PART 1 (OPEN TO THE PUBLIC) ITEM NO. REPORT OF THE DIRECTOR OF AND LEAD MEMBER FOR CORPORATE SERVICES TO THE CITY COUNCIL ON WEDNESDAY, 20th FEBRUARY, 2002 Subject : 2002/03 REVENUE BUDGET RECOMMENDATIONS : Members are requested to: 1. Approve a revenue budget of £249.090m for 2002/03 ; 2. Note the efficiency measures achieved from good housekeeping and prudent planning amounting to £2.410m as set out in Appendix 4 ; 3. Approve the Council Tax levy in accordance with the formal resolutions contained in Appendix 10 ; 4. Request each Lead Member and Director to rigorously monitor the implementation of the accepted savings and expenditure against budget on a regular basis, to identify and report to Budget Committee any alternative savings which may be necessary to compensate for any savings not achievable in full and to ensure that overall net expenditure is contained within budget, and for the Lead Member and Director of Corporate Services to report monthly to Budget Committee on progress with the budget on a corporate basis. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY : This report :1. Identifies that the approximate outturn expenditure for 2001/02 is expected to be in line with the budget, and consequently the balances held in reserve at 31st March, 2002 will be £4m as planned. 2. Sets out the details of the RSG settlement for 2002/03 for Salford, which allows for a 4% increase in SSA and once again is less than the national average increase, due to the effects of data used which reflects population loss, reduced traffic flow weightings and a reallocation of resource to London and the South-East to reflect the higher cost of living there (the area cost adjustment). 3. Identifies that a projected standstill budget indicates the need to spend £249.090m, which would result in a 4.9% Council Tax rise for Salford's services, 4. Identifies that the budget would also enable the Council to : maintain its investment in keeping the City clean ; 1 passport the SSA increase for Education, provide match funding for the Standards Fund and meet the DfEE’s target for the percentage of the total Education budget to be delegated to schools. 5. As part of the budget strategy for 2002/03, it will be necessary to continue to contribute £1m to reserves and to capitalise certain revenue expenditure totalling £4.5m, of which £1m will require a direction from the Secretary of State under Section 40(6) of the Local Government and Housing Act 1989. 6. It is estimated that a deficit of £1.096m will be incurred on the Collection Fund at 31st March, 2002 to ensure that the shortfalls in previous years Council Tax collection arising from population drift is made good. Salford's share is approximately £1m. 7. The Greater Manchester Police and Fire Authority precepts will increase by 6.5% and 4.9% respectively. 8. The resultant Council Tax levy, subject to confirmation of the Police and Fire precepts and after allowing for the Collection Fund deficit, will be £759.48 at Band A and £1,139.22 at Band D, an increase of 5%. Single person households will pay 25% less. 9. Responses from the public have been taken into account in framing the budget. BACKGROUND DOCUMENTS : 1. Letters from the DETR dated 28th and 31st January, 2002 entitled "Local Authority Finance (England) : Revenue Support Grant for 2002/03 and Related Matters” 2. Reports to Cabinet dated 11th December, 2001, 15th January, 2002 and 5th February, 2002 3. Budget Consultation Report : "A Year of Opportunity" and responses from the public CONTACT OFFICER : John Spink Tel No : 793 3230 WARD(S) TO WHICH REPORT RELATES : All wards KEY COUNCIL POLICIES : Budget Strategy DETAILS : Continued overleaf --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 2 REPORT DETAILS 1. INTRODUCTION 1.1. The purpose of this report is to seek the approval of members of the Council to : The proposed revenue budget for 2002/03 ; and The proposed Council Tax levy for 2002/03. 2. REVIEW OF 2001/02 2.1. A revenue budget of £240.330m was set for 2001/02, an increase of 2.6% on last year. 2.2. The budget required efficiency savings of £2.258m, other funding adjustments totalling £5.370m and the capitalisation of revenue expenditure totalling £7.648m to keep within budget, whilst enabling the Council to maintain its investment in keeping the City clean, matching the Standards Fund grant provided for schools and fully passporting the SSA increase for Education. 2.3. Through close monitoring of expenditure throughout the year, identifying the need for corrective action where necessary, eg to meet the additional cost of pay awards and shortfalls in achieving a small number of savings proposals, expenditure has been contained within the budget set. 2.4. This will allow the planned level of reserves of £4m by 31st March, 2002 to be achieved and keep to the strategy established in the 2000/01 revenue budget of seeking to restore reserves to 3% or £7.2m by 2003. 3. THE 2002/03 REVENUE SUPPORT GRANT (RSG) SETTLEMENT 3.1. The Government has announced that it expects local authorities in England to spend a total of £60.6billion, an increase of 7%. 3.2. The funding for this expenditure comes from three sources, as follows :£billion Government Grants, comprising :Revenue Support Grant 19.9 Special Grants 10.8 ----30.7 Business Rates 16.6 Council Tax 13.3 ----Total Standard Spending 60.6 ----- 3 increase + 1.9% + 15.3% ----------+ 4.4% + 9.8% + 6.0% ----------+ 7.0% ----------- 3.3. The Revenue Support Grant from the Government is a grant towards the general expenditure by local authorities and is based upon what the Government expects each local authority to spend if they all delivered the same level and standard of service (called the Standard Spending Assessment). 3.4. The Special Grants from Government are aimed at providing grant support to specific services or initiatives the Government wishes to see local authorities give priority to, eg grants for schools to reduce class sizes, improve standards in education and improve the condition of school buildings, or grants to Social Services to improve services for children, adults and the elderly. There has once again been a substantial increase in Special Grants of over 15% in 2002/03 (21% in 2001/02) 3.5. The Government also determines the amount of money to be raised from businesses by determining the rate in the £ all businesses must pay on the rateable value of their property. The rate in the £ for next year will be 43.7p, an increase of 1.6%. 3.6. The Government will be expecting that, on average, local authorities in England will be increasing their Council Tax revenue by 6%, but due to an increase in the number of properties across the country, the increase in Council Tax is expected to be 5.2% and that the average Band D Council Tax for a standard level of service will be £769. 3.7. Last year, local authorities spent £3.5billion more than the Government expected, all of which falls on Council Taxpayers, giving an average actual Band D Council Tax of £901 and an average bill of £740. A 5.2% increase would mean the average next year would be £948 at Band D and £778 overall. Impact of the National Grant Settlement on Salford 3.8.The Standard Spending Assessment announced by the Government for Salford for next year is £227.858m, an increase of 4%. This is less than the average increase of 5.4% for all local authorities because of changes to the data used in its calculation. The main data changes which have caused this lower than average increase are population loss, traffic flows and the adjustment for the cost of living in London and the South East. 3.9.The Government assumes for the purposes of determining grant that Salford will raise £44m from Council Tax next year (+ 2.3%) and to receive £66.6m from business rates (+ 9%), leaving £117.2m (+ 0.9%) to be provided in Revenue Support Grant by the Government. 3.10.However, the Government has again adopted a "floor" to the amount of Revenue Support Grant to protect those local authorities who might receive less than a 4% increase in Revenue Support Grant and business rates. As Salford's increase from these two sources is below this 4% threshold, it will receive an extra £1.853m in Revenue Support Grant, ie a total of almost £119.1m. 3.11.Like most local authorities, Salford spends above the Government's Standard Spending Assessment. It is estimated the Council needs to set a budget at £249.090m to maintain the same standard of service as this year, which is some £21m (9.2%) above SSA. 3.12.All expenditure above the Standard Spending Assessment must be raised from Council Tax and so Salford will need to raise £63.4m in total from Council Tax to fund its expected budget. 4 3.13.Details of the impact of the Revenue Support Grant settlement on Salford are contained in Appendix 1. 4. 2002/03 REVENUE BUDGET 4.1.Forecasts of spending requirements began in June last year and have been refined as developments have unfolded during the year, particularly as the financial strategy was developed during the Autumn, details of the RSG settlement were announced early in December and submissions were received from directorates during December. 4.2.The estimated spending requirement for 2002/03 to maintain a standstill budget is £249.090m, an increase of 3.6%. Details of how this has been built up from the 2001/02 base budget are contained in Appendix 2. 4.3.A budget of £249.090m will enable the Council to deliver the services set out in Appendix 3. 4.4.In broad terms, the reasons for the increased spending requirement are as follows :£m % Function changes made by Government - 1.6 - 0.7 Efficiency measures - 2.4 - 1.0 Inflation + 9.9 + 4.1 Capital Financing + 2.2 + 0.9 Other Service Variations + 0.7 + 0.3 + 8.8 + 3.6 4.5.A schedule of the efficiency measures already approved is shown at Appendix 4. 4.6.Proposals for additional expenditure are shown at Appendix 5. The current proposed budget would not provide any funding for these proposals. It will be necessary for directorates to consider meeting them from existing resources where possible, if the proposed Council Tax increase of 4.9% is approved. 5. THE COLLECTION FUND 5.1. The Collection Fund is the account in which all financial transactions relating to the collection of poll tax and Council Tax are kept. 5.2. A local authority is required to determine, by no later than 15th January preceding the financial year for which the budget is being considered, whether its Collection Fund will be in surplus or deficit on 31st March prior to the financial year in question, and to share out such surplus or deficit with the precepting authorities in proportion to the composition of the Council Tax bill. 5.3. On 14th January, 2002, the Lead Member for Corporate Services, in consultation with the Leader of the Council, approved a recommendation to declare a deficit on the Collection Fund at 31st March, 2002 of £1.096m, of which the Council’s share will be approximately £1m, arising from a trend in the reduction in the amount of Council Tax collectable which began to emerge since 1996/97 due to empty property being caused by population moving away from the City. 5 5.4. This decision was consistent with a decision taken two years ago, when it was agreed that the deficit would be recovered over a five year period to ensure budgeted collection targets are achieved, but increases by £0.5m the deficit declared this year to ensure the accumulated deficit is recovered within the five year target originally set. 5.5. An analysis of the amounts of Council Tax raised and collected since its inception in 1993/94 is attached at Appendix 6. 5.6.The collection of poll tax has achieved its budgeted collection target. 5.7.The Council Tax Benefit Subsidy Limitation Scheme has been abolished for 2002/03. 6. THE 2002/03 COUNCIL TAX LEVY 6.1. If a budget is set at £249.090m then this, together with the effect of the deficit declared on the Collection Fund referred to in paragraph 5 above, would lead to a Council Tax at Band A of £692 and a headline Council Tax at Band D of £1038 for Salford’s services in 2001/02. 6.2. The Greater Manchester Police Authority met on 15th February and set their precept at £68.86 at Band D, whilst the Fire and Civil Defence Authority met on 14th February and set their precept at £32.48 at Band D. 6.3. The combined Council Tax including precepts for 2002/03 will be £759.48 for most taxpayers in Salford, who live in Band A properties, which is an increase of 5%. This looks likely to be one of the lowest increases in Greater Manchester and below the increase of 5.2% expected by the Government. Single persons will pay 25% less. 6.4. The average bill, which allows for discounts, will be around £740, whilst the tax at Band D, which is used as the factor to determine the tax rates for all other bands will be £1,139.22. 6.5. The full range of Council Tax amounts at each tax band are as follows, by comparison with this year :- Single Person Households 2001/02 2002/03 Increase £ £ £ Band A minus 452.07 474.68 22.61 Band A 542.48 569.61 27.13 Band B 632.90 664.55 31.65 Band C 723.31 759.48 36.17 Band D 813.72 854.42 40.69 Band E 994.55 1,044.29 49.74 Band F 1,175.37 1,234.16 58.78 Band G 1,356.20 1,424.03 67.82 Band H 1,627.44 1,708.83 81.39 Average Bill (after discounts) 6 2 or more Person Households 2001/02 2002/03 Increase £ £ £ 602.76 632.90 30.14 723.31 759.48 36.17 843.86 886.06 42.20 964.41 1,012.64 48.23 1,084.96 1,139.22 54.26 1,326.06 1,392.38 66.32 1,567.16 1,645.54 78.38 1,808.27 1,898.70 90.43 2,169.92 2,278.44 108.52 705.16 740.42 35.26 6.6.A table showing the potential budgets for different levels of Council Tax increase is included at Appendix 7. 7. PUBLIC CONSULTATION 7.1. Public consultation on the revenue budget has taken place in two stages this year. Firstly, in September a document entitled “A Year of Opportunity” invited responses from the public on the issues they would like to see the Council address in next year’s budget. More recently, last month, a second consultation document was issued on the detailed budget proposals. 7.2. The consultation period for the latter closed on 8th February and details of the consultation responses received are contained in Appendix 8. 7.3. Members are requested to consider the responses from the public consultation exercise in determining whether any changes should be made to the schedule of savings recommended for acceptance, the redistribution of resource, the level of the budget and the level of the Council Tax. 8. BUDGET ASSUMPTIONS AND RISKS 8.1. Members are aware that the Government issued its White Paper “Strong Local Leadership Quality Public Services ” in December. A requirement within that paper is for the chief financial officer to report to the Council on the robustness of the assumptions built into the budget. Whilst this proposal is not yet legislation, it has been the practice to adopt this approach previously in budget reports and so this part of the budget report sets out the comments of the Director of Corporate Services on the robustness of the budget. 8.2. Financial Health Two years ago, the Council’s general reserves were eliminated by the call upon them to meet additional costs of looking after children, and a strategy was developed to restore general reserves to 3% by 31st March 2003, which would amount to £7.5m based on the proposed budget for 2002/03. Contributions to reserves of £2m were built into the 2000/01 and 2001/02 revenue budgets to give general reserves of £4m by 31st March, 2002. This target will be achieved provided directorates keep to their forecast of outturn expenditure for this year. The target of £7.5m by 31st March, 2003 would require a budgeted contribution to reserves of £3.5m in 2002/03. It has not been possible to build this amount into the budget, but nevertheless a contribution to reserves will continue to be made in 2002/03, but of £1m, to give reserves of £5m (2%) by 2003. This will require a continuation of contributions to reserves in 2003/04 and possibly thereafter to ensure the target of 3% is achieved. Outturns for 2001/02 and 2002/03 will be reviewed to identify whether any underspends, should they materialise, can be added to reserves to help to reach this target by the planned date or as soon as possible thereafter. 7 The reason why the planned level of contribution over the past two years cannot be matched in 2002/03 is due to the need to ensure that other specific provisions are maintained at prudent levels to meet potential future calls upon them without dipping into general reserves, specifically :(a) The provision for irrecoverable bad debts on sundry debtor accounts – this has required a contribution of £0.5m in 2002/03 ; there has been no contribution budgeted for during the past two years ; (b) The Insurance Fund for future liability claims requires an increase of £0.5m based upon the advice of insurers to meet the increased risk of liability claims following events of September 11th last year ; and (c) The strategy to recover Collection Fund deficits as detailed in paragraph 5 above. 8.3.Inflation Pay increases are assumed to be 3.5% for teachers and 3% for administrative staff. Should pay settlements exceed these figures then the additional cost will need to be absorbed by schools and directorates within the allocations permitted by the budget. A similar occurrence happened in 2001/02 when administrative staff received an award 0.5% in excess of budget and the continuing additional cost of this award has needed to be absorbed in the 2002/03 budget without additional provision. Price inflation is limited to a 2.5% increase for charges which are determined outside of the control of the City Council, eg care charges by outside agencies, whilst no inflationary increase has been allowed for general supplies, services and fuel costs. Any increases in costs above these assumptions must be absorbed within directorate budget allocations. The Education budget has been granted in full the increase in its SSA of £4.066m, equivalent to 4%, and within this increase will meet the required target for the proportion of its budget which must be delegated to schools to manage directly, pay and price increases as referred to previously and match any funding increase which the Standards Fund grant from the Government will require. All directorates will bear their share of savings not achieved in 2001/02 relating to accommodation and increases in income, the cost of which flow through into 2002/03. Inflationary increases during 2002/03 will require close monitoring and scrutiny, and where they exceed the assumptions made will need to be contained within the budget allocations to directorates. 8.4.Function Changes in Social Services made by the Government The Government has made a number of function changes affecting Social Services, mainly to the services for adults, which has made less resource available than local authorities are likely to need to spend. Local authorities, both individually and through their associations, have lobbied the Government for additional funding. 8 Whilst the funding provided by Government is sufficient to meet immediate needs, there is a risk that demand will place pressures upon the available funds for 2003/04 and possibly towards the latter part of 2002/03. Funding provided by the Government to the Health Service may be of support and the Community and Social Services Directorate will be working closely with local health partners to ensure that such funding is used in an appropriate manner. The Social Services budget, at this stage therefore, assumes that demand can be made available within the resource allocated by Government. 8.5.Use of Grant Funding Budget plans are dependant upon a range of specific grants from the Government, some of which are time-limited, eg SRB, NRF, Childrens Fund, etc. It will be necessary for later years to have exit strategies in place to minimise any budgetary or service impact. 8.6.Capitalisation of Revenue It has been necessary to capitalise certain items of revenue expenditure for the past two years’ budgets, amounting to some £13m and £7m respectively, to ensure a budget can be set at an affordable Council Tax. This has required the permission of the Secretary of State for certain items, and such permission has been given. It will be necessary to continue with this practice for 2002/03, but the amount to be capitalised will reduce further to £4.5m. Again, the permission of the Secretary of state will need to be sought to capitalise early retirement costs estimated at £1m. However, this practice cannot be sustained because of the strain it places upon available capital resource and the risk it creates in maximising the potential for future capital resource from the Government. A strategy will be required from 2003/04 will begins to unwind the capitalisation of revenue until it is eliminated. 8.7.Capital Programme The revenue budget assumes that there will be no revenue implications arising from the preparation of the 2002/03 capital programme other than the assumptions over the capital financing costs which will be incurred on new borrowing and rent loss from disposing of assets with a rental income attached. The capital programme for next year currently indicates an excess of spending bids above available resource and work is currently underway to identify a funding strategy which minimises the revenue impact. 8.8.Budget Assumption Details A schedule of the assumptions made in drawing up the 2002/03 revenue budget is contained at Appendix 9. 9 9. RECOMMENDATIONS 9.1.Members are requested to: (a) Approve a revenue budget of £249.090m for 2002/03 ; (b) Note the efficiency measures achieved from good housekeeping and prudent planning already approved amounting to £2.410m as set out in Appendix 4 ; (c) Approve the Council Tax levy in accordance with the formal resolutions contained in Appendix 10 ; (d) Request each Lead Member and Director to rigorously monitor the implementation of the accepted savings and expenditure against budget on a regular basis, to identify and report to Budget Committee any alternative savings which may be necessary to compensate for any savings not achievable in full and to ensure that overall net expenditure is contained within budget, and for the Lead Member and Director of Corporate Services to report monthly to Budget Committee on progress with the budget on a corporate basis. A WESTWOOD Director of Corporate Services COUNCILLOR D ANTROBUS Lead Member for Corporate Services 10 LIST OF APPENDICES Appendix Details 1 Analysis of Impact of 2002/03 Revenue Support Grant Settlement on Salford 2 Formulation of 2002/03 Standstill Budget 3 Meeting the Pledges 4 Approved Efficiency Measures 2002/03 5 Proposals for Redistribution of Resources 2002/03 6 Analysis of Council Tax Collection 1993/94 to 2001/02 7 Analysis of Council Tax options 8 Details of Responses to Public Consultation 9 Schedule of 2002/03 Revenue Budget Assumptions 10 Formal Resolutions - 2001/02 Council Tax 11