Paris, UNESCO HQ 30 Nov - 2 Dec 2009 GTOS Steering Committee 4th Session Riccardo Valentini (GTOS Chair) GTOS Forward Looking 2010 – 2015 PURPOSE To provide elements for a strategy for GTOS for the 2010-2015 timeframe Vision, mission and logic model Priority thematic areas for GTOS Organizational structure suitable for the next period To built an implementation plan for the next 3 yeras Observations that changed governments environmental policies What was unique? Ecosystem services Provisioning Regulating Cultural Goods produced or provided by ecosystems Benefits obtained from regulation of ecosystem processes Non-material benefits from ecosystems Photo credits (left to right, top to bottom): Purdue University, WomenAid.org, LSUP, NASA, unknown, CEH Wallingford, unknown, W. Reid, Staffan Widstrand GTOS strenghts Upheld responsibilities in terrestrial – climate area, arguably the most difficult among the three domains Provided leadership and substantially advanced global land cover observation methods and products Significantly advanced the establishment of global in situ networks (sites, observations, data bases), and the use of the information for reporting Improved connections of “in situ” and space observation communities GTOS strenghts Many successes (see biennial and other reports); e.g.: Panels’ work: GOFC-GOLD: land cover methods and products, fire methods and products, ECV contributions, advocacy for satellite observations continuity, numerous regional networks TCOIGCO: CarboAfrica and its outputs, in situ methods documentation,.. TOPCGCOSUNFCCC: ECV definition and documentation, analyzing and documenting status of+need for improvements in observations,.. Other: framework for standardization (UN ISO) IGOS, GEOIGOL, .. GTNs: -Glaciers, -Hydrology, -Permafrost; -Lakes, -Rivers, Mountains GTOS strenghts GTOS has a strong authoritative mandate (UNCED) In all, to date GTOS made key contributions and visible impact on global observations methods, products, and systems; these would not have happened without the GTOS’ systematic approach GTOS has become a “brand” GTOS weakness Critical issues and challenges: Programmatic/ organizational GTOS position in the international arena and leadership Lack of a coherent results-based planning framework Weak engagement of sponsor needs and priorities in the workplan Better allocation of responsibilities among panels and with GTOS partners Risks due to dependence on voluntary efforts (within GTOS and with partners) Resources: limited, non-increasing GTOS 2010-2015 VISION A world where international policy decisions are based on timely, reliable and comprehensive information about the status of the terrestrial environment, its components, and the natural resources it provides for humans and other species. MISSION Lead and facilitate the design, implementation and continuity operation of long term observation systems that enable the acquisition of consistent, timely and accurate information on ecosystem services and their changes at global, regional and national scales. Paris, UNESCO HQ 30 Nov - 2 Dec 2009 GTOS POSITION GTOS is grounded on the scientific community but with an operational mandate FAO: LADA, GLADA, REDD; ICSU: DIVERSITAS, IGBP, WCRP, WDS; UNEP: Environment Watch Strategy, WCMC, DEWA/ Global Environmental Outlook; UNESCO: PECS, SUMAMAD, GOOS; WMO: IPCC, GCOS, GFCS GTOS COCOS; ICOS; IMECC; GCP; CARBOAFRICA; CARBOEUROPE; NACP; projects in ESA The Living Planet program, ICOS, NASA GTOS Structure UNFCC CBD UNCCD RAMSAR Paris, UNESCO HQ 30 Nov - 2 Dec 2009 GTOS Steering Committee 4th Session PRODUCTS Two main products categories : 1. Development of guidelines and standards for improved terrestrial observation systems. 2. Synthesis products, position papers, databases, georeferenced GTOS IS - analysis of global/regional/national terrestrial ecosystems services and their changes Paris, UNESCO HQ 30 Nov - 2 Dec 2009 GTOS Steering Committee PRODUCTS GTOS IS - 4th Session Paris, UNESCO HQ 30 Nov - 2 Dec 2009 GTOS Steering Committee 4th Session GTOS DOMAINS FOR OBSERVATIONS 1. Climate 2. Carbon Cycle 3. Land degradation and water scarcity 4. Biodiversity GTOS IS - CLIMATE Paris, UNESCO HQ 30 Nov - 2 Dec 2009 CLIMATE WHY: Climate change is the major environmental challenge to society for the 21st century Terrestrial observations are needed to provide robust and effective adaptation plans WHAT: Continue supporting GCOSUNFCCC on ECVs Expand work on ECVs to include other drivers (i.e A1:soilFRAMEWORK CONVENTION moisture) ON CLIMATE CHANGE (UNFCCC) CARBON CYCLE (2000-2006) 1.5 Pg C y-1 4.1 Pg y-1 Atmosphere 45% 2.8 Pg y-1 Land 30% + 7.6 Pg C y-1 2.2 Pg y-1 Oceans 25% Canadell et al. 2007, PNAS Paris, UNESCO HQ 30 Nov - 2 Dec 2009 CARBON CYCLE WHY: Terrestrial carbon plays an important role in shaping the greenhouse gas balance of the atmosphere both in terms of sources and sinks. Terrestrial carbon observations are becoming key issues of future climate policies WHAT: Continue support to IGCO A1:Develop FRAMEWORK CONVENTION capacities in regional/national carbon – Focus on AFRICA ONobservations CLIMATE CHANGE (UNFCCC) Contribute and advice to REDD Blue and Green Waters 100% 60% 40% Paris, UNESCO HQ 30 Nov - 2 Dec 2009 LAND DEGRADATION AND WATER SCARCITY WHY: Desertification, Land Degradation and Drought (DLDD) is a global problem affecting more than 2 billion people in over 100 countries, costing more than 40 billion dollars a year “to monitor the processes of degradation and improvement at global and regional scales without having to wait for generalization from detailed, local information” CST/UNCCD A Global Desertification Observing System (GDOS) proposed in 2009 Water scarcity and conflicts are becoming critical areas of terrestrial observations WHAT: A2:Address CONVENTION COMBAT monitoring capabilitiesTO for water (water catchment integrity, soil moisture) DESERTIFICATION (UNCCD) Link with LADA, GDOS and CST/UNCCD Establish a role for GTOS via modified Panel responsibilities BIODIVERSITY Habitat losses : implication for fauna Alpine ibex National Park Adamello-Brenta Habitat Suitability maps under projected climate change SRES A1F1, 2030 & 2050 Paris, UNESCO HQ 30 Nov - 2 Dec 2009 BIODIVERSITY WHY: Earth's biological resources vital to economic and social development, but survival of species and ecosystems is under increasing pressure and species extinction continues at an alarming rate COP/CBD expressed the need for integrated regional and sub-global ecosystem assessments and for improvements in the availability and interoperability of biodiversity data Space observations on habitat fragmentation, land cover, species recognition are a unique niche for GTOS WHAT: A2: BIODIVERSITY CONVENTION Establish a role for GTOS via modified Panel responsibilities Work with GEO BON and the SBSTTA/UNCBD (UNCBD) Link with DIVERSITAS for the observation component Focus on protected areas and national parks/reference sites GTOS - AFRICA CARBOAFRICA 2.5 M€ (2007-2010) ERC GRANT AFRICA GHG 2.5 M€ (2010-2014) Climate change predictions in SubSaharan Africa: impacts and adaptations CLIMAFRICA EU FP7 3 M€ 2010-2013 Paris, UNESCO HQ 30 Nov - 2 Dec 2009 Proposed new GTOS Structure Sponsors UNCCD CBD Biodiversity GOFC-GOLD Land degradation & water UNFCCC Carbon cycle TCO GTOS activities, GT-Net, C-GTOS Climate TOPC Paris, UNESCO HQ 30 Nov - 2 Dec 2009 IN SITU NETWORKS Based on precedent and current practice: both TOPC and GOFC-GOLD have actively pursued the establishment, nurturing, and use of data from thematic in situ networks Recognizing this across GTOS structure will clarify responsibilities and help future evolution of these (and other) networks In practice, it means that: GOFC-GOLD would continue the work previously undertaken on the development of regional networks TCO would oversee/ interact with C- and CCD- relevant networks TOPC would continue taking responsibility for GTN-G, GTNP, and GTN-H; and for the establishment and operation (directly or through GTN-H) of GTN-R, GTN-L, and other potential water-cycle related networks (e.g., ground water) WHY LINKING GTNS TO PANELS Paris, UNESCO HQ 30 Nov - 2 Dec 2009 WEB SITE WHY: Is the ‘face of GTOS’ for the world, serving as the main source of information for most people not directly involved in GTOS activities. Its content must therefore be comprehensive, up to date, and presented in userfriendly manner GTOS website could also have a more direct functional role as ‘GTOS-online’ with access to metadata, data, and other terrestrial information WHAT: Redesign and enhance website byACTIVITIES adding links to ‘GTOS C1: ‘MAINTENANCE’ partners’ where actual data sets and information are WEBSITE accessible and kept up to date (requires identifying such partners and obtaining their consent) Also revise GTOS-GOSIC websites linkages A model for this approach: GOOS website Paris, UNESCO HQ 30 Nov - 2 Dec 2009 SECRETARIAT WHY: The principal contact point between GTOS, its partners, and other agencies relevant to GTOS activities and plans. Also tracking new issues and developments relevant to GTOS mission, and ensuring coordinated response to these Maintains GTOS website and coordinates its development Supports communication within GTOS, with Sponsors and with external entities, including preparation and publication of reports etc. WHAT: Experience from its companion programs (GCOS, C1: ‘MAINTENANCE’ ACTIVITIES GOOS) clearly shows a full-time Director with adequate support in the Secretariat is required SECRETARIAT A more intense/ complex Website role (see above) Secretariat must be adequately resourced – this essential (core funding issue); otherwise GTOS progress hampered (or worse) Paris, UNESCO HQ 30 Nov - 2 Dec 2009 SECRETARIAT WHY: The principal contact point between GTOS, its partners, and other agencies relevant to GTOS activities and plans. Also tracking new issues and developments relevant to GTOS mission, and ensuring coordinated response to these Maintains GTOS website and coordinates its development Supports communication within GTOS, with Sponsors and with external entities, including preparation and publication of reports etc. WHAT: Experience from its siblings programs (GCOS, GOOS) C1: ‘MAINTENANCE’ ACTIVITIES clearly shows a full-time Director with adequate support in the Secretariat is required SECRETARIAT A more intense/ complex Website role (see above) Secretariat must be adequately resourced – this essential (core funding issue); otherwise GTOS progress hampered (or worse) Paris, UNESCO HQ 30 Nov - 2 Dec 2009 COMUNICATION A GTOS-wide, agreed- upon protocol for documenting and reporting on activities and plans; Cross-representation on Panels (e.g., one TOPC member also being a member of GOFC-GOLD, one of TCO); Copying that member and all Panel chairs on ‘significant’ within-panel communications (emails, reports, …). Additional cross- membership, attendance of COMMUNICATION WITHIN GTOS teleconferences etc. as appropriate or for special reasons (dealing with issues requiring joint work, hot (2) topics, short timeline tasks, coordination of reporting,...) Paris, UNESCO HQ 30 Nov - 2 Dec 2009 STEERING COMMITTEE Propose/Endorse the strategy Oversees the implementation Advices on user needs 1. Maintain regular communication with sponsors 2. Possibly appoint a contact person for each sponsor 3. Revisit the external membership PROPOSED REVISED GTOS STRUCTURE Paris, UNESCO HQ 30 Nov - 2 Dec 2009 GTOS Steering Committee 4th Session PROPOSED STEPS Discuss the strategy and taking inputs from SC (this meeting) Finalize the strategy (December 31st) Draft the elements for an implementation plan based on panel inputs (January 31st) GTOS STRUCTURE Finalize implementation plan (February 29th) Paris, UNESCO HQ 30 Nov - 2 Dec 2009 GTOS Steering Committee 4th Session END Thanks