The effect of terrain and land surface on summer monsoon convection in the Himalayan region Socorro Medina, Robert Houze, Anil Kumar, and Dev Niyogi 13th Conference on Mountain Meteorology), Whistler, BC, Canada, 12 August 2008 Orographic Precipitation in cold and warm climates OR CASCADES – IMPROVE-2 (2001) ALPS – MAP (1999) HIMALAYAS • Terrain gradients • Land-ocean contrast • Land cover gradients Snow/Ice Thar Desert Ganges Delta Tundra Wetland Forest Irrigated crop Crop Savanna Shurb/Grass Dryland/crop Grass Shurb Barren OBJECTIVE • Observational studies (Sawyer et al. 1947, Houze et al. 2007) proposed hypotheses on how monsoon convection forms • Objective: Test hypotheses (in following slides) using model simulations Model/data used • Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF v2.1.1) model with single-moment bulk microphysical parameterization with 6 water substances • Complemented with NCEP data Dominant type of systems Deep and wide convective systems Broad stratiform echoes (embedded in convective systems) Wide convective system in western indentation 3 September 2003 Accumulated precipitation and terrain Domain 1 (dx = 9 km) INDIA Domain 2 (dx = 3 km) Evaluation: 3D Reflectivity structure (~22 UTC 3 Sep [~03 LST 4 Sep]) OBSERVATION (TRMM-PR) SIMULATION dBZ 0 Height (km) 8 0 125 Distance (km) 250 0 100 Distance (km) 200 125 Distance (km) 250 0 100 Distance (km) 200 Height (km) 8 0 Height (km) 8 0 Vertical cross sections along red line 0 16 0 16 Vertical cross sections along black line Height (km) 8 16 16 Horizontal cross sections at 4 km HYPOTHESIS: Dry line SURFACE DEW POINT DEPRESSION AND 2 AND 4 KM TERRAIN CONTOURS Valid: 18 UTC 3 Sep (23 LST) Forecast : 0 h (1 h before convection initialization) HYPOTHESIS: Moist low-level flow from Arabian Sea, dry flow aloft from Tibetan or Afghan mountains SURFACE MIXING RATIO (g/kg) Valid: 18 UTC 3 Sep (23 LST) Forecast : 0 h NOAA HYSPLIT (NCEP FNL) BACKWARD TRAJECTORIES 1.0 AGL km 3.5 AGL km End time: 18 UTC 3 Sep (23 LST) Elapsed period between markers: 24 h HYPOTHESIS: High surface sensible heat flux as low-level air moves over Thar Desert NCEP time series HYPOTHESIS: Convection triggered over foothills TERRAIN AND COLUMN INTEGRATED PRECIPITATION HYDROMETEORS (10 mm) TOTAL PRECIP. MIXING RATIO N 6.0 g kg-1 Valid: 19 UTC 3 Sep (00 LST). Forecast : 1 h CONCLUSIONS WIDE CONVECTIVE CASE • Moist low-level flow from Arabian Sea heated by passage over Thar Desert • Western indentation of barrier allows low-level moisture and buoyancy to build up • Elevated layer of dry, warm air from Afghan mountains caps the moist low-level flow • Convection triggered by orographic lifting over the small peaks