Peace, Justice and Sustainability: the Foundations for a New Economy Joshua Farley Community Development and Applied Economics Gund Institute for Ecological Economics University of Vermont Outline Why a new economy? Physical and ecological foundations of the economy Moral and social foundations The nature of the challenge Is cooperation possible? The foundations for a new economy Conclusions Why a New Economy? Physical and Ecological Foundations of the Economy Economy is sustained and contained by global ecosystem Relative scarcity has changed dramatically Economy must adapt Laws of Physics Can’t make something from nothing or vice versa Can’t do work without energy Disorder increases Laws of ecology Conversion of ecosystem structure into economic products and waste degrades and destroys ecosystem services Both economic products and ecosystem services essential to civilization Unavoidable tradeoffs Planetary boundaries The Social and Ethical Foundations of the Economy Economics is the allocation of scarce resources among alternative ends How we use what we have to create what we want What ends should take priority? Sustainability Justice Peace Enduring well-being for humans and other species What ends do take priority? Maximization of monetary value; economic growth Social foundations Unsustainable Injustice Growing Injustice Growing Injustice “Recession is over in Europe” Since recession ‘ended’ in US, 121% of income growth has gone to top 1%; bottom 99% worse off Total US debt Systematic Redistribution Towards the Rich and Unproductive Debt is 360% of GDP and growing faster than GDP Interest on total debt is likely to be 15% of GDP. Direct transfer to lenders/wealthy Credit market debt, net of gov’t Peace Threatened by resource scarcity and injustice Fundamental Principles of Energy: “Struggle for energy causes violent conflict” Environmental refugees “Every gun that is made, every warship launched, every rocket fired signifies, in the final sense, a theft from those who hunger and are not fed, those who are cold and not clothed. This world in arms is not spending money alone. It is spending the sweat of its laborers, the genius of its scientists, the hopes of its children…This is not a way of life at all in any sense. “ The Nature of the Challenge The Challenge We Face Failure to respect planetary boundaries threatens ecological catastrophe: unacceptable costs Food systems and CO2 emissions are greatest threats With current economy, reducing food supply and CO2 emissions to fall within planetary boundaries threatens social catastrophe: unacceptable costs Prisoner’s Dilemmas Global Climate Change and waste emissions Agricultural technologies and green technologies in Internet age Natural resource depletion and biodiversity loss (finite raw material sources, finite services) Degradation of ecosystems Market Solutions Competition, self-interest and choice Preference satisfaction Internalize externalities Make prices reflect full costs Creates incentives for innovation and substitution Preferences weighted by purchasing power Americans spend 6% of income on food for home consumption; ~1% on raw food Many Africans spend 75%; ~ 50% on raw food What happens when prices double? Prioritize preferences or physiological needs? “Efficiency” or justice? Economics, Money and Cooperation Studying economics makes people more selfish, less cooperative Bauman Y, Rose E. Selection or indoctrination: Why do economics students donate less than the rest? Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization. 2011;79(3):318-327 Frank RH, Gilovich T, Regan DT. Does Studying Economics Inhibit Cooperation? Journal of Economic Perspectives. 1993;7(2):159-171 Kirchgässner G. (Why) are economists different? European Journal of Political Economy. 2005;21(3):543-562 Thinking about money makes people more selfish, less cooperative Vohs KD, Mead NL, Goode MR. The Psychological Consequences of Money. Science. 2006 November 17, 2006;314(5802):1154-1156 Caruso, Eugene M.; Vohs, Kathleen D.; Baxter, Brittani; Waytz, Adam. Mere exposure to money increases endorsement of free-market systems and social inequality. Journal of Experimental Psychology: General, Vol 142(2), May 2013, 301-306 Rich people are less empathic, more selfish, less ethical Piff, P.K., Stancato, D.M., Cote, S., Mendoza-Denton, R., Keltner, D., 2012. Higher social class predicts increased unethical behavior. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 109, 40864091. Monetary payments ‘crowd out’ cooperative behavior Gneezy, U., Rustichini, A., 2000. Pay Enough Or Don't Pay At All. The Quarterly Journal of Economics 115, 791-810. Cooperative Solutions No market or technical solution is possible Cooperation is best solution to prisoner’s dilemma Evolution Anthropology Mathematical biology Behavioral economics Is Cooperation Possible? Are people good or evil? Characteristics of an evil person Characteristics of a good person Evolution of Cooperation Genetic Multi-level selection (e.g. Pseudomonas fluorescens) Distribution of pro-social behavior Bacteria, slime-molds, social insects, humans (super cooperators) Account for 50% of global biomass Oxytocin Detecting cheaters Cultural Reciprocity (direct and indirect) Altruistic punishment Punishing non-punishers Group identity New Foundations Institutions for Cooperation Institutions can make generous people act selfishly, or selfish people act generously Reciprocity or payments? Social norms towards greed: glorification or ostracism? Economics for Post-carbon Energy/ Green Techonology We compete for oil, not for sunshine Alternative energy requires better technologies Information/technology improves through use Value maximized at price of zero Markets create artificial scarcity Cooperation trumps competition Markets inherently inefficient Economics of Sustainable Food Systems Goal: Greatest food security with minimum ecological degradation Americans spend 6.7% of income on food for home consumption, ~1% on raw food How did you react when wheat prices tripled? Many poor countries spend >70% of income on food for home consumption; 50% spent on raw food? How do poorer countries react when wheat prices triple? Markets allocate food to those who benefit the least Cooperative stewardship/ just distribution essential Minimum Rules for Sustainability Cannot use renewables faster than they regenerate If stocks are shrinking, we must reduce consumption Cannot emit waste faster than ecosystems can absorb it If stocks are growing, we must reduce emissions Cannot use non-renewables faster than we develop renewable substitutes Resource rent should be invested in renewable substitutes Neither resource extraction nor waste emissions can threaten vital ecosystem functions Minimum Rules for Economic Justice Equal distribution of common assets Values created by nature or by society as a whole Land, water, atmosphere, natural resources Tax what you take, not what you make Tax in proportion to benefits received Greater equality promotes peace and prosperity Marginal tax rates and income share for top 0.1% Cooperation for Justice and Sustainability Brings Peace Reciprocity: generosity induces generosity; snowball effect “Energy transitions produce cultural transitions” Myxococcus xanthus, Dictyostelium discoideum and the human predicament “Struggle for energy causes violent conflict” Cooperation for energy ends violent conflict Cooperation is it’s own reward Oxytocin Greater equality Conclusions Conclusions Markets emerged simultaneously with fossil fuels Nature of scarcity has changed Prisoner’s dilemma requires cooperation Cannot transform physical characteristics of resources to fit market model Must transform economic system to resource characteristics, human behavior Prisoner’s dilemmas Physiological necessities Peace, Justice and Sustainability must be moral foundations of new economy