The Relationship between Ownership Structure, Supervision Mechanism and Firm Performance – An Empirical Study in Vietnam Listed Firms Advisor: Dr. Lin Yi Hua Graduate: Le Thi Hong Minh 1 Outline of the study Introduction The regulation of Corporate Literature reviewGovernance in Vietnam Literature review, Research Methodology Data Analysis and Results Contribution and Conclusion 2 Research background & Motivation The world crisis impact sharply on world economy, reduces investor’s confidence, discourage outside investment. Corporate governance seems like an insight method to solve the root of crisis through reducing emerging market vulnerability to financial crisis, decreasing transaction cost and the cost of capital. Good corporate governance increases higher productivity, makes a lower risk of financial system and creates a capital market development. Thus, the better corporate governance gets the better firm performance. 3 Research background & Motivation Vietnam is in changing stage from state owned to private enterprises, but it’s not many studies about corporate governance in Vietnam to indicate both the positive and negative points in fact to give the more exact conclusion for improving corporate governance in Vietnam Moreover, Vietnam integrates more and more into the world economy, thus need develop awareness and knowledge of corporate governance to build up the consistent management system. To investigate how to apply the enterprise law 2005 to shareholder company and how well the relationship between corporate governance structure to firm performance in Vietnam from 2006 to 2008 in Vietnam. 4 Objectives (1) To evaluate the relationship between ownership structure, supervision mechanism and firm performance in Vietnam. (3)To identify the (2) To compare the affect reasons and find the of corporate governance way to enhance on firms between effectively corporate Vietnam and others governance in countries. Vietnam Listed firm in the future 5 The stage of development of Vietnam's stock market 2000 -2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 In a boring state The breakthrough development of Vietnam's stock market Stage stock market boom Greatly reduced Vietnam's stock market continued to decline in 2009. Center Ho Chi Minh City Securities on July 20th 2000 Capitalization of the stock market of Vietnam has increased sharply, reaching 13.8 billion in December in 2006 Increase of 126% in just three months VnIndex has lost nearly 60% in value Sales growth of about 40% over, but operating profit rose 8% Fears of a "bubble market", control tight market Profit companies in 2008 declined by 30%. Losses in real estate investments and securities pushed net profit down 25%. 6 March 8th 2005 securities trading centers in Hanoi Definition of Corporate Governance “Corporate governance comprehends that structure of relationships and corresponding responsibilities among a core group consisting of shareholders, board members and managers designed to best foster the competitive performance required to achieve the corporation's primary objective” (OECD Report, 1998) 7 Definition of Corporate Governance “ Corporate governance (CG) is the system by which companies are directed and controlled. The CG specifies the distribution of rights and responsibilities among different participants in the corporation, such as board, managers, shareholders and other stakeholders… ” (Cadbury Committee, 1999) 8 The types of Companies in Vietnam sole member limited Co Limited liability Co with more than one member Corporate Group Shareholding Company Limited liability Sole proprietorship Partnership 9 The Enterprise law 2005 The regulation of CG in Vietnam The Board of Management: is a management body of the company, which is entitled to act on behalf of the company in exercising all the rights and obligations, at least 3 members and no more than 11 members, required to reside in Vietnam will be stipulated in the company charter, Members of boards of Management are not necessarily shareholders of the company, 10 (Article 108, 110 of the Enterprise Law 2005) The regulation of CG in Vietnam Director or General director The Board of Management will appoint one among them or other person to act as the director or general director of the company. will act as the legal representative of the company unless the company charter specifies that the chairman of the Board of Management will so act. The term is no more than 5 years and can be renewed unlimitedly. (Article 116, Enterprise Law 2005) 11 The regulation of CG in Vietnam Board of Supervisor Will comprise of from 3 to 5 members Will be no more than 5 years The members of the Board of supervision can be reelected with unlimited number of terms. More than half of the members of the Board of supervision must reside in Vietnam, and at least one member is an accountant or auditor. (Article 121, Enterprise Law 2005) 12 Concepts of Model In this study, a model will be developed to explain the relationship between ownership structure, Supervisor mechanism and firm performance ( ROA, ROE, EPS). These relationships are impacted on two control variables, like: firm scale and debt ratio. 13 Model Research Ownership structure Supervisor mechanism 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. State share percentage First major shareholder Second major shareholder Managers’ stock holding ratio Ownership concentration 6. Board size 7. Board of manager and Supervisor 8. Independent trustee 9. Foreign ownership 10. Institutional ownership 14 Research Hypotheses H1: There is a positive relationship between the State ownership percentage and firm performance H2: There is a negative relationship between the ratio of first major shareholder and firm performance H3: there is a negative relationship between the ratios of second shareholder and firm performance H4: There is a positive relationship between managers’ stock holding ration and firm performance H5: There is negative relationship between ownership concentration and firm performance H6: there is a negative relationship between Board size and firm performance H7: There is a positive relationship between the stock holding ratio of Board and Supervisor and firm performance. H8: There is a positive relationship between independent trustee ratio and firm performance. H9: There is a positive relationship between foreign ownership and firm performance H10: there is a positive relationship between institutional ownership and firm performance. 15 Sample The data collection in this study involves Vietnam stock market in both south and north centers. From more than 500 listed firms, about 300 listed firms has annual reports. However, only 150 listed firms have enough variables required for this study. 16 Research Methods Descriptive statistic Descriptive the main features of a collection data in quantitative terms. Correlation analysis Correlation measures the relation between variables together. t - Test The t-test tell us if the variation between two • groups is ‘ significant” or not Multiple regression analysis To predict the model to describe and measure the relationship between dependent variables and independent 17 ones Table 4 – 1: Descriptive statistic Items Firm scale Ln firm scale Debt ratio State share percentage First major shareholder Second major shareholder Manager's stock holding ratio Ownership concentration Board size Boards and supervisors' stock holding ratio Independent trustee ratio Foreign shareholder ratio Institution ownership ROA ROE Ln EPS EPS Mean Median S.D 8.039E+11 3.23902E+11 2.70237E+12 Minimum Maximum 3237000 3.203E+13 26.089 0.50299 0.27211 0.34068 0.0846 26.5037 0.524 0.2687 0.3061 0.0792 2.151502 0.234852 0.232947 0.169415 0.090478 14.99 0.001 0 0.07 0 31.098 0.873 0.843 0.782 0.791 0.11879 0.0448 0.150984 0 0.601 0.15648 5.96129 0.11325 5 0.138109 1.69753 0 4 0.808 14 0.2966 0.25034 0.31257 0.001 2.85 0.04871 0.12956 0.54191 0.08768 0.18061 7.71549 3497.68 0 0.0315 0.3425 0.06006 0.14233 8.02725 2901 0.140305 0.268035 2.092929 0.095278 0.191991 1.362427 2881.221 0 0 0.003 -0.017 -0.041 0.868 -3488 1 2.81 26.29 0.635 1.964 9.564 14250 18 Table 4 – 2: Correlation coefficients ln X1 lnX1 1 X2 X3 .071 X2 .071 X3 .072 .292** X4 .040 X5 -.008 X6 X7 X8 X9 X4 .072 1 .292** X6 X7 X8 X9 X10 X11 X12 .120 .740** .081 .120 .001 -.344** -.160* -.442** -.143 -.176* -.110 -.075 1 -.278** -.110 -.288** -.278** .043 -.151 -.126 .078 .032 1 .132 -.145 .105 .043 .585** .761** -.145 .115 .110 .025 .110 -.090 -.180* -.026 1 .289** -.151 -.133 -.103 .010 .032 .761** -.103 .132 -.006 -.126 -.105 ROA ROE Lneps .040 -.008 -.214** -.004 .289** -.006 1 .740** -.288** -.066 .585** -.133 -.105 -.061 -.226** -.214** -.075 -.066 -.004 X5 .026 .169* 1 -.212** .094 .250** .074 .200* .036 .083 .074 .113 1 -.111 .016 -.030 .023 .047 .003 .069 -.021 .100 .059 .025 1 .806** .181* -.011 .111 1 .171* -.006 .129 -.111 1 X11 .078 -.344** -.226** -.180* .169* -.085 -.095 .200* .016 .069 X12 .010 -.160* .025 -.026 ROA .006 -.442** .072 .094 -.006 -.025 .104 .083 .023 .100 .181* .171* ROE .069 -.143 .144 .250** -.087 -.052 .084 .074 .047 .059 Ln eps .135 -.176* .232** .041 .163* .113 .003 .025 .001 -.026 -.025 .041 .084 .163* .074 .026 -.161* -.097 .158 .104 .081 .158 -.081 .144 .232** .137 -.097 -.095 -.025 1 -.054 .137 -.054 .135 .001 -.006 -.087 -.081 X10 .001 -.061 -.090 .072 .069 .115 -.129 .287** -.161* -.085 -.026 -.025 -.052 .052 -.129 -.212** .105 .287** .052 .006 .036 -.030 -.021 .806** 1 .276** .362** -.011 -.006 .276** .111 1 .292** .129 .362** .292** 19 * Significant at 0.05 level, ** significant at 0.01 level, *** significant at 0.001 level 1 Variables Strongly Positive Weakly Positive Strongly Negative State shareholder Debt ratio, ln EPS First major shareholder, HHI Second major, Foreigner shareholder First major shareholder State share, HHI, ROE Second major Second major shareholder foreign Management stock holding Board & supervisor Ownership concentration State share, first major Ln eps Board size Firm scale Foreign Board & supervisor Manager stock holding Weakly Negative Foreigner shareholder ratio State, first Firm scale Independent trustee ratio Board size Independent Foreign shareholder Institutional ownership Second major, ROA Institutional Foreign ROA Debt, state share First major 20 Debt ratio *P≤0.1, **P≤0.05, ***P≤0.01 Table 4 - 3: Table of t-test DEPENDENT VARIABLES INDEPENDENT VARIABLES LOW HIGH State share percentage t- value First major shareholder LOW HIGH t- value Second major shareholder LOW HIGH t- value Manager ownership LOW HIGH t- value Ownership concentration LOW HIGH t - value Board size LOW HIGH t - value Board & Supervisor’s stock LOW holding ratio HIGH t - value Independent trustee LOW HIGH t- value Foreign LOW HIGH shareholder t- value Institutional ownership LOW HIGH t- value ROA N 77 78 77 78 77 78 77 78 77 78 3 152 77 78 131 24 77 78 77 78 ROE MEAN .07835 .09690 -1.214 .08055 .09473 -.926 .09146 .08396 .489 .09282 .08261 .664 .07370 .10149 -1.834** .06637 .08811 -.390 .08625 .08911 -.186 .08763 .08796 -.015 .07217 .10300 -2.040*** .07978 .09549 -1.028* N 77 78 77 78 77 78 77 78 77 78 3 152 77 78 131 24 77 78 77 78 EPS MEAN .15010 .21073 -1.984 .12485 .23565 -3.760** .19320 .16818 .810 .19713 .16430 1.060 .16482 .19619 -1.017 .09582 .18228 -.771 .16218 .19880 -1.189 .16735 .25297 -1.051** .17257 .18855 -.519** .16267 .19831 -1.157 N 77 78 77 78 77 78 77 78 77 78 3 152 77 78 131 24 77 78 77 78 MEAN 2623.20 4360.94 -3.932** 2915.69 4072.20 -2.545* 3826.17 3173.40 .497 3446.82 3547.88 -.218 2971.92 4016.69 -2.288 2909.33 3509.29 -.356 3790.15 3208.95 1.256* 3493.83 3518.67 -.039 3352.35 3641.14 -.623 2843.31 21 4143.66 -2.875 Regression Model Firm performance ROA ROE EPS (ln EPS) = Ownership structure State share, First major shareholder, Second major shareholder, Management ‘s shareholder, Ownership concentration + Control variables +ε Firm scale Debt ratio 22 Regression Model Firm performance ROA ROE EPS (ln EPS) = Supervisor Mechanism Board size, Board and supervisor’s stock holding ratio, Independent trustee, Foreign percentage, Institutional ownership. + Control variables +ε Firm scale Debt ratio 23 DEPENDENT VARIABLE ROA MODEL 1 Intercept MODEL 2 .152 .170 .001 .001 -.207*** -.206*** State share percentage .091* .090* First major shareholder -.014 -.035 .006 -.045 -.029 -.146 .014 .023 Control variable Ln firm scale Debt ratio Independent variable Second major shareholder Manager's stock holding ratio Ownership concentration Square Terms SMH2 .090 MSH2 R2 .242 .251 .246 Adjusted R2 .206 .199 6.671*** 5.234*** F-statistic Table 4 – 4: Table of regression model 1 and 2 24 Table 4 – 5: Table of regression Model 3 and 4 DEPENDENT VARIABLE ROA MODEL 3 MODEL 4 .134 .201 .002 .002 -.192*** -.187*** .001 -.020 -.003 -.004 Independent trustee ratio .078 .004 Foreign shareholder ratio -.076 -.063 .012** .011* Intercept Control variable Ln firm scale Debt ratio Independent variable Board size Boards and supervisors' stock holding ratio Institution ownership Square Terms BS2 .001 IT2 .117 R2 .230 .237 Adjusted R2 .193 .189 6.268*** 4.995*** 25 F-statistic *P≤0.1, **P≤0.05, ***P≤0.01 *P≤0.1, **P≤0.05, ***P≤0.01 Table 4 – 6: Table of regression model 5 and 6 DEPENDENT VARIABLE ROE MODEL 5 MODEL 6 .018 .019 .005 .005 -.161** -.165** -.005 -.013 .521*** .525*** Second major shareholder(SMH) -.026 -.134 Manager's stock holding ratio (MSH) -.047 .023 -.349** -.346** Intercept Control variable Ln firm scale Debt ratio Independent variable State share percentage First major shareholder (FMS) Ownership concentration (HHI 5%) Square Terms SMH2 .216 MSH2 -.136 R2 .127 .128 Adjusted R2 .085 .074 3.038*** 2.353** 26 F-statistic Table 4 – 7: Table of regression model 7 and 8 DEPENDENT VARIABLE ROE MODEL 7 Intercept MODEL 8 .045 -.061 .006 .006 -.153** -.165** Board size .007 .045 Boards and supervisors' stock holding ratio .029 .027 Independent trustee ratio .099 .449* Foreign shareholder ratio -.138 -.176 .011 .014 Control variable Ln firm scale Debt ratio Independent variable Institution ownership Square Terms BS2 -.002 IT2 -.556 R2 Adjusted R2 F-statistic .043 .060 -.003 .002 .944 1.027 27 *P≤0.1, **P≤0.05, ***P≤0.01 Table 4 – 8: Table of regression Model 9 and 10 ***P < 0.001, **P<0.01, *P<0.05 Dependent variable Ln EPS Model 9 Intercept Model 10 5.692 5.452 .099 .109** -1.635*** -1.797*** 2.137*** 1.892*** -1.248 -.880 -.808 -4.197* .664 4.527* .595 .609 Control variable Ln firm scale Debt ratio Independent variable State share percentage First major shareholder Second major shareholder Manager's stock holding ratio Ownership concentration Square Terms SMH2 6.837* MSH2 -7.854 R2 .148 .180 Adjusted R2 .107 .128 3.561*** 28 3.437*** F-statistic Table 4 – 9: Table of regression model 11 and 12 DEPENDENT VARIABLE Ln EPS MODEL 11 Intercept MODEL 12 5.688 5.906 .088 .087 -1.132** -1.145** .054 .001 -.037 -.035 Independent trustee ratio .230 .696 Foreign shareholder ratio -.822 -.827 .145 .094 Control variable Ln firm scale Debt ratio Independent variable Board size Boards and supervisors' stock holding ratio Institution ownership Square Terms BS2 .003 IT2 -.732 R2 .072 .072 Adjusted R2 .027 .014 F-statistic 1.590 *P≤0.1, **P≤0.05, ***P≤0.01 1.231 29 Research Hypotheses H1: There is a positive relationship between the State ownership percentage and firm performance H2: there is a negative relationship between the ratio of first major shareholder and firm performance H3: there is a negative relationship between the ratios of second shareholder and firm performance H4: There is a positive relationship between managers’ stock holding ration and firm performance H5: There is negative relationship between ownership concentration and firm performance H6: there is a negative relationship between Board size and firm performance H7: There is a positive relationship between the stock holding ratio of Board and Supervisor and firm performance H8: There is a positive relationship between independent trustee ratio and firm performance. H9: There is a positive relationhip between foreign ownerhip and firm performance H10: there is a positive relationship between institutional ownership and firm performance. Support /Not Strongly supported Strongly supported Strongly supported Strongly supported Strongly supported Not supported Not supported Supported Not supported Strongly supported 30 Conclusion The role of state share in Vietnamese firms is dramatic important, affect significant to firm performance. The effect of outside board such as independent trustee and foreign share is completely unclearly. The control variables has negative significant correlation to firm performance in Vietnam listed firms. 31 Conclusion The study can help to show the reality relationship between corporate governance structure and firm performance. It has some different from Western countries and Vietnam cause of specific characteristic environment (Republic Socialist Country) 32 Contribution and Implication The study is the first basic step to get more and more academic research about corporate governance in Vietnam in the near future Study contributes the small part into indicating the real relationship between ownership structure, supervision mechanism and firm performance in Vietnam. Which supports to find out solutions for negative points in improving corporate governance in Vietnam. CG in VN State Owners have a lot rights in making decision in Vietnam firms now. It should transferred to other shareholders like outside supervisors mechanism to improve the awareness of them in get a better operation. 33 Limitation The literature review focused on Western Research and capitalist country, thus implementation these into Vietnam situation faces some limitation. Most of large capital firms belong to Government (51%), thus Government also control the business lead to some indicators are inconsistent. Furthermore, Private firms have small total assets, it’s not easy to apply corporate governance studies. 34 Limitation The equalization process in Vietnam has just happened for the initial period, SOEs did not post enough information for all companies in Vietnam now, and the time period is only limited in 2006 – 2008. from 500 listed firms, only 150 firms have enough information supplies for studying which reduces the exact of study result. 35 Future Research In the future, the data information in Vietnam is better; the study will reach more exactly in empirical research. The study cannot compare between industries to examine which gets the best relationship between corporate governance structure and firm performance. The more and more enhancing the law systems for managing and taking part in of outside supervision mechanism will help a better research. 36 Thank You ! L/O/G/O 37