Slope and Marginal Values Looking at the Grades and Hours Studied Example Chpt. 2 A-2 Using the coordinate system Grade point average is measured on the vertical axis and study time on the horizontal axis. Albert E., Alfred E., and their classmates are represented by various points. We can see from the graph that students who study more tend to get higher grades. 2 Using Regression Analysis • Want to find the linear equation that best fits the data – Y = a + b*X (general form) – Grade = a + b* Hours_Studied • A = intercept (= grade without studying) • B = slope (= increase in grade with each additional hour of study) Data and Results Grade Study Hours slope 0.054678 2.086814 2 5 std err 0.010076 0.208639 2.8 5 R^2 0.765903 0.319685 2.4 10 F 29.44567 9 2.9 13 2.4 15 3.3 18 3.5 19 3.5 25 3.7 26 3.6 31 3.9 35 Graphically Linear Regression (Equation) 5 Grade 4 3 grade 2 1 0 0 5 10 15 20 25 Hours Studied 30 35 Actual Data Versus Predicted Actual and Predicted Grade 5 Grade 4 3 Grade 2 Predicted 1 0 5 5 10 13 15 18 19 25 26 31 35 Hours Studied Marginal Benefits of Studying • Grade = 2.1 + 0.055 * Hours Studied • Interpretation – Expected grade without studying = 2.1 • Marginal benefits of studying – Each additional hour of studying raises your grade by .055 – Takes 35 hours of studying to get a 4.0