Big Questions 1. What is economics? 2. What are the fundamental concepts underlying economic models? 3. How do we model/predict economic behavior? And does it work? Key Terms Common understanding of key terms Use them as shorthand for the concept; but have a precise/exact meaning Scarcity There are not enough resources to produce and consume all of the goods and services we desire Opportunity costs What must be given up (next best alternative use of time/money) as a result of a decision or choice “No such thing as a free lunch” (Milton Friedman) Cost-benefit analysis Every decision/action has tradeoffs i.e., every decision has an opportunity cost What is Economics 2 major fields of inquiry Microeconomics Study of individual markets and factors that affect market price, quantity supplied two principal actors: consumers/households and firms/producers Macroeconomics Study of a system of (national) markets focusing on national income (gross national product), price levels (inflation), employment/unemployment and international trade Focuses on the role of government (Congress and budgets, Federal Reserve Bank), regulation (and regulatory agencies, business cycles and their effect on the economy Ten Principles of Economics Micro-economists study: How people and firms make decisions and what factors affect their decisions How people and firms interact with one another in the marketplace © 2011 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. 5 Scarcity The Key Economic Problem Scarcity means limited resources The limited nature of society’s resources (e.g. raw materials) means that we have to choose which goods get produced with scarce resources and how they are allocated/distributed to the consumer Economics Studies of how people(consumers) and firms(producers) make these decisions when constrained by scarcity Determine what are the key factors affecting their decisions and modelling their decision making process Big Questions Economics is the study of how people allocate their limited resources (income and time) to satisfy nearly unlimited wants and how firms use limited resources (raw materials) to meet consumer demand The fundamental concepts on which economic models (decision-making) are based: 1. Incentives 2. Trade-offs 3. Opportunity cost 4. Marginal thinking 5. Trade creates value Foundations underlying the Model The five underlying concepts of economic models: Incentives – people respond to incentives 1. Price is an incentive - lower price -> buy more Lowering tuition costs Trade-offs – buy one good -> can’t buy others 2. Compare value/price of alternative use of income/time Opportunity cost – what is given up 3. Value of “best” alternative not chosen Marginal thinking 4. compare “additional” value of 1 more unit to its price when making purchase decision (not total value/cost of all units) Trade creates value 5. Why people voluntarily enter into market transactions How People Make Decisions Principle 1: People face trade-offs Making decisions Trade off one goal against another 9 Student – time (sleeping versus studying) Consumers – income (consume or save) Clean environment vs. high level of income Modelling Tradeoffs – Individual’s Choices Between 2 goods In microeconomic theory, an indifference curve is a graph showing different bundles of goods between which a consumer is indifferent. That is, at each point on the curve, the consumer has no preference for one bundle over another. Production Possibilities Frontier - Choice between producing 2 goods Production possibilities frontier Combinations of outputs that a society can produce if all of its resources are being used efficiently Assumptions of this model Technology fixed Resources fixed Simplified two-good analysis Production Possibilities Frontier Pizzas Chicken W 100 70 50 0 Cost of +1 CW 0 90 150 300 Cost of +1 Pizza -0.33 -0.33 -0.33 Can’t Produce Technology Constraint Economically Inefficient -3 -3 -3 How People Make Decisions Principle 2: The cost of something is what you give up to get it - each decision has an opportunity cost Because people face trade-offs when making choices – you have to give something up to get something Benefit/Cost Analysis to make decisions 13 Compare cost with benefits of alternatives Implies opportunity cost (of what is not chosen) is incurred Whatever most be given up to obtain one item How People Make Decisions Principle 3: Rational people think at the margin Rational people Systematically & purposefully do the best they can to achieve their objectives Rational decision maker – take action only if Marginal benefits > Marginal costs 14 Marginal Benefits – change (or increase) in total benefits from choice Marginal Costs – change/increase in costs from choice (opportunity costs of “not chosen”) 3. Optimal decisions are made at the “margin” What do we mean? When making an economic decision, e.g. to purchase 1 more unit of a good, we compare the marginal (or incremental) benefits against the marginal costs For example When studying for an exam Given you’ve already studied 8 hours, when deciding whether or not to study 1 more hour, you compare the expected benefits (a “marginal” improvement in your grade Versus the next best (highest valued) use of your time E.g., sleeping, eating, time with friends Marginal Decisions Back to the First Law of Demand How much of a good do you buy? If the marginal/incremental value of the next unit is less than what it costs, are you willing to buy it? MV < price Don’t buy! MV < price Do buy! How People Make Decisions Principle 4: People respond to incentives Incentive Something that induces a person to act In economics – which incentives affect market behavior and how important is each 17 Higher price Buyers - consume less Sellers - produce more Public policy Change costs or benefits Change people’s behavior Incentives at work An example: the First Law of Demand As the price per unit of the good declines, a consumer (all other things held constant, e.g. their income) will choose to buy more of the good over the same time period How People Make Decisions Principle 4: People respond to incentives Gasoline tax Car size & fuel efficiency; carpool; public transportation State will raise gasoline tax in July Reduced single-occupancy cars; less essential trips Increased demand for mass transit, car-pooling Highway 520 bridge tolls Revenues used to finance new construction Unintended consequences Policymakers fail to consider how their policies affect incentives Will toll increase increase/decrease revenues? (Elasticity) 19 Learning Objective 1.1 Making Will Women Have More Babies the if the Government Pays Them To? Connection Estonian Gov’t Increased Paid Time-Off for Mate The Estonian government is encouraged by the results of providing economic incentives and is looking for ways to provide additional incentives to raise the birthrate further. How People Interact Principle 5: Trade can make everyone better off Trade Specialization Allows each person/country to specialize in the activities he/she does best People/countries can buy a greater variety of goods and services at lower cost 21 Gain from Trade - Specialization Key Assumptions About Individual Economic Behavior Alchian and Allen 1. For each person, some goods are scarce -> choices 2. Each person desires many goods and goals -> tradeoffs 3. Each person is willing to give up some of one economic good to get more of another economic good -> basis for trade 4. The more one has of a good, the lower is its personal marginal value -> diminishing marginal value 5. Not all people have identical tastes and preferences 6. People are innovative and rational An Example of a Model Built on These Assumptions A Model of Consumer Demand What is Economics? Economics Analyzes the production and distribution/allocation of goods and services – i.e. how the market place works Or how “stuff” is made and bought, and how its market price is determined. who gets what how/who makes it Models how individuals and firms make decisions about: What to purchase (choosing how to allocate income among various goods, services and savings/future consumption) What goods are produced (and not) What technologies to use How goods get allocated to which consumers in the marketplace © 2011, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license distributed with a certain product or service or otherwise on a password-protected website for classroom use. 26