Implications, adaptations & policies for food security and livelihoods Solomon Islands Government Based on….. Where are we in the programme? Projected changes to atmospheric and oceanic conditions Ecosystems supporting fish Fish stocks/aquaculture species Implications for economic development, food security and livelihoods Adaptations and policies to reduce threats and capitalise on opportunities Outline • Factors affecting availability of fish for food Reef area, population growth, climate change • Implications for food security Relative importance of population growth and climate change • Win-win adaptations • Supporting policies Plans to use fish for food security • Provide 35 kg of fish per person per year • Maintain traditional fish consumption where it is >35 kg Solomon Islands • 33 kg of fish per person per year Where does most fish come from? • Coastal fisheries / coral reefs, mangroves and sea grasses Photos: Eric Clua, Gary Bell, Christophe Launay The problem! Sustainable catches from most reefs are unknown Solution: use median estimate of 3 tonnes per km2 per year Coral reef area in Solomon Islands Country Fiji New Caledonia Land area (km2) 18,272 Reef area (km2) 10,000* 19,100 35,925 462,243 22,200* Solomon Islands 27,556 8,535 Vanuatu 11,880 1,244 PNG Annual coastal fish production (mt) Reef area (km2) Reef fish Fw fish Total 8,535 25,605 2000 27,605 • Population in 2010 was 550,000 ~ 46 kg of fish per person per year Factors affecting availability of fish • Population growth Year Population 2010 550,000 2035 970,000 2050 1,180,000 2100 1, 970,000 Source: SPC Statistics for Development Programme Effects of population growth on availability of fish per person 2035 2050 2100 Effects of climate change Today 2035 (-2 to -5%) 2050 (-20%) 2100 (-20 to -50%) Additional effects of climate change Effects of population growth Additional effects of climate change Adaptations • Must minimise and then fill the gap Poorly-managed fisheries Quantity of fish/habitat a) Fish needed by growing population Fish habitat Fish Fish available available from from coastal stocks stocks Gap in supply of fish to be filled Time Well-managed fisheries Quantity of fish/habitat b) Fish needed by growing population Fish habitat Fish available from stocks Fish available from coastal stocks Time Adaptation decision framework Addresses climate change Near-term Loss Near-term Gain Addresses present drivers Long-term Loss Lose-Lose Long-term Gain Lose-Win X X Win-Lose Win-Win X x X After Grafton (2010) Adaptations to minimise gap L-L W-L L-W Win-win adaptations W-W Improves resilience of coral reef, mangrove and seagrass habitats Manage and restore vegetation cover in catchments L-L W-L L-W Win-win adaptations W-W Maintaining spawning adults will help ensure replenishment and build resilience of key species Sustain production of fish stocks Adaptations to fill gap How best to fill the gap? 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Fish needed for food security tonnes (x1000) Coastal fisheries Freshwater fisheries Pond aquaculture Tuna L-L W-L L-W W-W Win-win adaptations Store and distribute tuna and bycatch from industrial fleets to urban areas L-L W-L L-W W-W Win-win adaptations Increase access to tuna with anchored inshore Fish Aggregating Devices (FADs) L-L L-W W-L W-W Win-win adaptations Improve post-harvest methods Photo: Jocelyn Carlin L-L W-L L-W W-W Win-win adaptations Develop pond aquaculture in rural and peri-urban areas Photo: Ben Ponia L-L L-W W-L W-W Win-win adaptations ? Develop coastal fisheries for small pelagic species Photo: Nathalie Behring Other adaptations L-L L-W W-L W-W Provide for landward migration of coastal fish habitats Other adaptations L-L L-W W-L W-W Reduce and diversify catches of demersal fish Greater focus on herbivorous fish Other adaptations L-L L-W W-L W-W Allow for expansion of freshwater fish habitats Suggested supporting policies • Strengthen governance of agriculture, forestry and mining practices to prevent soil loss and pollution, to safeguard fish habitats and water quality • Minimise barriers to migration of coastal and freshwater habitats • Promote mangrove replanting programmes • Apply ‘primary fisheries management’ to coastal and freshwater stocks to maintain their potential for replenishment Suggested supporting policies • Restrict export of demersal fish to retain them for national food security • Increase access to tuna for the food security by reducing national allocations to industrial fleets • Capitalise on opportunities for freshwater pond aquaculture • Limit farming of Nile tilapia to catchments where tilapia species are already established, or there is a shortage of fish Key investments Surveys of best sites for installing inshore FADs Programmes to install and maintain FADs Identify prime locations for peri-urban and rural pond aquaculture Hatcheries and networks to deliver juveniles Evaluate merits of micro-credit schemes to develop fisheries around FADs; expand pond aquaculture; and scale-up post-harvest processing Conclusions • Win-win adaptations are available to reduce risks and capitalise on opportunities • Supporting policies and investments are needed • Integrate adaptations and policies and investments into national strategies and action plans for climate change, including communitybased actions supported by partners