UNITED STATES OF AMERICA Political Science 315 CEO: Heather Coburn CFO: Shayna Langsner CMO: Tara White CIO: Ryo Sato CBTO: Eric Nagata CSO-Republican: David Kanarfogel CSO-Democrat: Michael Ganoot CSO: Gary Benjamin TI: Ron Magtanong 2 TABLE OF CONTENTS 2…...Table of Contents 3…...CEO Graphs 6…...CEO Background Information 8…...CEO Policy Statement 10….CFO Graphs 12….CFO Background Information 14….CFO Policy Statement 16….CBTO Graphs 18….CBTO Background Information 19….CBTO Policy Statement 21….CSO-Republican Graphs 26….CSO-Republican Background Information 27….CSO-Republican Policy Statement 29….CSO-Democrat Graphs 32….CSO-Democrat Background Information 34….CSO-Democrat Policy Statement 3 CEO: Heather Coburn Section A Graphs for the United States of America, using a Security First Policy This graph shows the power trends from the year 2000 until the year 2020. Although no significant increase in power is noticeable it is important to note the slight rise in power attributed to China and India as well as the slight decrease in power shown for the United States as well as Japan. The goal of our foreign policy, as we discussed as a group is to maintain the slight upper hand in national security while ultimately aiming for a more egalitarian world. With this being said, it is necessary for the functionality of our own society to maintain, security, safety, and freedom from fear, as suggested by Mallow’s hierarchy theory. 4 Annual Carbon Emissions of Fossil Fuels This chart shows the decline in use of fossil fuels which is congruent with our groups plan and policy to protect the global environment. This graph describes the carbon emissions of every policy option. We, the Untied States of America, are committed to the reduction of global emissions of green house gasses. We intend to ratify the Kyoto protocol and will uphold the financial responsibilities that the Kyoto protocol obligates us too. This includes “the principle that developed countries have to pay and supply technology to undeveloped countries for climate related studies and projects.” (wikipedia.com: Kyoto Protocol.) Laswell would contend that because we have the power and resources (wealth) to support other countries in this endeavor and we see this as a legitimate prospect for our future health and safety, we have both our welfare and deference values in mind when making this decision. I disagree with the stand that the current administration took on the ratification of the Kyoto Protocol. According to www.wikipedia.com; Kyoto Protocol, the current president “does not intend to submit the treaty for ratification, not because he does not agree with the 5 general idea but because of the strain he believes the treaty would put on the economy.” (www.wikipedia.com: Kyoto Protocol) I believe that by signing the protocol we, as the United States, are not only committed to the protection of our environment but we are also committed to a cooperative effort with other nations. As far as education is concerned, I believe the current policies we have are good. But, in order to be more competitive in the international future we should consider putting more money into education and promotion of higher education. According to this graph our graduation rate will continue to rise for about the next twenty years, but after that it will stagnate while other countries continue to rise to our level. While it is important to encourage education on an equal level internationally, in order for us to maintain our position as one of the world powers we need to ensure we are not surpassed in intelligence in the not so far future. Section B 6 As the CEO of the United States of America, along with my teammates I plan to maintain a policy domestic and abroad that will ensure the safety of us and our citizens as well as to encourage and improve international relations. We are open to reconsideration of current trade policies and possible increase of foreign aid. We also plan on maintaining a strong military because of possible simulation threats while at the same time hoping that a more diplomatic approach will create a peaceful solution and in turn allow us to divert funds from military spending to more productive expenses. We intend to maintain our power in international society but encourage other countries to work with us to create more equal global partnerships. We do not need or plan on maintaining our singular superpower title but we do intend to be among the leaders of a more equal global society. We also have committed ourselves to the protection of our global environment and as a group have decided to ratify the Kyoto protocol. We plan on working with countries such as China and Taiwan to help create a compromise that will be suitable for both countries as sovereign states. Because of our current domination on global politics, our strong economy as well as out current trade allies we will strive to do our part in to create a more unified system of international policy. In a domestic aspect I plan our reinforcing good policies, while at the same time creating new policy. We will continue to encourage and promote the equal rights and opportunities of all citizens and discuss the legalization of gay marriage. According to wikipedia.com “Medical bills are the most common reason for personal bankruptcy in the United States and it is estimated that roughly 45 million Americans have no health coverage.” (www.wikipedia.com : US Healthcare) For this reason, as CEO of the United States I plan on investigating a more progressive plan for health coverage of all citizens by following the example of other successful western governments. I also plan on creating a more federalized 7 structure of the education system supplementing this by more federal funding to states for the specific purpose of education. “Our economy is healthy and vigorous and growing faster then other industrialized nations. In the last two and a half years, America has created 4.6 million new jobs.” (George Bush, State of the Union). To this end we will continue to promote a thriving economy by encouraging higher education and funding research for alternate energy sources. I plan throughout this simulation to use the opinions and intelligence of my group members to my advantage. I think disagreements will only benefit us in the long run because we can contribute to the solution or compromise together. We are also prepared to work with other countries openly and will assist them in a reasonable manner in their endeavors in order to maintain peace and open cooperation. Section C As the CEO of the United States of America, I would like to take this opportunity to address some of the issues that I believe will be important in aspect of this simulation. I would also like to take this opportunity to introduce other Nations to our plan of action and welcome their ideas for a peaceful and cooperative month ahead. On the domestic front I will be working with my teammates to create a more functional health care system for United States citizens while at the same time trying to keep taxes minimal as possible. I will also be initiating a cut in military spending that will allow us to use money in a more functional way for our society (i.e.: education). It is important however to note that although I do plan on cutting military spending, I will not do so at the risk of my nations security. We are currently the world’s leader in military spending by a huge 8 margin. I plan on closing the gap but still remaining on top. The US is no longer concerned with being the super power we are today but we continue to be among the leaders in the international future. While we expect threats from outside nations, we will continue to be diplomatic in our approach and will use military power only as a last resource. To this end we will be working with other Countries to accomplish their goals as well. Here are some issues we have discussed as a group and are open to negotiating with the respective countries to accomplish: We will ratify and comply with the Kyoto Protocol We will discuss and negotiate with Russia to lessen trade restrictions We will consider recognizing Taiwan as sovereign as long as negotiations ensure the safety of the United States We will support the “Sunshine Policy” between North and South Korea and will support South Korea in development of one Korea We will continue to protect the safety and security of American citizens We will increase foreign aid to developing countries in a way that is reasonable and representative of their needs We will encourage a multipolar system and hope that other countries will support our endeavors to make it successful We will decrease military spending while maintaing our role as leaders in international society We will maintain a diplomatic policy but will counter any threats to our nations security with military forces 9 The goals of US domestic and foreign policy throughout this simulation will be to unite people and nations as well as encourage a better economy, environment, and way of life throughout the world. We plan on being cooperative and supportive of the endeavors of other nations and expect their assistance and collaboration and mutual aid in our efforts. 10 Shayna Langsner POLS 315 Chadwick February 15, 2006 Essay 1: From the Perspective of Chief Foreign Officer Section A Graphs for the United States of America Graph 1: Aid (foreign), net - Billion $, Graph 2: Power index I am referring to these graphs using a security first policy. The first graph of foreign aid predicts that the United States will be aiding foreign countries even more than we are now, 11 rising to a negative –17.90 billion in 2020. Coming from the perspective as the Chief Foreign Officer, this trend does not specifically indicate a looming threat to the US. In fact, it may prove to help us more than ever, because we will be seen as generous and foreign countries that receive our financial aid could potentially be “in debt” to us, or at least owe us some obligation or allegiance. This trend also doesn’t indicate any specific threat to any other countries in the simulation, if anything, we will be helping them more and ideally, they will be using the aid money to better their society and country as a whole. Overall, this increase in foreign aid should provide a strong footing for global community alliances, trading regions, cooperation, and global respect. The second graph of the power index shows that the US will maintain itself as a world power, only dropping slightly, from 25.05 in 2005 to 23.29 in 2020. The US may not remain the single most important world power but we will continue to be the most dominant player in the international system. I would like to develop policies to maintain our slight drop in world power, only for the sense that it would perhaps humble our nation and set the world on a more equally weighted power scale. From the CFO perspective, my vision for the US involves stabilizing the global economy and power struggle more. I understand that we can never be truly equal. However, I do support a strong multipolar system, which would encourage more equal global partnerships. As far as the GDA model is concerned, the direction of the “drift” or trends of the United States is on the same route as our goals of a more globalized system. However, if other nations were to oppose our goals, the US has leverage in our immense amount of foreign aid provided, providing the US with more alliances and loyalty from foreign nations. By using Easton’s political model and the anticipated trends, the US may perhaps demand more foreign aid to be distributed worldwide. In regard to demands, US citizens may 12 provide financial support along with political support to encourage decision making and a specific policy, which would then allow the political environment to support citizens demands and supports. Also, other countries may demand more financial aid from the US, supporting us with alliance promises or global partnerships. Lasswell’s theory helps to discuss why the US trends point to more foreign aid. One could attribute the increase in US foreign aid to Lasswell’s deference values of, power (we have the capital to do so), respect (we respect the other countries and view their financial struggles as legitimate), or rectitude (we are morally bound to do so, due to our power and status). In reference to Leo Bogee, the current US policy is one of a more dominant leader approach, tending to take action then evaluate the outcome and think about future action. My goal is to encourage the US to take a more easy-going stance, However, easy-going doesn’t mean submissive, instead by Bogee’s stance it means being more attentive to a situation, and then taking action only after careful evaluation of the specific situation. Section B Again, from the perspective as the CFO of the United States, there are many demands likely to be asked of me. Using Easton’s model, I will be asked to produce a current press release stating our countries foreign policy. Other countries, as well as my own, will need to know our solid commitments to issues of foreign policy. Our foreign policy, as previously stated, will be to encourage a multipolar system with the US remaining slightly “on top” of the global scene. As Easton’s model suggests, the demands we will encounter, such as a push toward a more equal global system, will then encourage similar decision making, and ultimately, our policy. From the policy we will create, the political environment will be affected, allowing for a more equalized global power system and thus, supports from the US 13 and other countries will influence the continued decision making of our country. I should expect financial support from my own country (to continue and even increase our foreign aid, consistent with the graphs above) and political support from other nations, who will appreciate and enjoy rising in the global power structure. Ultimately, we are following this policy because we would like to see the global economy and power struggle become more equalized between traditionally less powerful and more powerful countries. Through all of this change, the US will remain a strong player in the global system, continuing mostly with our current foreign policy, as outlined by Wikipedia. Goals of US Foreign Policy Protecting the safety and freedom of all American citizens, both within the United States and abroad. Defense policy and procurement decisions related to force posture. Promotion of peace, freedom (most notably of speech and enterprise), and democracy in all regions of the world. Furthering free trade, unencumbered by tariffs, interdictions and other economic barriers, and furthering capitalism in order to foster economic growth, improve living conditions everywhere, and promote the sale and mobility of US products to international consumers who desire them. Bringing developmental and humanitarian aid to foreign peoples in need1 I will expect authority from my government, and funding to commit to foreign aid and maintaining security in the US. I am expecting cooperation from the rest of the countries in the simulation, as well from my own country, in response to some actions we are 14 contemplating. For example, we are contemplating recognizing Taiwan as a legitimate government unto itself, as well as continuing to recognize China as its own legitimate government. Though, we may encounter problems with China. As far as the graph projection demonstrates, our simulation ideas are on par with the predicted outlook of the US. Section C The United States would like to promote a similar foreign policy as the US currently has, with a few alternations. Goals of US Foreign Policy To protect the safety of all Americans We strongly promote peace in all regions of the world We incourage free trade in order to foster economic growth, improve living conditions everywhere. We will bring developmental and humanitarian aid to foreign peoples in need. We will promote other nations in their betterment for their success in creating a multipolar system. We expect to work diligently in the promotion of peace for our world, under all conditions. We will be following the Easton model, and thus we are also working towards this goal because of the global inequality conditions between Global South and Global North. We are going to recognize Taiwan as a legitimate government unto themselves. We expect China to pull away from the US in response and as an expected consequence to our action. We will be demanded to relinquish some of our power in order to continue with our goal of a more equalized global system. We will need support from our nation and its citizens as well as support from other countries that 15 should work diligently at preparing themselves for a more important power role. We expect the long-term effects on the political stability of the US to be good, creating a more equalized system. We expect that other countries will begin to support the US’s foreign policy more so. 16 Eric Nagata Polysci 315 February 21, 2006 Nation Simulation United States CTO representative Section A Graph 1 : United States projected GDP As the United States CTO, my job is to monitor the economy of my country, as well as the status of our trade internationally. In the above graph, I have gathered information about the outlook on our future Gross Domestic Product. The GDP represents the value of goods and services which were produced within our country’s borders over a given year. This graph clearly illustrates the United States economy is strong and that we will continue to dominate. Within the next ten years or so, our production will double and keep rising exponentially. In each case, the graph shows that the GDP will rise from where it is currently 17 situated today. If we pursue a Market first policy, it will ensure that our economy will boom and grow to approximately 10 times its current output. On the other hand, the US’s economy will grow much slower if we engage in a Security first policy. Due to our current pressures of terrorism and the war in Iraq, I am concerned that the war will become a prolonged battle and we will be too apprehensive about national security that it will reduce the productivity of our economy. Graph 2 : United States Imports The primary concern over importing goods into the United States would be the outsourcing of jobs that could have benefited someone in the States. As seen in the above graph, the imports into the United States will continue at its current rate, which is until approximately 2025. If we engage in a Market first policy, the graph above indicates a large increase in the amount of goods imported into the country. This suggests lowering trade 18 barriers between countries and creating a much more “free” market would attract foreign commerce. There are a few possible ways to curb this outsourcing: The first is to enforce harsh penalties on companies who setup factories outside of the country. The second is to increase tariffs on imported goods. The third is to stimulate the domestic economy enough that the increase in production would create more jobs on its own. Since the third course of counters outsourcing, as well as increases the job market, we hope to think of new ways to fuel the economy by 2025. When comparing the above graphs, it clearly indicates the best policy for the future of our economy and GDP lies in Market strategy. If we lower the trade barriers between countries and aggressively import and export goods, the US’s economy will noticeably strengthen, as well as the overall welfare of the world. If our country becomes overly concerned with the global issue of security due to terrorist movements and war, it will attract attention away from other aspects of life. Maslow’s theory of basic needs suggests that if we can’t meet our safety needs of security and freedom of fear, then we will not be able to satisfy our general sense of community, responsibility and fulfillment. Section B As for my role as the CTO, I will be dealing with the other CTO’s and hope to establish new trade relations. According to Easton’s theory of political systems, there should be no difference between domestic politics and international politics. Following this line of thinking, we have decided to lower trade barriers in an attempt to standardize international trade. By removing tariffs and setting world prices equal, we would be allowing for free domestic trade internationally. With this done, each country’s demands for certain types of goods would be met by the support of another since it could be bought on the international 19 market. We hope by doing this, that our relations abroad will strengthen which would allow for a mutual sense of “security” as well as much smoother negotiations. I expect pressure from my group mates to keep a friendly trade status with all nations since the economy is the driving force behind the strength of the US. I was discussing with the United States CEO about possibly investing in building new oil refineries in Indonesia to boost their economy, as well as reducing the costs of producing oil. I expect the support and funding from my team because without oil, our current lifestyle would collapse and we would be handicapped until we discover an alternative. On the same topic, control of fossil fuel consumption would help to postpone this dilemma; thus the United States will initiate a tax deduction for those who own fuel efficient automobiles. We will also subsidize companies that are working on possible alternatives to fossil fuels as well as producing more fuel efficient goods. I expect other countries to also try to follow suit and invest in becoming less oil dependant in an attempt to globally conserve our depleting natural resources. Section C As for our trade policy, we will reduce tariffs and lower trade barriers to allow free trade. This hopefully will stimulate other economies and increase the overall wealth of nations. I hope to trade freely with all countries, on the condition that they disarm and maintain friendly relations. If there are any hostilities between countries, I plan on cutting off trade with the instigator and hopefully that will be enough incentive in itself to maintain peace. In the event that a country attacks, or threatens the US, I plan on cutting off trade, as well as declare an embargo on that country. If other countries do not also cut off trade with the aggressor, I will embargo them as well. This chain reaction would cause a worldwide freeze on the economy, and so by using this policy we hope to maintain peace. I expect the 20 full support of my teammates, since it will be needed to enforce a policy as strict and punitive as previously mentioned. Again, our overall goal is to engender the growth of the worldwide economies to produce a greater welfare amongst all nations. 21 Dovid Kanarfogel POLS 315 – Simulation Essay #1: CSO (Republican Party) Part I: Three forecasts As a non-executive player in this simulation, I expect my direct influence on intergovernmental policies to be far less than the officers of our country. Therefore, the graphs that interested me most focus on domestic issues, although one is graphed in relation to other countries as well due to its universality. The Traditional/Secular-rational dimensions is a cross-cultural composite statistic with values dependant on responses to surveys pertaining to the importance of God in the life of 22 the individual, church attendance, stance towards homosexuality, political disposition, educational values, and others parameters. Currently, a large portion of active GOP voters are members of various faiths, and both party membership and leadership include many individuals who hold strong religious convictions. The party would likely, then, be encouraged by the trend shown in the graph: traditionalist attitudes and belief will increase, irregardless of the policy focus chosen. Although ‘Actual’ is currently lacking, in this case, Drift matches Goal. The relationship between overall beliefs and behavior is easily observed, but it’s important to remember that terms like “traditional” and “secular-rational” are composite statistics. As broad philosophies, they come prepackaged with values for all of Lasswell’s welfare values, and generally include views on the proper role of government allocation of these values. For example, education policies motivated by religious beliefs are more inclined to favor teaching “intelligent design” than secularly-motivated policies. Thus religious beliefs have some influence on the distribution of education. The above graph, then, does contain implications regarding the future policy of the USA. Although the particulars of those implications go beyond the scope considered here, the existence of this significance is noteworthy. 23 This next graph relates to taxes. Republican platforms have classically favored smaller governmental powers, especially relating to government’s intervention in economic planning. Because the size and power of a given authority depends on the funds it collects, lower tax rates are preferred. What this graph indicates in a general trend towards higher taxes irregardless of policy focus, with the most dramatic increase expected under a “sustainability first” scheme. This makes sense, as sustainability initiatives tend to costly to implement (at least at first; it’s arguable that the “sustainability first” scenario will lead to lower taxes past the event horizon of this simulation, but that’s obviously beyond the scope of this analysis). Two things on this 24 graph, however, are somewhat striking. First, I don’t understand the initial dip in taxes around 2008. Second, the eventual lowest taxes value comes from the “security first” scenario. I would expect that the expense of security efforts would require tax increases as least to match a non-specified policy focus. The final graph I prepared deals with projected rates of HIV infection, with values plotted for each of the countries in our simulation. This problem has clear global implications, although the projection seems to show that new HIV infections will disappear before the next 25 century. (I purposely cut off the graph where the values reached zero.) As a country generally valuing human life and health (note that ‘life’ comes first in ‘life, liberty, and the pursuit of happiness’), founded in the Western philosophical traditions as well as input from religious thought, and a general acceptance of the idea of a global humanity (coming from similar sources), support is broad for fighting problems as potentially devastating as HIV. The government has a social responsibility to address this problem, if possible. We can think of this support as the satisfaction of Maslow’s five steps of social psychology. HIV obviously treads on our survival and safety, currently affection nearly 40 million people worldwide, and has caused an estimated 28 million deaths.2 The next Maslowian stage is community: HIV prevention and/or treatment serves the global community in a very real sense. Responsibility is reflected in the fact that the US has considerable research and implementation resources for fighting this battle against HIV, despite the fact that HIV threatens far more non-Americans than Americans. The larger motive, that of the US playing this lead role in addressing the needs of the global community, is step five, self-actualization. Reaching a solution to this problem more quickly than the graph suggests will require international cooperation, but it is in the best interests of all parties. Given the magnitude of its HIV infection rate, the Russians will clearly have to make a significant commitment of its own in order to justify the cooperation of the global community. But I actually believe that China will actually be a more willing (and thus more valuable) partner in fighting infection. That’s because China’s rate of infection is much more dynamic than Russia’s, with a projected 400% increase (Russia’s rate will only increase by about 60%). This will likely make China’s problem more serious, in terms of its effect on China’s workforce, medical 2 Wikipedia. “HIV”. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/HIV 26 welfare, and society as a whole. The fact that the HIV infection rate in the USA is higher than China’s is alarming, but it appears that the USA has had some time to adjust to this fact. Part II: About my country The basics of the relationship between the Republicans in the US Congress and the executive officers of the country come from the Constitution. The Executive branch has some decision making powers, but many policies require legislative action. These must be done by Congress. The President does have veto power, and the current congressional makeup does not give either party a clear veto-override mandate (two-thirds of Congress must approve of an override). Our current President is a member of the GOP, but since the simulation puts students in executive positions, I’ll consider it as if an independent holds that office. A same-party situation lends itself to some interesting politics, as government branches may be at odds in terms of policy, but compromise and/or present an image of friendship due to their expected political affiliation. In this case, that dynamic will not be present (at least in domestic policy decisions; presenting a united front to other countries may at times be politically beneficial). But the President will have to convince me to pass legislation on those issues which require it (such as declaration of war, changing existing legislation, etc.). This interaction is an example of the left side of Easton’s decision making model. All decisions that require legislation must account for the level of support by Congress, or the decision will not hold water as a tangible possibility. As part of Congress, I suppose I represent some public opinion as well. If I’m dissatisfied enough, I can attempt to overthrow the government. However, this would require 27 a momentous, cataclysmic dissolution of the Constitution and the American governmental system. I’m unlikely to undertake actions with such consequences, although of course the option is there. What that means, though, is that the President doesn’t have to fear much for a revolution; elections would take place well beyond the end of the simulation. However, if the entire chief executive power resides in the CEO, then an assassination would probably give me immediate control (as the Speaker of the House is third in line for the presidency, after the vice-president). I’m doubtful that it would come to that, however, as domestic governmental body in this country have generally preferred to exercise political and/or diplomatic control rather than resorting to violence (at least in domestic issues, I should add), and Congress annually allocates money to pay for the President’s security contingent (and their own!). On account of that veto, I might have a hard time getting things done without presidential permission. However, if I’m reasonably assured of the President’s interest in cooperation, or if I can come to a tactical agreement with my Democrat counterpart, getting legislation passed her desk won’t be too hard. Lowering taxes might be a hard sell, as most all government initiatives run off that revenue. Tackling HIV infection will probably be easier, as it’s hard to argue against its being a problem. But changing the extent of traditionalism in this country is probably too large and nebulous topic to be changed dramatically by legislation, at least in the short run. That sort of trend builds up over years. As Congress cannot (and, as I explained, the GOP does not want to) change that, altering the course of this trend will not happen in this simulation. Part III – Policy Proposal The Republican Party will propose two initiatives during the simulation. 28 The first involves introducing legislation to cover tax incentives for domestic business. Keeping capital in the hands of those who use it to drive industrial, technological, and innovative progress will have the effect of injecting our economy with the necessary money needed to compete in the global marketplace. The tax incentives will amount to a credit on economic activity relating to manufacture and labor expenses, two elements of business so often outsourced. The second proposal is calling for international support for research into a cure and treatment for AIDS. Pharmaceutical companies will be granted the most additional funds, with some percentages going to prevention programs to stem the tide as we search for a cure. Legislation will urge the Chinese in particular to increase their foreign aid allotment to this cause, given its economic size and HIV problems. In general, however, the GOP will work to implement the various proposals put forth by the CEO and other executive officers, as long as they’re consistent with party platform. We are not averse to lowering military spending or supporting international cooperation as it comes to solving global issues, as long as the means to these goals do not compromise the country’s (or the CEO’s) ability to make the best decisions for itself. We also look forward to working with the Democrats to reach consensus where one can be reached through reasonable discussion. The GOP has no intention of being belligerent towards our colleagues in government, and believes that a harmonious relationship between all parties and actors in government will generally result in the best policy. 29 Michael Ganoot Political Science 315-001 March 2, 2006 Nation Simulation – United States Of America (Democratic Party) Trends As a representative of the Democratic Party, it is my endeavor to ensure that you understand my party’s positions on certain issues. On the issue of economy, it is the belief of the Democratic Party that in order to have a great, thriving economy, one must have a healthy, clean environment (democrats.org…environment/). This is believed because “farming, fishing, tourism, and other industries require a healthy environment. [Also,] we know new technologies that protect the environment can create new high-paying jobs” (democrats.org…environment/). Thus, I shift my focus to the following, environment: the expected annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels in the United States until 2100: Annual Carbon Emissions from Fossil Fuels 30 As can be seen, the scenario which reduces the annual carbon emissions the most is the sustainability-first scenario. The reduction of emissions means an increase in the use of renewable resources, which also translates to reduction in dependence on oil (of any kind). This goal could possibly be accomplished with the implementation of the Kyoto Protocol, which would strengthen the reputation of the United States in the eyes of the international community and fulfill Maslow’s value of belongingness (trying to become unified with the group). However, there is speculation on the effects of the Protocol on the national economy. Despite these speculations, we are still passionate about reducing emissions with resolutions like S. J. RES. 5 which states that we would like to make attempts at abiding by the mandates of the Kyoto Protocol (United States. Cong.). It is unlikely though that ratification of the Protocol will occur unless the questions concerning the safety of the economy are answered, because despite our wanting to belong, safety (in this case, economic), like in Maslow’s hierarchy, is much more important than the desire for acceptance. However we go about it, whether through implementation of the Kyoto Protocol, or through independent legislation, a cleaner environment is needed. If our reliance on fossil fuels is not lessened, than our dependence on oil will jeopardize our economic safety, as well as general safety, considering where much of our oil supply originates from. Hence, there are many questions as to our safety that comes up through the discussion of greenhouse gasses emissions. Now that a cleaner environment is established as a desired goal, I concentrate on the economy because as it is already known to many, a stronger economy translates to a stronger ability to influence others, thus more power (Hughes and Hillebrand’s definition of power). 31 The following is a graph of the projected government balance when taking into account certain scenarios: Government Balance From the projected trend in the graph, we need to determine how to eliminate our deficit and bring about a surplus sooner than 2021. With the national deficit becoming greater in the next three years, our economic strength may be hindered, especially the value of the dollar in comparison to other currencies, namely the euro. We, the Democratic Party, have strict criticisms of the national deficit and of how it is being handled (democrats.org…defici.php). Anything to bring about a surplus would be much needed if we are to improve the social security program, increase healthcare, and help aspiring college students and working families. Once again, with little action to improve our national balance, our economic security (Maslow’s security) will be in jeopardy, more so than it is now. As a whole, the national 32 balance doesn’t fully become a permanent surplus until nearly the end of the century from the above estimation. Which means, until then, our country will be in a questionable state of stability when it comes to our economic power and our ability to influence through trade. This questionability of our general economic strength also places questions as to general military capabilities and military strength. Expectations of Myself Well, taking into account that I am the Democratic Party, the minority in both the House (201 of 435 seats) and the Senate (44 of 100 seats) (clerk.house…Profile.html), my participation on issues is still needed if certain endeavors are to become reality. One such issue is the ratification of the Kyoto Protocol. First, understand that the Kyoto Protocol has already been signed by the United States in 1997. However, the Protocol has not been ratified by the Senate (actually, it has never been brought in front of the Senate at all) which means that we do not have to abide by it yet. For ratification, 2/3 of the Senate needs to be in favor. My party would be in favor if certain issues about the protocol were handled first: that the leading carbon-emitting developing countries also be required to decrease their emission volume, that a more viable time frame be determined in order to achieve the mandates of the Protocol, and that a plan to ensure economic stability and growth during this process be developed. Until these issues concerning the Kyoto Protocol are handled first, it is unlikely to expect that my party and I will allow its ratification. I’d expect a little disappointment from other’s towards my party’s reluctance to ratify the Kyoto Protocol. While I have some of the power to ratify the Protocol, my party, as well as congress in general, are unsure of whether ratification is necessary. The United States, as well as “Australia, India, Japan, the People’s Republic of China, [and] South Korea” have 33 already made an agreement to follow through with endeavors for a much cleaner environment in the “Asia-Pacific Partnership on Clean Development and Climbing” (www.whitehouse....8.html). Under this Partnership, the action-oriented plan is as follows: 1. Accelerating the deployment of coal gasification and other clean coal technologies, particularly in those Partner countries with plentiful coal resources and rapidly increasing energy demand. 2. Expanding the use of renewables to provide lower-cost, clean power in areas without access to modern energy services. 3. Encouraging the power sectors in each Partner country to improve the efficiency and reliability of their electric power systems. 4. Developing and deploying advanced manufacturing processes for cleaner aluminum, cement, and steel production. 5. Strengthening adoption and use of building and appliance efficiency standards, using proven market approaches. 6. Capturing and using coal-bed methane as a clean energy source, and adopting new techniques and technologies to improve safety and reduce emissions in the mining sector. (www.whitehouse....8.html) Thus, we six countries, while most are not constrained by the mandates of the Kyoto Protocol, are still making strides to promote a cleaner, healthier environment. On terms of military spending, my party is in support of two views, which you could say contradicts themselves. One is to lessen spending so that the funding could be put to better use, such as education, social security, etc. However, we are also in favor of increasing spending as long as that spending is done in a beneficial way to our soldiers and those abroad such as better technology (protective vests for example), benefits for veterans and their families, and better organization in the intelligence and defense departments (democrats…suppo.php). So actually, support on military spending and budget is really flexible, but really depends on the intentions of those changes. Regardless of spending being flexible, my party and I will not agree to military budget cuts which could threaten our countries ability to protect itself, protect its citizens oversees, or lower the status of the United States as being a major power. Those are the major issues. Other than that, my party and I are really critics of policies and treatises and we recommend policies when we feel they are needed. As of yet, those are the only things that I feel need my opinion. Also, it is a fact that in order to employ many types of policies in our nation, those whom wish to do so must propose and receive approval from Congress, hence my approval (although, more from the Republican Party). Plan To: Editors-in-Chief, Journalists, and the Rest of Whom comprise the Media In the next few months, the Democratic Party will initiate major endeavors with respect to environmental protection. In the United States’ partnership with India, 35 Australia, Japan, the People’s Republic of China and South Korea in the Asia-Pacific Partnership on Clean Development and Climbing, we set out to proceed with development of cleaner technology, ones that use renewable resources and do not expend harmful chemicals. Despite our endeavors like these that prove our wanting to protect the environment, the United States still does not ratify the Kyoto Protocol. Well, as of right now, the Democratic Party does not favor a ratification of the Protocol anymore than it did when the Protocol was introduced to the world. However, the United States as a whole requires much more strenuous environmental regulations to decrease the volume of greenhouse gasses emissions. Many states have taken it upon themselves to initiate this type of legislation, but it is time for the entire country to say, united, that we wish to reduce greenhouse gas emissions with new environmental regulations. It is our expectation that many people will not be in favor of such legislation due to its unpredictable effects it will have on many industries. Those of whom we expect to oppose it would be the Republican Party and major businesses. Those of who would be in favor would be those who have put environmental protection at the forefront of what they do: the Sierra Club, the Center for International Environmental Law, etc. If we are to succeed in any effort of passing more stringent environmental regulations, then it must be as a cooperative effort. Mostly by an effort of both major political parties, as well as major businesses since they are the most likely to be affected since industries are the major source of carbon emissions in the United States. It is our hope that through tighter regulations, technology similar to that sought by the Partnership will arise, therefore allowing us to trade with the Partnering countries. This will increase our exports and our profit. Also, respect from the international 36 community since we are making great advances to improve environmental conditions. Lastly of all, the most obvious consequence would be a cleaner environment. Since our current emission rate is 13.3% above that of the 1990 rate, the rate at which the Kyoto Protocol compares its regulations, we then choose our goal, for now, to be 9% above that of the 1990 rate. Due to this change, it is expected that industries will need much time to comply with these regulations and obviously, due to these demands, the economy will have a “transition” period as many businesses make preparations to comply with the new regulations. To help with the transition, the Democratic Party is willing to initiate a policy to help small businesses meet these regulations, such as funding, if they are having a difficult time doing so. Thus the Democratic Party is on a mission to improve our environment with new emissions’ regulations and funding to small businesses that are finding it difficult to meet these regulations on their own. Works Cited 1. http://democrats.org/a/national/clean_environment/ . Online. 20 February 2006 2. United States. Cong. Senate. Committee on Foreign Relations. Expressing the Sense of Congress that the United States should act to reduce Greenhouse Gas Emissions. Washington: GPO, 2005. http://thomas.loc.gov. Online. 20 February 2006. 3. http://democrats.org/a/2006/01/the_bush_defici.php. Online. 20 February 2006 4. http://clerk.house.gov/members/congProfile.html . Online. 20 February 2006. 5. http://democrats.org/a/2006/01/democrats_suppo.php. Online. 20 February 2006. 6. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Asia_Pacific_Partnership_on_Clean_Development_a nd_Climate. Online. 28 February 2006. 37 7. http://www.whitehouse.gov/news/releases/2006/01/20060111-8.html