Land Values, Rents, Rent to Value Ratios and Land as an Investment Damona Doye Sarkeys Distinguished Professor Extension Economist and Regents Professor Roger Sahs Assistant Extension Specialist A new website, aglease.info & a reminder about aglease101.org Sources of data • Land values – USDA National Ag Statistics Service annual summary – Agecon.okstate.edu/oklandvalues – Kansas City Federal Reserve Bank quarterly Ag Credit Survey • Rental rates – OSU survey results in CR-216 and CR-230 – USDA NASS annual statistics – Oklahoma Commissioners of the Land Office US and OK Land Values 4,000 3,500 $/acre 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 0 US Pasture Land Value OK Pasture Land Value US Cropland Value OK Non-irrig Cropland Value USDA-NASS data (August 2012) Farm Real Estate Value, 2012 (% change) -2.2% 10.0% 2.75% 7.0% 5.0% 20.9% 3.4% 23.9% 7.4% 33.5% 5.0% NC 5 11.50 2.9% 12.0% 13.7% 9.6% 9.1% 1-9 10-19 > 20 USDA-NASS data -3.5% NC 5.2% 1.4% -1.1% NC 26 NC 0.9% -2.4% -7.9% N/C 2.9% -7.7% 13.6% 17.5% 11.3% -4.5% 4.0% 22.8% 6.4% 19.2% 8.2% 10.4% 3.7% <0 -1.5% 26.5% -3.9% NC NC Crop Land Average Value by State, 2012 ($ per acre) 853 1,350 4,050 2,510 2,560 4,230 2,320 2,600 4,000 1,290 7,300 4,480 2,690 5,650 6,800 6,200 1,450 1,750 9,810 4,700 3,450 3,340 12,380 7,800 5,000 7,000 4,000 3,430 8,500 1,830 1,390 2,370 2,520 2,070 2,300 N/A 1,690 2,120 500 - 999 1,000 – 2,499 2,500 – 4,999 5,000 – 15,000 USDA/NASS data 3,360 5,730 Crop Land Cash Rent, 2012 ($ per acre) 215 58 29.5 151 130 143 115 94 50.5 58.5 72 72.5 235 212 60.5 32.5 74 33 89.5 87 49 130 110 70.5 91 94.5 37.5 99 N/A 68 122 175 267 200 79.5 142 108 176 130 47 52 98 36 25 to 50 76.5 103 51 to 100 101 to 150 >151 USDA/NASS data www.agecon.okstate.edu/oklandvalues USDA/NASS data 1600 $35 1400 $30 1200 $25 1000 $20 800 $15 600 400 $10 200 $5 0 $0 Year OK Non-irrig Cropland Value OK Non-irrig Cropland Rent USDA/NASS data Average Cropland Rent ($ per Acre) Average Cropland Value ($ per Acre) OK Average Cropland Value and Rental Rates Average Annual Dryland Cash Rental Rates ($/acre) Wheat 31.78 NW SW NC E State 28.66 10-49 30.96 15-55 38.21 20-55 35.70 20-67 32.81 10-67 Alfalfa 41.61 40.40 32-50 Grain Sorghum 27.90 29.03 16-45 Northwest North central East Southwest Source: OSU/NASS survey, fall 2012 Pasture Land Average Value by State, 2012 ($ per acre) 810 570 490 620 1,500 1,210 450 2,800 2,600 3,000 350 1,150 1,560 500 - 999 1,000 – 2,499 2,500 – 4,999 5,000 – 15,000 13,500 640 1,820 USDA/NASS data 4,100 2,450 4,400 3,580 2,300 2,850 1,930 N/A 3,200 3,100 950 950 1,250 2,500 660 920 2,130 590 2,300 1,550 4,200 Average Pastureland Rent, 2012 ($ per acre) 5.90 24.50 14 17.50 34 4.80 17.50 5 46 38 35 4.60 16.50 11.50 2.80 21 28 16 N/A 0 to 5 6.50 5 to 14 15 to 24 25 to 50 USDA/NASS data 26 20 11.50 18 19 28 12.50 www.agecon.okstate.edu/oklandvalues 1400 $14 1200 $12 1000 $10 800 $8 600 $6 400 $4 200 $2 0 $0 Year OK Pasture Land Value USDA/NASS data OK Pasture Rent Average Rent ($ per Acre) Average Pasture Land Value ($ per Acre) OK Average Pasture Land Value and Rental Rate OK Pasture Land Values as a Percent of Cropland Values http://agecon.okstate.edu/oklandvalues/ Average Annual Pasture Cash Rental Rates ($/acre) Native Pasture 11.61 NW SW NC E State 9.30 5-15 12.44 4-30 12.66 8-21 13.87 3-33 12.40 3-33 Bermuda 16.61 17.36 6-35 18.99 4-50 19.27 4-50 Other Pasture 16.10 23.09 8-50 21.67 12-30 20.70 6-50 Northwest North central East Southwest Source: OSU/NASS survey, fall 2012 US and OK Cropland and Pasture Rent to Value Ratios 6 Rent to Value 5 4 3 2 1 0 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 US Cropland Rent to Value OK Non-Irrig Cropland Rent to Value US Pasture Rent to Value OK Pasture Rent to Value USDA/NASS data 2010 2012 Value of $1000 Invested in OK Pastureland, Cropland or the S&P $60,000 $50,000 $40,000 $30,000 $20,000 $10,000 $- Pastureland S&P Cropland Value of an Investment Made in Oklahoma Farmland as a Percent of an Investment in the S&P by Initial Year of Investment 300% 250% 200% 150% 100% 50% 0% Pastureland Cropland www.agecon.okstate.edu/oklandvalues 2009-2011 Cropland and Pasture Values by Size of Tract http://agecon.okstate.edu/oklandvalues/