251hwkadd 11/11/04 (Open this document in 'Outline' view!) PROBLEMS THAT APPEAR IN THE 9TH EDITION BUT NOT THE 8TH (OR VICE VERSA). Exercise 4.8 (Abbreviated): We have defect data for 450 semiconductor wafers, some of which were made from dies with particles on them. The table reads: Condition of Die Quality No Particles Particles Total Good 320 14 334 Bad 80 36 116 Total 400 50 450 a. Give an example of a simple event b. Give an example of a joint event c. What is the complement of a good wafer? d. Why is ‘good wafer’ and a die ‘with particles’ a joint event? If a wafer is selected at random, what is the probability that: e. It was produced from a die with no particles? f. The wafer is bad? g. The wafer is bad and it was produced from a die with no particles? h. The wafer is good and it was produced from a die with no particles? i. The wafer is good or it was produced from a die with no particles? j. The wafer is bad or it was produced from a die with particles? k. Explain the difference between the results in (h) and (i). Exercise 4.9 (Abbreviated): A contingency table shows whether travel managers research or book tickets on the internet. The table reads: Research Airline Tickets on the Internet? Yes No Total Book Airline Tickets on the Internet? Yes No 88 20 108 124 168 292 Total 212 188 400 a. Give an example of a simple event b. Give an example of a joint event c. What is the complement of “researches airline prices on the Internet”? d. Why is “researches airline prices on the Internet” and “books airline tickets on the Internet” a joint event? If a corporate travel manager is selected at random, what is the probability that he or she: e. Researches airline prices on the Internet? f. Books airline tickets on the Internet? g. Researches airline prices on the Internet and books airline tickets on the Internet ? h. Does not research airline prices on the Internet and does not book airline tickets on the Internet ? i. Researches airline prices on the Internet or books airline tickets on the Internet ? j. Does not research airline prices on the Internet or books airline tickets on the Internet ? k. Explain the difference between the results in (g) and (i). Exercise 4.14d (Would be 4.13d in 8th edition): Are the events A and B statistically independent? Exercise 4.19: Repeat the table in 4.8. The table reads: Condition of Die Quality No Particles Particles Total Good 320 14 334 Bad 80 36 116 Total 400 50 450 a. Suppose that you know a wafer is bad. What is the probability that it was produced from a die that had particles? b. Suppose that you know a wafer is good. What is the probability that it was produced from a die that had particles? c. Are the events ‘a wafer is good’ and ‘a die has no particles statistically independent? Explain. Exercise 4.20: Repeat the table in 4.9. The table reads: Book Airline Tickets on the Internet? Yes No Research Airline Tickets on Total the Internet? Yes 88 124 212 No 20 168 188 Total 108 292 400 a. Given that a corporate travel manager researched airline ticket prices on the internet, what is the probability that he or she booked airline tickets on the internet? b. Given that a corporate travel manager booked airline ticket prices on the internet, what is the probability that he or she researched airline tickets on the internet? c. Explain the difference in the results in (a) and (b). d. Are the two events ‘researched airline tickets on the internet’ and ‘booked airline tickets on the internet’ independent? Explain. Exercise 4.22: Of 56 white workers terminated, 29 claimed bias. Of 407 black workers terminated, 126 claimed bias. a. Given that the worker is white, what is the probability that the worker claimed bias? b. Given that the worker has claimed bias, what is the probability that the worker is white? c. Explain the difference in the results in (a) and (b). d. Are the two events ‘being white’ and ‘claiming bias’ statistically independent? Explain. Exercise 4.65: In 1997, 24.0% of all highway fatalities involved a rollover. 15.8% of all accidents involving a rollover involved SUVs, vans and pickups. Given that a rollover was not involved, 5.6% of fatalities involved SUVs, vans and pickups. Define the following events: {Fatality involved an SUV, van or pickup} A {Fatality involved a rollover} B a. Use Bayes’ theorem to find the probability that the fatality involved a rollover, given that the 2 fatality involved an SUV, van or pickup. b. Compare the result in (a) to the probability that the fatality involved a rollover, and comment on whether SUVs, vans and pickups are more prone to rollover accidents. Exercise 4.36(Not in 8th edition): If there are 10 multiple-choice questions on an exam, each having 3 possible answers, how many different possibilities are there for sequences of correct answers? Exercise 4.39(Not in 8th edition): A brand of women’s jeans can be ordered in seven different sizes, 3 different colors and 3 different styles. How many jeans have to be ordered if the store wants to have one pair of each type. Exercise 4.43(Not in 8th edition): A gardener has 6 rows in his garden available for 6 different vegetables. If each vegetable gets one row, how many different ways are there to position the vegetables in the garden? Exercise 4.44(Not in 8th edition): The Big Triple consists of picking the correct order of finish of the first 3 horses in the 9th race. If there are 12 horses entered in the race, how many outcomes are there? Exercise 4.45(Not in 8th edition): The Quinella consists of picking the horses that will place first or second regardless of order. If 8 horses are entered in a race, how many winning combinations are there? Exercise 5.18 (In 8th edition only): Suppose that a random sample of web surfers is selected and ask if the remember a specific internet banner. Use the binomial model and assume that p 0.4. a. What is the expected value or mean of this binomial distribution? b. What is the standard deviation of this binomial distribution? c. What is the probability that none of the surfers will remember the banner ad? d. What is the probability that exactly one of the surfers will remember the banner ad? e. What is the probability that exactly two of the surfers will remember the banner ad? f. What is the probability that three or more of the surfers will remember the banner ad? d. Assume that p 0.6. How does that change a-f. Exercise 6.24 (Not in 8th edition): Suppose that you are sampling from a uniform distribution with a 0 and b 10. What is the probability of obtaining a value: a. between 5 and 7? b. between 2 and 3? c. What is the expected value? d. What is the standard deviation? Exercise 6.26 (Not in 8th edition): In a nuclear power plant seawater is used in cooling. The amount that the water temperature is raised has a continuous uniform distribution over the interval between 10 to 25 degrees Celsius. a. What is the probability that the temperature increase will be less than 20° C? b. What is the probability that the temperature increase will be between 10 and 22° C? c. Suppose that a temperature increase of more than 18° C is considered potentially dangerous? What is the probability that the temperature increase is potentially dangerous? d. What is the expected value of the temperature increase? e. What is the standard deviation of the temperature increase? Exercise 6.57(Not in 8th edition): An airline has 3 different choices on its dessert menu. Each dessert is equally likely to be chosen. a. If a random sample of 4 passengers is chosen, what is the probability that at least 2 will choose ice cream for dessert? 3 b. If a random sample of 21 passengers is chosen, what is the approximate probability that at least 2 will choose ice cream for dessert? Exercise 6.60(Not in 8th edition): The number of cars arriving per minute at a toll booth is Poisson distributed with a mean of 2.5. What is the probability that in any given minute a. No cars arrive. b. Not more than 2 cars arrive? c. What is the approximate probability that in a ten minute period not more than 20 cars arrive? d. What is the approximate probability that in a ten minute period between 20 and 30 cars arrive? Exercise 8.17(in 8th edition only): In order to estimate dental expenses to plan for a proposed dental plan, a personnel department takes a random sample of dental expenses for the families of 10 employees over the previous year. (Dental data set on disk) Expenses 110 362 246 85 510 208 173 425 316 179 a. Set up a 90% confidence interval estimate of mean family dental exposes for all employees. b. What assumption must be made about the population distribution in a)? c. Give an example of a family dental expense that is outside the confidence interval but that are not unusual for an individual family and explain why this is not a contradiction. d. Repeat a) for a 95% interval. e. What would the effect be in a) of changing the fourth value from $85 to $585? Exercise 8.20(in 9th edition only): In New York a random sample was taken of the time required in days to approve 27 Savings Bank Life Insurance policies. (Insurance data set on disk) Time 73 31 92 19 56 63 16 22 50 64 18 51 28 45 69 28 48 16 31 17 17 90 17 60 17 56 91 a. Set up a 95% confidence interval estimate of mean processing time. b. What assumption must be made about the population distribution in a)? c. Do you think that the assumption made in b) has been seriously violated? Explain. d. Compare the conclusions reached in a) with those of Problem 3.61 on page 126. Downing and Clark, Old Computational Problem 1: For the sample data below b) Compute Covx, y and Corr x, y . c) Compute the mean of x y and Var x y . x 34 26 9 30 47 10 34 34 45 10 47 37 47 8 45 y 6 57 89 60 95 42 31 28 90 25 45 23 52 95 48 4