Ministry of Mines and Energy THE BRAZILIAN EXPERIENCE WITH BIOFUELS Marlon Arraes Coordinator - Renewable Fuels Department 06.18.2007 Brazil Biofuels Experience: Summary 1. Introduction 2. Ethanol 3. Biodiesel 4. Final Remarks WORLD ENERGY CONTEXT World economy growth Demand growth Climate change reality High prices for energy Refining capacity in the limit Geopolitical instability and conflict at important energy supplier countries Strong dependency on non-renewable energy sources Brazilian Energy Policy Law nº 9.478/1997 Objectives established by Law: To increase the share of biofuels in the national energy matrix; To protect the environment; To promote energy security with lesser external dependency; To protect the consumer best interests through regulation mechanisms and surveillance at the Regulatory Agencies; To promote free competition. BRAZILIAN ENERGY MIX - 2006 Sugarcane 13.8% Wood and other Biomass 13.0% Other Renewables Sources 2.9% RENEWABLE SOURCES 44.5 % Hydroelectricity 14.8% Uranium 1.2% Coal 6.3% Natural Gas 9.4% % 100 80 86 60 40 20 0 14 World 45 55 Brazil Petroleum and Derivatives 38.7% 218.7 MILLION TOE RENEWABLE NON-RENEWABLE Source: Brazilian Energy Balance (BEN,2007) Ministry of Mines and Energy (MME) CURRENT MATRIX OF VEHICLE FUELS - 2006 Diesel 48.9% Diesel (Total) 48.9 + 54,5% 3.3 = (2005) 52.2% 54.5% (2005) B2 3.3% Gasoline A* 27.2% 0% (2005) VNG 3.2% 25.6% (2005) Anhydrous Ethanol 7.3% Hydrated Ethanol 8.5% (2005) Gasoline C 27.2 + 7.3 = 34.5% 34.1% (2005) * 2.9% (2005) 9.9% 8.4% (2005) Pure Gasoline – Before blending with ethanol Diesel blended with 2% of Biodiesel Ethanol (Total) 7.3 + 9.9 = 17.2% 16.9% (2005) ETHANOL 1925: First tests using ethanol blends with gasoline 2006: Sustainability and environmental benefits 1975: National Alcohol Program (Proalcool) Main goals at that time: 1. To introduce in the market the mixture gasoline-ethanol 2. To stimulate the development of pure ethanol motors Two types of ethanol used, produced and tested in Brazil: anhydrous hydrated Mixed with pure gasoline (20 a 25%) Directly used in Otto-cycle motors (100%) 1979: Manufacturers begin to sell 100% Ethanol Vehicle Incentives established by the Pro-Alcohol in 1975 Alcohol price lower than gasoline price Guaranteed remuneration to the producer Tax reduction for hydrous alcohol cars The only remaining incentive nowadays Loans for alcohol producers to increase their capacity Gas stations were obligated to sell alcohol Maintenance of strategical alcohol stocks Economic Agents of Sugar Cane Industry Sugar Cane Agriculture Phase • 1.000.000 jobs in the countryside Sugar and Alcohol Industrial Phase • 367 Industrial Plants Regulatory Domain: Ministry of Agriculture Regulatory Domain: Ministry of Mines and Energy / ANP (National Petroleum Agency) Gas Stations • 92% of total gas stations in Brazil have an ethanol pump. • Free Prices Market Exporters • 3,42 Billion litters exported in 2006 Fuel Distributors • 160 Operating Distributors • Only distributors may blend ethanol with motor gasoline Source = MAPA – MME – MDIC - 2006 SUGARCANE AGRO-INDUSTRY Ethanol Figures (2006): Production: 18 million m3 Production Capacity: 20 million m3 Cropped Area for ethanol Production: 3 million hectares Exports in 2006: 3,4 million m3 Exports infrastructure: 4 million m3/year As of 2010: Investments* that will amount US$ 8.6 billion in 77 plants Increase in the ethanol production (in comparison with 2006): 6 million m3 Expansion in the sugarcane cropped area: 2 million hectares Expansion in exports infrastructure: to reach a capacity of 8 million m3/year * Agricultural and Industrial phases BRAZIL (Territorial Extension): 851 Total Agriculture Area: 383 of which: Fertile and free areas for agriculture: 91 Present cropped area for ethanol: 3 (in million hectares) Source: Ministry of Mines and Energy; Ministry of Agriculture, Livestock and Food Supply - 2007 Ethanol in Brazil – Sugar Mills Location - 2007 NORTH-NORTHEAST REGION 79 INDUSTRIAL UNITS: • SUGAR MILLS 8 • ETHANOL PLANTS 19 • ETHANOL AND SUGAR 52 9% of the ethanol production Operating Sugarcane Mills SOUTH-CENTRE REGION 288 INDUSTRIAL UNITS: • SUGAR MILLS 8 • ETHANOL PLANTS 59 • ETHANOL AND SUGAR 221 91% of the ethanol production Source: Ministry of Mines and Energy – Ministry of Agriculture, Livestock and Food Supply - 2007 Sugarcane Mills under construction Production in 2006: 17,8 billion liters 11% (2005) Center-South Region Crops Location – 2005/2006 Amazon Forest More than 1,300 miles far from the Amazon Forest boundaries Pantanal A Region that grows sugarcane crops for more than 30 years Sugarcane Crops CANASAT Project Atlantic Forest of Brazil Source: IBGE (Preservation Areas) and CTC (Sugarcane Crops) 2006: Total FFV – a Brazilian reality Any mixture of gasoline and ethanol can be used, from 0 to 100%; In 2006: The domestic flex-fuel vehicle sales represented 78% of all 1,824,266 light vehicles sold in the same period (imports included); Total domestic flex-fuel vehicle sales (2003-2006): 2.67 million units) 9 multinational automotive manufacturers settled in Brazil are producing nearly 100 different models of Total FFV Source: Ministry of Development, Industry and Foreign Trade; Brazilian Association of Automotive Vehicle Manufacturers - 2007 Ethanol in Brazil: Oil economy and environmental benefits 6 10 BEP FUEL DEMAND FOR LIGHT VEHICLES IN BRAZIL TOTAL DEMAND FOR LIGHT VEHICLES (GNV INCLUDED) 180 TOTAL DEMAND FOR LIGHT VEHICLES (WITHOUT GNV) GASOLINE PRODUCTION 160 GASOLINE CONSUMPTION 140 Total economy ofmuch 813gasoline millions boe This curve shows how Accumulated economy of 8 would years to of satisfy fuel demand for or be 16necessary months thethepresent Brazilian of pure gasoline national consumption. light vehicles. 120 100 + US$ 61 billions petroleum production. + US$ 16 billions 80 60 40 20 0 1970 IN THIS PERIOD, WITH THE ETHANOL USAGE, THE EMISSION TONNES OF 1974 OF 675 1978 MILLION 1982 1986 1990CO2 WAS 1994 AVOIDED 1998 2002 2006 YEAR + Total economy of 1,194 billion boe or 23 months of the Source: Ministry of Mines and Energy - Brazilian Energy Balance – 2006 present Brazilian petroleum production.. and Laura Tetti – USP – 2002 US$ / Liter Cost of Ethanol Production EU - Wheat USA - Corn Australia Sugarcane Thailand Sugarcane Source: DATAGRO (in “New trends to the ethanol supply chain in Brazil”, Simoes, R.B., Master Thesis, Universiteit Van Tilburg, Holanda, Jul-2006) Brazil Sugarcane Another Competitive Advantage of Brazilian Ethanol Energy Balance of Ethanol Production Trigo Wheat Corn Milho (EUA) Beet Beterraba Brazil Sugarcane Cana-de-Açúcar (Brasil) 0 1 2 3 4 5 Energy Output / Energy Input Source: F.O.Licht (in “New trends to the ethanol supply chain in Brazil”, Simoes, R.B., Master Thesis, Universiteit Van Tilburg, Holanda, Jul-2006) 6 7 8 Ethanol Contribution to Hydrogen Economy + and ... + = One step toward Hydrogen Economy! BIODIESEL BRAZIL: Raw material diversity for production of Biodiesel Castor Beans Sunflower Soy Palm Oil Cotton Biodiesel versus Ethanol: Different Reasons Ethanol (1975): basically economics. Reasons for biodiesel (today): Economic: high crude oil prices again, but Brazilian dependence is now very low Social: needs for jobs and permanent settlement of families in countryside Environmental: to introduce another renewable and friendly fuel Crude Oil Prices 2003: Biodiesel Program 1975: Pro-Alcohol is launched Biodiesel: Regulatory Framework Law 11.097/2005: Establishes minimum percentages to mix biodiesel to diesel, besides the monitoring on the introduction of this new fuel into the market. 2005 to 2007 2008 to 2012 From 2013 on 2% 2% 5% Authorized Potential Market: 840 million Liters/year Mandatory Mandatory Sound Market: 1 billion Liters/year Sound Market: 2,4 billion Liters/year SOCIAL FUEL CERTIFICATE: How it works? If the biodiesel producer wants to have the Social Fuel Certificate, it must: 1) Buy regularly a minimum amount of raw material that comes from the household agriculture (small farmers, according to previously defined criteria); and … 2) Provide the appropriate technical assistance: certificated seeds, rural technicians, best practices etc.; and … 3) Sign a contract with each small farmers in terms that must be regarded as proper by a rural workers’ union. BIODIESEL: FEDERAL TAXATION POLICY Law n° 11.116/ 2005 DIESEL CIDE + Pis/Pasep and Cofins 218 218 BIODIESEL General Aliquot Agribusiness: Castor Oil 151 or Palm Oil + North, Northeast ans Semi-arid General Household Agriculture Aliquot Household Agriculture + Castor Oil or Palm + North, 0 Northeast and Semi-arid 70 -68% -31% Social Fuel Certificate Benefits (Detaxation) -100% 50 100 150 200 R$ / m3 CIDE: A Federal Tax that is present on fuels. It is an abbreviation form of “Contribution of Intervention in the Economic Domain” PIS/PASEP and Cofins: A Federal Tax for social security Biodiesel: CIDE is not present + Tax on Industrialized Products has zero aliquot 250 BIODIESEL: Producers in Commercial Operation and Projects Forecast (As of Dec/2007) CREATED JOBS = 1 MILLION (Household Agriculture = 205 THOUSAND FAMILIES) Nowadays more than 4,900 gas stations are selling biodiesel in Brazil • Number of Plants Installed Capacity (MM L/year) • AUTHORIZED BY ANP 19 664 • IN AUTHORIZATION PROCESS (ANP) 22 1,137 5 288 19 948 65 3,038 UNDER CONSTRUCTION • NEW PROJECTS TOTAL Source: Survey by MME/SPG (Jan/2007) Key to Symbols: In Commercial Operation In Authorization Process (ANP/RF)) Under Construction New Projects FINAL REMARKS GLOBAL CHALLENGE ENERGY PRODUCTION X AND FOOD PRODUCTION GLOBAL CHALLENGE ENERGY PRODUCTION X AND FOOD PRODUCTION BRAZIL In millions of hectares AREA (EXTENSION) PERCENTAGE BRAZIL (TOTAL) 851 100% ARABLE AREA 383 45% AVAILABLE FOR EXPANSION 91 11% SUGARCANE AREA FOR ETHANOL 3 OILSEED CROPS FOR B2 and B5 1,7 to 4,0 (24% of arable area) 0,35% (0,8% of arable area) 0,2 to 0,47% (0,4% to 1% of arable area) Biofuels: perspectives in the near future... World growing demand More rigorous environmental concerns Increase in international trade Improvement on productivity and on energy balance of biofuels: • Biodiesel: new oilseeds (6.000 L/ha) versus traditional crops (600 L/ha) • Ethanol: new production methods (bagasse/cellulose hydrolysis) The achieve of this technology will bring: Energy AND Food Production, not versus! Biofuels = Commodity? Commodities general characteristics: Patterns in a context of international trade Compatible Specifications Possibility of delivery on due dates settled between buyers and sellers Negotiation with traders Possibility of storage or sale in standard units of trade liter, barrel, m3 ... But it requires to be a common product and negotiated in an international environment A market to be established itself. NECESSARY LAND AREA FOR TOTAL SUBSTITUTION (IN VOLUME) OF OIL CONSUMPTION Consumption Necessary Land Area for Biofuels (*) Billion 103 Barrels/Day Liters/Year 103 hectars REGION Total North America Total S. & Cent. America Total Europe & Eurasia Total Middle East Total Africa Total Asia Pacific TOTAL WORLD REGION TOTAL WORLD 1.443,6 277,2 1.181,0 333,0 160,3 1.390,4 481.200 92.390 393.676 111.012 53.445 463.456 82.459 4.785,5 1.595.179 % of the Land Area for agriculture land Agriculture area necessary for biofuels 103 hectars Total North America Total S. & Cent. America Total Europe & Eurasia Total Middle East Total Africa Total Asia Pacific 24.874,6 4.775,9 20.350 5.739 2.763 23.957 % Total Land Area of the Region % of the total land area necessary for biofuels 103 hectars % 591.707 614.147 813.973 297.968 1.135.372 1.528.715 81% 15% 48% 37% 5% 30% 2.016.412 1.834.172 2.738.369 391.390 2.786.664 2.909.449 24% 5% 14% 28% 2% 16% 4.981.881 32% 12.676.457 13% Source: Data for oil consumption - British Petroleum Data for land areas - FAO (*) Average biofuels production: 3 thousand liters per hectare HEY! WHAT ARE WE WAITING FOR? NECESSARY LAND AREA FOR TOTAL SUBSTITUTION (IN VOLUME) OF OIL CONSUMPTION AMERICA CONSUMPTION Necessary Land Area for Biofuels (*) Country Land Area for Agriculture % of the agriculture land area necessary for biofuels Total Land Area of the Country % of the total land area necessary for biofuels 103 hectars 103 hectars % 103 hectars % COUNTRY USA Canada Mexico Total North America Argentina Brazil Chile Colombia Ecuador Peru Venezuela Other S. & Cent. America Total S. & Cent. America 103 Barrels/ Day 20.655,5 2.241,3 1.977,8 24.874,6 421,3 1.818,5 257,5 230,4 148,2 138,8 553,2 1.208,0 4.775,9 Billion Liters/ Year 1.198,7 130,1 114,8 1.443,6 24,4 105,5 14,9 13,4 8,6 8,1 32,1 70,1 277,2 399.580 43.359 38.261 481.200 8.150 35.180 4.981 4.457 2.866 2.685 10.701 23.369 92.390 Source: Data for oil consumption - British Petroleum Data for land areas - FAO (*) Average biofuels production: 3 thousand liters per hectare 416.902 67.505 107.300 591.707 128.747 263.600 15.242 42.051 7.250 21.210 21.640 114.407 614.147 96% 64% 36% 81% 6% 13% 33% 11% 40% 13% 49% 20% 15% 916.192 909.351 190.869 2.016.412 273.669 845.942 74.880 110.950 27.684 128.000 88.205 284.842 1.834.172 44% 5% 20% 24% 3% 4% 7% 4% 10% 2% 12% 8% 5% NECESSITY OF AGRICULTURAL LAND AREA ACCORDING NECESSIDADE DA ÁREA AGRÍCOLA MUNDIAL EM FUNÇÃO DO RENDIMENTO PRODUCTIVITY OF DIFERENT RAW MATERIALS AGRÍCOLA SUBSTITUIÇÃO TOTAL DO PETRÓLEO, 50%, 25% e 5 % Different sceneries for oilMUNDO substitution (5%, 20%, 50%, 100%) of necessary (%) % daProportion área agricola necessária para biocombustíveis land area for biofuels agricultural 180% SOYA (600 l/ha) 5% 20% 50% 100% 160% SUNFLOWER (880 l/ha) PEANUTS (866 l/ha) 140% 120% CASTOR OIL (500-1.000 l/ha) 100% 80% JATROPHA (2.000l/ha) SUGARCANE (*) (5.000 l/ha) 60% CELULOSIC ETHANOL (*) (7.000 l/ha) PALM OIL (5.000 l/ha) 40% 20% 0% 600 1.000 2.000 3.000 4.000 5.000 6.000 7.000 Produção (litros/hectare) Production (l/ha) 13,7 % CONCLUSION Biofuels do contribute to: Energy security; Improvement of environment conditions in urban areas; Creation of jobs and income in rural areas; Economic development. However, in order to achieve this reality, it is required: Governmental decision with adequate public policies Global efforts towards creation of biofuels international market Governmental policies do exert strong influence on climate for investment because they can produce immediate impacts over costs, risks and barriers to competition. THIS CHANGE IS POSSIBLE THANK YOU! Marlon Arraes Coordinator - Renewable Fuels Department