Traveling Tobacco Road: Diversifying Risk in a Post –Tobacco Era Presented By: Ben Beale Extension Educator St. Mary’s Co Overview of Program Southern Maryland Farm Viability Grant Program The purpose of the Southern Maryland Farm Viability Enhancement Program ("Program") is to improve the economic bottom lines and environmental integrity of participating farms through the development and implementation of Farm Viability Plans ("Plans"). These comprehensive, yet focused farm plans, which are to be developed by teams comprised of farmers and other agricultural, economic and environmental consultants, will be aimed at suggestion ways for farmers to increase their on-farm income through such methods as improved management practices, diversification direct marketing, value-added initiatives and agro-tourism. Tri-County Council of Southern Maryland The Process Administered by the Tri-County Council, with grant funds from the tobacco buyout program My Role: Provide leadership in development of plans, provide information and education in subject areas, identify other resources, and work as a team in overall review of submitted plans. Why Plan? Figure 1 Overall objective -profit Execution not good Strength of Plan Plan not good Success of Execution Components of a Plan Executive Summary Vision Mission Define objectives Market and Competitive Analysis SWOT analysis Marketing plan Production or operational plan Financial plan Supporting Data First Step: Vision and Mission VISION We are a family farm whose work is a reflection of ourselves. We are known for our practical involvement in producing quality products for a demanding customer. Our farm provides food for a growing community, income to support a growing family, and the values to enable the next growing generation. MISSION/OBJECTIVES The following goals are integral to achieving our mission: Operational Goals: Increase our level of efficiency, especially with regard to grain and beef production through increased economy of scale and management. To be completely transitional within the next five-year period, meaning the farm has a viable future and each member has the opportunity to earn a fair income. To position greenhouse operations and management capacity to stand on its own. Aggressively pursue relationship with Bell and look for opportunity to expand. Financial Goals: Maintain low debt load, especially in reference to fixed assets. Maintain a debt-to-asset ratio of less than .25. Aggressively expand new operations, with stability of income reaching the point existing before the buyout. Produce average net income of $25,000 for each farm operator without reliance on tobacco buyout funds within six years. Market Analysis Identifying areas of competitive advantage that can be exploited in order to meet objectives of the mission statement Market research is thus critical to the process Direct marketing requires target market segments, identify key attributes of those segments and form strategy around the needs of that segment SWOT analysis: The SWOT analysis is simply a tool for organizing your thoughts and determining areas of competitive advantage. Looks internally at: Strength Weaknesses Looks externally at: Threats Opportunities Internal Strengths: Strong local recognition of name Excellent internal efficiency with management, communication and human recourses Good communication skills and public relations Very flexible horizontal structure Ability to specialize and customize each product to customer needs Close to consumers Very good financial standing, low debt/asset ratio Enjoys raising beef Internal production synergies through feeding grain products through beef Internal Weaknesses: Production inefficiencies compared to larger farms Most expertise in area of tobacco production Marketing culture of farm based on wholesale, commodity markets Limited experience in marketing management Facilities used for tobacco easily converted to beef barns External Opportunities Local Population base expanding offering more customers Regional population base (within 4 hour drive) represents 2/3 of total US population Disposable income very high in surrounding area Large # of specialty restaurants and shops in area Government subsidies and grant programs for farmers direct marketing Tobacco conversion program provides financial support for switching to other enterprises Limited competition in direct sales of differentiated beef products Consumer loyalty to local farm products Foreign disease scares increase value of domestic beef External Threats Local population base expanding-more expensive land, large farm operations not compatible with urban settings (noise, odors) Traffic congestion prevents movement of large equipment Unemployment low in area Farm industry very segmented and specialized suited to large economy of scale-leave little room in profits for small producer Tobacco production not expected to last in long term future Strengths: Facilities drastically increase throughput and efficiency Able to increase efficiency through feeding own grain Beginning of custom beef will add value to existing line Good at finding high quality feeders at low cost Use of silage and haylage, alternative feeds will further reduce costs Use of ration consultant provides for accurate feed production Existing reputation and brand value to Russell name Capability to produce high quality animals Weaknesses: Limited to current production given local land base Limited ability to harvest forage economically Time constraints with focus on production limit time available marketing Opportunities: Local sale of beef to expanding metro customer base Availability of dairy operations for potential alliances Expanding beef production in area allows for alliances for reduced input cost Proximity to feeder cow/calf operation reduces cost of feeders Threats: Traffic and population concerns over odor Nutrient management regulations-CAFO potential Profit margins require excellent management Consolidation of industry Areas of market differentiation: Price Product Promotion Distribution Operation and Production Plan Farm Execution Plan: Short and Long term Action Items Beef: 2003: Finish 230 head. Sell 220 through Truth and 10 as Freezer Beef. Begin to harvest more haylage and reduce feed cost. Begin to play along with forward contracts. 2005: Expand to 250 head--235 to Truth and 15 freezer beef. Look at another barn conversion. Begin to implement forward contracting or futures market. 2007: Complete herd expansion to 275 head with 255 to Truth and 20 to freezer beef. Seek alliance with other producers to further reduce input cost. Greenhouse: 2003: Add hanging baskets and additional house. 2005: Maintain production 2007: Maintain production Asparagus: 2003: Begin first harvest and negotiate a constant market 2005: Evaluate mature harvest and markets. Decide on acreage expansion and time commitments. 2007: Maintain production Grain: 2003: Increase production to 1200 acres. Work on marketing program. initiate alliances with seed companies. 2005: Maintain production at 1200 acres. Have defined marketing plans for entire crop. 2007: Renew Lease for next cycle. Hay/Straw: 2003: Look to increase actual harvestable yield through haylage. Seek sales to dairies. Continue with sales to contractors. Buy in straw if needed 2005: Evaluate contractor market. Maintain production. Look for advantages in winter and summer annuals 2007: Maintain production based upon demand Financials Pro-forma income statement Statement of Net Worth Planned cash flow statement any investments show level of risk involved show who has a stake in the business determine the need for short- term operating loans demonstrate long term cash flow-ex)vineyard and orchards Financials should show different enterprises Where and when money will be needed So get ready, hold on and enjoy the ride. The trying is half the fun. And after all the hard work, you get to reap the benefit of your efforts! The End