Chapter 4: Market Equilibrium Demand & Supply Together Bringing Supply and Demand Together • How is the price of a good determined? – The market forces of supply AND demand work simultaneously to determine the price. • The law of supply and demand – The price of any good will adjust to bring the quantity supplied and quantity demanded into balance. Supply and Demand • Equilibrium point – Graphically, the intersection of supply and demand • Equilibrium price – The price that causes quantity supplied to equal quantity demanded. – The price that “clears the market” • Equilibrium quantity – The numerical quantity (supplied and demanded) at the equilibrium price Shortages and Surpluses • Shortage – QD > QS – Occurs at any price below equilibrium – Price will rise over time toward equilibrium • Why does price rise over time with a shortage? – Consumers who value the product will “outbid” other consumers or otherwise show a higher willingness to pay. – Suppliers will see that the price can be raised without a decrease in sales. Shortages and Surpluses • Surplus – QS > QD – Occurs at any price above equilibrium – Price will fall over time toward equilibrium. • Why does price fall over time with a surplus? – Firms will have to eventually get rid of mounting inventories of goods. – To do this, they must lower their prices. Supply and Demand Supply and Demand Together • Equilibrium - a situation – Market price has reached the level : • Quantity supplied = quantity demanded • Equilibrium price - the price: – Balances quantity supplied and quantity demanded • Equilibrium quantity – Quantity supplied and the quantity demanded at the equilibrium price 7 8 The equilibrium of supply and demand Price of Ice-Cream Cones $3.00 2.50 2.00 Supply Equilibrium price Equilibrium 1.50 1.00 0.50 0 Equilibrium quantity Demand 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Quantity of Ice-Cream Cones The equilibrium is found where the supply and demand curves intersect. At the equilibrium price, the quantity supplied equals the quantity demanded. Here the equilibrium price is $2.00: At this price, 7 ice-cream cones are supplied, and 7 ice-cream cones are demanded. 8 Supply and Demand Together • Surplus – Quantity supplied > quantity demanded – Excess supply – Downward pressure on price • Shortage – Quantity demanded > quantity supplied – Excess demand – Upward pressure on price 9 9 Markets not in equilibrium (a) Excess Supply Price of Ice Cream Cones Surplus (b) Excess demand Supply Price of Ice Cream Cones Supply $2.50 2.00 $2.00 Demand Quantity demanded Quantity supplied 1.50 Demand Quantity supplied Shortage Quantity demanded 4 10 7 4 7 10 0 Quantity of Ice-Cream Cones Quantity of Ice-Cream Cones In panel (a), there is a surplus. Because the market price of $2.50 is above the equilibrium price, the quantity supplied (10 cones) exceeds the quantity demanded (4 cones). Suppliers try to increase sales by cutting the price of a cone, and this moves the price toward its equilibrium level. In panel (b), there is a shortage. Because the market price of $1.50 is below the equilibrium price, the quantity demanded (10 cones) exceeds the quantity supplied (4 cones). With too many buyers chasing too few goods, suppliers can take advantage of the shortage by raising the price. Hence, in both cases, the price adjustment moves the market toward 10 the equilibrium of supply and demand 0 Supply and Demand Together • Law of supply and demand – The price of any good adjusts • Bring the quantity supplied and the quantity demanded into balance – In most markets • Surpluses and shortages are temporary 11 Supply and Demand Together • Three steps to analyzing changes in equilibrium 1. Decide: the event shifts the supply curve, the demand curve, or both curves 2. Decide: curve shifts to right or to left 3. Use supply-and-demand diagram • • 12 Compare initial and new equilibrium How the shift affects equilibrium price and quantity 10 How an increase in demand affects the equilibrium Price of Ice-Cream Cones Supply 2. …resulting in a higher price . . . 1. Hot weather increases the demand for ice cream . . . $2.50 New equilibrium 2.00 Initial equilibrium D1 D2 3. …and a higher quantity sold. 0 7 10 Quantity of Ice-Cream Cones An event that raises quantity demanded at any given price shifts the demand curve to the right. The equilibrium price and the equilibrium quantity both rise. Here an abnormally hot summer causes buyers to demand more ice cream. The demand curve shifts from D1 to D2, which causes the equilibrium price to rise from $2.00 to $2.50 and the equilibrium quantity to rise from 7 to 10 cones 13 Supply and Demand Together • Shifts in curves versus movements along curves – Shift in the supply curve • Change in supply – Movement along a fixed supply curve • Change in the quantity supplied – Shift in the demand curve • Change in demand – Movement along a fixed demand curve • Change in the quantity demanded 14 Supply and Demand Together • Example: A change in market equilibrium due to a shift in supply – One summer - a hurricane destroys part of the sugarcane crop • Price of sugar - increases – Effect on the market for ice cream? 1. Change in price of sugar - supply curve 2. Supply curve - shifts to the left 3. Higher equilibrium price; lower equilibrium quantity 15 11 How a decrease in supply affects the equilibrium Price of Ice-Cream Cones 1. An increase in the price of sugar reduces the supply of ice cream . . . S2 2. …resulting in a higher price . . . S1 $2.50 New equilibrium 2.00 Initial equilibrium Demand 3. …and a smaller quantity sold. 0 4 7 Quantity of Ice-Cream Cones An event that reduces quantity supplied at any given price shifts the supply curve to the left. The equilibrium price rises, and the equilibrium quantity falls. Here an increase in the price of sugar (an input) causes sellers to supply less ice cream. The supply curve shifts from S1 to S2, which causes the equilibrium price of ice cream to rise from $2.00 to $2.50 and the equilibrium quantity to fall from 7 to 4 cones 16 Supply and Demand Together • Example: shifts in both supply and demand – One summer: hurricane and heat wave 1. Heat wave – shift demand curve; hurricane – shift supply curve 2. Demand curve shifts to the right; Supply curve shifts to the left 3. Equilibrium price raises – If demand increases substantially while supply falls just a little: equilibrium quantity –rises – If supply falls substantially while demand rises just a little: equilibrium quantity falls 17 12 A shift in both supply and demand Price of (a) Price Rises, Quantity Rises Ice Cream New S2 S equilibrium Cones Large increase in demand Price of (b) Price Rises, Quantity Falls Ice S2 Cream Small Cones increase in demand 1 P2 New equilibrium P2 Small decrease in supply P1 D2 Large decrease in supply P1 D2 Initial equilibrium Initial equilibrium D1 0 Q1 Q2 Quantity of Ice-Cream Cones S1 0 D1 Q2 Q 1 Quantity of Ice-Cream Cones Here we observe a simultaneous increase in demand and decrease in supply. Two outcomes are possible. In panel (a), the equilibrium price rises from P1 to P2, and the equilibrium quantity rises from Q1 to Q2. In panel (b), the equilibrium price again rises from P1 to P2, but the equilibrium quantity falls from Q1 to Q2. 18 4 What happens to price and quantity when supply or demand shifts? No change In Supply An increase In Supply A decrease In supply No change In demand P same Q same P down Q up P up Q down An increase In demand P up Q up P ambiguous Q up P up Q ambiguous A decrease In demand P down Q down P Down Q ambiguous P ambiguous Q down 19 Graphs of Shifts Change Illustration Impact on Price and Quantity Demand increases The demand curve shifts to the right. As a result, the equilibrium price and equilibrium quantity increase. Supply increases The supply curve shifts to the right. As a result, the equilibrium price declines and the equilibrium quantity increases. Graphs of Shifts Change Illustration Impact on Price and Quantity Demand decreases The demand curve shifts to the left. As a result, the equilibrium price and equilibrium quantity decrease. Supply decreases The supply curve shifts to the left. As a result, the equilibrium price increases and the equilibrium quantity decreases. Conclusion • If you take away just one thing from this course, it will probably be “supply and demand.” • In competitive markets, supply and demand allow prices to adjust toward equilibrium. • In equilibrium, the markets clears. This means there are no surpluses or shortages. Summary • Supply and demand play a key role in determining prices in the market economy. Prices established through this process help allocate resources. • A market consists of a group of buyers and sellers for a particular product or service. • The demand curve is downward-sloping. • The supply curve is upward-sloping. Summary • A change in the price of a good will cause – A movement along the demand curve – A movement along the supply curve • Changes other than price – Cause a shift in demand – Cause a shift in supply • Supply and demand interact through the process of market coordination. • The equilibrium is the balancing point between the two opposing forces. The market clearing price and output are determined at the equilibrium point. • Shortages and surpluses are resolved in competitive markets.