2011 Census Results
Making Sense of the Numbers
Godfrey St. Bernard
Sir Arthur Lewis Institute of Social and Economic Studies
The University of the West Indies
St. Augustine
Trinidad and Tobago
Email: godfrey.stbernard@sta.uwi.edu or gstbiser@gmail.com
SALISES Forum
Institute of International Relations Conference Room
The University of the West Indies
St. Augustine
March 5th 2013
Discussion Points
• Why do a Population Census?
• Census as a statistical exercise
– Statistics as a science for determining the magnitude of unknown
counts, other descriptive measures and patterns of relationship
– Never Accurate but focus is on precision
– Methodological rigour and invoking critical sensibilities
• Discussing emergent population trends
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Population Growth
Sex Composition
Ethnicity
Religious Affiliation
Census Year
Duration of the
intercensal period
(in years)
Trinidad &
Tobago
Population
Change
% Change
Exponential
Growth Rate
1851
x
82978
x
x
x
1861
10.0
99848
16870
20.3
1.9
1871
10.0
126692
26844
26.9
2.4
1881
10.0
171179
44487
35.1
3.0
1891
10.0
218381
47202
27.6
2.4
1901
10.0
273899
55518
25.4
2.3
1911
9.9
333552
59653
21.8
2.0
1921
10.1
365913
32361
9.7
0.9
1931
10.0
412783
46870
12.8
1.2
1946
15.0
557970
145187
35.2
2.0
1960
14.0
827957
269987
48.4
2.8
1970
10.0
931071
103114
12.5
1.2
1980
10.1
1079791
148720
16.0
1.5
1990
10.0
1213733
133942
12.4
1.2
2000
10.1
1262366
48633
4.0
0.4
2011
10.6
1328019
65653
5.2
0.5
Projected Population Characteristics: Trinidad and Tobago, Selected
Census Years
8 June 8 June 8 June 8 June 8 June
8 June
8 June
2001
2005
2010
2015
2020
2025
Assumptions 2000
High
1262366 1267866 1285718 1312259 1347174 1379331 1398947
Constant 1262366 1264613 1266147 1260585 1247294 1219573 1174665
Low
Medium
1262366 1264613 1266707 1258745 1237531 1198894 1143457
1262366 1264610 1268439 1268642 1265430 1252654 1228675
Medium- 1262366 1267866 1284652 1300288 1310888 1309589 1294347
High
Medium- 1262366 1267866 1284303 1298648 1306920 1302196 1282384
Medium
Medium- 1262366 1264613 1266468 1259377 1243051 1211067 1161638
Low
Ethnic Group
Population
Size 2011
Percentage
Distribution
2011
Trinidad and
Tobago
African
Proportion
<15
Proportion
65+
Aging
Index
20.6
9
44
452536
34.2
19.6
10.2
52
Caucasian
7832
0.6
12
21
175
Chinese
4003
0.3
12.1
21
174
East Indian
468524
35.4
16.5
8.5
52
Indigenous
1394
0.1
14.3
14.6
102
301866
22.8
29.1
7.1
24
837
0.1
4.9
32.5
663
Syrian/Lebanese
1029
0.1
12.6
17.4
73
Other
2280
0.2
17.6
12.8
73
82246
6.2
20.3
8
39
Mixed
Portuguese
Not Stated
Sex Ratio
2011
2000
1990
1980
Trinidad & Tobago
All Ages
100.7
100.6
99.8
99.9
0-4
103.4
102.7
101.8
103.1
5-9
103.2
102.6
101.8
102.2
10 - 14
104.5
102.1
102.5
100.4
15 - 19
102.1
101.6
103.7
100.9
20 - 24
101.0
103.2
100.1
101.3
25 - 29
101.7
102.7
100.4
100.6
30 - 34
104.3
99.9
99.4
102.6
35 - 39
102.6
100.1
100.5
99.8
40 - 44
101.9
101.3
102.5
99.6
45 - 49
102.6
103.4
98.8
95.5
50 - 54
101.8
104.5
98.2
97.2
55 - 59
100.6
99.8
95.3
105.0
60 - 64
102.2
96.3
96.0
105.4
65 - 69
93.6
91.7
93.0
88.5
70 - 74
88.4
90.4
93.9
86.3
75 - 79
81.0
87.6
84.8
74.4
80 +
67.2
71.6
62.9
58.7
Country/Region
Population
Size
2000
Population
Size
2011
Intercensal
Growth
2000-2010
Percent
65+ 2011
Census
Trinidad and Tobago
1262366
1328019
5.2
9
City of Port of Spain
49031
37074
-24.4
14.8
City of San Fernando
55419
48838
-11.9
12.2
Borough of Arima
32278
33606
4.1
9.8
Borough of Chaguanas
67433
83516
23.9
6.8
Borough of Point Fortin
19056
20235
6.2
8.9
Couva/Tabaquite/Talparo
162779
178410
9.6
7.3
Diego Martin
105720
102957
-2.6
12.3
Mayaro/Rio Claro
32143
35650
10.9
7.4
Penal/Debe
83609
89392
6.9
8.1
Princes Town
91947
102375
11.3
7.9
157295
157258
0.0
9.4
Sangre Grande
65680
75766
15.4
7.7
Siparia
81917
86949
6.1
9.2
203975
215119
5.5
8.7
54084
60874
12.6
9.3
San Juan/Laventille
Tunapuna/Piarco
Tobago
Number of Live Births Trinidad and Tobago
Pre-Independence Era
Year
Number of Live Births
1940
16,535
1955
21,616
1950
23,722
1955
30,216
1960
32,858
Number of Live Births Trinidad and Tobago
Pre-Independence Era
Year
Number of Live Births
1962
1965
1970
1975
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2008
34,107
31,953
25,151
25,673
29,869
33,719
23,960
19,258
18,160
18,090
19,888
Total Fertility Rates – Trinidad and Tobago
1959-1961, 1969-1971 and 2008
Year
1959-1961
1969-1971
2008
Total Fertility Rate
5.1
3.8
1.6
Females 15-49 years – Percentage Childless by Five-Year Age
Group and Years of Schooling
Age Group
All Females Under 7 years
7-12 years
12 or more years
15-49 years
47.6
31.0
44.0
53.5
15-19 years
93.5
93.3
93.2
94.9
20-24 years
70.4
47.8
69.3
81.4
25-29 years
46.0
28.6
37.7
61.6
30-34 years
29.3
26.0
28.8
32.5
35-39 years
20.4
18.8
17.1
27.2
40-44 years
15.2
11.0
15.6
19.6
45-49 years
12.8
4.9
9.6
22.6
Females 15-49 years – Percentage Childless by Five-Year Age
Group and Socio-Economic Status
Age
Group
All
Females
Quintile
I
Quintile
II
Quintile
III
Quintile
IV
Quintile
V
15-49 yrs
47.6
41.7
40.5
43.2
45.0
51.2
15-19 yrs
93.5
92.2
94.1
95.5
91.8
94.1
20-24 yrs
70.4
58.2
65.5
72.0
79.5
80.0
25-29 yrs
46.0
35.6
38.3
41.0
48.4
67.9
30-34 yrs
29.3
23.2
24.7
22.2
33.3
43.7
35-39 yrs
20.4
6.7
13.0
22.5
26.5
31.5
40-44 yrs
15.2
5.1
12.7
13.4
15.4
29.0
45-49 yrs
12.8
4.3
3.5
10.0
10.4
21.4
Females 15-49 years – Percentage Ever Having at Least 5 Live
Born Children by Five-Year Age Group and Years of Schooling
Age Group
All Females Under 7 years
7-12 years
12 or more years
15-49 years
3.1
6.6
3.0
2.4
15-19 years
1.4
1.7
1.3
1.7
20-24 years
0.7
-
1.3
0.4
25-29 years
1.0
3.1
0.8
0.4
30-34 years
2.2
4.0
2.6
0.6
35-39 years
5.5
11.6
3.6
4.3
40-44 years
7.6
10.4
6.2
8.0
45-49 years
8.8
11.7
7.2
5.1
Females 15-49 years – Percentage Ever Having at least 5 Live
Born Children by Five-Year Age Group and Socio-Economic
Status
Age
Group
All
Females
Quintile
I
Quintile
II
Quintile
III
Quintile
IV
Quintile
V
15-49 yrs
3.1
7.3
3.8
2.9
1.8
1.9
15-19 yrs
1.4
0.5
0.7
1.3
3.6
2.0
20-24 yrs
0.7
-
2.0
-
-
1.7
25-29 yrs
1.0
-
1.4
0.9
2.4
-
30-34 yrs
2.2
5.2
2.2
3.7
-
-
35-39 yrs
5.5
18.1
2.0
4.2
0.9
2.7
40-44 yrs
7.6
19.0
9.3
5.0
2.4
4.7
45-49 yrs
8.8
22.9
11.8
7.0
3.8
2.1
THANK YOU