This Week READING: Chapter 6 of text Announcements Problem Set 1 due Fri Oct 12. Problem Set 2 due Tuesday Oct 16. Why N2, O2, etc? (Mars and Venus aren’t) Atmospheric Composition and Biogeochemical Cycles • The atmosphere as part of the Earth System • Global Biogeochemical Cycles (Box-Model Heaven) •N2 •O2 •CO2 Planetary Atmospheres Planet Earth Venus Mars Radius (km) 6400 6100 3400 Tavg (K) 250 700 200 Ps (atm) 1 91 6x10-3 N2 0.78 .03 0.027 O2 0.21 0.007 0.0015 CO2 4x10-6 0.96 0.95 Today: Earth System and N Cycle Oxidizing Atmosphere Earth System Surface Reservoirs N2 Cycling—does it do anything? The Atmosphere: An Oxidizing Medium Gas phase radical chemistry Oxidation Reduced gas EARTH SURFACE Oxidized gas/ aerosol Cloud Chemistry Uptake Deposition Emission Reduction Geological or Biological Surface Reservoirs of the Earth System Atmosphere air-sea exchange photosynthesis decay Biosphere Hydrosphere erosion runoff decay assimilation Soils Lithosphere What are the time scales of exchange between the various reservoirs of the Earth System? Oxidation States of Nitrogen N has 5 electrons in valence shell 9 oxidation states from –3 to +5 Increasing oxidation number (oxidation reactions) -3 0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 NH3 --Ammonia NH4+ --Ammonium R1N(R2)R3 --Organic N N2 N2O --Nitrous oxide NO --Nitric oxide HONO --Nitrous acid NO2--Nitrite NO2 --Nitrogen dioxide HNO3 --Nitric acid NO3--Nitrate Decreasing oxidation number (reduction reactions) Nitrogen Cycle: Major Processes ATMOSPHERE N2 biofixation orgN BIOSPHERE burial LITHOSPHERE combustion lightning NO oxidation HNO3 denitrification deposition decay assimilation NH3/NH4+ nitrification NO3weathering Box Model of the Nitrogen Cycle Atmospheric N2 3x109 Combustion, biomass burning, lightning Agricult. biofixation 80 150 Land biota 1x104 2530 2300 Inventories in Tg N, 1Tg = 1x1012 g Flows in Tg N yr-1 From Jaffe, 1992; Jacob text--modified 40 denitrification Tropospheric Fixed N (non-N2O) 5 rain 90 150 80 (NH3) Soil 1x105 40 rain 30 denitribiofixation fication 40 Ocean biota 1x103 1650 1640 Deep ocean 1x106 10 weathering 10 burial Lithosphere 2x109 40 Questions 1. If denitrification shuts off, while fixation continues, how long will it take for atmospheric N2 to be depleted? 2. How many times does an N atom cycle between atmospheric N2 and oceanic N before being transferred to the lithosphere? 3. Combustion and fertilizer use increase the rate of transfer of N2 from the atmosphere to the soil. Assume that these human activities have been in place and constant for the past 100 years, and prior to that they were negligible. By how much have humans increased the nitrogen contents of the total land reservoir (soil + land biota) and contributed to a global fertilization of the biosphere? N2O Very important byproduct of nitrification/denitrification • source of reactive nitrogen in stratosphere • greenhouse gas IPCC [2001] Fast Oxygen Cycle: Atmosphere--Biosphere • Source of O2: photosynthesis nCO2 + nH2O g (CH2O)n + nO2 • Sink: respiration/decay (CH2O)n + nO2 g nCO2 + nH2O CO2 Photosynthesis - respiration O2 orgC O2 lifetime: ~ 5000 years litter orgC decay Fast O2 Cycle: Atmosphere-Biosphere Can photosynthesis/decay control O2 levels? I.e., if photosynthesis stopped, by how much would O2 decrease due to complete decay of all biomass? (figure from DJJ) Slow Oxygen Cycle: Atmosphere-Lithosphere 0.4 Pg O/yr O2 in atmosphere: 1.2x106 Pg O weathering O2 OCEAN Photosynthesis decay CO2 Fe2O3runoff H2SO4 FeS2 CO2 orgC CONTINENT orgC Uplift burial CO2 orgC: 1x107 Pg C FeS2: 5x106 Pg S microbes SEDIMENTS O2 orgC FeS2 Compression subduction Question 1. Does atmospheric oxygen have a seasonal cycle? If so, when would it maximize? 2. Do you think humans are increasing or decreasing atmospheric O2, why? Recent Growth in Atmospheric CO2 Notice: • atmospheric increase is ~50% of fossil fuel emissions • large inter-annual variability Where is rest of CO2 going? IPCC 2001 Arrows indicate El Nino events Uptake of CO2 by Oceans ATMOSPHERE CO2(g) KH = 3x10-2 M atm-1 OCEAN CO2.H2O K1 = 9x10-7 M CO2.H2O K2 = 7x10-10 M HCO3- HCO3- + H+ CO32- + H+ CO2.H2O Net uptake: CO2(g) + CO32- 2HCO3-- HCO3- CO32- Equilibrium Partitioning of CO2 Want to know fraction of atmospheric and oceanic CO2 that is in atmosphere at equilibrium atm nCO 2 PCO2 Psurf nair Vocean = 1.4x1018 m3 ocean nCO 2 F atm nCO 2 atm ocean nCO n CO2 2 K K K H 1 1 2 1 Vocean KCO P CO 2 2 2 H (aq ) H ( aq ) PCO2 = 375 x 10-6 atm pHocean = 8.2 Fcalc = 0.03 97% of CO2 resides in the oceans This is definitely wrong! It greatly underestimates the fraction of CO2 that resides in atmosphere (Ftrue~ 70%)…Why? What’s wrong with this estimate? CO2 Uptake Limited by Ocean Mixing Inventories in 1015 m3 water Flows in 1015 m3 yr-1 Uptake by oceanic mixed layer only (VOC= 3.6x1016 m3) would give f = 94% of added CO2 remains in atmosphere…now estimate is too small…?! CO2 Uptake also Limited By Ocean Alkalinity Equilibrium calculation 2.1 2.0 1.9 [CO2.H2O]+[HCO3-] +[CO32-], 10-3M 1.8 1.6 1.4 4 3 [HCO3-], 10-3M [CO32-], 10-4 M 8.6 8.2 100 supply of CO32To increase supply of CO32-, CaCO3 in sediments/deep ocean must dissolve: CaCO3 Ca2+ + CO32- 2 8.4 auptake of CO2 is limited by the existing Ocean pH 200 300 400 500 pCO2 , ppm …which takes place over a time scale of thousands of years Questions 1. Marine biota take in CO2 during photosynthesis to make OrgC. About 10% of this OrgC sinks to the ocean bottom (fecal matter, dead tissue, etc), and is buried into the sediments. How does this process affect the equilibrium partitioning of CO2 between the atmosphere and ocean? 2. Does the growth of corals/shells (Ca2+ + CO32- CaCO3) cause atmospheric CO2 to increase or decrease? 3. A consequence of global warming is melting of the polar ice caps. This melting decreases deep water formation. Why? Would this effect reduce or amplify warming caused by anthropogenic CO2 emissions? Evidence For Land Uptake of CO2 Trends in O2, 1990-2000 Atmosphere--Terrestrial Biosphere C Cycle 790 From DJJ Inventories in PgC Flows in PgC yr-1 2000 Time scales are short: ~ 12 yrs w.r.t uptake; ~ 160 yrs w.r.t soil emission Global Preindustrial Carbon Cycle Inventories in PgC Flows in PgC yr-1 (from DJJ) When we burn fossil fuels, we take C from the sediments and put it into the atmosphere as CO2. How long-term is this perturbation to the carbon cycle? A Long View of Fossil Fuel Perturbation It takes a long time for fossil fuel CO2 to completely leave the atmosphere. Future Atmospheric CO2 Using estimates about future population growth, energy needs, etc. project future CO2 emissions. Using a climate model with a carbon cycle, predict CO2 based on projected emissions and sinks. 2000 2100 2200 2300 CO2 double pre-industrial value by ~ 2150 Stabilization Scenarios To make CO2 growth rate 0, sources must balance sinks These calculations show what our emissions can be for different CO2 levels. Note that sinks are predicted to get smaller. 2000 2100 2200 2300 To stop CO2 increase now, we’d have to cut our emissions by 50% Projected Trends in CO2 Sinks IPCC [2001] Questions 1. The Kyoto Protocol (heard of it?) aimed to cut emissions to be 6% lower than the 1990 values. Emissions would be only slightly less than 7 GtC/yr. Why was this even considered potentially useful? 2. To keep CO2 constant at its current value 380 ppm, we’d have to cut emissions by 50% to 4 GtC/yr. This would match the current sink rate. After a few hundred years, if we didn’t want CO2 to start increasing again, we’d have to cut our emissions even lower. Why might this be? 3. Fossil fuel abundance is estimated at ~ 5000 GtC. If we burn this much eventually, will the terrestrial biosphere be of much significance as a sink/storage of this carbon?