Nesting Eta Model Ptop = 0 Eta Coordinate And Step Mountains ground MSL =1 Horizontal resolution of 12 km 12-km terrain Drawbacks of the Eta Coordinate • The failure to generate downslope wind storms in regions of complex terrain • Weak boundary layer winds over elevated terrain when compared to observations • The displacement of precipitation maxima too far toward the bottom of steeply sloping terrain as opposed to the observed location near the top half of the terrain slope • The reduction in the number of vertical layers used to define the model atmosphere above elevated topography particularly within the boundary layer WRF Model Family A Tale of Two Dynamical Cores Why WRF? • An attempt to create a national mesoscale prediction system to be used by both operational and research communities. • A new, state-of-the-art model that has good conservation characteristics (e.g., conservation of mass) and good numerics (so not too much numerical diffusion) • A model that could parallelize well on many processors and easy to modify. • Plug-compatible physics to foster improvements in model physics. • Designed for grid spacings of 1-10 km Two WRF Cores • ARW (Advanced Research WRF) • developed at NCAR • Non-hydrostatic Numerical Model (NMM) Core developed at NCEP • Both work under the WRF IO Infrastructure NMM ARW The NCAR ARW Core Model: (See: www.wrf-model.org) Terrain following vertical coordinate two-way nesting, any ratio Conserves mass, entropy and scalars using up to 6th order spatial differencing equ for fluxes. Very good numerics, less implicit smoothing in numerics. NCAR physics package (converted from MM5 and Eta), NOAH unified land-surface model, NCEP physics adapted too The NCEP Nonhydrostatic Mesoscale Model: NMM (Janjic et al. 2001) Hybrid sigmapressure vertical coord. 3:1 nesting ratio Conserves kinetic energy, enstrophy and momentum using 2nd order differencing equation Modified Eta physics, Noah unified land-surface model, NCAR physics adapted too Parallelized within WRF infrastructure Hybrid and Eta Coordinates Ptop Ptop = 0 Pressure domain = 0 Sigma domain ground ground =1 MSL =1 WRF Modeling System WRF Software Infrastructure Obs Data, Analyses Static Initialization 3DVAR Data Assimilation Dynamic Cores Mass Core NMM Core … Standard Physics Interface Physics Packages Post Processors, Verification WRF Hierarchical Software Architecture • Top-level “Driver” layer – Isolates computer architecture concerns – Manages execution over multiple nested domains – Provides top level control over parallelism • patch-decomposition Driver Layer • inter-processor communication • shared-memory parallelism initial_config – Controls Input/Output • “Mediation” Layer wrf alloc_and_configure Mediation Layer init_domain integrate solve_interface solve – – – – Performs actual model computationsModel Layer Tile-callable Scientists insulated from parallelism General, fully reusable filter physics scalars recouple advance w advance uv • Low-Level “Model” layer decouple – Specific calls to parallel mechanisms •The National Weather Service dropped Eta in 2006 as the NAM (North American Mesoscale) run and replaced it with WRF NMM. •The Air Force uses WRF ARW. •Most universities use WRF ARW WRF-NMM •Same domain as Eta •Sixty levels like Eta •Essentially same physics as ETA •Much better in terrain…doesn’t share the eta’s problems. •Clearly inferior synoptic initialization and synoptic forecast than GFS NMM WRF NAM NMM upgrades December 2008, include • GDAS (GFS analysis) as initial first guess. use of global analysis (GDAS) for first guess at t-12 hour (the start of the analysis cycle) improves the evolution of synoptic scale features in the new NAM-WRF. This is found consistently throughout the 84-hour forecast. • Improved physics higher resolution snow analysis and changes to snow impact on surface energy budget, increased absorptivity of model clouds NMM • Generally inferior to GFS Rapid Update Cycle-RUC RUC • A major issue is how to assimilate and use the rapidly increasing array of offtime or continuous observations (not a 00 and 12 UTC world anymore! • Want very good analyses and very good shortterm forecasts (1-3-6 hr) • The RUC ingests and assimilates data hourly, and then makes short-term forecasts • Uses the MAPS mesoscale model…which uses a hybrid sigma/isentropic vertical coordinate • Resolution: 13 km and 50 levels 13km RUC Terrain elevation - 100 m interval Improvements expected from 13km RUC - Improved near-surface forecasts - Improved precipitation forecasts - Better cloud/icing depiction - Improved frontal/turbulence forecasts NCEP computer upgrade allows RUC13 to run in same time as current RUC20 Data Type ~Number Freq. -------------------------------------------------Rawinsonde 80 /12h NOAA profilers 30 / 1h VAD winds 110-130 / 1h Aircraft (V,temp) 1400-4500 / 1h Surface/METAR 1500-1700 / 1h Buoy/ship 100-150 / 1h GOES precip water 1500-3000 / 1h GOES cloud winds 1000-2500 / 1h GOES cloud-top pres 10 km res / 1h SSM/I precip water 1000-4000 / 6h -------------------------------------------------GPS precip water ~300 / 1h Mesonet ~5000 / 1h METAR-cloud-vis-wx ~1500 / 1h -------------------------------------------------- Cloud analysis variables NCEP RUC20 operational Observations used in RUC RUC13 (at NCEP June 2005) RUC History – NCEP (NMC) implementations 1994 - First operational implementation of RUC - 60km resolution, 3-h cycle 1998 – 40km resolution, 1-h cycle, - cloud physics, land-sfc model 2002 – 20km resolution - addition of GOES cloud data in assimilation 2003 – Change to 3dVAR analysis from previous OI (April) 2004 – Vertical advection, land use (April) PBL-depth for surface assimilation (September) 2005 – 13km resolution, new obs, new model physics (June) 2007 – WRF-based Rapid Refresh w/ GSI to replace RUC 20km RUC 13km RUC Soil moisture – 22z - 21 Feb 2005 Dark blue = water More detailed coastline with 13km resolution WRF RUC • A new version of RUC has been developed, but not yet operational that uses the WRF model instead of the MAPS model.