Immigrant mortality in Israel Jon Anson Dept.of Social Work Ben Gurion University of the Negev 84105 Beer Sheva, Israel. BSPS, September 2004, Leicester Session 5: Health and Ethnicity Analysis made possible by a grant from the Israel Science Foundation Data provided by Central Bureau of Statistics, Israel Population Pyramid, Israel, Census 1995 Jews (m) born in Israel 90 Jews (f) born in Israel 80 Arabs (Palestinians) Male Arabs (Palestinians) Female 70 Jews (m) born abroad Age Group 60 Jews (f) born abroad 50 40 30 20 10 0 6 4 2 0 Population percentages 2 4 6 Distribution of immigrants to Israel, by period and origin, 1948 – 1995 Period Unknown America Europe Africa Asia Total Avg / Year Pre-State 1948-1951 1952-1967 1968-1989 1990-1995 10.9 1.6 78.2 0.8 8.5 482,857 3.5 0.7 47.5 13.7 34.5 687,624 196,464 0.1 3.1 90.8 4.9 1.0 685,683 114,281 0.8 5.5 35.1 47.6 11.1 587,472 36,717 0.3 24.5 55.2 10.0 10.0 558,907 25,405 Population groups, Israeli population at census, 1995 Origin Group Med Age Exposure Deaths CDR 13.4 37.5 443,911 2,493 5.62 Israel 35.4 37.5 1,181,206 2,415 2.04 Asia 6.7 57.5 216,278 2,860 13.2 N. Africa 9.3 52.5 300,888 3,503 11.6 Ethiopia 0.7 42.5 23,809 107 4.49 Balkans 2.1 62.5 64,998 1,335 20.5 E. Eur. 8.2 67.5 253,799 7,239 28.5 W. Eur. 6.3 47.5 203,597 2,465 12.1 FSU Eur 14.8 47.5 472,366 6,600 14.0 FSU As. 3.1 47.5 101,757 1,027 3.1 546,294 42.5 3,262,611 30,044 9.21 Arab Jews Born In: Percent Total Population 25 and above; Age in 5 year categories; Exposure 4/11/95 – 31/12/2001 Survivorship Analysis, Control Variables, Ages 25+ Exp(coefficient) Control Entered Sex 0.683 0.683 0.611 0.561 Age 1.102 1.102 1.090 1.087 1.126 1.099 1.054 Working 0.522 0.518 High School 0.806 0.808 University 0.687 0.689 Immigrant Certificate (base: none) Divorced Marital Status Widowed (base: married) Single 1.242 1.236 1.249 Householder LR Gain (df) 0.884 70231 (11) 24 (1) 2146 (3) N = 564,294, all coefficients significant at p < 0.05 344 (4) Relative Risks: Population Groups, Ages 25 and above, by Control Variables introduced 1.8 1.6 1.4 1.2 1 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0 ily l ia m Fa c So x se nt ra ig & m Im ge A s Ethiopia E.Europe Africa W.Europ Balkans Arab Asia FSU Eur FSU Asia Survivorship Analysis, Control Variables, Ages 15 -34 Exp(coefficient) Control Entered Sex 0.369*** 0.369*** 0.347*** 0.372*** Age 1.017*** 1.017*** 1.029*** 1.063*** 1.505 ** 1.486 1.525 ** Immigrant Certificate (base: none) ** Working 0.592*** 0.620*** High School 0.740*** 0.740*** University 0.608*** 0.588*** Divorced Marital Status Widowed (base: married) Single 3.242*** 1.066 1.824*** Householder LR Gain (df) 0.917 256 (11) 7 (1) N = 314,867, ** p < 0.01, *** p < 0.001 85 (3) 81 (4) Relative Risks: Population Groups, Ages 15 -- 34, by Control Variables introduced 4 3.5 3 2.5 2 1.5 1 0.5 0 ily l ia m Fa c So x se nt ra ig & m Im ge A s Ethiopia E.Europe Africa W.Europ Balkans Arab Asia FSU Eur FSU Asia Survivorship Analysis, Control Variables, Ages 35 -59 Exp(coefficient) Control Entered Sex 0.605*** 0.604*** 0.461*** 0.445*** Age 1.109*** 1.109*** 1.097*** 1.098*** 1.246*** 1.037 1.012 Working 0.426*** 0.440*** High School 0.787*** 0.790*** University 0.655*** 0.651*** Immigrant Certificate (base: none) Divorced Marital Status Widowed (base: married) Single 1.566*** 1.326*** 1.966*** Householder LR Gain (df) 1.108 2764 (11) N = 273,496, *** p < 0.001 11 (1) 786 (3) 153 (4) Relative Risks: Population Groups, Ages 35 -- 59, by Control Variables introduced 2 1.8 1.6 1.4 1.2 1 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0 ily l ia m Fa c So x se nt ra ig & m Im ge A s Ethiopia E.Europe Africa W.Europ Balkans Arab Asia FSU Eur FSU Asia Survivorship Analysis, Control Variables, Ages 60-64 Exp(coefficient) Control Entered Sex 0.702*** 0.702*** 0.643*** 0.592*** Age 1.099*** 1.100*** 1.093*** 1.089*** 1.098*** 1.094*** 1.052 Working 0.546*** 0.544*** High School 0.808*** 0.811*** University 0.695*** 0.698*** Immigrant Certificate (base: none) Divorced Marital Status Widowed (base: married) Single 1.106 ** 1.191*** 0.982 Householder LR Gain (df) 0.871*** 15160 (11) 12 (1) N = 131,880, ** p < 0.01, *** p < 0.001 1350 (3) 198 (4) Relative Risks: Population Groups, Ages 60 and up, by Control Variables introduced 2 1.8 1.6 1.4 1.2 1 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0 ily l ia m Fa c So x se nt ra ig & m Im ge A s Ethiopia E.Europe Africa W.Europ Balkans Arab Asia FSU Eur FSU Asia Explanations •Non-selective migration? •Society of migrants? •Origins of migrants? •Quality of data? Conclusions • Need theory, not just empirical generalisations • Theory needs to look at migrant – resident relations • Be wary of data – socially generated