background, and the educational quality of their home environments. It collected information on the school services that students received, and the school programs in which they participated. It recorded ethnic and cultural differences, learning routines in the home, and family involvement at school (ECLS User’s Manual 1-4). The survey began with 21,260 students in kindergarten, of which about 10,000 remained by eighth grade. Measures of Academic Performance The dependent variables in this thesis are the test scores in three subjects: reading, math, and science. Test Score Statistics are summarized in Table 1.1. In the cross-sectional regressions, they take the form of eighth-grade standardized T-scores. This term means scores converted to a 0-96 point scale with a mean of 50 and a standard deviation of 10. 17 The highest rank attained by any student in the analysis was 84. This scale makes it easy to conceptualize the meaning of the coefficients, and to make comparisons across subjects. The T-scores were derived from Item Response Theory (IRT) scores. IRT scores are used as dependent variables in longitudinal regressions because they are more effective than T-scores for time-based analysis. The tests are a direct cognitive assessment of basic knowledge in three subjects. In reading and math, this knowledge can be arranged in a hierarchical fashion. For example, reading levels included: sight words, comprehension of words in context, literal inference, and evaluating complex syntax. Math levels included: sequence, division, fractions, and area and volume. IRT estimation procedures determine a student’s performance on the entire set of assessment questions, even though only a portion of these are administered to a particular student. IRT analyzes the student’s pattern of right, wrong, and omitted responses in conjunction with the difficulty of each test item, to place each student on a common ability scale. These are known as theta scores. It is then possible to estimate the score a student would have achieved if every item on every assessment form at every data collection point had been administered. The maximum possible scores on the IRT tests were 212 for reading, 174 for math, and 111 for science. IRT compensates for correct guesses by lower-ability students and for omitted responses if enough right and wrong responses establish a student’s pattern (other tests often score omitted as wrong). 18 This comprehensive process makes it efficient for researchers to analyze changes in student scores from one grade-level to the next. An excellent method of doing so is to use the eighth grade IRT scores as the dependent variable, while using the third grade IRT scores as a major explanatory variable, along with remaining explanatory variables. This accomplishes two things. First, this is the same as if the change between third and eighth grade scores was regressed on the remaining explanatory variables. Second, it controls for unobserved factors prior to third grade. Eighth-grade reading T-scores ranged from 26.24 to 78.91 on the 0-96 point scale with standard deviation of 10. Reading T-scores for girls had a higher mean average (52.40) than for boys (50.70). Math T-scores ranged from 24.17 to 74.82. Math T-scores for boys had a higher mean average (52.04) than for girls (50.84). Science T-scores ranged from 21.77 to 74.25. Science T-scores for boys had a higher mean average (52.35) than for girls (50.44). 19 TABLE 1.1 SUMMARY STATISTICS: TEST SCORE DEPENDENT VARIABLE obs. Reading T-score grade grade 3 Math T-score grade grade 3 Science T-score grade grade 3 Reading IRT score grade grade 3 Math IRT score grade grade 3 Science IRT score grade grade 3 8269 8 8 8 8 8 8 Reading T-score ave. Boys grade 8 Girls Math T-score ave. Boys grade 8 Girls Science T-score ave. Boys grade 8 Girls Reading IRT score mean ave. Boys grade 8 Girls 8 Boys grade 3 Girls 3 Math IRT score mean ave. Boys 8 Girls 8 Boys 3 Girls 3 Science IRT score mean ave. Boys 8 Girls 8 Boys 3 Girls 3 MEAN 51.55 51.69 51.44 51.70 51.40 51.74 171.44 129.61 142.61 101.29 84.96 51.92 MEAN 50.84 52.50 52.04 50.84 52.35 50.44 ST.DEV 9.81 9.57 9.65 9.61 9.57 9.78 27.36 27.76 21.76 24.35 15.90 15.12 ST.DEV 9.97 9.58 9.84 9.41 9.88 9.16 MIN MAX 26.24 78.91 12.99 83.59 24.17 74.82 14.98 83.72 21.77 74.25 18.89 81.30 85.62 208.9 51.61 200.75 66.17 172.2 34.56 166.25 28.21 107.9 17.68 95.37 OBESE NOT OBESE 48.91 51.44 49.32 53.08 50.71 53.23 47.95 51.22 51.36 53.28 47.27 51.21 169.01 173.86 127.36 131.86 28.63 25.80 28.40 26.92 163.44 164.28 123.82 126.48 170.51 175.65 128.27 132.88 143.83 141.39 103.88 98.69 22.05 21.39 25.02 23.37 139.55 135.06 100.12 94.52 144.99 142.57 104.86 99.48 86.34 83.57 53.70 50.13 16.07 15.61 15.37 14.65 83.65 78.28 52.20 47.04 87.08 84.56 54.10 50.71 Weight Category Weight Category Statistics are summarized in Table 1.2. The height and weight of each student was measured at each grade-level studied. A Shorr Board, accurate to a hundredth of a centimeter, was used to measure height. A digital scale, accurate to a 20 tenth of a kilogram, was used for weight. Each child was measured twice and the average was used. Body Mass Index (BMI) was constructed from height and weight measures. TABLE 1.2 SUMMARY STATISTICS: BODY MASS INDEX WEIGHT CATEGORY Cross-section NORMAL UNDERWEIGHT OVERWEIGHT OBESE Between Grades 3 and 8 NEVER OBESE BECAME OBESE NO LONGER OBESE ALWAYS OBESE Body Mass Index Grade 8 combined Boys Girls Body Mass Index, grade 3 Body Mass Index, Kinderg. Sample Size = 8274 PERCENT OF DISTRIBUTION Eighth grade 62.36 2.62 16.42 18.59 76.43 5.31 4.75 13.51 MEAN 22.81 22.71 22.91 18.64 16.30 ST.DEV 5.31 5.33 5.29 3.87 2.23 Kindergarten 68.56 4.20 14.85 12.39 MIN 9.95 10.57 9.95 8.5 7.91 MAX 56.22 51.49 56.22 38.72 31.94 For this thesis, the BMI figures were transformed into weight categories. The categories were constructed using the guidelines set forth by the Centers of Disease Control (CDC, 2000) using data from the previous two decades. BMI percentiles of 95 and above, 94-85, 84-5 and below 5 gave rise to the four weight categories used in the eighth-grade cross-sectional regressions: Obese, Overweight, Normal weight, and Underweight. The names of the percentile categories were suggested by the American Medical Association (AMA, 2007). Repeating this procedure with third-grade BMI data allowed longitudinal weight change categories (based on third and eighth grades weight 21 status) to be constructed. Using the 95th percentile data, these categories are known as: Never Obese, Became Obese, No Longer Obese, and Always Obese. Weight Category Percentages Although the CDC (2000) defined obesity to be the 95th percentile of BMI, far more than 5% of children meet the criteria today. The percentages in the sample reflect changes in society. In the cross-section, 62% of the eighth-grade students had Normal weight, 19% were Obese, 16% were Overweight, and 3% were Underweight. Among incoming kindergarteners, 69% were Normal, 12% were Obese, 15% were Overweight, and 4% were Underweight. In the weight change categories, 76% were Never Obese, 5% Became Obese by eighth-grade, 5% were No Longer Obese by eighth-grade, and 14% were Always Obese. Table 1.3 Correlation Matrix: Body Mass Index __________________ K-BMI 3-BMI Grade K-BMI 1.00 Grade 3-BMI 0.79 1.00 Grade 8-BMI 0.66 0.83 8-BMI_ 1.00 Third and eighth grades are slightly more correlated than kindergarten and third grade. Kindergarten BMI became a useful instrument for eighth-grade obesity. 22 Explanatory and Control Variables A large number of statistically-significant explanatory variables, and theoretical control variables were included in the regressions. This was due in no small part to the richness of the ECLS dataset. These variables fell into four major groups: (1) student traits (2) household characteristics, (3) diet and health variables, and (4) school-level variables. Table 1.4 summarizes the core group of seventeen variables used in both crosssectional and longitudinal models. The core student variables include kindergarten-entry BMI, gender (female), race, special education status, and hours of video games per weekday. Core household variables included region of residence, family income, mother’s education and parental educational expectations. Core diet and health variables included buying salty snacks at school, drinking milk, eating vegetables, eating fast food, activity-level compared to peers, preference for being alone, and self-concept. The core school-level variable was percentage of students receiving free lunch. Those variables which were used in either the cross-sectional or longitudinal model are summarized in – Appendix A. Eighteen variables were used only in the crosssectional model. Student variables included disabled status, hours of outside reading per week, and hours of television per weekday. Household variables were the mother’s age, type of parents, whether parent met teacher, and student grades as reported by parent. 23 TABLE 1.4 SUMMARY STATISTICS: CORE VARIABLES INTERVAL VARIABLES Female Self-concept Students w/free lunch % Special Education student Hrs video games per wkday MEAN 0.49 3.07 34.43 0.09 1.36 ST.DEV 0.50 0.69 25.25 0.28 1.99 MIN 0 0 0 0 0 CATEGORICAL VARIABLES Race, WHITE BLACK HISPANIC ASIAN HAWAIIAN/PACIFIC ISLANDER AMERINDIAN/ALASKA NATIVE MIXED RACE, NON-HISPANIC Family Income $10,000 OR LESS $10,001 TO $20,000 $20,001 TO $30,000 $30,001 TO $40,000 $40,001 TO $50,000 $50,001 TO $75,000 $75,001 TO $100,000 $100,001 TO $200,000 $200,001 OR MORE Mother’s Education level HIGH SCHOOL DIPLOMA/GED 8TH GRADE OR BELOW 9TH – 12TH GRADE VOC/TECH PROGRAM SOME COLLEGE BACHELOR’S DEGREE SOME GRADUATE WORK MASTER’S DEGREE DOCTORAL/PROFESS. DEGREE Parent expectations HIGH SCHOOL GRAD OR GED COMPLETE A 2-YEAR DEGREE ATTEND A UNIVERSITY BACHELOR’S DEGREE OBTAIN A MASTER’S DEGREE OBTAIN A PHD, MD, OR JD LESS THAN H.S. GRADUATION Region, NORTHEAST MIDWEST SOUTH WEST PERCENT OF DISTRIBUTION 60.96 10.30 17.51 5.70 1.14 2.13 2.25 MAX 1 4.19 95 1 12 OBS 8274 8214 6812 8274 8111 8274 7472 3.97 8.11 11.13 11.56 9.20 18.59 16.32 15.79 5.31 7472 22.99 4.30 5.13 5.41 29.72 19.37 3.08 7.38 2.62 Eighth grade 4.46 5.37 3.81 42.94 23.91 18.75 0.75 18.42 27.91 32.70 20.97 Third grade 7.46 12.48 NA 54.96 12.90 11.47 0.74 8271 7708 8274 24 Salty snacks at school DID NOT BUY LAST WEEK 1 OR 2 TIMES LAST WEEK 3 OR 4 TIMES LAST WEEK 1 TIME PER DAY 2 TIMES OR MORE PER DAY Milk consumed last week NO MILK PAST 7 DAYS 1-3 GLASSES PAST 7 DAYS 4-6 GLASSES PAST 7 DAYS 1 GLASS PER DAY 2 GLASSES PER DAY 3 GLASSES PER DAY 4 OR MORE GLASSES PER DAY Vegetables eaten last wk NO VEGETABLES LAST WEEK 1 TO 3 TIMES PAST 7 DAYS 4 TO 6 TIMES PAST 7 DAYS 1 TIME PER DAY 2 TIMES PER DAY 3 OR MORE TIMES PER DAY Fast Food eaten last week NO FAST FOOD PAST 7 DAYS 1-3 TIMES IN PAST 7 DAYS 4-6 TIMES IN PAST 7 DAYS 1 TIME PER DAY 2 TIMES PER DAY 3 TIMES PER DAY Activity Level vs. Peers LESS ACTIVE THAN PEERS ABOUT AS ACTIVE SLIGHTLY MORE ACTIVE A LOT MORE ACTIVE Prefers to be Alone NOT TRUE SOMEWHAT TRUE CERTAINLY TRUE 8271 61.35 27.89 5.48 3.54 1.74 Eighth grade 11.91 21.43 17.21 13.77 17.74 10.71 7.22 Fifth grade 10.47 17.18 16.23 13.45 16.35 11.92 14.23 8271 8090 8271 12.89 35.70 23.68 15.58 7.95 4.20 Eighth grade 30.44 54.87 8.35 3.44 2.91 NA Fifth grade 28.71 51.63 9.96 5.09 1.67 2.77 8271 8090 7472 11.90 44.27 25.47 18.35 7472 75.61 19.11 5.26 Diet and health variables included buying sweets at school, buying sugary drinks at school, eating green salad, eating carrots, eating fruits, household food shortage, general child health, days of exercise per week, unhappiness, and if the student had been bullied. Percentage of minority students was a school-level variable. 25 Nine variables were used only in the longitudinal model. Student variables include test scores at grade 3, weeknight television at grade 3, and hours of homework per week at grade 8. Household variables included type of parents at grade 3, parental educational expectations at grade 3, and number of siblings at grade 8. Diet variables included milk and fast-food consumption at grade 5. Student enrollment at grade 3 was a school-level variable. Observations The random sample was representative of the nation’s diversity, with 39% of students coming from minority groups. Fifty-five percent of families earned over $50,000 per year, although this data was not adjusted for family size. An average of 34% of students per school received a free lunch. These two statistics may seem incongruent, but simply reflect the extent of government programs. Parents were relatively well-educated, with 32% possessing a university degree. Parents had high expectations: 85% expected their child to earn a Bachelor’s degree or higher. Special education students comprised 9% of the sample. Many parents embrace this designation, because federally-funded special education programs provide more help for the student. Nearly 40% of students bought salty snacks at school if they had the option. Milk consumption was high, with 49% of students drinking one glass or more per day. Vegetable consumption was low, with only 28% of students eating one serving or more per day. Fast food consumption was strong, with 55% of students eating it at least once in the last week. 26 Self-Concept The Self-Concept Scale variable captures self-esteem. It is examined in a correlation matrix, is included as an independent variable in subject test score models, and is analyzed as a possible mechanism by which obesity affects subject test score. Drawn from the National Education Longitudinal Study of 1988, it asked children to indicate the degree to which they agreed with seven statements about themselves such as “I certainly feel useless at times” and “I feel I have much to be proud of.” The seven items were scored individually and then averaged to create the scale score. Scale scores ranged from zero to 4.19. The mean score was 3.07 with a standard deviation of 0.69. Cronbach’s coefficient (alpha = 0.79) was used to measure the internal reliability of the scores, which were consistent with the NELS (1988). Six Variables Correlation Matrix For Table 1.5, mother’s education, family income, and fast food consumption were converted to interval scales. It shows that self-concept is negatively correlated with obesity and fast food consumption, and positively correlated with mother’s education and family income. Obesity was negatively correlated with mother’s education, income, and fast food consumption, and positively correlated with the percentage of students receiving a free school lunch (a socioeconomic measure). Mother’s education was highly positively correlated with income, and negatively correlated with free lunch percentage and fast food consumption. Income was negatively correlated with free lunch percentage 27 and fast food consumption. Free lunch percentage and fast food consumption were positively correlated. The signs (positive or negative) on all the correlations were as expected. The correlation between obesity and self-concept was weaker than later regressions might lead one to believe. The correlation between the income and free lunch percentage (the two socioeconomic measures) was somewhat weaker than expected. Table 1.5 Correlation Matrix: Six Variables sc ob edu inc flunch ffood _________________________________________________________________ self-concept obese (dummy) 1.00 -0.11 1.00 mom’s education (yrs) 0.14 -0.15 1.00 family income 0.16 -0.16 0.51 1.00 free lunch % (ses) -0.08 0.14 -0.33 -0.42 1.00 fast food consump. -0.10 -0.04 -0.15 -0.19 0.17 1.00 28 Chapter 4 EMPIRICAL METHODS Theory From a theoretical standpoint, educators and health professionals are increasingly concerned that obesity and overweight status place physical and psychological limitations on students, which results in diminished academic performance. It appears likely that discrimination and the prevalence of obesity in the student’s environment contribute to such psychological limitations. However, this theory suffers from two problems. First, students who lack the motivation or intelligence to succeed academically may overreact to this by overeating. Second, an unobserved factor which causes inadequate academic performance may be correlated with obese but not normal weight students. This thesis asks if variance in test scores is due to interactions among weight, academic subjects, gender, race, and self-esteem. It also asks if test scores are more influenced by students, or by the schools they attend. Students differ in economic background and intelligence, while schools differ in leadership, instruction, social climate, and safety. A group variable from the dataset controls for such differences between schools. Measurements and observations from the ECLS make it possible to fit data to theory. Previous studies that used other datasets were needed to help suggest a sound 29 model. Initially, nearly 150 variables thought to possibly influence subject test scores were identified in the dataset. Some of these were composite variables created by the ECLS, while others were drawn directly from student, parent, and school administrator surveys. Variables not found to be statistically significant or strongly theoretically important were eliminated at different stages of the model specification process. For example, the student’s native language and the language spoken at home are not significant. It is not significant how many hours per week a student is involved in extracurricular school activities, or spends on the internet. At the parent-level, the mother’s working hours per week, and the parent’s opinion on the quality of their child’s schoolwork, are not significant. It is not significant whether a school is public or private, or whether it is on a year-round or traditional calendar. The process of sorting, cleaning, and testing data led to the summary of statistics and variables in Tables 1.1, 1.2, 1.4 and Appendix A. These variables maximized statistical significance of the models (Chi2 scores) while maintaining theoretical integrity. Endogeneity There are two types of endogeneity in particular which need to be considered in these models. Endogeneity can result from simultaneous causality between the independent and dependent variables in a model. Endogeneity also refers to an independent variable in the model which is correlated with unobserved factors captured in the error term. 30 Researchers reviewed earlier discussed the potential for endogenous models. Datar (2006) used a longitudinal model to control for unobserved factors which vary across students, while Nsiah (2009) used an instrumental variable to control for reverse causality. Sabia (2007) used a fixed-effects IV model which controlled for both. Sabia and Nsiah were the only writers to identify a useful instrumental variable. Both used overweight parent as the instrument, which was available in their datasets. Obesity is partly-genetic and partly-environmental, so an overweight parent establishes that conditions for student obesity existed prior to academic performance. Sabia has written that an overweight sibling is a better instrument because their genes and environment match the student’s more closely. Unfortunately, the ECLS does not include either parent or sibling BMI data. Attempts were made to find a proxy for overweight parent in the parent health survey, which might reliably predict student obesity. Potential IVs including general health status, diabetes, asthma, and other medical conditions were tried in successive two-stage least squares regressions. Only one variable, a student’s body mass index upon entering kindergarten, reliably predicted eighth-grade BMI. Although there was some concern that this variable may correlate with eighth-grade test scores, it was recognized that it is rare to find a perfect instrument. Therefore, the decision was made to use it to address potential reverse causality. Eighth-grade test score regressions were performed with an obese dummy as the instrumented variable and a kindergarten-entry weight 31 category variable as the instrument, using the same control variables. These results were then compared with eighth-grade scores regressed on eighth-grade weight categories. In the cross-sectional models, attempts to isolate the obesity effect on test scores are limited to controlling for all relevant variables within the dataset, and to the use of the instrumental variable. Therefore, it remains unclear if part of the obesity effect is due to an unobserved factor that causes both poor academic performance and obesity. Unobserved variables are common in human behavior and standardized test score models: intelligence, motivation, prejudices, values, the prevalence of obesity at the ethnic group or school level, and other unmeasured factors play an important role in student performance. There are five ways of dealing with this problem. First, it can be accepted as a limitation in the model, as in the case of the eighth-grade cross-sectional regressions described in Table 2. This may lead to systematic errors and biased coefficients. Second, the instrumental variable method discussed earlier could be used for any independent variable correlated with the error term due to relevant unobserved factors outside the model. Third, a before-and-after longitudinal model with entity effects can be used, which was the method chosen for this thesis. Essentially, unobserved factors which vary across students are controlled for by examining how changes in weight status affect test scores within the same individual. This controls for all unobserved factors within the individual which do not change over time. The fourth method is a multi-year longitudinal 32 model with time effects, which can additionally control for unobserved factors within the individual that do change over time. These models are an excellent way for future researchers to control for endogeneity. The final method is the Hausman test, which reduces endogeneity by identifying appropriate models. (Blundell, 2001) School Effects ECLS features a clustered sampling design, meaning students are clustered in schools. Although schools data appears as a group variable, it was uncertain whether ordinary least squares, random effects, or fixed effects was the appropriate analytic method. Detected variance across schools justified random or fixed effects, but the choice between the two was unclear without specification tests. A fixed effects model assumes a correlation between a school’s error term and predictor variables, while a random effects model assumes variation across schools is random and uncorrelated with predictor variables. Both models allow intercepts to vary across schools, but fixed effects models use an intercept for each entity, while random effects models use a single intercept. Both types of regressions were performed. Torres (2011) has described two scenarios that suggest random effects. The first is when it is reasonable to believe that differences across schools would influence test scores. Such differences were probable given that ECLS used a random sample of schools. The second is if variation across individuals is thought to be uncorrelated with predictor variables. In these models, for example, variation in individual intelligence is 33 thought to affect test score, but not to correlate with predictor variables. Crawley (1997) has written that intelligence is the dominant factor affecting test score, but it correlates poorly with family income. Datar et al. (2006, 2004) used a random effects model for ECLS hierarchical data obtained from a random sample of schools and students. They did not elaborate further on their decision to do so, nor did they report any problems with their model. One advantage of their decision is that fixed-effects models do not usually permit timeinvariant variables, a number of which were important controls in their model. The current analysis follows Datar et al. (2006, 2004). Tests Specific tests were performed to help identify the appropriate regression methods. Random effects were indicated over ordinary least squares when the Breusch-Pagan Lagrange Multiplier (LM) test rejected the null hypothesis that variance across the group variable (schools) was zero in all models (Prob>chi2 = 0.00). The OLS weight category coefficients were larger, but the random effects models explained greater variance (larger R-squares). The Hausman test has a null hypothesis of random effects, and an alternative hypothesis of fixed effects. It determines if the unique errors are correlated with the predictor variables. When applied to the models, the null hypothesis was not rejected (Prob>chi2 ranged from 0.169 to 0.438). Heteroskedasticity is examined by the Cook- 34 Weisberg test. The null hypothesis of constant variance was rejected in the longitudinal models, and robust standard errors were used (e.g. Prob>chi2 = 0.0144). Regression Formula The random effects academic performance equation is specified for the individual student i grouped into school g in both cross-sectional and longitudinal models: (Test scores)ig = β0 + β1 (Weight category)ig + β2 (Student characteristics)ig + β3 (Household characteristics)ig + β4 (Diet & health factors)ig + β5 (School factors)ig + αg + uig + εig α = school intercept u = between-school error ε = within-school error A single formula represents cross-sectional and longitudinal models because explanatory variables from both fall into the same five classifications. However, specific variables contained within each classification differ. The longitudinal model includes test scores and other variables from third-grade. The weight categories are another important difference, as described in the data section. Answering questions about weight, subjects, and gender consists of first performing eighth-grade cross-sectional test score regressions in reading, math, and science. Second, repeating these regressions using an instrumental variable, kindergarten weight categories. Third, longitudinal grades 3-8 test score regressions are performed. Finally, gender and race-based interactive variables are used in cross-sectional and 35 longitudinal regressions. Care was taken to construct theoretically sound models which do not inflate the coefficients for obesity or the R-squared. 36 Chapter 5 FINDINGS This section discusses the regression results of the random effects models used to investigate the relationship between student weight category and academic performance. Such categories were examined in cross-sectional and longitudinal regressions. In the cross-sectionals, Normal weight was the baseline measure, compared against Underweight, Overweight, and Obese. In the longitudinal regressions, Never Obese was the baseline measure, compared against Became Obese, No Longer Obese, and Always Obese. The initial sample of nearly 10,000 eighth-grade students was reduced to less than 5000 observations in the general regressions due to missing data for the large number of variables in the models. Cross-sectional Tables Table 2 shows the results of interest for the cross-sectional regressions in reading, math, and science. The full regressions are located in Appendix B. 37 TABLE 2: RANDOM EFFECTS CROSS-SECTION, GRADE 8 Significant at: +10%, *5%, **1%, ***0.1% Group variable: Schools _______________________________________________________________________ (1) (2) (3) READING T-SCORE MATH T-SCORE SCIENCE T-SCORE _______________________________________________________________________ C SE NORMAL WEIGHT UNDERWEIGHT 0.234 (0.608) -0.211 (0.608) -0.304 (0.590) OVERWEIGHT -0.314 (0.286) -0.361 (0.285) -0.105 (0.276) OBESE -1.581*** (0.328) -1.098*** (0.326) -0.944** (0.316) SPECIAL-ED FEMALE -4.562*** (0.416) -0.047 (0.218) -4.994*** (0.405) -3.025*** (0.217) -4.298***(0.391) -3.662***(0.211) RACE, WHITE BLACK HISPANIC ASIAN P.ISLANDER AMERINDIAN MIXED RACE -2.406*** -0.913* 0.702 -0.272 -1.043 0.463 -3.128*** -0.754* 2.037*** 0.008 -0.733 -0.434 (0.446) (0.361) (0.488) (1.053) (0.917) (0.675) -4.047***(0.432) -1.043** (0.349) 0.178 (0.473) -1.494 (1.017) -0.350 (0.882) -0.292 (0.655) K-ENTRY BMI DISABLED MOM AGE 0.063 (0.055) -1.191*** (0.322) 0.088*** (0.018) 0.010 (0.055) -1.173*** (0.320) 0.082*** (0.018) -0.042 (0.053) -1.019***(0.310) 0.093***(0.017) -1.472* -0.971* 0.281 1.064*** 2.286*** 0.703 1.870*** 2.188** -2.288***(0.567) -1.637***(0.469) 0.255 (0.432) 0.609* (0.268) 1.905***(0.328) 1.425* (0.610) 2.566***(0.446) 2.715***(0.697) (0.453) (0.364) (0.491) (1.067) (0.940) (0.680) MOM’S EDUCATION HS DIPLOMA GRADE 8/LESS -2.156*** GRADE 9-12 -1.249* VOC/TECH ED 0.406 SOME COLLEGE 0.564* BACHELORS 1.946*** GRAD WORK 2.219*** MASTERS 3.062*** DOCTORATE 2.729*** (0.591) (0.488) (0.447) (0.277) (0.339) (0.630) (0.461) (0.718) INCOME $40-50K $10K/LESS $10-20K $20-30K $30-40K $50-75K $75-200K $200K/MORE -3.031*** -1.675** -0.693 0.122 -0.221 0.339 0.832 HRS READ/WK HRS TV/WKDY HRS VID/WKDY 0.121*** (0.016) -0.152** (0.047) -0.248*** (0.057) (0.685) (0.526) (0.452) (0.428) (0.393) (0.389) (0.641) -1.642* -1.071* -0.667 0.753+ 0.605 0.862* 1.711** (0.585) (0.484) (0.445) (0.276) (0.338) (0.627) (0.459) (0.717) (0.679) (0.522) (0.449) (0.426) (0.391) (0.387) (1.020) -2.556***(0.659) -1.749***(0.505) -0.917* (0.437) 0.274 (0.413) 0.334 (0.379) 0.836* (0.375) 0.677 (0.989) 0.044** (0.016) -0.176*** (0.047) -0.199*** (0.057) 0.088***(0.015) -0.146** (0.045) -0.188***(0.055) 38 HEALTH & DIET VARIABLES________________________________________________ SNACKS AT SCHOOL, NONE 1-2 TIMES/WK -0.426 3-4 TIMES/WK 0.069 1 TIME/DAY -0.598 2+ TIMES/DAY -2.752** (0.274) (0.523) (0.660) (1.061) -0.167 0.051 -0.754 -1.900+ (0.273) (0.523) (0.659) (1.057) -0.647* 0.527 -1.202+ -1.599 SUGARY DRINKS AT SCHOOL, NONE 1-2 TIMES/WK -0.460 3-4 TIMES/WK -1.126* 1 TIME/DAY -0.058 2+ TIMES/DAY -1.333 (0.299) (0.544) (0.638) (1.059) -0.791** -1.784*** 0.225 -1.697 (0.298) (0.542) (0.637) (1.056) -0.988***(0.289) -1.735***(0.525) -1.355* (0.618) -2.380* (1.022) (0.369) (0.389) (0.413) (0.396) (0.443) (0.494) 0.647+ (0.357) 1.347***(0.377) 1.605***(0.400) 1.904***(0.384) 2.876***(0.429) 2.192***(0.478) MILK, NONE 1-3 GLASS/WK 4-6 GLASS/WK 1 GLASS/DAY 2 GLASS/DAY 3 GLASS/DAY 4+ GLASS/DAY 0.988** 2.113*** 1.802*** 2.277*** 2.971*** 2.382*** (0.370) (0.391) (0.414) (0.397) (0.445) (0.497) 1.228*** 2.028*** 2.380*** 2.486*** 3.104*** 1.915*** FAST FOOD, NONE 1-3 TIMES/WK -0.193 4-6 TIMES/WK -0.783+ 1 TIME/DAY -3.280*** 2+ TIMES/DAY -2.460*** (0.235) (0.425) (0.613) (0.690) 0.301 -0.250 -2.588*** -2.891*** (0.234) (0.423) (0.611) (0.685) CHILD HEALTH SCALE EXCELLENT VERY GOOD 0.054 GOOD 0.367 FAIR/POOR 0.269 (0.225) (0.338) (0.731) -0.032 0.539 0.421 (0.225) (0.336) (0.723) (0.264) (0.507) (0.640) (1.023) -0.215 (0.227) -1.196** (0.410) -3.010***(0.593) -3.611***(0.663) 0.224 0.395 0.561 (0.218) (0.326) (0.701) SELF-CONCEPT 0.807*** (0.161) 0.462** (0.160) 0.446** (0.155) FREE LUNCH% -0.024*** (0.007) -0.030*** (0.007) -0.023***(0.007) _cons 47.996 (1.635) 52.315 (1.162) 53.873 (1.569) _______________________________________________________________________ Obs 4938 4961 4971 Groups 1517 1518 1521 chi2 4000.401 4124.701 4322.387 r2_overall 0.492 0.486 0.504 r2_between 0.522 0.535 0.562 r2_within 0.380 0.389 0.370 rho 0.135 0.102 0.090 grp_min 1 1 1 grp_avg 3.255 3.268 3.268 grp_max 32 32 32 _______________________________________________________________________ Standard errors in parentheses. Significant at: +10%, *5%, **1%, ***0.1% 39 Results and Analysis When the cross-sectional weight categories were used as the explanatory variable, Obese students had lower reading scores than Normal weight students by 1.58 points of a standardized score. The math and science scores of Obese students were 1.01 points lower and 0.94 point lower, respectively, than Normal weight students. Reading and math scores were significant at 0.1%, and science was significant at 1%. There was no significant correlation between test scores and either Overweight or Underweight categories. Results for the Obese category remained significant after controlling for Kindergarten-entry BMI. This variable controls for all background factors which affect weight categories prior to a student entering kindergarten. Prior to this control, the subject test scores of Obese students were nearly a full percentage point higher in absolute value. In addition to BMI data, other student traits were controlled for in this thesis. Consistent with previous literature, gender played a role in test scores. Girls scored over 3 percentile points lower than boys in the quantitative subjects of math and science. Table 1.1 summary statistics show this pattern also. Hyde et al. (1990) have documented that math gender differences do not generally appear until after elementary school, which is in line with findings for fifth-grade students by Wendt (1990). Race was also a significant factor. Black students scored between 2.4 and 4.0 points lower than White students on subject tests. Hispanic students scored between 0.75 and 1.0 point lower than 40 White students on subject tests. Asian students scored 2 points higher than White students on math tests. Due to these results, race-based regressions were performed. Special Education students scored between 4.3 and 5.0 points lower than their peers on subject tests. This was not unexpected because this variable was a proxy for learning disabilities or intelligence (Crawley, 1997). Disabled students scored between 1.0 and 1.2 points lower than peers on subject tests. Neither of these significant abilityreducing variables are included in previous studies. The number of hours of reading per week was positively correlated with all subject test scores. Eight hours of reading per week, for example, was associated with a one percentile point increase in reading test scores. Wendt (2009) has written that number of hours of reading per week proxies for motivation, and has been overlooked by many researchers. This model controls for activities that compete with study time. The number of hours per weekday spent watching television was negatively correlated with all subject test scores. The same was true for the number of hours per weekday spent playing video games. Three hours of television per day is associated with a one-half point decrease in math test score. Two hours of video games per day is associated with a one-half point decrease in reading test score. Hancox et al. (2005) have used displacement theory to explain these associations. There were a number of important household variables which affected test scores in the cross-sectional regressions. The sample ages of the mothers (or primary female caregivers) when the child was in eighth-grade, ranged from 19 to 88 years. The age of 41 the mother was positively associated with all subject test scores. For example, a five year increase in a mother’s age was associated with a 0.5 point increase in science test score. Mother’s education was a strong predictor of test scores, and those who finished high school served as a baseline. Not having finished high school lowered child test scores by between 1.0 and 1.6 points. Not having begun high school lowered test scores by between 1.4 and 2.3 points. Having some college (but no degree) raised test scores by between 0.6 and 1.0 point. Having a bachelor’s degree raised scores by between 1.9 and 2.3 points. Having an advanced degree raised scores by between 1.9 and 3.1 points. The baseline measure for Family Income was $40,000-50,000 per year. Being in a family that earned less than $20,000 per year was negatively associated with all subject test scores, while being in a family earning $75,000-200,000 per year was positively associated with math and science test scores. Lower incomes (below $30,000) were disadvantageous to student test scores, and higher incomes (above $75,000) were advantageous. Dietary factors have often been omitted from previous research, despite the fact that they are integrally related to weight. It is likely that the nutritional content of student diets varies across the weight categories. Including diet variables in the models added effective controls which helped clarify the relationship between obesity and test score. The dataset presents specific dietary elements as separate variables, some of which were found to affect test score directly. All diet variables used a baseline of ‘none consumed.’ Consumption of salty snacks twice or more daily at school reduced reading test scores by 2.8 points, and math test scores by 1.9 points. Consumption of sugary drinks 3-4 times 42 per week at school reduced test scores by 1.1 points in reading, 1.8 points in math, and 1.7 points in science. Consumption of fast food once per day reduced test scores by 3.28 points in reading, 2.59 points in math, and 3.01 points in science. These impacts were at least as large as estimates for the impact of obesity on test scores, and may exacerbate the overall impact of food choices and obesity on academic performance. The consumption of 3 glasses of milk per day increased test scores by 3.0 points in reading, 3.1 points in math, and 2.9 points in science. In fact, coefficients for milk consumption were significant for all subjects at every level above the baseline. Eating vegetables once or twice per day was associated with a 0.9 to 1.2 point increase in math test score (see Appendix B). Specific dietary elements were influential, but did not relegate obesity to the status of a mere marker for diet. Even with these covariates, obesity has an additional negative impact on test scores. The independence of the diet and obesity effects remains a question. Removing diet variables from these regressions does not increase the coefficients for obese. However, removing the diet variables salty snacks, sugary drinks, and milk from smaller regressions which also included weight category, gender, race, mother’s education, family income and Kindergarten BMI, resulted in an increase in the coefficients for obese. In either case, the effect of obesity on test scores appears to be more than malnutrition, which suggests other factors are at work. 43 It is natural to think that poor general health could hurt academic performance. Pain, discomfort, and lack of energy distract from the educational process. Nsiah and Joshi (2009) found that health significantly affected GPA, and slightly decreased the overweight coefficient when included in their model. They concluded that the effects of being overweight on academic performance are not limited to weight-related health issues, but may include psychological issues. In this thesis, general health status was not significant. However, it is unclear if this parent-reported scale was valid because selection categories did not have descriptive criteria. Specific health components such as exercise and positive self-concept require consideration. Exercise has been positively correlated with test scores for elementary grades using the ECLS (Datar 2004, 2006; Wendt, 2009), but analysis of the eighth-grade data found it was negatively correlated with reading and science test scores (see Appendix B). This may be the result of a trade-off between athletics and academics. The self-concept scale was positively and significantly associated with all subject test scores. An increase of 1.0 on the scale (range 0-4.19) was associated with a 0.8 percentage point increase in reading test scores. Including self-concept in the model slightly decreased obese category coefficients. This suggests that the means by which obesity affects test scores is not limited to self-esteem, but may include other factors. The group variable (grade 8 schools) showed significant variation and had a strong effect on test scores. Additionally, two school-level variables emerged as 44 significant controls. The percentage of students who received a free lunch (a socioeconomic measure) was negatively associated with all subject test scores (0.1% significance level). The percentage of minority students was significant in two instances, when compared to a baseline of less than 10% minority students. Seventy-five percent or more minority students was negatively associated with reading test scores, while 10% or more minority students was negatively associated with science test scores (Appendix B). Goodness of Fit Each of the cross-sectional test score regressions had joint significance according to Chi2 tests, which ranged from 4000 to 4322. The average number of students was 4961, the average number of schools was 1518, and the average number of observed students per school was just over 3.3. Within-school R-squared ranged from 0.37 to 0.39, betweenschool R-squared ranged from 0.52 to 0.56, and overall R-squared averaged near 0.50. Rho, the share of the variation in the overall error due to the individual effect, ranged from 0.09 to 0.14. Although this model used a comprehensive set of control variables, cross-sectional estimates may still be biased due to unobserved differences between obese and normal weight students. Instrumental Variable Table 3 shows the results of two-stage least squares regressions using kindergarten-entry weight categories as the instrument for the instrumented dummy variable Obese. Eighthgrade test scores remained as dependent variables. This strategy removes much of the 45 influence of academic performance on weight category. Obese category students had lower eighth-grade reading scores by 2.91 standardized points than the Normal weight category. Obese category students had lower eighth-grade math scores by 2.94 points, and lower eighth-grade science scores by 2.71 points. TABLE 3: TWO-STAGE LEAST SQUARES IV REGRESSION INSRTUMENTED: OBESE DUMMY INSTRUMENT: KINDERGARTEN BMI CATEGORIES DEPENDENT VAR: GRD8 TEST SCORES Reading (SE) Math (SE) Science (SE) Obese: Vs. Normal BMI Category baseline -2.906* -2.943** -2.706* (1.137) (1.116) (1.080) Obs chi2 r2 3985 3769 0.486 4140 3955 0.487 4146 4171 0.500 Significant at: *5%,**1% Contact the author for full results. The coefficients for the Obese category in the IV model were stronger than the coefficients for the Obese category in the random effects cross-section discussed earlier. This difference could be the result of an added control: the random effects model has a group variable (schools), while the two-stage least squares model does not. There was a concern that in the random effects model student weight gain may have been caused by poor performance in school, due to eating in response to failure. The IV model shows that obese students entering kindergarten, long before they are 46 obese eighth-graders, had lower eighth-grade scores than peers. While performanceinduced eating remains possible, these results reduce the concern that most or all of the association between obesity and performance is due to reactive eating. Results for control variables in both IV and random effects regressions were similar. Certain findings from the cross-sectional results stand out. First, being obese in the eighth-grade model was negatively associated with all subject test scores to a significant degree, while being overweight or underweight was not. Second, it appears unlikely that coefficients for obese in the eighth-grade model are deeply affected by reverse causality, as demonstrated by the Instrumental Variable model. Finally, because the obesity effect on test scores was not reduced after adding diet and general health control variables, but was reduced after adding the self-concept variable, psychosocial factors may be involved. Longitudinal Estimates There are differences between the cross-sectional and longitudinal approaches. The cross-sectional model allows us to examine the full range of weight categories. In fact, the results of the cross-sectional estimates contributed to the decision to set the weight status change threshold at the 95th percentile for obesity in the longitudinal model. However, cross-sectional estimates can suffer from bias due to unobserved factors. Longitudinal estimates provide valuable insight into how changes in weight status within the individual affect test scores, while controlling for time-invariant 47 unobserved factors. Table 4 shows results of interest for longitudinal random effects regressions, full regressions can be found in – Appendix C. Robust standard errors are used here due to heteroskedasticity. The longitudinal model here does not require time effects, although school effects are an important factor in the model. 48 TABLE 4: RANDOM EFFECTS LONGTITUDINAL, GRADES 3 AND 8 Significant at: +10%, *5%, **1%, ***0.1%________________________ GRADE 8 IRT SCALED SCORES GRD 3 SCORES READING MATH SCIENCE (1) READING (2) MATH___________ (3) SCIENCE____ 0.513*** (0.012) 0.546*** (0.011) 0.522*** (0.013) WEIGHT CHANGE OBESE: NEVER baseline BECAME -2.577* NO LONGER 0.514 ALWAYS -2.143* (1.282) (1.156) (1.046) -1.268 0.663 0.131 (0.920) (0.887) (0.722) -1.084 -0.608 -1.241* FEMALE GRD8 HW/WK GRD3 TV/WKNT (0.521) (0.027) (0.303) -0.364 0.051** 0.236 (0.365) (0.018) (0.226) -1.699*** (0.297) 0.041** (0.015) 0.573*** (0.171) (1.016) (3.434) (0.837) (2.254) (2.089) (2.030) -1.181+ -0.411 -1.419* -1.555 -2.187+ -0.445 (0.705) (2.462) (0.585) (1.405) (1.298) (1.401) -0.154 -1.136 0.463 -0.397 -3.465*** -0.169 (0.525) (1.633) (0.442) (1.162) (0.996) (1.182) (2.086) (1.718) (1.249) (0.692) (0.742) (1.290) (0.974) (1.367) -1.281 -1.153 1.136 1.285* 2.312*** 3.091*** 1.244+ 2.244* (1.285) (1.143) (0.900) (0.500) (0.559) (0.862) (0.739) (0.995) -1.838 -3.053** 1.012+ 0.068 1.290** 1.829** 1.392** 1.153+ (1.143) (0.936) (0.609) (0.388) (0.425) (0.678) (0.521) (0.686) 1.728* 2.033** 1.757* 1.631* (0.732) (0.678) (0.751) (0.742) GRD 3 PARENT MOM/DAD MOM/STEPDAD DAD/STEPMOM MOM ONLY DAD ONLY ADOPTED RELATIVE 0.897+ 0.067* 0.900** -2.234* -4.189 -0.044 -0.774 -4.190* 2.230 EDUCATION/MOM HS DIPLOMA GRADE 8/LESS -3.798+ GRADE 9-12 -5.265** VOC/TECH ED 0.110 SOME COLLEGE 0.320 BACHELORS 2.158** GRADE WORK 2.781* MASTERS 3.255*** DOCTORATE 2.457+ GRD 3 EDU.EXPECTATIONS HS DIPLOMA 2-YR DEGREE 2.804+ 4-YR DEGREE 3.123* MASTERS 3.368* MD, JD, PHD 3.846** (1.465) (1.330) (1.500) (1.481) 1.869+ 2.542** 2.039+ 2.778* (1.026) (0.978) (1.068) (1.096) (0.708) (0.685) (0.548) 49 DIET, HEALTH AND SCHOOL VARIABLES______________________________________ GRD 5 MILK, NONE 1-3 GLASS/WK 2.345* 4-6 GLASS/WK 3.402** 1 GLASS/DAY 1.203 2 GLASS/DAY 2.514* 3 GLASS/DAY 1.426 4+ GLASS/DAY 1.621 (1.076) (1.120) (1.196) (1.096) (1.116) (1.185) 1.144 0.836 0.165 0.585 1.724* 1.365 (0.746) (0.773) (0.818) (0.743) (0.801) (0.838) 1.108+ 1.304* 0.579 1.616** 1.717** 1.554* (0.591) (0.586) (0.615) (0.593) (0.617) (0.609) GRD 8 VEGETABLES, NONE 1-3 TIMES/WK 2.311* 4-6 TIMES/WK 2.673** 1 TIME/DAY 2.741** 2 TIMES/DAY 2.777* 3+ TIMES/DAY 1.331 (0.949) (0.974) (1.012) (1.113) (1.511) 0.284 0.786 0.599 0.283 -2.379* (0.669) (0.682) (0.748) (0.842) (1.130) 0.991+ 1.459** 0.824 0.960 -1.093 (0.530) (0.532) (0.557) (0.621) (0.878) GRD 5 FAST FOOD, NONE 1-3 TIMES/WK 0.175 4-6 TIMES/WK -1.159 1 TIME/DAY -5.634*** 2 TIMES/DAY -4.860+ 3+ TIMES/DAY -4.412* (0.598) (0.952) (1.470) (2.731) (1.798) -0.291 -1.790** -2.993** -2.448 -3.884** (0.386) (0.663) (0.998) (1.994) (1.437) -0.207 -1.543** -1.743* -0.375 -1.248 (0.304) (0.530) (0.756) (1.533) (1.087) SELF-CONCEPT 1.299** (0.399) G3.FREE.LUNCH% -0.055*** (0.015) 0.843** (0.291) -0.041*** (0.010) 0.605** (0.226) -0.036*** (0.008) GRD 3 STUDENT ENROLLMENT 20/LESS 21-40 -1.775 (1.277) 41-60 -1.561 (1.288) 61-80 -3.105* (1.421) 81-100 -3.410* (1.421) 101-120 -4.204** (1.508) 121-140 -4.852** (1.820) 141-160 -1.300 (2.083) 161-180 -2.105 (1.780) 180/MORE -2.586 (2.233) -1.242 -1.052 -2.632** -1.246 -1.221 -1.608 -3.000* -2.678+ -2.031 -0.553 -0.132 -0.744 -1.109 -0.047 -1.901* -1.395 -1.329 -0.395 Constant 82.378*** (3.184) 95.847*** (4.643) Obs 4829.0 4876.0 Groups 1421.0 1431.0 chi2 29128.078 70852.983 r2_overall 0.607 0.668 r2_between 0.623 0.704 r2_within 0.514 0.604 rho 0.198 0.134 Robust Standard errors in parentheses (1.059) (0.992) (1.019) (1.044) (1.076) (1.248) (1.339) (1.484) (1.526) (0.639) (0.611) (0.661) (0.675) (0.740) (0.860) (1.228) (1.138) (1.143) 54.980*** (2.259) 4888.0 1435.0 39631.998 0.622 0.668 0.518 0.131___________ 50 When the longitudinal weight categories are used as the explanatory variable, the results show greater variation across academic subjects than in the general cross-sectional regressions. This may be the result of controlling for unobserved factors in the longitudinal models. Students who Became Obese had lower reading scores than Never Obese students by 2.58 points of a scaled score (5% significance level). The reading scores of Always Obese students were 2.14 points lower (5% significance) than those of Never Obese students. A t-test showed no significant difference between the coefficients for Became Obese and Always Obese. Always Obese students had lower science scores than Never Obese students by 1.24 points (5% significance), while math scores were not significant in the general regressions. It should be noted that the subject test scores of No Longer Obese and Never Obese students were not significantly different, because it suggests that the obesity effect on test scores may be reversible. Significant Explanatory Variables In both longitudinal and cross-sectional models, coefficients for the following variables were significant and negatively associated with test scores: being a girl (for science), being black (all subjects), special education status (all subjects), hours of video games per weekday (math and science), fast food once or more per day (all subjects), students more active than baseline peers (reading and science), and percentage of students receiving free lunch (all subjects). In both models, coefficients for the following variables were significant and positively associated with all subject test scores: mothers with bachelor’s 51 or advanced degree, parents who expect a bachelor’s degree or higher from their child, two or three glasses of milk per day, students who ‘somewhat’ preferred to be alone, and self-concept. Including self-concept in the longitudinal model again slightly decreased obese category coefficients. Some significant results were found only in the longitudinal models. Being a girl was positively associated with reading scores. Hours per week of eighth-grade homework was positively associated with all subject test scores. Negative associations were found between test scores and third-grade students with a single mother (math), a stepfather (reading and math), or adoptive parents (all subjects). Being an eighth-grader with one or two siblings was positively associated with math scores, while having two or three siblings was positively associated with reading scores. This may be because some siblings help with homework. Test scores were influenced by the educational expectations of the parents of third-grade students. In fact, all levels of expectation above the baseline high school diploma were positively associated with all subject test scores. Weeknight television for third-graders (limited to three hours per night) was positively associated with reading and science test scores. This may be due to educational programming or social interaction with parents. Significant Health and School Variables One to six glasses of milk per week in fifth grade was positively associated with reading and science scores, while consuming fast food once per day in fifth grade was negatively 52 associated with all subject test scores. Eating vegetables one to six times per week was positively associated with reading and science scores. Removing diet variables from the longitudinal regressions does not increase the coefficients for obese. The third-grade enrollment variable describes the total number of third-graders at the school, but also suggests the size of the entire elementary school. Levels of between 61 and 140 students were negatively associated with reading scores. Goodness of Fit Each of the longitudinal test score regressions had joint significance according to a Chi2 test. The Chi2 scores were high, ranging from 29,128 to 70,852. Rho ranged from 0.13 to 0.20. Within-school R-squared ranged from 0.51 to 0.60, between-school R-squared ranged from 0.62 to 0.70, and overall R-squared ranged from 0.61 to 0.67. These measures were stronger than in the cross-sectional regressions. School differences explained much of the variance, but it is unknown which school characteristics contributed to this effect. Teachers may have done an outstanding job, or the school may simply have been in the right neighborhood. Longitudinal models eliminated the influence of those unobserved factors which varied across students, but were constant within students. However, they were unable to control for unobserved factors which may have changed within a student. 53 Random vs. Fixed Effects Discussion Although the Hausman test favored random effects, there was concern that the small number of observations in some schools (less than 10 students) may have biased fixed effects estimates. These schools were dropped from the fixed effects analysis. Obese, Became Obese and Always Obese are the familiar cross-sectional and longitudinal categories whose coefficients are compared in fixed and random effects estimates. Table 5 Random versus Fixed Effects Significant at: +10%,*5%,**1%,***0.1% Cross-section max=96 Category Reading obs Math obs Science obs RANDOM Obese -1.58*** 4938 -1.10*** 4961 -0.94** 4971 Cross FIXED Obese -1.72*** 2307 -0.79+ 2323 -0.74 2330 Cross RANDOM Became OB -2.58* 4829 -1.27 4876 -1.08 4888 Long. Always OB -2.14* 0.13 -1.24* FIXED Became OB -1.48 2301 -2.23+ 2328 -1.79 2334 Long. Always OB -2.32 -0.23 -1.50+ Max longitude 212 174 111 score Fixed effects: Obs per school >=10. Category size% is unchanged. Significance of coefficients is affected by sample and category size. The fixed effects estimation generally supports conclusions drawn earlier from the random effects estimation. The fixed effects estimation does not differ dramatically from the random effects estimation, but there are subtle differences. The Obese coefficient for cross-sectional reading scores, and the Became Obese coefficient for longitudinal math scores, are stronger in the fixed effects estimation. Results for other significant coefficients favor random effects. 54 Gender Differences Gender differences in academic subjects play an important role, along with other factors, in explaining the obesity effect. The Test Score Summary Statistics presented earlier in Table 1.1 show mean T-score differentials for girls and boys. Girls are superior in reading by 1.70 standardized points, while boys are superior in math by 1.20 points, and in science by 1.91 points. Such statistics are typical in the literature. Machin and Pekkarinen (2008) studied reading and math test scores from 15-year-old girls and boys in 41 industrialized nations; and found that mean differences in reading scores favored girls in all nations, while mean differences in math scores favored boys in 35 nations. Mead (2006) cites “The Nation’s Report Card,” which reported that eighth-grade gender gaps favored girls in reading, and boys in math and science. Gender-based versions of the earlier regressions that feature interactive variables are therefore necessary to reach a full conclusion. Table 6 follows. 55 Table 6 Interactive Gender Variables Regressions Grade 8 Cross-section (Standard errors) Coefficients Female Read. T-scores Math T-scores Sci T-scores 0.14 (0.26) -3.29*** (0.26) -3.76*** (0.26) Obese (boys) -0.89* (0.41) -1.39*** (0.39) -0.83* (0.39) female*obesity -1.38** (0.53) 0.78 (0.52) -0.29 (0.51) Difference between Obese and Normal girls obs schools R-sq chi2 -2.27***(0.46) -0.61 (0.45) -1.12* (0.44) 3985 1342 0.49 3211 4004 1344 0.49 3419 4010 1346 0.50 3538 Read IRT score Math IRT scores Sci IRT scores (0.55) -0.45 (0.38) -1.72*** (0.30) 3-8 Longitudinal Female 1.04+ Became OB,boys -2.06 (1.61) -1.77 (1.20) -1.25 (0.84) Fem*Became OB -1.31 (2.51) 1.03 (1.81) 0.52 (1.46) Always OB,boys -1.95 (1.21) -0.13 (0.81) -1.12+ (0.64) Fem*Always OB -0.74 (1.54) 0.26 (1.09) 0.03 (0.85) Became OB vs. AN (girls) -3.37+ (1.97) -0.75 (1.37) -0.73 (1.19) Always OB vs. AN (girls) -2.69* (1.35) 0.13 (0.95) -1.08 (0.71) obs schools R-sq chi2 AN=always normal 4829 1421 0.51 29131 4876 4888 1431 1435 0.67 0.52 71158 39795 Significant at: +10%, *5%, **1%, ***0.1% 56 The table above shows results from gender interaction regressions for both crosssectional and longitudinal models. The coefficient for female is positive for reading scores, and negative for math and science scores, in both grade 8 and grades 3-8 models. It is significant for reading scores in the grades 3-8 model. Prior to adding control variables, it was also strongly significant for reading scores in the grade 8 model. It is negative and significant for science scores in both models, but is negative and significant for math scores only in the grade 8 cross-section model. A pattern related to gender differences and the obesity effect unfolds from here. Reading scores for Obese girls are 2.27 standardized points lower than normal weight girls in the cross-section (0.1% significance). Reading scores for girls who Became Obese or were Always Obese are 3.37 scaled points lower or 2.69 scaled points lower respectively, than Never Obese girls in the grades 3-8 model. However, Obese boys have reading scores which are 0.89 standardized points lower than normal boys in the crosssection (5% significance). This was less significant than obese girls’ reading scores. Math scores for Obese boys are 1.39 standardized points lower than normal weight boys in the cross-section (0.1% significance). There are no significant results for the grades 3-8 math regression. Science scores for Obese boys were 0.83 standardized points lower than normal weight boys (5% significance). Science scores for boys who were Always Obese are 1.12 scaled points lower than for boys who were Never Obese in 57 the grades 3-8 model. Additionally, Obese girls had science scores that were 1.12 standardized points lower than normal girls in the cross-section. Only obese girls have significantly lower reading scores in both cross-sectional and longitudinal models. Only obese boys have significantly lower math scores in the cross-sectional model. Longitudinal results for obese boys in science are stronger than for obese girls, but the reverse is true for cross-sectional results. Therefore, there is some evidence that the performance of obese students suffers most during competition against same-gender peers in a gender’s academic strength. Essentially, obese girls and boys from the sample could not keep pace with normal weight same-gender peers who were operating at their best. This is an important part of the obesity effect, but not the only one. Datar et al. (2006, 2004) are the only researchers who have looked at the specific issues investigated here, albeit at the elementary education level. They found overweight kindergarten boys had lower math scores, and girls who became overweight between kindergarten and third-grade had lower reading and math scores, than peers. The Datar studies used the same dataset as this thesis; and the collective results of all suggest that gender differences and academic strengths change over time, and play a prominent role in the obesity effect on test scores. 58 Table 7 Coefficients on Interaction Terms between Race, Gender and Obesity T-scores Groups Reading Asian Hispanic Black White Obese girls Coef t-stat -3.93* (-1.97) -1.81+ (-1.95) -1.97+ (-1.80) -2.34*** (-3.92) Obese boys Coef t-stat -2.53 (-1.40) -0.41 (-0.52) -1.40 (-1.01) -0.74 (-1.50) Math Asian Hispanic Black White -4.30* -1.21 0.19 0.14 -3.16+ -0.64 -1.70 -1.05* (-1.78) (-0.82) (-1.25) (-2.16) Asian -3.60+ (-1.87) -1.91 Hispanic -1.33 (-1.49) -0.24 Black 0.71 (0.68) 0.33 White -1.13+ (-1.94) -0.83+ Significant at: +10%, *5%, **1%, ***0.1% (1.10) (-0.31) (0.25) (-1.74) (-2.18) (-1.34) (-0.18) (0.24) Science Cross-sectional regressions using interactive gender and ethnic variables were performed. Coefficients on the interaction terms are presented in Table 7. The standardized T-scores of obese students from specific ethnic-gender groups were compared with normal weight students from the same group. The results show that the significantly lower reading scores of obese girls extend across all examined racial groups. Obese Asian girls had significantly lower math scores, a noteworthy result given that no significant results were found for the math scores of obese girls in either the cross-sectional or longitudinal gender regressions examined earlier. The science scores of obese Asian and white girls were significantly lower than those of their peers. 59 Significant results for obese boys were limited to math and science. The math scores of obese Asian boys, and the math and science scores of obese white boys, were significantly lower than those of their peers. These results may be related to obesity prevalence within each group. Obesity rates in the sample were 14.8 percent for Asians, 15.5 percent for whites, 25.4 percent for blacks, and 26.0 percent for Hispanics. For example, the significant results for obese Asian girls in all subjects, and the lack of significant results in math and science for obese black and Hispanic girls, may reflect group obesity rates. The same may be true for the lack of significant results for obese black and Hispanic boys. Obese students from groups with lower rates of obesity may be more negatively impacted by discrimination. Obese students from groups with higher rates may be more protected from adverse discrimination. Discrimination has been postulated by many writers as an integral part of the psychosocial mechanism negatively impacting test scores. Time Lapse Effect One question that arose was: does the effect of obesity get bigger or smaller as students get older? Table 7 shows the obesity effect for multivariate random effects crosssectional regressions on third-grade reading, math and science test scores. 60 Table 8 Coefficients on Obese for Grade 3 Test Score Regressions Grade 3 Overall Test Scores C SE Reading -0.571+ (0.35) Math -0.719+ (0.37) Science 0.150 (0.36) Obs 4050 Negative and Significant Boys R2 0.47 0.42 0.48 C SE -0.190 (0.49) -0.868+ (0.50) 0.994 (0.84) 2455 at: +10%, *5% Girls C SE -1.139* (0.53) -0.567 (0.56) -0.979+ (0.55) 2443 These results, when compared with those from Table 2, show that the obesity effect increased when students progressed from third grade to eighth grade. They show that obese third-grade students scored 0.57 points lower on reading tests, and 0.72 points lower on math tests, than normal weight students. Obese girls scored 1.14 points lower on reading tests, and 0.98 points lower on science tests, than normal weight girls. Obese boys scored 0.87 points lower on math tests than normal weight boys. These coefficients have a lower absolute value than similar categories from the eighth- grade cross-sectional model. A dynamic seen earlier is repeated here: significant results for obese girls in reading and for obese boys in math. This pattern again involves academic strengths. Third-grade girls’ mean T-scores for reading outpace boys 52.48 to 50.89. Third-grade boys’ mean T-scores for math outpace girls 52.69 to 50.70. The third-grade test score model featured the group variable Grade 3 Schools, and the same four weight categories as the eighth-grade cross-section model: Normal, Underweight, Overweight, and Obese. The model controlled for Kindergarten-entry BMI. It used six of the time-invariant variables used earlier: Gender, Race, Region, 61 Mother’s Education, Family Income, and Self-concept. Also, the model used sixteen grade 3 variables: Food Shortage, Mother’s Age, Siblings under 18, Type of Parents, grade 3 Enrollment, Minority Percentage, Free Lunch Percentage, Attention- level, Educational Expectations, Reading with Parents, Hours of Weeknight TV, Hours on Homework per week, Activity-level, General Health, and Days of Exercise per week. Obesity and Self-Concept A negative relationship between obesity and self-concept was first noticed in the Correlation Matrix. Self-concept was also found to have a positive and significant effect on test scores in all subjects. Furthermore, writers Nsiah and Joshi (2009), Sabia (2007), Kaestner and Grossman (2008) and Datar et al. (2006) have all discussed possible psychosocial mechanisms through which obesity might affect academic performance. Additionally, Pesa et al. (2000) and Lowry et al. (2007) found negative associations between overweight status and self-image. Finally, Paxton (2005) found that the scores of obese students on the Piers-Harris Child Self-Concept Scale were significantly lower than those of normal weight peers. Because of these facts, self-concept was regressed on weight category using a multivariate ordinary least squares cross-sectional model. Results are located in – Appendix E. Obese students scored 1.74 percentile points lower than normal weight students (0.1% significance). Girls scored 3.39 points lower than boys, which is in line 62 with theories from previous researchers. Self-concept was negatively associated with time spent on television and video games, less than excellent health, having been bullied, and unhappiness. It was positively associated with time spent exercising and higher activity levels. There are clear parallels with obesity. Be it scientifically or conceptually, the former are generally associated with higher bodyweight, while the latter are associated with lower bodyweight. This model had an F-test of 24, and an adjusted Rsquared of 0.18, using 7,219 observations. Why Obese Students Lag Behind Peers in Specific Gender-Subject Combinations To explain the gender differences associated with the obesity effect is considerably easier than to explain the mechanisms by which the obesity effect occurs. Mead (2006), and Machin and Pekkarinen (2008) showed that relative gender strengths in secondary education include reading for girls, and math and science for boys. In this thesis, the significant test score differences seen between obese and normal weight girls in reading, and between obese and normal weight boys in math and science, are partly the result of normal groups performing exceptionally well within an academic strength. This could be termed the subject-gender effect. However, a powerful subject-gender effect is neither necessary nor sufficient for the obesity effect to occur. For example, obese girls had significantly lower science scores than normal weight girls in the cross-sectional model, 63 while the math scores of obese boys were not significant in the longitudinal model. Therefore the test scores of obese students must also be inhibited in some way. Despite past research, there is no definitive reason why obesity negatively affects academic performance, although a consensus is growing. Physical and psychological explanations center on weight-related health problems and discrimination-based low selfesteem. Nsiah and Joshi (2009) found that including a health variable in their academic performance model slightly decreased coefficients for obesity, indicating that other factors – possibly psychosocial – may be involved. Indeed, they found that academic performance was influenced by cultural norms for thinness, and was more influenced by the student’s self-perception of being overweight than their actual weight. Tershakovec et al. (1994) found school officials placed obese students in remedial classes more often than normal weight students, despite no apparent academic differences; while Sabia (2007) suggested discrimination reduces self-esteem and motivation in students. Falkner et al. (2001) found obese students spend less time with friends than normal weight students, while Kaestner and Grossman (2008) discussed how social ostracism affects obese children. Taken collectively, the mechanism emerges from the literature as a syndrome of self-esteem, attention, and motivation deficits which develops from social discrimination. This thesis investigated both physical and psychosocial factors. Diet influenced test scores, while health status and exercise habits did not. Diet variables did not decrease 64 the absolute value of coefficients for obesity when included in the models, however. This suggests obesity is not simply a marker for malnutrition, but affects test scores through other means. Discrimination may be the reason obese students from low obesity-rate groups (whites and Asians) fare worse against same-group peers than obese students from high obesity-rate groups (blacks and Hispanic). Obesity rates may play a role in other kinds of social groups, or at school or regional levels. Psychological factors were analyzed using the self-concept variable. It was positively and significantly associated with all subject test scores in both models. It was also negatively correlated with obesity. Including self-concept in the both test score models decreased all obese category coefficients, though they remained significant. This suggests that obesity affects test scores through mechanisms which include but are not limited to poor self-concept. More research is therefore needed on obesity-driven health and psychosocial factors which negatively impact academic performance. 65 Chapter 6 CONCLUSION Summary This thesis analyzed the impact of being obese and becoming obese on the reading, math, and science test scores of eighth-grade students. The analysis included a thorough set of explanatory variables, a core group of which appeared in both cross-sectional and longitudinal models. Cross-sectional regressions were performed using weight category variables based on eighth-grade BMI, and kindergarten-entry BMI. Academic performance was unable to influence the kindergarten-entry weight categories in an endogenous manner. Longitudinal regressions were performed using weight change categories based on eighth and third grade weight status. Both genders were analyzed. The dataset included schools as a group variable, and a random-effects model was used for the cross-sectional and longitudinal test score regressions. Consideration was given to the results of the Hausman and LM tests, the likely effect of differing schools on test score, and possible correlations between unobserved factors and explanatory variables. The group variable allowed models to examine factors which affected student performance at both the individual and school levels. Results from the cross-sectional regressions showed that obese students achieved significantly lower scores than normal weight students on standardized tests in reading, 66 math, and science. These results were unchanged when an obese dummy variable was instrumented by kindergarten weight categories in an IV model. This reduced prior concerns about reverse causality in the original model. In cross-sectional interactive gender variables regressions, obese girls achieved significantly lower scores than normal weight girls in reading and science, while obese boys achieved significantly lower scores than normal weight boys in reading, math and science. In the longitudinal regressions, students who became or were always obese achieved significantly lower reading scores than never obese peers. Students who were always obese achieved significantly lower science scores. Longitudinal regression results for math were insignificant. In the longitudinal interactive gender variables model, girls who became or were always obese achieved significantly lower reading scores than never obese weight girls. Boys who were always obese achieved significantly lower science scores than never obese boys. Math scores were not significant for either gender. The cross-sectional and longitudinal interactive gender variables regressions have similarities: obese girls have significantly lower reading scores in both models, as do obese boys in science. However, obese boys have significantly lower math scores only in the cross-sectional model. Also limited to the cross-section, obese boys have significantly lower reading scores, and obese girls have significantly lower science scores, than peers: these results fall outside of each gender’s strengths and show that the subject-gender effect is not the only factor contributing to the obesity effect. 67 The explanation of the subject-gender effect is simple: a greater test score differential between the obese and normal weight members of a particular gender is created when the latter are operating in a subject where they produce high scores. This does not sufficiently explain the obesity effect, however, because obese students’ scores are also limited for some reason. When results were broken down by gender and race, group obesity prevalence appeared to be an important factor. Simply put, obese students are ostracized when there is a low obesity rate in their group. A high rate is protective. Because of this, there are more significant and negative results for obese students from white and Asian groups than for black and Hispanic ones. Another pattern emerges: obese students from low obesity-rate groups (whites and Asians) show significant negative results if they are testing in one of their gender’s academic strengths. One of the unexpected results in this analysis is the strong influence, both positive and negative, of certain foods and beverages on test scores. Poor diet has a direct negative effect on test scores, and also contributes to obesity. Obesity, in turn, has a negative effect on test scores through poor self-concept and other means. Previous writers have speculated that the mechanism by which obesity affects test scores may involve discrimination, self-esteem, and motivation. Results here suggest that the effect of self-concept on test scores is positive and highly significant, while the effect of obesity on self-concept is negative and significant. More importantly, including self- 68 concept in test score models reduced, but did not eliminate, the obesity effect. This suggests that other factors are also involved. Results suggest that academic performance and obesity are linked. They show that the trend of malnourished students with poor self-concepts who perform poorly on academic tests extends through at least eighth grade. If this trend of deficient human capital acquisition continues into high school and adulthood, obese middle school students will make less of a contribution to the economy than their more fit classmates. Results presented here compliment and add to previous scholarship. One reason is that the results were produced by models with extensive control variables including student, parent, diet, health, and school factors. A second reason is that the results showed consistent patterns across weight categories, genders, subjects, and grade-levels. These results are best understood in the context of four studies outlined earlier. Discussion Wendt (2009) also used the ECLS dataset to investigate weight categories by academic subject, using a fifth-grade cross-sectional model and a K-5 longitudinal model. This thesis follows this ECLS cohort into eighth grade, and is the first research to investigate the data and report the results. Cross-sectional analysis by Wendt found that obese, overweight and underweight fifth-grade students achieved lower math scores, and obese fifth-grade students achieved lower reading scores, than normal weight students. This thesis differed, in that only obese eighth-graders achieved lower math, reading, and 69 science scores than peers. Longitudinal analysis by Wendt showed that students who Became Overweight or were Always Overweight achieved lower math scores than Always Normal students; while reading scores were not significant. The grades 3-8 model in this thesis showed the reverse. Students who Became Obese or were Always Obese achieved lower reading scores, and students who were Always Obese achieved lower science scores, than Always Normal students; math scores were not significant. Differences in results between this thesis and Wendt (2009) may be due to the age of the students or the variables in the respective models. Wendt did not employ diet variables, nor any of the following variables used in this thesis: special education status, disabled status, use of videogames, grades, mother’s education, mother’s age, selfconcept, activity-level, preference for being alone, and school percentage of students who receive free lunch. While the author’s mixed-effects school-cluster model is sophisticated and well-specified, Chi2 scores for longitudinal reading and math, and cross-sectional math were higher in this thesis than in Wendt (2009). Datar et al. (2006) looked at elementary test scores by subject and gender using the ECLS dataset, and this thesis is the first to do the same at the secondary level. The authors’ longitudinal analysis showed that girls who became obese between kindergarten and third grade had lower reading and math test scores than always normal girls, while results for boys were not significant. In this thesis, longitudinal analysis of this same cohort showed that girls who became or were always obese between third and eighth 70 grades had lower reading, but not math, scores than normal-weight peers. This thesis also showed that boys who were always obese had lower science scores than normal weight peers. Like Wendt (2009), the authors failed to control for diet, self-concept, special education status, use of videogames, preference for being alone, activity-level, and school percentage of students receiving free lunch. They also omitted variables for parents’ educational expectations, and the amount of homework completed per week. Falkner et al. (2001) and Okunade et al. (2009) undertook secondary education gender research. Falkner found obese girls were 1.5 times more likely to repeat a grade in school than normal weight girls, while for obese boys this effect was absent. Okunade found that obese girls did not graduate on time relative to peers (except for one racial group), but obese boys did. In contrast, this thesis found significant results for both girls and boys in secondary education level by examining data for specific academic subjects. Public Policy and Future Research Research which shows that obesity reduces student learning and their future contributions to the economy can impact public policy decisions. For example, California has taken steps to improve both its students’ diets, and their capacity to learn. Two 2007 laws now regulate the sale of junk food and sugary drinks in public schools. They limit fat and sugar content, and portion size. Senate Bill 12 states that at middle-schools snacks cannot have more than 35% total calories from fat, 10% total calories from saturated fat, 35% total weight from sugar or more than 250 calories per individual item. Senate Bill 71 965 states that middle schools may sell only water, 2% fat or less milk, fruit drinks that are at least 50% juice and sports drinks with less than 42 grams of sweetener per 20 ounce serving. (School Food Laws: California). Although these are excellent steps, substantial reduction in student obesity requires all of the following: (1) political activism, (2) a return to teaching physical education classes through twelfth-grade, and (3) educational forums at the school-district level that would teach the benefits and methods of healthy eating to parents and students. This thesis indicates several directions for future research. First, studies should make use of comprehensive data on the diets and calorie-burning activities of students. Including these significant control factors will clarify the relationship between obesity and academic performance while preventing omitted variable bias. Second, it is unknown if the significant results found here for obese students in a gender’s relative academic strength will be reproduced elsewhere. Third, future research should attempt to take into account the prevalence of obesity among individual schools, and among racial and gender groups. This is because the obesity rate in any given scenario may be a source of social pressure, or lack thereof. Finally, greater attention should be given to the mechanism by which obesity effects test score. Although this thesis chose to examine the role of selfconcept, the full story on health-related or psychosocial mechanisms has yet to be told. 72 APPENDIX A FULL SUMMARY STATISTICS INTERVAL VARIABLES Reading T-scores grade 8 Boys Girls Math T-scores grade 8 Boys Girls Science T-scores grade 8 Boys Girls Reading IRT scores Boys grade 8 Girls 8 Boys grade 3 Girls 3 Math IRT scores Boys 8 Girls 8 Boys 3 Girls 3 Science IRT scores Boys 8 Girls 8 Boys 3 Girls 3 Body Mass Index, grade 8 Boys Girls Body Mass Index, grade 3 Body Mass Index, Kindergarten Self-concept Female Mother’s age Hours outside reading per week Hours of TV per weekday Hours of video games per wkdy Special Education student Child has a Disability Days of exercise last week Hours of TV weeknights,grade 3 Students w/free lunch % MEAN 51.55 50.70 52.40 51.44 52.04 50.84 51.40 52.35 50.44 ST.DEV 9.81 9.97 9.58 9.65 9.84 9.41 9.57 9.88 9.16 MIN 26.24 26.73 26.24 24.17 24.21 24.17 21.77 21.77 22.77 MAX 78.91 78.91 78.91 74.82 74.82 74.82 74.25 74.25 74.25 169.01 173.86 127.36 131.86 28.63 25.80 28.40 26.92 86.94 85.62 51.61 52.07 208.90 208.90 200.75 194.07 143.83 141.39 103.88 98.69 22.05 21.39 25.02 23.37 66.26 66.17 34.56 35.62 172.20 172.20 166.25 166.25 86.34 83.57 53.70 50.13 22.81 22.71 22.91 18.64 16.30 3.07 0.49 42.19 3.78 2.88 1.36 0.91 0.84 4.61 0.83 34.43 16.07 15.61 15.37 14.65 5.31 5.33 5.29 3.87 2.23 0.69 0.50 6.60 6.65 2.37 1.99 0.28 0.36 1.99 0.80 25.25 28.21 29.61 17.68 18.20 9.95 10.57 9.95 8.5 7.91 0 0 19 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 107.90 107.90 93.59 95.37 56.22 51.49 56.22 38.72 31.94 4.19 1 88 96 12 12 1 1 7 6 95 73 CATEGORICAL VARIABLES BMI Categories NORMAL UNDERWEIGHT OVERWEIGHT OBESE BMI Change Grades 3-8 Obese: NEVER BECAME NO LONGER ALWAYS Race WHITE, NON-HISPANIC BLACK, NON-HISPANIC HISPANIC ASIAN HAWAIIAN/PACIFIC ISLANDER AMERINDIAN/ALASKA NATIVE MIXED RACE, NON-HISPANIC Mother’s Education level HIGH SCHOOL DIPLOMA/GED 8TH GRADE OR BELOW 9TH - 12TH GRADE VOC/TECH PROGRAM SOME COLLEGE BACHELOR'S DEGREE SOME GRADUATE WORK MASTER'S DEGREE DOCTORAL/PROFESS. DEGREE Parent expectations for child HIGH SCHOOL GRAD OR GED COMPLETE A 2-YEAR DEGREE ATTEND A UNIVERSITY BACHELOR’S DEGREE OBTAIN A MASTER'S DEGREE OBTAIN A PHD, MD, OR JD LESS THAN H.S. GRADUATION Family Income $10,000 OR LESS $10,001 TO $20,000 $20,001 TO $30,000 $30,001 TO $40,000 $40,001 TO $50,000 $50,001 TO $75,000 $75,001 TO $100,000 $100,001 TO $200,000 $200,001 OR MORE PERCENT OF DISTRIBUTION Eighth grade 62.36 2.62 16.42 18.59 Kindergarten 68.56 4.20 14.85 12.39 76.43 5.31 4.75 13.51 60.96 10.30 17.51 5.70 1.14 2.13 2.25 22.99 4.30 5.13 5.41 29.72 19.37 3.08 7.38 2.62 Eighth grade 4.46 5.37 3.81 42.94 23.91 18.75 0.75 3.97 8.11 11.13 11.56 9.20 18.59 16.32 15.79 5.31 Third grade 7.46 12.48 NA 54.96 12.90 11.47 0.74 74 Region, NORTHEAST MIDWEST SOUTH WEST Parent Type BIOLOGICAL MOM AND DAD BIOLOGICAL MOM/STEPDAD BIOLOGICAL DAD/STEPMOM BIOLOGICAL MOTHER ONLY BIOLOGICAL FATHER ONLY ADOPTIVE PARENTS/UNRELATED RELATED GUARDIAN Number of siblings in house 0 1 2 3 4 or more Parent met with Teacher YES NO NO OPPORTUNITY YET Parent report of child grades MOSTLY A’S MOSTLY B’S MOSTLY C’S MOSTLY D’S MOSTLY F’S GRADES NOT GIVEN Sweets bought at school DID NOT BUY LAST WEEK 1 OR 2 TIMES LAST WEEK 3 OR 4 TIMES LAST WEEK 1 TIME PER DAY 2 OR MORE TIMES PER DAY Salty snacks bought at school DID NOT BUY LAST WEEK 1 OR 2 TIMES LAST WEEK 3 OR 4 TIMES LAST WEEK 1 TIME PER DAY 2 TIMES OR MORE PER DAY Sugary drinks at school DID NOT BUY LAST WEEK 1 OR 2 TIMES LAST WEEK 3 OR 4 TIMES LAST WEEK 1 TIME PER DAY 2 TIMES OR MORE PER DAY 18.42 27.91 32.70 20.97 Eighth grade 64.42 10.14 1.49 17.50 2.32 1.99 2.15 21.48 42.72 23.34 8.20 4.27 34.03 15.79 50.18 47.82 36.78 11.94 1.75 0.59 1.12 50.27 35.97 6.96 4.60 2.19 61.35 27.89 5.48 3.54 1.74 59.61 27.00 6.39 4.76 2.24 Third grade 71.03 7.39 0.83 15.24 2.10 1.63 1.76 75 Milk consumed last week NO MILK PAST 7 DAYS 1-3 GLASSES PAST 7 DAYS 4-6 GLASSES PAST 7 DAYS 1 GLASS PER DAY 2 GLASSES PER DAY 3 GLASSES PER DAY 4 OR MORE GLASSES PER DAY Salad consumed last week NO GREEN SALAD LAST WEEK 1 TO 3 TIMES IN PAST 7 DAYS 4 TO 6 TIMES IN PAST 7 DAYS 1 TIME PER DAY 2 OR MORE TIMES PER DAY Carrots consumed last week NO CARROTS IN PAST 7 DAYS 1 TO 3 TIMES IN PAST 7 DAYS 4 TO 6 TIMES IN PAST 7 DAYS 1 TIME PER DAY 2 OR MORE TIMES PER DAY Vegetables consumed last week NO VEGETABLES LAST WEEK 1 TO 3 TIMES PAST 7 DAYS 4 TO 6 TIMES PAST 7 DAYS 1 TIME PER DAY 2 TIMES PER DAY 3 OR MORE TIMES PER DAY Fruits consumed last week NO FRUIT IN PAST 7 DAYS 1 TO 3 TIMES IN PAST 7 DAYS 4 TO 6 TIMES IN PAST 7 DAYS 1 TIME PER DAY 2 TIMES PER DAY 3 TIMES OR MORE PER DAY Fast Food consumed last week NO FAST FOOD PAST 7 DAYS 1 TO 3 TIMES IN PAST 7 DAYS 4 TO 6 TIMES IN PAST 7 DAYS 1 TIME PER DAY 2 TIMES PER DAY:OR MORE,grd 8 3 TIMES PER DAY Child Health Scale, EXCELLENT VERY GOOD GOOD FAIR OR POOR Minority students: < 10% 10% TO LESS THAN 25% 25% TO LESS THAN 50% 50% TO LESS THAN 75% 75% OR MORE Eighth grade 11.91 21.43 17.21 13.77 17.74 10.71 7.22 Fifth grade 10.47 17.18 16.23 13.45 16.35 11.92 14.23 35.61 40.33 12.51 7.88 3.67 48.95 36.49 7.52 4.16 2.88 12.89 35.70 23.68 15.58 7.95 4.20 7.46 28.23 23.82 16.99 13.64 9.87 Eighth grade 30.44 54.87 8.35 3.44 2.91 NA 54.04 32.38 11.26 2.33 28.03 20.41 19.39 11.91 20.27 Fifth grade 28.71 51.63 9.96 5.09 1.67 2.77 76 Grade 3 Enrollment: 20/Less 21-40 41-60 61-80 81-100 101-120 121-140 141-160 161-180 180/MORE Activity Level vs. Peers LESS ACTIVE THAN PEERS ABOUT AS ACTIVE SLIGHTLY MORE ACTIVE A LOT MORE ACTIVE Prefers to be Alone NOT TRUE SOMEWHAT TRUE CERTAINLY TRUE 5.85 16.04 17.69 15.37 15.48 10.18 5.62 3.24 3.15 3.53 11.90 44.27 25.47 18.35 75.61 19.11 5.26 77 APPENDIX B FULL RANDOM EFFECTS CROSS-SECTION,GRADE 8 Group variable: Grade 8 Schools ______________________________________________________________________ (1) (2) (3) READING T-SCORE MATH T-SCORE SCIENCE T-SCORE _______________________________________________________________________ C SE NORMAL WEIGHT UNDERWEIGHT 0.234 (0.608) OVERWEIGHT -0.314 (0.286) OBESE -1.581*** (0.328) -0.211 (0.608) -0.361 (0.285) -1.098*** (0.326) -0.304 -0.105 -0.944** SPECIAL-ED -4.562*** (0.416) -4.994*** (0.405) -4.298*** (0.391) REGION, NE MIDWEST SOUTH WEST -0.593 -0.282 -1.388** (0.405) (0.402) (0.445) -0.771* 0.600 -0.574 (0.384) (0.383) (0.425) 0.209 (0.365) 1.307*** (0.365) -0.277 (0.406) FEMALE -0.047 (0.218) -3.025*** (0.217) -3.662*** (0.211) RACE, WHITE BLACK HISPANIC ASIAN P.ISLANDER AMERINDIAN MIXED RACE -2.406*** -0.913* 0.702 -0.272 -1.043 0.463 (0.453) (0.364) (0.491) (1.067) (0.940) (0.680) -3.128*** -0.754* 2.037*** 0.008 -0.733 -0.434 (0.446) (0.361) (0.488) (1.053) (0.917) (0.675) -4.047*** -1.043** 0.178 -1.494 -0.350 -0.292 (0.432) (0.349) (0.473) (1.017) (0.882) (0.655) (0.055) -0.042 (0.053) K-ENTRY BMI FOOD SHORT. DISABLED MOM AGE 0.063 (0.055) -0.017 (0.056) -1.191*** (0.322) 0.088*** (0.018) PARENTS MOM/DAD MOM/STEPDAD -0.977** DAD/STEPMOM -0.489 SINGLE PARENT 0.839** ADOPTED -2.411** RELATIVE -0.520 (0.340) (0.794) (0.307) (0.790) (0.829) 0.010 (0.590) (0.276) (0.316) 0.012 (0.056) -1.173*** (0.320) 0.082*** (0.018) -0.013 (0.054) -1.019*** (0.310) 0.093*** (0.017) -0.236 0.205 0.820** -2.042** -1.361+ 0.098 -0.261 1.134*** -1.944* -1.045 (0.339) (0.794) (0.305) (0.785) (0.824) (0.329) (0.766) (0.296) (0.758) (0.800) 78 MOM’S EDUCATION HS DIPLOMA GRADE 8/LESS -2.156*** GRADE 9-12 -1.249* VOC/TECH ED 0.406 SOME COLLEGE 0.564* BACHELORS 1.946*** GRAD WORK 2.219*** MASTERS 3.062*** DOCTORATE 2.729*** INCOME $40-50K $10K/LESS $10-20K $20-30K $30-40K $50-75K $75-200K $200K/MORE (0.591) (0.488) (0.447) (0.277) (0.339) (0.630) (0.461) (0.718) -3.031***(0.685) -1.675** (0.526) -0.693 (0.452) 0.122 (0.428) -0.221 (0.393) 0.339 (0.389) 0.832 (0.641) EDU. EXPECTATIONS HS DIPLOMA AA DEGREE 0.920 ATTEND UNIV. 0.391 BA DEGREE 1.690** MA DEGREE 3.415*** MD/JD/PHD 3.550*** NO DIPLOMA 1.516 HRS READ/WK HRS TV/WKDY HRS VID/WKDY (0.734) (0.795) (0.595) (0.622) (0.640) (1.436) 0.121*** (0.016) -0.152** (0.047) -0.248*** (0.057) PARENT MET TEACHER YES NO 0.640* (0.308) NOT YET 1.013*** (0.234) -1.472* -0.971* 0.281 1.064*** 2.286*** 0.703 1.870*** 2.188** (0.585) (0.484) (0.445) (0.276) (0.338) (0.627) (0.459) (0.717) -2.288*** -1.637*** 0.255 0.609* 1.905*** 1.425* 2.566*** 2.715*** (0.567) (0.469) (0.432) (0.268) (0.328) (0.610) (0.446) (0.697) -1.642* -1.071* -0.667 0.753+ 0.605 0.862* 1.711** (0.679) (0.522) (0.449) (0.426) (0.391) (0.387) (1.020) -2.556*** -1.749*** -0.917* 0.274 0.334 0.836* 0.677 (0.659) (0.505) (0.437) (0.413) (0.379) (0.375) (0.989) 1.048 1.538+ 1.927** 3.322*** 3.950*** -0.420 (0.729) (0.791) (0.591) (0.617) (0.636) (1.394) 1.949** 1.937* 1.870** 3.421*** 3.993*** 0.080 (0.707) (0.767) (0.573) (0.599) (0.617) (1.335) 0.044** (0.016) -0.176*** (0.047) -0.199*** (0.057) 0.088*** -0.146** -0.188*** (0.015) (0.045) (0.055) (0.305) (0.233) 0.792** 0.980*** (0.295) (0.225) (0.236) (0.366) (0.781) (1.326) (1.161) -3.449*** -5.311*** -3.888*** -4.886*** -2.159+ (0.229) (0.354) (0.757) (1.286) (1.122) 0.212 0.598* STUDENT GRADES AS REPORTED BY PARENT A’S B’S -3.974*** (0.237) -4.486*** C’S -6.250*** (0.367) -6.568*** D’S -5.345*** (0.790) -5.590*** F’S -6.029*** (1.330) -6.791*** NO GRADES -4.158*** (1.174) -2.465* 79 HEALTH & DIET VARIBLES________________________________________________ DAYS/EXERCISE -0.160*** (0.042) -0.030 (0.041) -0.151*** (0.040) SWEETS AT SCHOOL NONE 1-2 TIMES/WK 0.174 3-4 TIMES/WK 0.858+ 1 TIME/DAY -0.204 2+ TIMES/DAY -0.442 (0.269) (0.505) (0.628) (0.961) 0.037 0.477 0.110 -0.785 (0.268) (0.503) (0.625) (0.957) 0.175 0.496 -0.330 -0.536 (0.260) (0.488) (0.604) (0.926) SNACKS AT SCHOOL NONE 1-2 TIMES/WK -0.426 3-4 TIMES/WK 0.069 1 TIME/DAY -0.598 2+ TIMES/DAY -2.752** (0.274) (0.523) (0.660) (1.061) -0.167 0.051 -0.754 -1.900+ (0.273) (0.523) (0.659) (1.057) -0.647* 0.527 -1.202+ -1.599 (0.264) (0.507) (0.640) (1.023) DRINKS AT SCHOOL NONE 1-2 TIMES/WK -0.460 3-4 TIMES/DAY -1.126* 1 TIME/DAY -0.058 2+ TIMES/DAY -1.333 (0.299) (0.544) (0.638) (1.059) -0.791** -1.784*** 0.225 -1.697 (0.298) (0.542) (0.637) (1.056) -0.988*** -1.735*** -1.355* -2.380* (0.289) (0.525) (0.618) (1.022) 1.228*** 2.028*** 2.380*** 2.486*** 3.104*** 1.915*** (0.369) (0.389) (0.413) (0.396) (0.443) (0.494) 0.647+ 1.347*** 1.605*** 1.904*** 2.876*** 2.192*** (0.357) (0.377) (0.400) (0.384) (0.429) (0.478) (0.244) 0.315 (0.243) (0.361) 0.205 (0.359) (0.425) -1.620*** (0.423) (0.609) -2.232*** (0.608) 0.427+ -0.365 -1.260** -2.066*** (0.236) (0.349) (0.410) (0.589) (0.236) 0.486* (0.407) 0.017 (0.546) -1.435** (0.687) -2.976*** 0.342 0.441 -0.889+ -2.426*** (0.229) (0.394) (0.527) (0.664) MILK,NONE 1-3 GLASS/WK 4-6 GLASS/WK 1 GLASS/DAY 2 GLASS/DAY 3 GLASS/DAY 4+ GLASS/DAY 0.988** 2.113*** 1.802*** 2.277*** 2.971*** 2.382*** GREEN SALAD NONE 1-3 TIMES/WK 4-6 TIMES/WK 1 TIME/DAY 2+ TIMES/DAY -0.187 -0.395 -1.768*** -2.248*** CARROTS, NONE 1-3 TIMES/WK 0.395+ 4-6 TIMES/WK -0.005 1 TIME/DAY -1.694** 2+ TIMES/DAY -2.116** (0.370) (0.391) (0.414) (0.397) (0.445) (0.497) (0.236) (0.406) (0.543) (0.685) 80 VEGETABLES, NONE 1-3 TIMES/WK 0.342 4-6 TIMES/WK 0.401 1 TIME/DAY 0.793+ 2 TIME5/DAY 0.688 3+ TIMES/DAY -0.590 (0.347) 0.326 (0.384) 0.353 (0.423) 0.941* (0.505) 1.248* (0.645) -1.150+ FRUITS, NONE 1-3 TIMES/WK 4-6 TIMES/WK 1 TIME/DAY 2 TIMES/DAY 3+ TIMES/DAY -0.349 -0.034 0.135 0.248 0.026 (0.430) (0.450) (0.474) (0.498) (0.541) FAST FOOD NONE 1-3 TIMES/WK 4-6 TIMES/WK 1 TIME/DAY 2+ TIMES/DAY -0.193 -0.783+ -3.280*** -2.460*** (0.235) (0.425) (0.613) (0.690) 0.456 0.598 0.919+ 1.124* 1.065* 0.301 -0.250 -2.588*** -2.891*** (0.345) (0.382) (0.421) (0.503) (0.643) 0.937* 1.320** 1.424** 1.448** 1.310* (0.413) (0.432) (0.457) (0.480) (0.521) (0.234) (0.423) (0.611) (0.685) -0.215 -1.196** -3.010*** -3.611*** (0.227) (0.410) (0.593) (0.663) -1.246*** (0.352) -1.370*** (0.384) -1.455*** (0.409) CHILD HEALTH SCALE EXCELLENT VERY GOOD 0.054 GOOD 0.367 FAIR/POOR 0.269 -0.032 0.539 0.421 SELF-CONCEPT 0.807*** (0.161) PREFERS BEING ALONE NO SOMEWHAT 1.334*** 0.264) YES 1.559*** (0.456) 0.462** (0.334) (0.370) (0.408) (0.488) (0.624) (0.426) (0.446) (0.471) (0.495) (0.538) HOW ACTIVE COMPARED TO PEERS LESS SAME -0.837* (0.354) SLIGHTLY MORE -1.458*** (0.385) MUCH MORE -2.031*** (0.411) (0.225) (0.338) (0.731) 0.433 0.522 0.745+ 0.543 -0.508 -1.121** -1.424*** -1.977*** (0.341) (0.372) (0.396) (0.225) (0.336) (0.723) 0.224 0.395 0.561 (0.218) (0.326) (0.701) (0.160) 0.446** (0.155) 0.975*** 0.934* (0.255) (0.439) 1.119*** (0.263) 1.184** (0.453) UNHAPPY, NO SOMEWHAT YES 0.180 0.350 (0.350) (1.033) -0.200 -0.113 (0.348) (1.031) 0.232 0.042 (0.337) (1.001) BULLIED, NO SOMEWHAT YES 0.060 -0.047 (0.283) (0.627) 0.017 -0.011 (0.281) (0.623) 0.202 -0.480 (0.273) (0.604) 81 SCHOOL VARIABLES____________________________________________________________ MINORITY STUDENTS 0-10% 10-25% -0.362 25-50% -0.134 50-75% -0.686 75% + -1.625** (0.412) (0.424) (0.500) (0.549) -0.406 0.195 0.165 -0.365 (0.388) (0.401) (0.475) (0.526) -1.087** -0.776* -1.237** -2.343*** (0.368) (0.381) (0.453) (0.503) FREE LUNCH% -0.024***(0.007) -0.030*** (0.007) -0.023*** (0.007) _cons 47.996 (1.635) 52.315 (1.162) 53.873 (1.569) _______________________________________________________________________ Obs 4938 4961 4971 Groups 1517 1518 1521 chi2 4000.401 4124.701 4322.387 r2_overall 0.492 0.486 0.504 r2_between 0.522 0.535 0.562 r2_within 0.380 0.389 0.370 rho 0.135 0.102 0.090 grp_min 1 1 1 grp_avg 3.255 3.268 3.268 grp_max 32 32 32 _______________________________________________________________________ Standard errors in parentheses + p<0.10, * p<0.05, ** p<0.01, *** p<0.001 82 APPENDIX C FULL RANDOM EFFECTS LONGTITUDINAL, GRADES 3 AND 8 Group variable: Grade 8 Schools_________________________________ GRADE 8 SCALED SCORES GRD 3 SCORES READING MATH SCIENCE (1) READING (2) MATH___________ (3) SCIENCE______ 0.513*** (0.012) 0.546*** (0.011) 0.522*** (0.013) BMI CHANGE OBESE: NEVER BECAME NO LONGER ALWAYS baseline -2.577* 0.514 -2.143* SPED, YES -8.567*** (1.458) -6.424*** (1.025) -6.076*** (0.681) REGION NORTHEAST MIDWEST SOUTH WEST -1.830* (0.840) -2.241** (0.868) -3.655*** (0.962) -1.519* -1.458* -1.455* (0.646) (0.669) (0.689) -0.815+ 0.273 -1.704** (0.521) -0.364 (0.365) -1.699*** (0.297) (1.266) (0.961) (1.148) (2.188) (2.129) (1.676) -2.166* 0.515 4.478*** -0.812 -0.458 -0.656 (0.870) (0.678) (0.780) (1.247) (2.061) (1.019) -3.935*** 0.444 3.040*** -0.446 1.141 0.068 0.012 (0.146) -0.062 (0.117) -2.234* -4.189 -0.044 -0.774 -4.190* 2.230 (1.016) (3.434) (0.837) (2.254) (2.089) (2.030) -1.181+ -0.411 -1.419* -1.555 -2.187+ -0.445 (0.705) (2.462) (0.585) (1.405) (1.298) (1.401) FEMALE RACE, WHITE BLACK HISPANIC ASIAN P.ISLANDER AMERINDIAN MIXED RACE K-BMI GRD 3 PARENT MOM/DAD MOM/STEPDAD DAD/STEPMOM MOM ONLY DAD ONLY ADOPTED RELATIVE 0.897+ -4.574*** -1.390 3.670** -0.116 0.503 0.608 (1.282) (1.156) (1.046) -1.268 0.663 0.131 (0.920) (0.887) (0.722) -1.084 -0.608 -1.241* 0.036 -0.154 -1.136 0.463 -0.397 -3.465*** -0.169 (0.708) (0.685) (0.548) (0.485) (0.524) (0.568) (0.691) (0.485) (0.596) (1.496) (1.452) (0.857) (0.078) (0.525) (1.633) (0.442) (1.162) (0.996) (1.182) 83 MOM’S EDUCATION HS DIPLOMA GRADE 8/LESS -3.798+ GRADE 9-12 -5.265** VOC/TECH ED 0.110 SOME COLLEGE 0.320 BACHELORS 2.158** GRADE WORK 2.781* MASTERS 3.255*** DOCTORATE 2.457+ (2.086) (1.718) (1.249) (0.692) (0.742) (1.290) (0.974) (1.367) -1.281 -1.153 1.136 1.285* 2.312*** 3.091*** 1.244+ 2.244* (1.285) (1.143) (0.900) (0.500) (0.559) (0.862) (0.739) (0.995) -1.838 -3.053** 1.012+ 0.068 1.290** 1.829** 1.392** 1.153+ (1.143) (0.936) (0.609) (0.388) (0.425) (0.678) (0.521) (0.686) INCOME $40-50K $10K/LESS $10-20K $20-30K $30-40K $50-75K $75-200K $200K/MORE (2.058) (1.432) (1.240) (1.071) (0.925) (0.866) (1.203) 1.619 0.548 -0.353 1.003 0.696 0.303 -0.335 (1.521) (1.030) (0.909) (0.775) (0.652) (0.648) (0.853) -1.123 -1.034 -1.219+ -0.114 0.179 0.046 0.103 (1.199) (0.805) (0.636) (0.599) (0.494) (0.472) (0.642) 0.138 0.019 -0.127 -1.284 (0.349) (0.413) (0.624) (0.843) -4.384* -2.559+ -1.674 -0.975 -0.994 -0.790 -1.230 GRD 8 SIBLINGS NONE ONE 0.678 TWO 1.417+ THREE 1.893+ FOUR/MORE -2.105 (0.625) (0.756) (1.114) (1.611) 0.954* 1.281* 0.911 0.733 (0.469) (0.519) (0.772) (0.950) GRD 3 PARNT/EXPECT HS DIPLOMA 2-YR DEGREE 2.804+ 4-YR DEGREE 3.123* MASTERS 3.368* MD, JD, PHD 3.846** (1.465) (1.330) (1.500) (1.481) 1.869+ 2.542** 2.039+ 2.778* (1.026) (0.978) (1.068) (1.096) 1.728* 2.033** 1.757* 1.631* (0.732) (0.678) (0.751) (0.742) GRD 8 PARNT/EXPECT GRAD HS/GED 2-YR DEGREE 2.043 ATTEND UNIV. 2.912 BACHELORS 5.440** MASTERS 7.792*** MD,JD,PHD 7.386*** LESS/HS GRAD -2.008 (2.561) (2.623) (2.091) (2.112) (2.192) (4.902) 2.630+ 4.630** 3.765** 4.839*** 5.065*** -5.213 (1.533) (1.719) (1.255) (1.301) (1.289) (3.460) 2.617* 3.641** 3.424*** 4.605*** 4.690*** -4.108 (1.229) (1.358) (0.995) (1.039) (1.057) (2.621) GR8 HRS HW/WK 0.067* GR3 TV/WKNIGHT 0.900** GR8 VID/WKDAY -0.415** (0.027) (0.303) (0.150) 0.051** 0.236 -0.327** (0.018) (0.226) (0.103) 0.041** (0.015) 0.573*** (0.171) -0.106 (0.079) 84 HEALTH/DIET VARIABLES__________________________________________________ GRD 8 SNACKS NONE 1-2 TIMES/WK 3-4 TIMES/WK 1 TIME/DAY 2+ TIMES/DAY -0.020 -0.257 -2.315 -10.880** (0.661) (1.288) (1.860) (3.675) 2.345* 3.402** 1.203 2.514* 1.426 1.621 (1.076) (1.120) (1.196) (1.096) (1.116) (1.185) 1.144 0.836 0.165 0.585 1.724* 1.365 (0.746) (0.773) (0.818) (0.743) (0.801) (0.838) 1.108+ 1.304* 0.579 1.616** 1.717** 1.554* (0.591) (0.586) (0.615) (0.593) (0.617) (0.609) GR8 MILK, NONE 1-3 GLASS/WK -0.419 4-6 GLASS/WK 2.290* 1 GLASS/DAY 1.374 2 GLASSES/DAY 2.276* 3 GLASSES/DAY 2.933* 4+ GLASS/DAY 0.630 (1.053) (1.054) (1.152) (1.078) (1.171) (1.257) 0.993 1.534* 2.137** 2.286** 3.275*** 1.358 (0.719) (0.734) (0.768) (0.748) (0.817) (0.946) 0.444 0.963+ 1.295* 1.502** 1.800** 0.361 (0.557) (0.552) (0.577) (0.571) (0.618) (0.688) GR8 VEGETABLES NONE 1-3 TIMES/WK 4-6 TIMES/WK 1 TIME/DAY 2 TIMES/DAY 3+ TIMES/DAY 2.311* 2.673** 2.741** 2.777* 1.331 (0.949) (0.974) (1.012) (1.113) (1.511) 0.284 0.786 0.599 0.283 -2.379* (0.669) (0.682) (0.748) (0.842) (1.130) 0.991+ 1.459** 0.824 0.960 -1.093 (0.530) (0.532) (0.557) (0.621) (0.878) GR5 FAST FOOD NONE 1-3 TIMES/WK 4-6 TIMES/WK 1 TIME/DAY 2 TIMES/DAY 3+ TIMES/DAY 0.175 -1.159 -5.634*** -4.860+ -4.412* (0.598) (0.952) (1.470) (2.731) (1.798) -0.291 -1.790** -2.993** -2.448 -3.884** (0.386) (0.663) (0.998) (1.994) (1.437) -0.207 -1.543** -1.743* -0.375 -1.248 (0.304) (0.530) (0.756) (1.533) (1.087) GR8 FAST FOOD NONE 1-3 TIMES/WK 4-6 TIMES/WK 1 TIME/DAY 2 TIMES/DAY -0.140 -1.598 -5.065** -6.099** (0.529) (1.042) (1.872) (2.334) 0.545 -0.984 -3.624** -6.651*** (0.411) (0.751) (1.378) (1.647) -0.023 -2.614*** -4.009*** -6.484*** (0.286) (0.573) (1.054) (1.136) GR5 MILK, NONE 1-3 GLASS/WK 4-6 GLASS/WK 1 GLASS/DAY 2 GLASS/DAY 3 GLASS/DAY 4+ GLASS/DAY -0.455 -0.167 -1.696 -8.484*** (0.477) (0.920) (1.326) (2.572) -0.389 0.887 -1.386 -4.519* (0.359) (0.613) (0.972) (1.827) 85 GR8 HOW ACTIVE LESS SAME SLIGHTLY MORE MUCH MORE VS. PEERS -1.737+ -2.536** -3.253** (0.890) (0.939) (1.045) 1.299** (0.399) GR8 PREFERS BEING ALONE NO SOMEWHAT 3.022*** (0.602) YES 5.810*** (1.183) SELF-CONCEPT -1.334* -0.760 -0.943 (0.619) (0.656) (0.683) -1.371** -1.201* -1.745** (0.501) (0.530) (0.559) 0.843** (0.291) 0.605** (0.226) 1.380** 1.532 (0.470) (0.934) 1.002** 0.274 (0.347) (0.723) SCHOOL VARIABLES_______________________________________________________ GRADE 3 STUDENT ENROLLMENT 20/LESS 21-40 -1.775 (1.277) 41-60 -1.561 (1.288) 61-80 -3.105* (1.421) 81-100 -3.410* (1.421) 101-120 -4.204** (1.508) 121-140 -4.852** (1.820) 141-160 -1.300 (2.083) 161-180 -2.105 (1.780) 180/MORE -2.586 (2.233) -1.242 -1.052 -2.632** -1.246 -1.221 -1.608 -3.000* -2.678+ -2.031 (1.059) (0.992) (1.019) (1.044) (1.076) (1.248) (1.339) (1.484) (1.526) -0.553 -0.132 -0.744 -1.109 -0.047 -1.901* -1.395 -1.329 -0.395 (0.639) (0.611) (0.661) (0.675) (0.740) (0.860) (1.228) (1.138) (1.143) GRADE 3 FREE LUNCH% -0.055*** (0.015) -0.041*** (0.010) -0.036*** (0.008) _cons 95.847*** (4.643) 82.378*** (3.184) 54.980*** (2.259) _______________________________________________________________________ Obs 4829.0 4876.0 4888.0 Groups 1421.0 1431.0 1435.0 chi2 29128.078 70852.983 39631.998 r2_overall 0.607 0.668 0.622 r2_between 0.623 0.704 0.668 r2_within 0.514 0.604 0.518 rho 0.198 0.134 0.131 grp_min 1.0 1.0 1.0 grp_avg 3.398 3.407 3.406 grp_max 34.0 35.0 35.0 _______________________________________________________________________ Standard errors in parentheses + p<0.10, * p<0.05, ** p<0.01, *** p<0.001 86 APPENDIX D STANDARDIZED SELF-CONCEPT REGRESSION ----------------------------------------------------------------------SCALE 0-100 (1) OVERALL (2) BOYS (3) GIRLS ----------------------------------------------------------------------NORMAL WEIGHT UNDERWEIGHT 0.634 (1.075) -0.046 (1.377) 1.290 (1.693) OVERWEIGHT -0.455 (0.488) -0.299 (0.701) -0.527 (0.687) OBESE -1.743*** (0.497) -1.826** (0.642) -1.747* (0.780) FEMALE WHITE BLACK HISPANIC ASIAN P.ISLANDER AMERINDIAN MIXED RACE -3.389*** (0.373) 5.906*** -0.105 -1.981* 0.114 1.571 2.013+ (0.701) (0.569) (0.833) (1.771) (1.351) (1.204) 4.177***(0.970) -0.433 (0.770) -2.295* (1.166) -0.182 (2.684) 2.519 (1.882) 0.738 (1.661) 7.413*** 0.307 -1.618 0.412 0.612 3.416+ (1.026) (0.846) (1.195) (2.387) (1.968) (1.748) -1.722** -0.478 -1.534* (0.524) (0.521) (0.599) -1.366+ -1.106 -1.975* (0.715) (0.707) (0.828) -2.078** 0.137 -1.273 (0.770) (0.768) (0.869) BIOLOGICAL MOTHER AND FATHER MOM/STEPDAD -1.789** (0.609) DAD/STEPMOM -0.896 (1.485) SINGLE PARENT -1.038+ (0.556) ADOPTED -5.057 (5.455) RELATIVE -0.122 (1.358) GUARDIAN -0.239 (1.378) -1.519+ -0.419 -0.789 -2.459 -1.932 2.591 (0.849) (1.987) (0.771) (7.506) (1.830) (2.190) -1.976* -1.588 -1.109 -10.014 1.633 -1.988 (0.880) (2.228) (0.804) (8.053) (2.044) (1.836) MOM’S EDUCATION, HIGH SCHOOL DIPLOMA GRADE 8/LESS -0.249 (1.057) 0.061 GRADE 9-12 -0.428 (0.926) -1.809 VOC TECH 0.765 (0.843) 1.599 SOME COLLEGE -0.495 (0.503) -1.120 BACHELORS -0.509 (0.592) -0.651 GRAD WORK -0.213 (1.079) -0.878 MASTERS -0.283 (0.796) -0.704 DOCTORATE -1.774 (1.193) -2.163 (1.415) (1.261) (1.153) (0.693) (0.809) (1.463) (1.068) (1.618) -0.630 0.682 -0.286 -0.158 -0.556 0.147 -0.202 -1.331 (1.588) (1.369) (1.241) (0.734) (0.869) (1.590) (1.187) (1.762) INCOME, $40-50K $10K/LESS -3.912*** $10-20K -0.712 $20-30K -0.390 $30-40K -1.010 $50-75K -0.191 $75-200K -0.011 $200/MORE 0.501 (1.671) (1.264) (1.091) (1.059) (0.952) (0.913) (1.383) -3.060+ 0.221 -0.804 -2.103+ 0.070 0.008 0.914 (1.692) (1.351) (1.206) (1.138) (1.038) (1.015) (1.488) NORTHEAST MIDWEST SOUTH WEST (1.178) (0.922) (0.809) (0.775) (0.702) (0.680) (1.014) -4.849** -1.773 0.316 0.268 -0.302 0.065 0.388 87 EDUCATIONAL EXPECTATIONS HIGH SCHOOL DIPLOMA AA DEGREE 1.086 ATTEND UNIV. 0.172 BA DEGREE 6.215*** MA DEGREE 8.229*** MD,JD,PHD 10.670*** NO DIPLOMA -7.940** (1.312) (1.412) (1.046) (1.088) (1.116) (2.598) 2.809+ (1.552) 2.151 (1.742) 7.794***(1.228) 9.518***(1.302) 11.315***(1.382) -1.916 (3.188) -2.236 -3.029 3.286+ 5.553** 8.543*** -17.115*** (2.391) (2.452) (1.965) (2.004) (2.019) (4.419) DISABLED TVWKDY VIDWKD EXERCS -2.093*** -0.194* -0.361*** 0.560*** (0.545) (0.082) (0.101) (0.066) -2.950***(0.702) -0.103 (0.110) -0.163 (0.121) 0.589***(0.087) -0.792 -0.278* -0.830*** 0.547*** (0.865) (0.124) (0.180) (0.102) GRADES A’S B’S C’S D’S F’S NO GRADES -2.715*** -5.530*** -6.266*** -4.654+ -2.841 (0.413) (0.645) (1.461) (2.442) (1.787) -2.301***(0.567) -5.391***(0.811) -4.641** (1.729) -1.451 (2.720) -2.395 (2.360) -2.962*** -6.039*** -10.205*** -12.633* -3.824 (0.607) (1.065) (2.678) (5.247) (2.728) LESS ACTIVE COMPARED/PEERS SAME 1.334* (0.627) SLIGHTLY MORE 2.492*** (0.678) MUCH MORE 3.038*** (0.719) 1.994* (0.848) 3.059***(0.913) 3.269***(0.981) 0.608 1.721+ 2.555* (0.934) (1.016) (1.065) EXCELLENT HEALTH VERY GOOD -1.548*** (0.403) GOOD -1.944** (0.615) FAIR/POOR -2.543+ (1.306) -2.095***(0.545) -1.773* (0.827) -1.618 (1.745) -1.040+ -2.137* -3.371+ (0.596) (0.915) (1.972) NOT UNHAPPY SOMEWHAT YES -2.436*** (0.621) -2.798 (1.830) -2.502** (0.880) -5.114+ (3.041) -2.289** -1.979 (0.885) (2.361) NOT BULLIED SOMEWHAT YES -1.575** (0.512) -3.946*** (1.153) -1.039 (0.676) -3.964** (1.438) -1.968* -3.508+ (0.782) (1.922) _cons 74.262*** (1.586) 68.787***(1.857) 70.922*** (2.476) ----------------------------------------------------------------------Obs 7219 3597 3622 F-test 24.01 13.07 12.36 Adj.r2 0.1803 0.1858 0.1759 ----------------------------------------------------------------------Standard errors in parentheses + p<0.10, *p<0.05, **p<0.01, ***p<0.001 88 WORK CITED American Medical Association (2007). 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