Average Crop Revenue Election ACRE Program Ron Haugen/Dwight Aakre Farm Management Specialists February 2010 Producers may elect to enroll in the ACRE program in place of the counter-cyclical payment program • Optional - sign-up deadline - Aug 14 • By farm unit • May enroll in 2009, 2010, 2011, or 2012 • Cost to participate in ACRE – 20% of all direct payments • Not eligible for counter-cyclical payments • Loan rates reduced by 30% • ACRE payments are by individual crop 2 ACRE vs Counter-Cyclical Payment Program • ACRE is revenue based (yield X price) • ACRE payments are paid on planted acres • Counter-cyclical payments are determined by price only • C-C payments are paid on base acres 3 Direct Payment Rates Commodity Wheat Corn Sorghum Barley Oats Soybeans Minor Oilseeds $/Unit Bu. Bu. Bu. Bu. Bu. Bu. Cwt. 2008-2012 $0.52 $0.28 $0.35 $0.24 $0.024 $0.44 $0.80 4 Target Prices for Counter-cyclical Payments Commodity $ per unit 2007 2008 2009 2010-2012 Wheat Bu. $3.92 $3.92 $3.92 $4.17 Corn Bu. $2.63 $2.63 $2.63 $2.63 Sorghum Bu. $2.57 $2.57 $2.57 $2.63 Barley Bu. $2.24 $2.24 $2.24 $2.63 Oats Bu. $1.44 $1.44 $1.44 $1.79 Soybeans Bu. $5.80 $5.80 $5.80 $6.00 Other Oilseeds Cwt. $10.10 $10.10 $10.10 $12.68 Dry Peas Cwt. n/a n/a $8.32 $8.32 Lentils Cwt. n/a n/a $12.81 $12.81 Small Chickpeas Cwt. n/a n/a $10.36 $10.36 Large Chickpeas Cwt. n/a n/a $12.81 $12.81 5 Counter-Cyclical (C-C) Payment Program No payment until national average price falls below the effective target price (target minus DP) Crop Wheat Corn Barley Oats Soybeans Minor Oilseeds Effective Target Price 2009 2010-2012 3.40 3.65 2.35 2.00 1.416 2.35 2.39 1.766 5.36 9.30 5.56 11.88 No cost (no loss of DP or reduced loan rates) 6 Counter-Cyclical (C-C) Payment Program - 2009 7 Average Crop Revenue Election (ACRE) • ACRE is optional; producers must elect to participate • Available beginning with 2009 crop • ACRE election stays with the farm even if the operator changes • Must submit 5 prior years and current year production records 8 Average Crop Revenue Election (ACRE) Program In general, revenue considers yields and prices • Yields based on planted acreage of a crop • Price based on the National Average Market Price • Historical Prices: Simple average of 2 previous years • Actual prices received by the producers are not used. Other information considered: National Loan Rates and the Crop Insurance Premiums paid for the farm. 9 ACRE Program Parameters • The National Office will provide most of the information needed for the ACRE Program at: • www.fsa.usda.gov/dcp • State ACRE Guarantees • Benchmark State Yields • ACRE Guarantee Prices • Data to calculate the Preliminary Benchmark Farm Yields • National Average Market Prices • Actual State Yields 10 ACRE vs DCP • Will ACRE payments offset loss of 20% of direct payments? (this is the pertinent question) • Will there be any counter-cyclical payments? (not likely) • Will ACRE payments offset counter-cyclical payments? (almost certain) 11 ACRE consists of: • 20 percent reduction in direct payments • 30 percent reduction in marketing loan rates • ACRE revenue protection payments • Payments are made on acres planted and considered planted – not base acres • Maximum payment acres cannot exceed total base acres 12 ACRE payment to a farm equals state revenue guarantee minus state actual revenue x 83.3% (85%-2012) of acres planted x farm benchmark yield ÷ by state benchmark yield 13 ACRE state revenue guarantee equals: state yield (5-year Olympic average) X price guarantee (most recent 2 year average U.S. price) X 90 percent Guarantee can not change more than 10 percent per year. 14 ACRE Eligibility • Farm’s actual revenue must be less than the farm’s benchmark revenue • Actual revenue is farm’s yield this year times U.S. price • Benchmark revenue is farm’s 5-year Olympic average yield times ACRE guarantee price plus per acre crop insurance premium 15 Average Crop Revenue Election (ACRE) Program Beginning in 2009 Two Triggers must be met before Payments can be Issued 1. STATE TRIGGER State ACRE Guarantee +/- 10% from preceding year must exceed Actual State Revenue 90% 100% times times Benchmark State Yield Actual State Planted Yield (5-year Olympic average planted yield) times higher of: times ACRE Program Guarantee Price (2-year national average market price) National Average Market Price or 70% of National Loan Rate 16 Average Crop Revenue Election (ACRE) Program Beginning in 2009 (continued) Two Triggers must be met before Payments can be Issued 2. FARM TRIGGER Farm ACRE Benchmark Revenue 100% must exceed Actual Farm Revenue 100% times times Farm’s Expected Yield Actual Farm Yield (5-year Olympic average planted yield) times ACRE Program Guarantee Price (2-year national average market price) times higher of: National Average Market Price or 70% of National Loan Rate plus Per Acre Producer-Paid Crop Insurance Premium 17 Average Crop Revenue Election (ACRE) Program Beginning in 2009 (continued) Calculation of a Farm’s Payment FARM PAYMENT = 83.3% of a farm’s planted/considered planted acres for 2009-11; 85% in 2012 times (farm’s expected yield divided by State benchmark yield) times State ACRE Guarantee minus Actual State Revenue State ACRE Guarantee times 25% Lesser of: 18 ACRE Payment Limitations • Direct payments $40,000 minus an amount equal to 20 percent reduction in direct payments • ACRE revenue payments $65,000 plus an amount equal to 20 percent reduction in direct payments 19 DCP vs. ACRE Program Payment Limitation Program DCP ACRE Payment Payment Limitation Adjusted Gross Income Not eligible if the average… Direct $40,000 nonfarm AGI exceeds $500,000 or the average farm AGI exceeds $750,000 Countercyclical $65,000 nonfarm AGI exceeds $500,000 Direct $40,000 minus the 20% reduction nonfarm AGI exceeds $500,000 or the average farm AGI exceeds $750,000 ACRE $65,000 plus the 20% reduction nonfarm AGI exceeds $500,000 20 Average Crop Revenue Election (ACRE) Program • ACRE payments are issued if there are revenue reductions for the State and the farm, as determined by the State and Farm “triggers.” • Both triggers must be met to issue payments: State Trigger: 90% of State’s Historical Revenue must exceed Current year state revenue Farm Trigger: Farm’s Historical Revenue must exceed Current year farm Revenue 21 Wheat Example STATE ACRE GUARANTEE 5-YR OLYMPIC AVERAGE YIELD 90% FACTOR FARM BENCHMARK REVENUE 49.9 0.9 ACRE GUARANTEE PRICE $6.63 STATE ACRE GUARANTEE $297.75 ACTUAL STATE REVENUE ACTUAL STATE PLANTED YIELD NATIONAL AVERAGE MARKET PRICE ACTUAL STATE REVENUE STATE GUARANTEE LESS ACTUAL CALCULATION OF FARM'S PAYMENT FARM 5-YR OLYMPIC AVERAGE YIELD ACRE GUARANTEE PRICE PRODUCER CROP INSURANCE PREMIUM FARM ACRE BENCHMARK REVENUE 52 $6.63 $12.00 $356.76 ACTUAL FARM REVENUE 52 $5.40 $280.80 $16.95 ACTUAL FARM YIELD NATIONAL AVERAGE MARKET PRICE 45 $5.40 ACTUAL FARM REVENUE $243.00 FARM BENCHMARK LESS ACTUAL $113.76 (FARM YIELD/STATE YIELD X STATE PAY'T RATE X 83.3%) $14.71 22 Wheat Example STATE ACRE GUARANTEE 5-YR OLYMPIC AVERAGE YIELD 90% FACTOR FARM BENCHMARK REVENUE 35.3 0.9 ACRE GUARANTEE PRICE $6.64 STATE ACRE GUARANTEE $210.95 ACTUAL STATE REVENUE ACTUAL STATE PLANTED YIELD NATIONAL AVERAGE MARKET PRICE ACTUAL STATE REVENUE STATE GUARANTEE LESS ACTUAL FARM 5-YR OLYMPIC AVERAGE YIELD ACRE GUARANTEE PRICE PRODUCER CROP INSURANCE PREMIUM FARM ACRE BENCHMARK REVENUE 38 $6.64 $12.00 $264.32 ACTUAL FARM REVENUE 35.3 $5.98 $211.09 -$0.16 ACTUAL FARM YIELD NATIONAL AVERAGE MARKET PRICE ACTUAL FARM REVENUE FARM BENCHMARK LESS ACTUAL CALCULATION OF FARM'S PAYMENT (FARM YIELD/STATE YIELD X STATE PAY'T RATE X 83.3%) 38 $5.98 $227.24 $37.08 $0.00 23 Reductions if Enrolled in ACRE • ACRE will reduce your commodity loan rates for production off that farm by 30% • Loan rates for production from a farm enrolled in ACRE: Corn $1.365 / bu. Soybeans - $3.416 / bu. Wheat - $2.135 / bu. Note: The PCP will not be adjusted, this means market gain and LDPs are impacted by this decision. 24 Benchmark Farm Yield • Benchmark Farm Yield is used for the farm trigger determination and the payment calculation. The higher the Benchmark Farm Yield: • the more likely the farm trigger will be met • the higher the payment • Each planted and considered planted covered commodity crop or peanuts on the farm will have a preliminary Benchmark Farm Yield equal to an “Olympic” average of 95% of each year’s ACRE County Yield (ACY) • “Olympic” average: Eliminate the high and low values, and average the remaining values 25 Benchmark Farm Yield • The farm level benchmark test will not trigger an ACRE payment, it can only prevent a payment 26 Benchmark Farm Yield • Producers have two options when establishing the Benchmark Farm Yield: • accept the preliminary Benchmark Farm Yield which will fill each year of the database with the 95% value • certify farm yields for any or all of the database years (five previous years) and have the Benchmark Farm Yield calculated on this data • Yields must reflect total production on the farm divided by the total planted and prevented planted acreage • Yields prior to a break in continuity will not be used. 27 Benchmark Farm Yield • Benchmark Farm Yield – acceptable records if requested by FSA to support the yields certified on form FSA-658 by the production report date, include: • Acceptable/verifiable production evidence for commodities sold, stored, or disposed of commercially off the farm • • • • • • Warehouse receipts Warehouse ledgers Load Summaries Settlement Sheets RMA Records – loss and APH data base actual yields. Marketing Assistance Loan/LDP 28 Benchmark Farm Yield • preliminary Benchmark Farm Yield is equal to an “Olympic” average of 95% of each year’s ACRE County Yield (ACY) Example Ex: Corn ACRE County Yield 95% of ACY 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 BFY 130 80 124 76 ------- 90 120 110 86 114 105 102 Calculation: (86 + 114 + 105) / 3 = 102 29 Benchmark Farm Yield • Producers may certify yields for the five previous years to update the preliminary Benchmark Farm Yield by the production report date • Yields may only be used from the most recent break in continuity, excluding zero planted years • Missing or incomplete production years, zero planted years, or years prior to the break in continuity will be “plugged” with the 95% yield for that year. Ex: Corn 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 124 76 86 114 105 Yield 90 100 140 0 Acres 125.0 600.0 160.0 200.0 95% of ACY Producer Records (FSA-658) Benchmark Farm Yield Did not certify a yield 124 90 100 140 ---0 ---- 100% Failed, Zero Yield BFY 102 P 105 30 Benchmark Farm Yield Producer yields may only be used from the most recent break in continuity, excluding zero planted years “Plug” yields (95% of that year’s ACRE County Yield) will be entered into the data base for ineligible or missing years. Example of a Break in Continuity and a Zero Planted Year: Ex: Corn 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 95% of ACY 160 100 112 148 137 Yield 195 ? 0 182 169 Acres 60.0 100.0 0.0 80.0 40.0 Producer Records Benchmark Farm Yield 160 Did not certify a yield Break in Continuity 100 ---- 112 182 ---- 169 BFY 132 P 147 Zero Planted 31 ACRE Payment Acreage Limitation Crops have to be prioritized if: more than one covered commodity crop or peanuts crop is planted or considered planted Planted and and Planted Considered Considered Planted Acres Acres Planted x Lesser of: x 83.3% 83.3% (85% in in (85% 2012) 2012) x Benchmark Farm Yield Benchmark State Yield (Farm Productivity Index Factor) State ACRE Guarantee minus State ACRE Guarantee x Actual State Revenue 25% the potential payment acres for all crops exceeds the total base acres (total planted and considered planted acreage of the crops exceed 120% of the total base acreage) Producers must designate crop priority order for the farm by the end of the contract period (September 30) Designation is prior to trigger determinations If the crop priority order is not designated, the payment acreage will be prorated for each crop, including crops that do not “trigger.” 32 ACRE Payment Acreage Limitation Example: The sum of the potential Payment Acreage for all crops cannot exceed the sum of the base acres on the farm. Crop Triggers Met? Planted and Planted and Considered Considered Planted Acres Planted Acres x Base xx Lesser of: Planted/ Prev. Acres Corn Yes 600.0 800.0 Soybeans No 50.0 100.0 650.0 900.0 Totals Maximum Payment Acres 83.3% 83.3% (85% (85%inin 2012) 2012) x Benchmark Farm Yield Benchmark State Yield (Farm Productivity Index Factor) State ACRE Guarantee minus State ACRE Guarantee x Potential Crop Payment Acres (acres x 83.3%) 666.4 83.3 Actual State Revenue 25% Without regard to trigger. Exceeds total base (650.0). Will be reduced by priority. 33 ACRE Payment Acreage Limitation Example Example: Crop Priority 3 crops 2 eligible Payment acres exceed base acres x Planted & Prev. Acres x 83.3% 83.3% (85% in in (85% 2012) 2012) Lesser of: Crop Triggers Met? Corn Yes 600.0 800.0 666.4 1 Soybeans No 50.0 100.0 83.3 Wheat Yes 50.0 100.0 83.3 2 3 700.0 1000.0 Totals Base Planted and and Planted Considered Considered Planted Acres Acres Planted Potential Crop Payment Acres Crop Priority Maximum Payment Acres x Benchmark Farm Yield Benchmark State Yield (Farm Productivity Index Factor) State ACRE Guarantee minus State ACRE Guarantee x Payment Acres 666.4 33.6 0 700.0 Actual State Revenue 25% Remaining Acres 700 – 666.4 = 33.6 33.6 – 33.6 = 0 Won’t get paid due to trigger! 34 ACRE Payment Acreage Limitation Example Planted and and Planted Considered Considered Planted Acres Acres Planted Same Example: x Acreage Proration x Crop Triggers Met? Corn Yes Soybeans Wheat Totals Base Lesser of: 83.3% 83.3% (85% in in (85% 2012) 2012) x Benchmark Farm Yield Benchmark State Yield (Farm Productivity Index Factor) State ACRE Guarantee minus State ACRE Guarantee x Crop Factor Planted & Prev. Acres Potential Crop Payment Acres 600.0 800.0 666.4 0.8000 x 700.0 = 560.0 No 100.0 100.0 83.3 0.1000 x 700.0 = 70.0 Yes 0 100.0 83.3 0.1000 x 700.0 = 70.0 700.0 1000.0 Payment Acres (Crop factor x total base) Actual State Revenue 25% Won’t get paid due to trigger! 700.0 Crop Factor = Crop Acres (planted/prev. plt) divided by Total Crop Acres (planted/prev. plt) 35 Preliminary (P) and Final (F) ACRE Guarantee Prices and 2009/10 Forecast Price 2007/08 Price 2008/09 ACRE Price for 2009 2009/10 Forecast All Wheat 6.48 6.78 6.63 F 5.30 Feed Barley 4.35 3.82 4.09 F 3.80 Flax 13.00 12.99 13.00 P 9.42 Corn 4.20 4.05 4.125 P 3.75 Soybeans 10.10 10.00 10.05 P 9.30 All Sunflower 0.2170 0.2265 0.2218 P 0.1760 Commodity World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates and Internal USDA Estimates as of July 10, 2009. 36 ACRE Marketing Year CROPS Marketing Year Wheat, Barley and Oats June 1st - May 31st Canola, Dry Peas, Flax, Lentils, Chickpeas Small and Large, Rapeseed July 1st – June 30th Corn, Soybean, Sunflower, Mustard, Rapeseed, Crambe, Safflower September 1st – August 31st 37 Possibility of ACRE Payments for North Dakota Producers in 2009 • Wheat – likely, due to price • Soybeans – possibly, will take both price and yields to drop • Corn – likely if below normal temps continue • Sunflowers – likely, price projected down 15 to 20% • Barley – possibly, price tied to corn, yield? • Flax – likely because of price As of conditions on July 10, 2009 38 Any Questions? 39