The story behind the numbers Volume GDP (annual % Changes) 1948 – 2010 GDP & GNP (Seasonally Adjusted) Q1 2002 – Q3 2011 GDP GNP Sector Composition of GDP 2007 2010 Importance of MNEs Number of Enterprises by Size Class Importance of Top 50 enterprises Imports, Exports &Trade Balance (Jan – Sept 2011) Net Exports Other services Business services Royalties/licences Computer services Insur & Finan Servs Other Goods Machinery&Equip Chemicals Fuel Food -30 -20 -10 €billions 0 10 20 30 40 Outflows (€ Billions) – Goods, Services & Profits 2007 2010 Royalties/Licences €18.6 €28.5 Profits €26.5 €27.8 Two speed economy Industrial Production (Base: Year 2000 = 100) Employment and Unemployment Employment rate and unemployment rate (%), 2000 to 2011 70 16 68 14 66 12 64 10 62 8 Employment rate Unemployment rate 60 6 58 4 56 2 54 0 Q200 Q201 Q202 Q203 Q204 Q205 Q206 Q207 Q208 Q209 Q210 Q211 Employment change by sector Growth in Employment 2004 – 2007 Loss in Employment 2007 – 2011 Unemployment Rates (%) by Region Unemployment Rates (%) 2007 vs 2010 Who has been effected most by employment loss? % Change Q2 2008 – Q2 2011 Regions most affected by employment loss How enterprises have reduced Wage Bill 2008 – 2009 65% 54% Employment 12% 13% 20% 37% 29% 9% Average Hours 4% 4% Average Hourly Earnings 3% Residential Property Prices (Base: Jan 2005 = 100) Negative Equity by age cohort & size Negative Equity Age Negative Equity Mortgage Dwelling vacancy rates Vacant dwellings & Holiday Homes Vacant dwellings only Household Savings 120 16% 14% 100 12% 80 10% 8% Ratio €billions 60 6% 40 4% 20 2% - 0% 2002 2003 2004 2005 GDI 2006 PCE 2007 Savings Ratio 2008 2009 2010 Household Investments & Savings Impact on Well-being (Base: Year 2007 = 100) Overall Population Change Components of Population Change Actual and Projected dependency ratios Projections based on M0F1 assumptions Constituency populations 2011 Key message Macro Economics Everything is inter-connected Business Statistics Social Statistics Take a closer look www.cso.ie Dates for your diary Balance of Payments Seminar How Enterprises changed their wage bills in the downturn Coach House - Dublin Castle By Kieran Walsh, CSO 23rd February, 9.30am Register: corporate.support@cso.ie Statistical and Social Inquiry Society of Ireland Royal Irish Academy, 9th February, 6pm