The Nearly Perfect Correlation between the Diffuse Interstellar Bands λλ6196.0 and 6613.6 Ben McCall Department of Chemistry and Department of Astronomy University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign Collaborators: Meredith M. Drosback (Virginia), Julie Thorburn Dahlstrom (Carthage College), Don York (Chicago), Scott Friedman (STScI), Lew Hobbs (Yerkes), Brian Rachford (Embry Riddle), Ted Snow (Colorado), Paule Sonnentrucker (STScI), Dan Welty (Illinois) Discovery of the DIBs • 5780, 5797 seen as unidentified bands – Per, Leo (Mary Lea Heger, Lick, 1919) • Broad (“diffuse”) • “Stationary” (interstellar) Greatest unsolved mystery in spectroscopy! Hobbs et al. 2008 Hobbs et al. 2009 Herbig 1988 Jenniskens & Desert 1994 Tuairisg et al. 2000 Herbig 1975 Merrill & Wilson 1960 Herbig 1966 Merrill & Wilson 1938 Heger 1919 A Growing Problem The APO DIB Survey • • • • • Apache Point Observatory 3.5-meter 3,600–10,200 Å ; / ~ 37,500 (8 km/s) 119 nights, from Jan 1999 to Jan 2003 S/N (@ 5780Å) > 500 for 160 stars (114 reddened) Measurements & analysis still very much underway Search for a Common Carrier • Assumptions: – gas phase molecules – DIBs are vibronic bands – low temperature • carriers all in v=0 – relative intensities fixed A v=0 • Franck-Condon factors • independent of T, n • Method: – look for DIBs with tight correlations in intensity • Prospect: – identify vibronic spectrum of single carrier – spacings may suggest ID X v=0 DIB Correlations r=0.55 r=0.986 Statistics of Correlations • 1218 pairs of DIBs observed in >40 stars • 58 DIBs included • Histogram of r • Few very good correlations – 19 with r > 0.95 • Most strong DIBs have distinct carriers Still much work to do, especially on weaker bands! Example APO DIB Spectra Correlation 114 Sightlines fH2 = 2.6×10-6 – 0.76 EB-V = 0.02 – 3.31 29% O, 68% B, 3% A K I components: 1 – 17 Ordinary Least Squares • • • • • • • Assume a relationship y=α+βx Minimize sum of squared residuals Compute Pearson’s correlation coefficient α = -5.0±2.2, β = 3.96±0.06 r = 0.986, r2 = 0.971 97.1% of variance in 6613.6 explained by 6196.0 Problems with least squares: – asymmetric treatment of two variables – ignores any knowledge of uncertainties Error Estimates • Statistical errors → easy to calculate from rms of “continuum” nearby • Systematic errors → larger, harder to quantify – we don’t know the bandshape (limits of integration) twice (continuum) the rms continuum shift – we don’t know the background – there could be overlapping transitions (we know at least one!) – we adopt rms uncertainty in continuum fit (~10× the statistical errors) Maximum Likelihood Functional Relationship • Used to compare different analytical techniques • Equivalent to: – “heteroscedastic errors-in-variables model” – FITEXY from Numerical Recipes • Assume functional relationship vi = α+βui – vi, ui “true” values, contaminated by errors → yi, xi – errors independent, normal, stdev’s σxi & σyi – minimize the quantity: MFLR Results • Expect ΣSi2/(N-2) ~1; we get 3.35 • Chi-square probability function [p-value or Q(χ2|ν)] = 3.9×10-30 !! • This is the probability that observed sum-ofsquares would exceed this value based on chance alone, if underlying model is correct. • Either not a perfect relationship, or we’ve underestimated our errors. What if true errors are twice our estimates? ΣSi2/(N-2) = 0.84, p-value = 0.89 perfect linear relationship! r=0.821 CH+ A-X 0-0 R(0) Comparison with Other Correlations r=0.985 CH+ A-X 1-0 R(0) r=0.953 (w/o outliers) Two Possibilities • λλ6196.0 and 6613.6 have the same carrier – – – – – first ID of two DIBs from same molecule ratio of Franck-Condon factors ~1:4 excited state vibrational spacing 1018.9 cm-1 search for other (weak) DIBs from this carrier! need to explain differences in width & shape A – two molecules are amazingly well correlated – best correlation ever between molecules B – what kind of chemical pathways can maintain abundance ratio so constant, over such a wide C range of conditions? Ueda & Shimanouchi JMS 28, 350 (1968) Galazutdinov et al. A&A 384, 215 (2002) • λλ6196.0 and 6613.6 don’t share a carrier Future Work Needed 1) More thorough investigation of potential error sources → better estimates of uncertainties? 2) Search for some parameter that correlates with residuals → clues to interfering lines? 3) Observations with higher S/N, resolving power → help resolve interfering lines 4) Theoretical explanation of how two vibronic bands could (or could not) produce such different profiles → plausibility/disproof of conclusion of common carrier http://dibdata.org What are the DIBs? • Reasonable correlation with dust extinction – but “level off” at high AV → diffuse clouds only? – for a long time, solid state carriers favored • Several characteristics argue against dust: – constancy of – lack of emission – fine structure! • Present consensus: – – – – gas-phase molecules probably large likely carbon-based reservoir of organic material Sarre et al., MNRAS 277, L41 (1995) • Greatest unsolved mystery in spectroscopy!