Econ 100 Lecture 1.4 Ch. 1 Economic Way of Thinking (Part II) 1-8-2009 Overview • The economic way of thinking – Narrow versus broad economics • The CIA and Afghan warlords as an economic incentive problem – Choice under constraint – Summing Up • A useful website – http://ingrimayne.com/econ/Introduction/Overview1.html Broad versus Narrow Economics • Narrow economics – Theory of behavior based on “incentives” is restricted to analysis of human behavior in the marketplace • E.g., impact of the “cow gas” tax • Broad economics – Incentives are not limited to economic incentives, such as prices, taxes or income – Behavior based on incentives is not restricted to only markets • E.g., CIA and Afghan warlords Broad Economics • Afghan warlords and Viagra (http://www.telegraph.co.uk/) – Whatever it takes to make friends and influence people – whether it's building a school or handing out Viagra," one veteran CIA officer told The Washington Post. – According to the newspaper, pills to boost the libidos of Afghan tribal patriarchs are the latest in a long line of inducements including medicine or operations for family, toys and school equipment, tooth extractions and visas – The trick was to identify a means of pleasing the CIA source enough to guarantee his loyalty without making it obvious to others that he's being rewarded. CIA and Economics • Essentially this is an economic problem – Goal is to maximize (or increase) the loyalty of the Afghan warlords • Subject to the constraint that they aren’t found out to be collaborating with the US – Need to design an incentive which meets: • The objective function (loyalty), and • The constraint (we don’t kill off our allies) What is Economic Theory Based On? • “all social phenomena emerge from the actions and interactions of individuals who are choosing in response to [maximizing] expected benefits and costs” (Heyne) [under a constraint (e.g., time, money, alternatives available)] – Constraint scarcity • Scarcity: can’t have all of the things you want – Even if you had unlimited income and no natural resource constraints => time • Without scarcity, there is no economic problem as no one has to tradeoff some of one good for another because of a monetary or income constraint Another Way of Saying This • Consumers – Maximize their utility/satisfaction from consuming a number of goods and services within the constraint of their budget/income MaxU U ( x, y ) subject to I px Qx p y Qy – Where U(x,y) is the utility or value from consuming goods x and y – Pi is the price of good i – I is the consumer’s income Follow the Math • We will find that consumer will choose to consume Qx and QY up to the point that: MU x Px and MU y Py Where MUi is the marginal utility (or value) of consuming good i But you knew this already So What is Economics? • Economics is the study of the: – Choices we make – Constraints that we face – Tradeoffs that are made because of scarcity What is Economics? • “Economic theory originated as a study or markets, of complex exchange processes” • Adam Smith, Wealth of Nations (1723-1790) • “… developed to explain how order and cooperation emerged from apparently uncoordinated interactions of individuals pursuing their own interests in substantial ignorance of the interests of those whom they are cooperating” • Adam Smith’s invisible hand A Warning • “Learning the mere techniques of economic analysis is far easier than master the art of applying them sensibly and persuasively to actual social problems” (Heyne, p.16) • “..Economics does not furnish a body of settled conclusions …It a method rather than a doctrine, an apparatus of the mind…” (Keynes) Review/Discussion Questions • Ch. 1 – #2, 6, 9, 12 A Useful Website for this Material • Overview: Welcome to Economics! • http://ingrimayne.com/econ/Introduction/Overview1.html • After you finish this unit, you should be able to: – Explain what the term "invisible hand" means and who first used it. – Give at least one common definition of economics. – State what Malthus thought about population growth. – Explain how Popper defines scientific statements. – Distinguish between positive and normative statements. – Explain what scarcity, choice, and self-interest have to do with economics.