251y0811 2/11/07 ECO251 QBA1 FIRST EXAM February 21, 2008 Name: ______KEY_______________ Student Number: _________________________ Class Hour: _____________________ Remember – Neatness, or at least legibility, counts. In most non-multiple-choice questions an answer needs a calculation or short explanation to count. Part I. (7 points) The following numbers are to be considered a sample and represent the scores of a class of ten seniors on the first exam in Dr. Hardnose’s accounting class (Doane and Seward). 60 x1 88 60 71 60 73 74 75 60 99 Compute the following: Show your work! a) The Median (1) b) The Standard Deviation (3) c) The 7th decile (2) d) The Coefficient of variation (1) e) (Extra Credit) Dr. Hardnose gives a second exam, but one student is absent. He enters the data from both exams into Minitab with the following results. MTB > describe c1 c2 Descriptive Statistics: x1, x2 Variable N N* Mean x1 10 0 ----x2 9 0 72.78 SE Mean ---2.19 StDev ----6.57 Minimum 60.00 65.00 Q1 60.00 65.00 Median 72.00 74.00 Q3 78.25 79.00 Maximum 99.00 79.00 The numbers computed should be self explanatory except for ‘SE Mean,’ (the standard error of the mean) s which can be gotten by computing s x . I have erased the numbers related to the statistics you should n compute. So – given the statistics that we have learned to compute and the facts that the mean and sample size have changed, can you compare the variability of the results of the first and second exams? (Yes or No won’t work here, give me some numbers!) a) The numbers in order are at left. The median xx x x2 x x 2 is the average of the middle numbers 60 3600 -12 144 x1 71 73 x.50 72 . 144 x 2 60 3600 -12 2 More formally, position pn 1 .511 5.5 60 3600 -12 144 x3 The median is thus 144 x 4 60 3600 -12 x.50 x5 .5x6 x5 71 0.573 71 72 x5 71 5041 -1 1 b) The variance is computed two ways here. Please do it one way only. We have x6 73 5329 1 1 n 10, x 720 , x 2 53416 , x7 x8 x9 x10 Total 74 5476 2 4 75 5625 3 9 88 7744 16 256 99 9801 27 729 720 53416 0 1576 x x 0 and x x 2 1576 . x 720 72 , x n 10 1 251y0811 x 2/11/07 x x 1576 53416 1172 2 175 .11111 . So s 175.1111 13.2330 9 n 1 10 1 n 1 c) The 7th decile has 7 10 or 70% below it, so p .70 and pn 1 .710 7.00 . s2 2 nx 2 2 So a 7 and .b 0.0 . Then x1 p xa .b( xa1 xa ) . So x1.70 x.30 x 7 0.0( x8 x 7 ) 74 0.075 74 74 s 13 .2330 0.1838 or 18.38% x 72 Note that mean, median and seventh decile must be between 60 and 99. In the variance excess rounding often will give you a negative variance. s 2 cannot be negative. e) We have the following Descriptive Statistics for x1 and x2 d) C Variable x1 x2 N 10 9 N* 0 0 For the first exam C1 C2 Mean ----72.78 SE Mean ---2.19 StDev ----6.57 Minimum 60.00 65.00 Q1 60.00 65.00 Median 72.00 74.00 Q3 78.25 79.00 Maximum 99.00 79.00 s1 13 .2330 0.1838 or 18.38%. For the second exam x1 72 s2 6.57 0.0903 or 9.03%. The second exam scores were much less variable than the first. x 2 72 .78 2 251y0811 2/11/07 Part II. (At least 35 points – 2 points each unless marked - Parentheses give points on individual questions. Brackets give cumulative point total.) Exam is normed on 50 points. 1. Which of the following is not a measure of central tendency (2) a) The arithmetic mean b) The geometric mean c) *The standard deviation d) The median e) The mode. f) All of the above are measures of central tendency g) None of the above is a measure of central tendency. 2. The smaller the spread of data around the mean (2) a) The smaller the interquartile range b) The smaller the standard deviation c) The smaller the coefficient of variation d) *All of the above e) None of the above. 3. Mark the following items N (nominal), O (ordinal), I (interval) or R (ratio) data. If the data is interval or ratio data, would it be considered C (continuous) or D (discrete)? (4) [8] a) The weights of Sumo wrestlers _RC_____ b) Your Social Security number __N______ c) Volume of traffic on I-95 (light, medium, heavy) __O________ d) Number of hits in the World Series _RD_____ 4. A number that is used to summarize population data is called (2) a) *A parameter b) s c) A statistic d) None of the above would be used to summarize population data e) All of the above could be used to summarize population data. 5. If a frequency distribution has a positive coefficient of skewness, we would expect (2) [10] a) The mean to be between the median and the mode b) *The mean to exceed the median c) The median to be larger than the mean or the mode. d) The standard deviation to exceed the mean e) The coefficient of excess to be positive f) None of the above would be likely to be true. 6. Under what circumstances would you expect a population variance be zero? [12] a) If the mean is zero b) If every observation above the sample mean is precisely offset by a number the same distance below the sample mean. c) If the mean, median and mode were all the same. d) When there are an equal number of observations above and below the median e) *None of the above is likely to result in a zero population variance f) All of the above are likely to result in a zero population variance. Explanation: A zero population variance can only occur if all numbers are the same. 3 251y0811 2/11/07 7. Batting averages of major league baseball players are thought to follow a symmetrical unimodal distribution with a mean of .260 and a standard deviation of .03. a) What proportion of major league players would you expect to have a batting average above .320? Why? (3) b) If you did not know that the distribution was symmetrical, what is the largest proportion of players that you would expect to have a batting average above .320? Why? (3) [18] .320 .260 2 a) The empirical rule says that about 96% of data will fall between 2 standard Solution: .03 deviations above and below the mean. This means that 4% will be in the tails of the distribution or about 2% in each tail. b) Chebychef’s rule says that, at most 1 2 1 of the data will be more than k 2 4 k standard deviations from the mean. There is no way to divide it between tails. Table 1 Given below is a stem-and-leaf display of the heights in inches of 50 Christmas trees being grown for sale. The smallest tree is 44 inches. 4|44668899 5|00112244555577888899 6|000022223344557799 7|3355 8. In Table 1, what is the median height ? (2) Solution: There are 50 numbers and the position formula gives us pn 1 .5(51) 25.5 4|44668899 8 items 5|00112244555577888899 20 items 6|000022223344557799 18 items 7|3355 4 items Both the 25th and the 26th items are 58, so that is the median. 9. In Table 1, what are the first and third quartiles? What do they lead you to think about the skewness of the distribution? (3) Solution: There are 50 numbers and the position formula gives us, for Q1, pn 1 .25(51) 12.75 . x12 51 and x13 52 , so we have a 12 and .b 0.75 . x1 p xa .b( xa1 xa ) . So Q1 x1.25 x.75 x12 0.75( x13 x12 ) 51 0.7552 51 51 .75 For Q2, pn 1 .75(51) 38 .25 and x 38 63 and x 39 64 . So we have a 38 and .b 0.25 and Q1 x1.75 x.25 x38 0.25( x39 x38 ) 63 0.2564 63 63 .25 . 58 – 51.75 = 6.25 and 63.25 – 58 = 5.25. The data seems to be more spread out on the left, so it may be skewed to the left. 4 251y0811 2/11/07 10. In Table 1, assume that you were asked to present the data in 5 classes. Show how you would decide what class interval to use and list the classes below with their frequencies. (4) [27] Class A B C D E ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ to to to to to under under under under under Frequency ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ ___ Solution: The highest number is 75 and the lowest is 44. We calculate 75 44 6.2 . Use 7 or 8. 5 If you use 10 and start at 40, you will only get 4 classes. I will repeat the table. Two possible arrangements are below. 4|44668899 8 items 5|00112244555577888899 20 items 6|000022223344557799 18 items 7|3355 4 items Class A B C D E _40 _48 _56 _64 _72 Table 2 Class 20-35 35-50 50-65 65-80 80-95 to to to to to under under under under under Frequency _48 _56 _64 _72 _80 __6_ _14_ _18_ _10_ __2_ f 11 f rel .122 .278 F 11 36 10 .111 1.000 90 Class A B C D E _42 _49 _56 _63 _70 to to to to to under under under under under Frequency _49 _56 _63 _70 _77 __6_ _14_ _16_ _10_ __4_ Frel .122 .400 .700 .889 11. Fill in the missing numbers in Table 2 (3) Class f rel f Frel F 20-35 11 .122 11 .122 35-50 25 .278 36 .400 50-65 27 .300 63 .700 65-80 17 .189 80 .889 80-95 10 .111 90 1.000 12. Find the 1 fractile of the data in Table 2. (3) [33] 3 position pn 1 13 91 30.333 . This is above F 11 and below F 36, so the interval is the 2nd, pN F 35 to 50, which has a frequency of 25. Each interval width is 35 - 20 = 15. x1 p L p w so f p 1 90 11 x1 13 x 2 3 35 3 15 35 0.760 15 46 .40 25 5 251y0811 2/11/07 13. The Des Moines Metropolitan area consists of Dallas, Polk and Warren Counties. In the 1990 census Dallas County had 30700 people and a mean income of $9673, Polk County had 309000 people and a mean income of $11779 and Warren County had 37300 people with a mean income of $9749. a) What is the mean income of residents of the Des Moines area? (Note: I am much more interested in how you do this that whether you get the right answer, so show your work!) (2) x w 9673 30.7 296961.1 xw 4300309 .8 11779 309.0 3639711.0 xw 11406 .7 377 .0 w 9749 37.3 363637.7 377.0 4300309.8 b) Suppose that in 1991 Census officials believe that the population and mean income in Polk county and Warren County stayed the same, but the mean income in Dallas county fell while the population stayed constant. For the Des Moines area, which of the following is likely to have occurred? (2) [37] a) The median income fell most b) The modal income fell most c) *The mean income fell most d) The mean, median and modal income all fell to the same degree. Explanation: In general, the mean income is more influenced by movements of individual numbers that the median or mode. The mode, especially will be unlikely to be influenced since the overwhelming majority were Polk County and poorer people seem to be more concentrated in Dallas County. 6 251y0811 2/11/07 ECO251 QBA1 FIRST EXAM February 21, 2008 TAKE HOME SECTION Name: _________________________ Student Number: _________________________ Throughout this exam show your work! Please indicate clearly what sections of the problem you are answering and what formulas you are using. Turn this is with your in-class exam. Part III. Do all the Following (12+ Points). The problems are based on problems by Doane and Seward. Show your work! 1. The table below represents the distribution of winning times in seconds for horses in the Kentucky Derby. Treat these data as a sample. Personalize the data below by adding the last two digits of your student number to the last 2 frequencies. .Add one digit per frequency For example, Seymour Butz’s student number is 876509 so he adds 0 to the second-to-last frequency and 9 to the last frequency and uses {2, 5, 16, 22, 12, 8, 5, 3 and 11} (adding to 85). You may check your work on the computer, but what is turned in should look as if it had all been done by hand. Row Time in seconds Frequency a. Calculate the Cumulative Frequency (0.5) b. Calculate the Mean (0.5) c. Calculate the Median (1) d. Calculate the Mode (0.5) e. Calculate the Variance (1.5) f. Calculate the Standard Deviation (1) g. Calculate the Interquartile Range (1.5) h. Calculate a Statistic showing Skewness and interpret it (1.5) i. Make an ogive of the data (Neatness Counts!)(1) j. Extra credit: Put a (horizontal) box plot below the ogive using the same horizontal scale (1) k. (Extra, extra credit) the trimmed mean is a measure of the data that mitigates the effect of extreme values. A 5% trimmed mean is a mean calculated after 5% of the data is removed from both the top and bottom of the data. (For example, if there are 100 points, the top 5 and the bottom 5 are removed and the mean of the middle 90 points is calculated.) Try to calculate a 5% trimmed mean of your Kentucky Derby numbers. (1) l. (More extra credit) Davies’ test: In 1929 Professor George Davies tried to find a method that would tell us whether an arithmetic mean or a geometric mean was a better way to characterize a set of data. Davies logQ1 logQ2 2 logx.50 . We should decide to use the geometric mean if recommended using D log Q3 log Q1 (α) D 0.20 . (β) The data seems to be convincingly skewed to the right. (γ) There are at least 50 observations. (i) Using the Derby data compute D and make a recommendation with an explanation. (ii) See if you can compute a geometric mean for this grouped data. Be sure that you explain what you do so that I can follow it. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 119 120 121 122 123 124 125 126 127 to to to to to to to to to under under under under under under under under under 120 121 122 123 124 125 126 127 128 1 5 16 22 12 8 5 3 2 Note that unreasonable answers are answers where the mean, median, mode, first quartile and third quartile do not fall between 119 and 128. 7 251y0811 2/11/07 Solution using the original numbers with 5 added to the last two frequencies: If we use the original numbers and the computational method or the definitional method (Columns 1-5, 8-11), we get the following. x is the midpoint of the class. Row 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Class 119-120 120-121 121-122 122-123 123-124 124-125 125-126 126-127 127-128 f 1 5 16 22 12 8 5 8 7 84 fx2 fx F x 1 6 22 44 56 64 69 77 84 119.5 120.5 121.5 122.5 123.5 124.5 125.5 126.5 127.5 fx3 119.5 14280 1706490 602.5 72601 8748451 1944.0 236196 28697814 2695.0 330138 40441844 1482.0 183027 22603835 996.0 124002 15438249 627.5 78751 9883282 1012.0 128018 16194277 892.5 113794 14508703 10371.0 1280807 158222944 If we use the original numbers and the definitional method, we get the following for the frequencies. x is the midpoint of the class. I usually tell people that they are wasting their time if they use the definitional method. Because of the large numbers here that may not be true. Row Class 1 119-120 2 120-121 3 121-122 4 122-123 5 123-124 6 124-125 7 125-126 8 126-127 9 127-128 f F 1 5 16 22 12 8 5 8 7 84 1 6 22 44 56 64 69 77 84 119.5 120.5 121.5 122.5 123.5 124.5 125.5 126.5 127.5 119.5 602.5 1944.0 2695.0 1482.0 996.0 627.5 1012.0 892.5 10371.0 -3.96429 -2.96429 -1.96429 -0.96429 0.03571 1.03571 2.03571 3.03571 4.03571 -3.9643 -14.8214 -31.4286 -21.2143 0.4286 8.2857 10.1786 24.2857 28.2500 0.0000 If you used the computational method, you would have gotten n that the mean is x f 84 fx 10371 123 .4643 . You would also find n 84 158222944.. If you used the definitional method, you would have and gotten n that the mean is x check), f x x f x x 2 f x x xx fx x fx 15.716 43.935 61.735 20.457 0.015 8.582 20.721 73.724 114.009 358.893 and 2 f 84 fx 2 84 358.893 and f x x 3 -62.301 -130.236 -121.265 -19.726 0.001 8.888 42.181 223.806 460.107 401.457 10371 .0 , so 1280807 and and fx fx 10371 123 .4643 . You would have followed by getting n f x x 3 fx 3 10371 .0 , so f x x 0 (a 401.457 . If you used one of Pearson’s measures of skewness, you would not have bothered with the f x x 3 or the fx3 columns. In any case only an Adrian Munk personality would have computed everything here. a. Calculate the Cumulative Frequency (0.5): See the F column above. b. Calculate the Mean (0.5): We have already found x fx 10371 123 .4643 . n 84 c. Calculate the Median (1): position pn 1 .585 42.5 . This is above F 22 and below F 44, so the interval is the 4th, 122 to 123, which has a frequency of 22. Each interval width is 123 - 122 = 1. pN F .584 22 x1 p L p w so x1.5 x.5 122 1 122 0.90909 1 122 .9091 . 22 f p 8 251y0811 2/11/07 d. Calculate the Mode (0.5): The largest group is 122 to 123, which has a frequency of 22, so by convention the mode is its midpoint, which is mo 122.5. It is possible that you will have two modes. Note that to be reasonable, Q1 x50 Q3 and that Q1, x50 , Q3, x and the mode must be between 119 and 128. e. Calculate the Variance (1.5): We have f x x 2 358.893 . s 2 s2 f x x n 1 2 fx 2 fx nx 2 n 1 2 1280807 and x 123 .4643 or 1280807 84 123 .4643 2 358 .597 4.32045 or 83 83 358 .893 4.32401 . The computer got 346637 too. 83 f. Calculate the Standard Deviation (1): s 4.32401 2.07943 or s 4.32045 2.0786 g. Calculate the Interquartile Range (1.5) First Quartile: position pn 1 .2585 21 .25 . This is above F 6 and below F 22, so the interval is the 3rd, 121 to 122, which has a frequency of 16. pN F .2584 6 x1 p L p w gives us Q1 x1.25 x.75 121 1 121 0.9375 1 121 .9375 . 16 f p Third Quartile: position pn 1 .7585 63.75 . This is above F 56 and below F 64, so the interval is the 6th, 124 to 125 which has a frequency of 8. .7584 56 Q3 x1.75 x.25 124 1 124 0.875 1 124 .875 . 8 IQR Q3 Q1 124 .875 121 .9375 2.945 h. Calculate a Statistic showing Skewness and interpret it (1.5) fx 10371 .0 , so that the mean is x 123 .4643 . We also found that, for the We had n 84 and computational method find fx 2 1280807 and fx 3 158222944. If we use the definitional f x x 401.457 . We also have s 2.07943 , x 122 .9091 and mo 122.5. n fx 3x fx 2nx 838482 158222944 3123 .4643 1280807 284123 .4643 k (n 1)( n 2) 3 method .5 3 2 3 3 3 0.012342 158222944 474401819 .1 316179331 .6 0.012342 456 .5 5.6341 . (The computer got the same answer as for the definitional formula) or k 3 n (n 1)( n 2) or g 1 k3 or s 3 f x x 4.9548 2.07943 3 3 84 401 .457 4.9548 . 8382 0.5579 Pearson's Measure of Skewness SK1 mean mode 123 .4643 122 .5 0.4637 std .deviation 2.07943 or 3mean median 3123 .4643 122 .9091 0.5961 2.07943 std .deviation Because of the positive sign, the measures all imply (slight) skewness to the right.. SK 2 9 251y0811 2/11/07 i. Make an ogive of the data (Neatness Counts!)(1) x Row Class f fx F 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 119-120 120-121 121-122 122-123 123-124 124-125 125-126 126-127 127-128 1 5 16 22 12 8 5 8 7 84 1 6 22 44 56 64 69 77 84 119.5 120.5 121.5 122.5 123.5 124.5 125.5 126.5 127.5 fx2 fx3 119.5 14280 1706490 602.5 72601 8748451 1944.0 236196 28697814 2695.0 330138 40441844 1482.0 183027 22603835 996.0 124002 15438249 627.5 78751 9883282 1012.0 128018 16194277 892.5 113794 14508703 10371.0 1280807 158222944 Solution: An ogive is a graph of the cumulative distribution. The first point will be (119, 0), the second point will be (120, 1), the third point will be (121, 6) etc. j. Extra credit: Put a (horizontal) box plot below the ogive using the same horizontal scale (1) Solution: The box plot would have a box beginning at the first quartile and ending at the third quartile. A band across the box will indicate the median. Whiskers will indicate the range of the data. The five-number summary is (119, 121.9375, 122.9091, 124.8750, 128). IQR Q3 Q1 124 .875 121 .9375 2.945 . 1.5( IQR ) 4.4175 If you use fences, they should be at 121 .9375 4.4175 117 .52 and 124 .875 4.4175 129 .29 . But these are beyond the range of the data, which makes them irrelevant. So the box extends from 121.94 to 124.88, with a median marked by a vertical line at 122.91. The whiskers go from the box to 119 and 128 with dotted lines showing the full range unnecessary. A rough picture is below. 119 121 123 127 129 k. (Extra, extra credit) the trimmed mean is a measure of the data that mitigates the effect of extreme values. A 5% trimmed mean is a mean calculated after 5% of the data is removed from both the top and bottom of the data. (For example, if there are 100 points, the top 5 and the bottom 5 are removed and the mean of the middle 90 points is calculated.) Try to calculate a 5% trimmed mean of your Kentucky Derby numbers. (1) There are 84 points here, so we remove 4 points ar each end. x Row Class f fx fx2 fx3 F 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 119-120 120-121 121-122 122-123 123-124 124-125 125-126 126-127 127-128 0 2 16 22 12 8 5 8 3 76 1 6 22 44 56 64 69 77 84 The trimmed mean would be 119.5 120.5 121.5 122.5 123.5 124.5 125.5 126.5 127.5 0.0 241.0 1944.0 2695.0 1482.0 996.0 627.5 1012.0 382.5 9380.0 9380 .0 123 .4211 . There weren’t any real extreme points, so the mean 76 wasn’t changed much. 10 251y0811 2/11/07 l. (More extra credit) Davies’ test: In 1929 Professor George Davies tried to find a method that would tell us whether an arithmetic mean or a geometric mean was a better way to characterize a set of data. Davies logQ1 logQ3 2 logx.50 recommended using D . We should decide to use the geometric mean if log Q3 logQ1 (α) D 0.20 . (β) The data seems to be convincingly skewed to the right. (γ) There are at least 50 observations. (i) Using the Derby data compute D and make a recommendation with an explanation. The five-number summary is (119, 121.9375, 122.9091, 124.8750, 128). As logs to base 10, the three middle numbers would be (2.08614, 2.08958, 2.09648) .. So (2.08614 2.09648 ) 22.08958 .00346 D .3346 . There is no way we would use the geometric 2.09648 2.08614 .01034 mean here since D is above .20 and there is little skewness anyway. (ii) See if you can compute a geometric mean for these grouped data. Be sure that you explain what you do so that I can follow it. 1 ln( x) and make it into The easiest way to think about this is to look at the formula ln x g n f ln( x) This is equivalent to doing x g x1f1 x 2f 2 x3 3 x nf n ln x g 1 n Here n f . I’ll leave the work to you. f 1 n n x f 11 251y0811 2/11/07 2. The sales of your firm over the last 5 years are as follows. Year 1 2 3 4 5 Sales ($millions) 131 227 311 354 403 Personalize these data by subtracting the last two digits of your student number from the first sales figure. For example, Ima Badrisk’s student number is 876519, so she subtracts 19 from 131 to get 112. The effect of this will be to raise the growth rates in a). Do the following (3) a) Find the average growth rate of sales by taking a geometric mean using the four year-to-year growth rates. b) Find the harmonic mean of your sales numbers. c) Find the root-mean-square of your sales numbers. d) (Extra credit) Compute the geometric mean from a) using natural and/or base 10 logarithms. (1 point extra credit each). a) The Geometric Mean. The formula table says ln x g 1 n ln( x) , but I said in class that this could be either natural logs or logs to the base 10. 227 is 1.7328 times 131, 311 is 1.3700 times 227, 354 is 1.1382 times 311 and 403 is 1.1384 times 354. The relevant geometric mean is 1 r 4 1.7328 1.3700 1.1382 1.1384 4 3.0760 1.3243 . The average growth rate is 32.43%. b) The Harmonic Mean. The formula table says 1 1 xh n x or x1 15 1311 2271 3111 3541 4031 1 h 1 1 1 0.0205606 0.0041121 . So xh 243 .1836 . 1 1 0.0041121 5 n x Of course some of you decided that 1 1 xh n 1 1 1 1 x 5 131 227 311 354 403 ? 5 131 227 311 354 403 ??? . 1 1 1 1 1 This is, of course, an easier way to do the problem. It is also wrong, and you will get an A for the course if you can prove to me that it is not wrong! And please don’t try any math if you get on “Are you smarter than a fifth-grader.” 1 1 x 2 or x rms 2 x2 c) The root-mean-square. The formula table says x rms n n 1 453136 x rms 2 131 2 227 2 311 2 354 2 403 2 90627 .2 . So x rms 90627 .2 301 .044 . 5 5 Sums for Harmonic mean and RMS 1 Row x x2 x 1 2 3 4 5 131 227 311 354 403 17161 51529 96721 125316 162409 453136 0.0076336 0.0044053 0.0032154 0.0028249 0.0024814 0.0205606 12 251y0811 2/11/07 d) (Extra credit) Compute the geometric mean from a) using natural and/or base 10 logarithms. (1 point extra credit each). 1 ln( x) . So we have ln 1 r 1 ln(1 r ) Natural Logarithms. ln x g n n 1 ln 1 r 1.12362 0.2809 and 1 r e 0.2809 1.3243 . 4 1 log( x) . So we have log1 r 1 log(1 r ) Logarithms to the base 10. log x g n n 1 log 1 r 0.487982 0.1220 and 1 r 10 0.1220 1.3243 4 Sums for geometric mean using natural and base 10 logs. Row 1 r ln 1 r log1 r 1 2 3 4 1.7328 1.3700 1.1382 1.1384 0.549739 0.314811 0.129448 0.129624 1.12362 0.238748 0.136721 0.056219 0.056295 0.487982 13