International Trade and Competition Policy Presented by: Dr M. A. Razzaque Content of the Presentation International trade and trade liberalisation Trade liberalisation and competition policy Is trade liberalisation helpful to competition policy? Does competition policy restrict international trade? or, does it promote trade competitiveness? WTO and competition policy Competition policy under trading blocs International trade and trade liberalisation International trade – Exchange of goods and services amongst countries Trade Liberalisation? Undertaking liberal policies for imports Having liberal policies for exchange transactions Trade Policy and Instruments Policy => sets out objectives and means to attain them Instruments => a set of tools through which policy objectives are to be materialised. Trade Policy Instruments to Control Imports Import bans Quota – quantitative restrictions Tariffs (customs duty, supplementary duty, VAT, Dev surcharge) Tariff rate quotas Foreign Exchange restrictions Import Licensing Trade Liberalisation would imply: • Relaxation/removal of import bans •Relaxation/removal of quantitative restrictions • Reduction/removal of tariffs • Relaxation of foreign exchange restrictions • Simplifying the import licensing procedure How trade measures are recorded: • Use of certain classification system (such as HS and SITC) • Use of codes to reflect disaggregation of commodities Consider the Code: HS 02 HS 0202 HS 0202200 _ Meat and Edible Meat Offal _ Meat of Bovine Animal Frozen _ Meat Bovine Cut w/Bone Frozen Operative Tariff Schedule OTS of Bangladesh 2003-04 Excel Sheet showing Bangladesh’s OTS Calculate the impact of tariffs 87032113 (luxury vehicle) $100 CD 22% SD 250% DS 4% AIT 3% VAT 15% $122 $305 $317 $327 $375 On-going Trade liberalisation in Bangladesh Significant changes in terms of abolition of import quotas, simplification of import licensing procedures, reduction in import tariffs, harmonisation of tariffs, reduction in the number of tariff slabs. Bangladesh: Removal of QRs at the 4-digit HS Classification Level Year 1985-86 1987-88 1988-89 1990-91 1991-92 1992-93 1993-94 1995-97 1997-02 2003-06 Total 478 529 433 239 193 93 109 120 122 63 Restricted for trade reasons Banned Restricted Mixed 275 257 165 93 78 13 7 5 5 5 138 133 89 47 34 12 19 6 6 8 16 79 101 39 25 14 14 16 16 10 Restricted for non-trade reasons 49 60 78 60 56 54 69 93 95 40 5.0 2003-2006 1997-2002 1.9% 2.2% 2.2% 1.9% 1994-95 1995-97 3.2% 0.0 1993-94 3.2% 10.0 1992-93 11.1% 15.0 1991-92 14.5% 20.0 1990-91 20.5% 25.0 1989-90 30.0 28.7% 35.0 1988-89 1987-88 1986-87 40.0 38.0% 39.6% 34.7% 45.0 1985-86 per cent Trade-Related Restrictions as Proportion of Total HS 4digit Import Lines Bangladesh: Un-weighted Average Duty Rates License Fiscal Year CD SD VAT IDSC Fee Total 1991-92 57.23 0.73 14.03 2.22 82.29 1992-93 47.14 1.44 12.17 2.19 69.57 1993-94 1994-95 1995-96 1996-97 35.83 25.95 22.46 21.87 1.67 0.61 0.82 0.97 11.63 10.4 10.58 10.68 - 2.15 1.95 1.98 1.99 56.3 42.43 38.95 38.57 1997-98 1998-99 1999-00 21.1 20.52 17.12 1.11 1.49 2.04 10.66 10.63 10.36 2.27 2.26 1.99 1.99 1.99 2 40.61 40.49 36.86 2000-01 2001-02 17.2 17.13 3.22 3.22 10.81 10.83 2.07 2.07 2.08 2.08 39.38 40.15 2002-03 16.5 1.96 10.94 2.92 - 35.51 Are all these liberalisation good for competition? Certainly, liberalisation tends to promote competition We can work out the competitive effects from the impact of tariffs. CD SD+DS+AIT BD price World $100 30% 50% $195 World $100 30% 0 $130 Domestic producers have to compete with international firms Liberalisation could be an effective means for dealing with monopoly and oligopolistic market structures. Liberalisation can ensure ‘love for variety’ and quality Liberalisation however may not work, if: Importers form cartel and/or are involved in tacit collusion Foreign firms can manage to ‘avoid’ competition Import of goods is restricted due to such factors as foreign exchange scarcity/import licensing procedure/political unrest leading to disrupted transportation and communication system, international crises leading to supply shortfall. In the first place, liberalisation may not be possible, if: If there is a strong pressure from the domestic industry groups (vis-à-vis given the isolation paradox and free rider problem amongst the consumers) Political economy of protection – the connection between domestic producer groups and policy makers. Infant industry argument (but what if the infants are never grown up?) Employment argument (but who does the bear the costs?) Sugar Price Hike 17011100 (raw cane sugar) US price $0.46/Kg ($462/mt:) CD 30% SD 30% DS VAT 4% 15% 1$ = TK.70 0.59 0.77 0.80 0.93 Tk.65 Alternative Price: $0.46/Kg 0.59 X X X Tk. 41.3 Alternative Price: $0.46/Kg X X X 0.53 Tk. 37 Shipment and insurance costs have not been considered here, which would be around 10 percent For sugar price: http://www.sugartech.co.za/sugarprice/index.php BUT, Note that alternative scenarios might result in loss of government revenue. Flexible trade policy will require flexible revenue raising capacities. The basic point is: on many occasions one can rely on international trade to tackle the anti-competitive practices. Does competition policy restrict international trade? or, does it promote trade competitiveness? Evidence for restricting international trade is unknown. However, strong possibility of raising the competitiveness of domestic industry and thus expansion of exports. The strategy of providing some protection to begin with and then setting industries free may be effective, if the right industries are selected. WTO and competition policy • Still not an agreement under WTO • First proposed in Singapore 1996 but without any success • Many developing countries opposed the idea of bringing in competition policy in WTO – why? • Having competition policy is not WTOinconsistent as long as the principle of nondiscrimination is maintained. • In fact, it may be required to have CP to deal with unfair practices of international suppliers. Competition policy under trading blocs • Consider SAFTA • Suppose, BD and India are to exchange 0 for 0 tariffs under SAFTA while the tariffs on rest of the world remains the same. • Let’s get back to our sugar example Existing situation CD SD DS 17011100 (raw 30% 30% 4% cane sugar) US price: $0.46/Kg 0.59 0.77 0.80 India: 0.40/kg 0 tariff under bilateral FTA VAT 15% 0.93 0.46 1$ = TK.70 Tk.65 Tk. 32 (Tk. 60) Pro-consumer 10% 0% 0% 15% tariffs US Price:$0.46/Kg 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.58 Tk. 40.7 Concluding Observations • Trade is usually good for competition. • Loss of revenue can however be a concern. • Trade and competition can promote competitiveness of the domestic sectors. • Trade and competition policy does not rule out the need for providing protection to local industry. • Bangladesh has made some significant progress on trade liberalisation. • But, there are further scopes for supporting consumers. • Well-thought out and flexible use of trade instruments can serve the purpose of consumers and domestic industry. • Regional trading arrangements will have to be carefully handled to protect consumers. • Behaviour of the importers need to be carefully monitored. Thank You.