Why worry about energy costs in greenhouses? Dr. Robin Brumfield Specialist in Farm Management Brumfield@aesop.rutgers.edu http://aesop.rutgers.edu/~farmmgmt 2007 National Extension Risk Management Education Conference Phoenix, Arizona. April 17-18, 2007. Why Worry About Energy Costs? Agriculture is under Intense Competition Energy is 7-9% of Sales in Greenhouses How Does this Break Down? Greenhouse Example Energy % of Sales Heating Fuel Gas/Diesel 5.3% 0.5% Electricity Trucking Total 1.9% 0.8% 8.5% Cost per Square Foot Heating Fuel Gas/Diesel Electricity Trucking Total Energy Total/Sq. Ft. Sq. Ft Wk $ 0.870 $ 0.070 $ 0.341 $ 0.151 $ 1.432 $ 29.51 $ 0.73 Why Worry About Energy Costs? Energy Labor Materials % of Sales 8.5% 24.6% 32.4% Breakdown of Sales Operating Expenses Overhead Expenses Return to Operator's Labor/Mgt & Equity Capital % of Sales 71.5% 17.5% 11.0% 100.0% Average Greenhouses in NJ Greenhouse Size (Size Feet) Average Weeks per Year Acres Outdoors 111,883 38 4.2 Average Return to Operators’ Labor/Mgmt & Equity Capital Per Sq. Ft. Per Full-time Operator (2500 hours) $4.82 $72,416 Total Cost of Energy Sales Return to Labor/Mgt & Equity Capital Energy Costs Heating Fuel Gas/Diesel Electricity Trucking Energy Total $2,294,310 $ 216,606 $ 136,036 $ 4,407 $ 33,424 $ 14,920 $ 188,787 Energy Cost $ per million BTU $30.00 $25.00 Electricity $20.00 Natural Gas $15.00 No.2 Heating Oil $10.00 Propane $5.00 Kerosene $0.00 1 2 3 4 1 1999-2005 5 6 7 Fuel Increase since 2003 Electricity 7.7% Natural Gas 33.8% No. 2 Heating Oil 44.1% Propane 27.9% Kerosene 54.1% Gasoline 102.5% Effect of Energy Increase with no Other Changes Sales Return to Labor/Mgt & Equity Capital % Profit Heating Fuel Gas/Diesel Electricity Trucking Energy Total % Energy Costs 2003 $ 2,294,310 $ 216,606 9.4% $ 136,036 $ 4,407 $ 33,424 $ 14,920 $ 188,787 8.2% Now $2,294,310 $ 134,241 5.9% $ 196,014 $ 8,924 $ 36,001 $ 30,213 $ 271,152 11.8% Effect of Energy Increase & 5% Price Increase Sales Return to Labor/Mgt & Equity Capital % Profit Heating Fuel Gas/Diesel Electricity Trucking Energy Total % Energy Costs 2003 $2,294,310 $ 216,606 Increases 5% $ 2,409,026 $ 248,956 9.4% $ 136,036 10.3% $ 196,014 $ $ $ $ $ $ 4,407 33,424 14,920 $ 188,787 8.2% 8,924 36,001 30,213 $ 271,152 11.3% Effect of Energy Increase & 4% Price Increase Sales Return to Labor/Mgt & Equity Capital 2003 $ 2,294,310 $ 216,606 Increases 4% $ 2,386,082 $ 226,013 % Profit Heating Fuel Gas/Diesel Electricity 9.4% $ 136,036 $ 4,407 $ 33,424 $ $ $ 9.5% 196,014 8,924 36,001 $ 14,920 $ 30,213 $ 188,787 8.2% $ 271,152 11.4% Trucking Energy Total % Energy Investment Criteria Larger benefits are preferred to smaller ones. Early benefits are preferred to later ones. Safety is preferred to risk. Questions to Ask Which alternative enables me to reach my objectives? Which alternative best matches my firms skills & resources? Which alternative best meets my preferences? Which alternative minimizes the creation of new problems? How will each alternative affect my current activities? How much time will be required to incorporate each alternative? Things to Consider Include employees Evaluate trade-offs Chose solutions consistent with firm’s mission and objectives Decision Methods Intuition Payback Method Partial Budgeting Net Present Value Internal Rate of Return Intuition Management is part science and part art Intuition should not be discounted Best if used in conjunction with quantitative methods Partial Budgeting Reduced Costs Added Revenues -_______________ Added Costs Reduced Revenues Payback Method Most common after intuition Determine how soon the investment will “pay for itself” Simple Limitation – Does not take into account the size of the return – Ignores benefits and costs after the payback period – Ignores the time value of money Net Present Value Expresses all costs and returns in today’s dollars Sums the present value of costs and returns minus the initial investment Considers the time value of money Considers the size of the alternatives Only as accurate as the chosen discount rate Internal Rate of Return Rate at which the net present value of benefits equals the cost Chose the investment with the highest return Does not take into account the size of the return in $ Conservation Checklist – Reduce Costs Photo: Dr. A.J. Both Reduce Fuel Costs Select the cheapest fuel supplier Switch to a different fuel Use a dual fuel system Buy in off season Consider buying on the spot market – 20% savings Photo: Dr. A.J. Both Reduce Air Leaks Caulk and weather-strip doors, windows, etc. Lubricate louvers Seal all cracks in walls Repair broken glazing Use highest R-value for insulation Look at Technology – Horizontal Airflow Fans Photo: Dr. A.J. Both Uniform temperature & humidity Reduces cold pockets Improve plant quality and uniformity Double layer Inner layer saves 15% in fuel Poly over older glass reduces heat loss 2550% Photo: Lawrence S. Martin Energy (and shade) Curtain 20-50% heat savings Photo: Dr. A.J. Both Perimeter Insulation • At least 1 foot deep (preferably 2 feet) • At least 1 inch thick (preferably 2 inches) • Avoid gaps • Try to work neatly around post footings Photo: Dr. A.J. Both Space Utilization Peninsular or movable benches use 80-90% of space Install multi-level racks for low light level crops Put hanging baskets over benches Roll out benches Photo: Lawrence S. Martin Efficient Heating System Under bench heat allows temp to be set 5-10 degrees lower Check accuracy of thermostats Perform timely maintenance Periodically check operation of mixing valves Periodically check system performance Alternative Heating Fuel Sources Solar (hot water heating) Other solid biomass (corn) Bio-diesel Waste oil (fast food industry) Waste gas (landfill) Geothermal (hot water/steam) Waste Gas (Co-generation) Wood (waste wood, fire wood) Waste Hot Water (power plants, industry) Photo: Dr. A.J. Both Photos: Dr. A.J. Both Efficient Cooling System Build open-roof greenhouse Install roll up sides Shade Install evaporative cooling Keep doors closed when fans are on Photo: Lawrence S. Martin Conserve Electricity Inspect wiring Replace inefficient motors Replace incandescent bulbs with low wattage fluorescent to save 2/3rds on electricity Lower night temps Reduce fuel 3% per degree Effect of reducing nighttime temperatures on bedding plants Crop base temperature Normal air temperature of 68° F 36° F (cool-season crops) 41° F 45° F ( warm-season crops) Normal air temperature of 63° F 36° F (cool-season crops) 41° F 45° F (warm-season crops) Cool air temp Crop delay 64° F 61° F 64° F 61° F 64° F 61° F 11% 13% 13% 15% 15% 18% 59° F 55° F 59° F 55° F 13% 15% 17% 20% 59° F 20% Effect of reducing nighttime temperatures on bedding plants Delays crops 11% to 20% Partial Budgeting : Effect of 4 degree reduction in temperature Reduced Costs - reduce fuel 12% (3% per degree) Added Revenues -_______________ Added Costs Reduced Revenues - delay crop 11% (for 4 degrees) Partial Budgeting : Effect of 4 degree reduction in temperature Reduced Costs Added Revenues -_______________ Added Costs Reduced Revenues Net Loss $20,700 - $252,374 $231,675 Effect of 4 degree reduction in temperature Sales Return to Labor/Mgt & Equity Capital 2003 $ 2,294,310 $ 216,606 % Profit Heating Fuel Gas/Diesel Electricity 9.4% $ 136,036 $ 4,407 $ 33,424 Trucking Energy Total % Energy $ 14,920 $ 188,787 8.2% Decreases 4 degrees $ 2,041,936 $ (94,612) -4.6% $ $ $ 172,493 8,924 36,001 $ $ 30,213 247,631 12.1% Trucks Regular tune-ups save 10% on fuel Avoid lengthy idling and save 15-20% on fuel Run at the proper gear Consider hiring trucks or having customers pick-up Watering Systems Heat water to 120 degrees Locate hot water tanks near most frequent use Eliminate leaks Management Lower night temps to reduce fuel 3% per degree Delay starting greenhouse Keep growing areas full Compartmentalize Grow cool season crops Remember to Ask Which has a positive return? Which alternative enables me to reach my overall objectives? Which alternative best matches my firms skills & resources? Which alternative best meets my preferences? Which alternative minimizes the creation of new problems? How will each alternative affect my current activities? How much time will be required to incorporate each alternative? Profit = Price - Cost To Increase Profits: – Cut Costs – Increase Prices Percent of managers aware of factors affecting pricing decisions Consumer willingness to pay 21% Consumer response to price changes Value of product to consumer Price of competing products 34% 71% 75% Fixed costs 81% Variable costs 84% Source: Note on Behavioral Pricing, Harvard Business School, 9-599-114. Value Pricing and the Economic Perspective Marketing efforts Prices of substitutes Objective value (OV) Perceived value (PV) { { Consumer’s incentive to purchase (PV-P) Firm’s incentive to sell (P-COGS) Source: Note on Behavioral Pricing, Harvard Business School, 9-599-114. Product price (P) Cost of goods sold (COGS) $0 Combining the Economic and Behavioral Drivers of Willingness to Pay Consumer’s Willingness to Pay = Economic Utility of the Transaction + Perceived value – Actual Price Source: Note on Behavioral Pricing, Harvard Business School, 9-599-114. Fairness of the Transaction Additional References Energy Conservation for Commercial Greenhouses, Greenhouse Engineering, NRAES 33 NRAES 3 Natural Resource, Agriculture, and Engineering Service (NRAES) Ithaca, NY (607) 255-7654 http://www.nraes.org Energy Conservation for Greenhouse Growers http://msucares.com/pubs/infosheets/is1618.html Greenhouse Energy Conservation Checklist http://www.hort.uconn.edu/ipm/greenhs/bartok/htms/Greenho use%20Energy%20Conservation%20Checklist.htm Dealing with the High Cost of Energy for Greenhouse Operations http://www.ext.vt.edu/pubs/greenhouse/430-101/430-101.html Questions? Dr. Robin G. Brumfield Professor and Extension Specialist Rutgers University Brumfield@aesop.rutgers.edu 732-932-9171 ext. 253 http//:aesop.rutgers.edu/~farmmgmt