STAT 511 - 001 Homework 10 Solution Total 40 5.47 = 12 cm a. = .04 cm n = 16 P( 11.99 12.01 12 11.99 12 Z X 12.01) = P .01 .01 = P(-1 Z 1) = (1) - (-1) =.8413 - .1587 =.6826 b. n = 25 P( X > 12.01) = P Z 12.01 12 = P( Z > 1.25) .04 / 5 = 1 - (1.25) = 1 - .8944 =.1056 5.48 a. b. 5.50 X 50 , x n 1 .10 (2) 100 50 .1 50 49 .9 50 Z P(49.9 X 50.1) = P = P(–1 Z 1) = .6826 . 10 .10 (4) 50 .1 49 .8 49 .9 49 .8 Z P(49.9 X 50.1) = P = P(1 Z 3) = .1573 .10 .10 (4) = 10,000 psi a. n = 40 P( 9,900 b. x = 500 psi 9,900 10,000 10,200 10,000 Z X 10,200) P 500 / 40 500 / 40 = P(-1.26 Z 2.53) = (2.53) - (-1.26) = .9943 - .1038 = .8905 (6) According to the Rule of Thumb given in Section 5.4, n should be greater6 than 30 in order to apply the C.L.T., thus using the same procedure for n = 15 as was used for n = 40 would not be appropriate. (4) 1 STAT 511 - 001 5.51 X ~ N(10,4). For day 1, n = 5 P( X 11)= P Z 11 10 P( Z 1.12) .8686 2/ 5 11 10 P( Z 1.22) .8888 2/ 6 For day 2, n = 6 P( X 11)= P Z For both days, P( X 11)= (.8686)(.8888) = .7720 5.59 a. E( X1 + X2 + X3 ) = 180, V(X1 + X2 + X3) = 45, x x x 6.708 1 2 3 200 180 P(X1 + X2 + X3 200) = P Z P( Z 2.98) .9986 6.708 P(150 X1 + X2 + X3 200) = P(4.47 Z 2.98) .9986 b. X 60 , x c. E( X1 - .5X2 -.5X3 ) = 0; x 15 2.236 n 3 55 60 P( X 55) P Z P( Z 2.236) .9875 2.236 P(58 X 62) P .89 Z .89 .6266 12 .25 22 .25 32 22.5, sd = 4.7434 50 10 0 Z P(-10 X1 - .5X2 -.5X3 5) = P 4.7434 4.7434 P 2.11 Z 1.05 = .8531 - .0174 = .8357 V( X1 - .5X2 -.5X3 ) = 2 STAT 511 - 001 d. E( X1 + X2 + X3 ) = 150, V(X1 + X2 + X3) = 36, P(X1 + X2 + X3 200) = P Z x x 1 2 x3 6 160 150 P( Z 1.67) .9525 6 We want P( X1 + X2 2X3), or written another way, P( X1 + X2 - 2X3 0) E( X1 + X2 - 2X3 ) = 40 + 50 – 2(60) = -30, 12 22 4 32 78, sd = 8.832, so 0 (30) P( X1 + X2 - 2X3 0) = P Z P( Z 3.40) .0003 8.832 V(X1 + X2 - 2X3) = 5.60 1 1 2 1 3 4 5 1 , and 2 3 1 1 1 1 1 Y2 12 22 32 42 52 3.167, Y 1.7795 . 4 4 9 9 9 0 (1) Z P(.56 Z ) .2877 Thus, P0 Y P 1.7795 Y is normally distributed with Y (3) (3) and 2 P 1 Y 1 P 0 Z P(0 Z 1.12) .3686 1.7795 6.15 a. X i2 X2 ˆ . Consider . Then E ( X ) 2 implies that E 2n 2 X i2 E X i2 2 2n ˆ E E , implying that ˆ is an 2n 2 n 2 n 2 n 2 unbiased estimator for b. x 2 i . 1490.1058 74.505 1490.1058 , so ˆ 20 3 (4) STAT 511 - 001 6.16 a. EX (1 )Y E ( X ) (1 ) E (Y ) (1 ) 4(1 ) 2 2 b. VarX (1 )Y Var ( X ) (1 ) Var (Y ) . m n 2 2 8(1 ) 2 Setting the derivative with respect to equal to 0 yields 0, m n 4m from which . (6) 4m n 2 2 4 2 2 (4)