Agriculture and Ecosystem Services in the Tropics: Theory and Practice Joshua Farley Community Development and Applied Economics Gund Institute for Ecological Economics University of Vermont With Abdon L Schmitt Filho, Alfredo Fantine, Gisele Alarcon UFSC – University of Santa Catarina, Florianopolis, Brazi) Research funded by CNPq's Pesquisador Visitante Especial program X Eugen Warming Lectures in Evolutionary Ecology: Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services in the Tropics – Now and Beyond. Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais, Belo Horizonte, MG, Brazil. December 3, 2014 Planetary Boundaries and Agriculture Greatest threat to global ecosystems Dependence on nonrenewables Need to feed growing population Essential and Non-substitutable Resources Food, water, energy, ecosystem services Critical thresholds Ecological Physiological Inelastic demand Essential to human survival with no adequate substitutes Large changes in price with small changes in quantity; small change in quantitylarge change in price Inelastic supply Large changes in price have little impact on supply Substitution in Agriculture Substituting non-renewable resources for ecosystem services Tractors for draft animals NH3 and mined phosphorous for nutrient cycling and legumes Pesticides for biological controls Tractors and agrochemicals degrade ecosystem services Must restore ecosystem services before nonrenewables run out Irreconcilable Thresholds? Atlantic Forest Biome • Second largest rain forest of South America, covering most of the Brazilian coast • Stretching over latitudinal 3oS to 30oS, altitudinal (0– 1,800 m), and climatic gradients (1,000–4,200 mm annual rainfall) • Extremely heterogeneous (Scarano 2002, Camara 2003) Atlantic Forest Biome • 20,000 species of plants, 263 mammals, 936 birds, 306 reptiles and 475 amphibians (Mittermeier 2005, Ribeiro 2011) Atlantic Forest Biome • Endemism rates ranging from 30% in birds to 44% in plants (Mittermeier 2005) Atlantic Forest Biome • 245,173 fragments, 83,4% of are smaller than 50 ha (Putz 2012) • Habitat loss has reached more than 90% in some centers of endemism (Ribeiro 2009) • Ecological research suggests that the extensive deforestation of the Atlantic Forest has come at the cost of system resilience, and the forest may fail to recover from any new disturbances (Mittermeier 2011) Atlantic Forest Biome • Ecological threshold at ~30% forest cover, beyond which major extinction/extirpation events may occur (Banks-Leite et al., 2014) Ecological Threshold Island biogeography: 90% decrease in ecosystem size associated with 50% decrease in species diversity (MacArthur & Wilson 2001). Significant time lags between forest loss and extinction (Brooks & Balmford 1996) Strong potential to transition to new ecosystem Brief window of opportunity for action Brazil’s National Forestry Code Mandatory conservation and reforestation of critical ecosystems Area of Permanent Preservation (APP) Partial amnesty after 2012 30 (up to 500) meters alongside rivers 20 – 100 meters around springs, reservoirs, etc. Steeps slopes and hilltops Legal Forest Reserve for AF 20% of remaining property Typical Farm 98% of Forest remnants On private proprieties 87% of the properties belong to family farmers Santa Catarina’s family farmers • Produce 87% of agricultural output on 44% of land • Comprise 90% of rural population - 180 thousand families Santa Catarina state – family farmers livelihood • 88 % are land owners • 61% have less than 40 hectares • Rural-urban migration important issue Economic Threshold, short term Compliance with forestry code would leave many farms nonviable Economic Threshold, long term Loss of ES essential to agriculture Catastrophic flooding, infrastructure loss Extensive erosion, etc., etc. Current “Solution” Effects of poverty immediate, of deforestation delayed Santa Catarina’s governor: Choice between “crops or slums” Declared state forestry code allowing greater deforestation (Souto 2009) Spurred national debate and change of forest code Agroecology as a Better Solution Reduce use of off-farm, non-renewable inputs Lower costs hence lower risk Less ecological degradation Greater diversity Greater resilience, lower risk Improved ecological benefits Agroecology and Ecosystem Services Outreach Programs at The University of Santa Catariana UFSC 1998-2015 Southern Brazil Voisin Grazing Program The GPVoisin Voisin Grazing Group – GPVoisin Stage 0: Tabaco transitioning to conventional semi-confinement dairy Stage 1: Voisin rotational grazing Stage 1: Voisin rotational grazing Higher stocking rates, yields per cow, and income Lower expenditures on inputs Less disease Less labor (after startup) Better quality of life Stage 2: Hi-Biodiversity Silvopastoral Systems and Ecosystem Services Provide Shade and windbreaks Nucleation system Euterpe edulis (juçai), (bracatinga: nitrogen fixation, timber, honey), other fruits and timber, charcoal trees, etc. Wild bees Juçara palm - Euterpe edules Açai – Euterpe oleracea • 50 islands ha - Non- timber forest product- NTFPs • 12% of pasture area • 24-36% of pasture shaded during summer Stage 3: HBSPS, Agroforestry and Payments for Ecosystem Services Goal is to restore ecologically sensitive zones with native species agroforestry system Most farmers reluctant to comply with forestry code, willing to do so for compensation or with technical assistance Working with SDS on PES scheme in collaboration with farmers Comparing efficiency across practice and policy Economic Efficiency Food Security • Allocative efficiency • Producing the right foods with the right resources on the right land • Distributive efficiency • Ensuring these foods go to those with the greatest physiological need • More equitable distribution of wealth? • Alternatives to price rationing? Poor food security, household security Shift from marginal to total value (e.g. diamond-water paradox) physiological threshold: e.g. starvation Opportunity cost Physiological Demand curve Rich Middle class food security, household security Price Rich physiological threshold: e.g. starvation Market Demand curve Poor Food production (in calories/day/capita) Economic Efficiency • Agroecology • More diverse and healthier food • Greater resilience • Benefits poorest farmers • Conventional ag • Low diversity for processed foods and export • Low resilience Economic Efficiency • Policy • Fome zero • PRONAF • Programa de adquisição de alimentos • Premium for agroecological production Survey of Voisinista Farmers 98% of farmers stated investment was generating the desired returns or more. 85% claimed that the project improved their quality of life Economic Efficiency Technical Efficiency • Throughput broadly defined • • Water, energy, fertilizers, labor, capital, land Cannot rely on non-renewables Technical Efficiency • Agroecology • • • • • Voisin grazing increased milk production: 91% of farmers increased cows per hectare 90% increased yield per cow total yield and revenue Lowered costs and inputs: 49% of farmers stated that labor requirements decreased, while 27% stated they had increased Before adoption 73% of farmers used pesticides, 28% over the entire pasture After adoption fell to 54% and 3% respectively Decrease in ticks, horn-flies (Haematobia irritans), worms and mastitis, hence pesticides, medicines Technical Efficiency: Conventional ag • Compared 3 maiz systems • • • Wind pollinated agroecological Conventional hybrid Genetically modified • Results • • • • • Higher yield from conventional and GMO for wealthier farmers Subsidized GMO uses as many pesticides as conventional Brazil has highest use of pesticides in world, many banned in other countries Much lower costs, lower risks, higher profits, greater resilience from agroeco Technical Efficiency • Requires major investments in R&D, extension • Economics of information • • Public funding Minimize costs, maximize benefits Sharing knowledge • Requires significant investments by farmers • • • Highest interest rates in world High risk PRONAF Technical Efficiency Ecological Efficiency • Restoring ecosystem services • Minimizing impact of throughput on ecosystem service • • • • Minimizing agrotoxins, fossil fuels, erosion Accounting for non-market benefits Open access and public goods Cooperation required Ecological Efficiency • Agroecology • 72% of farmers claimed that manure decayed faster • 85% claimed soil moister during droughts • Areas with total vegetation coverage increased from under 2% of pastures to over 72% • Over 85% of farmers noticed improvement in soil quality. • Carbon sequestration • Biodiversity Ecological Efficiency • Conventional agriculture • Highest use of pesticides in world • Many banned in other countries • Fertilizers based on non-renewable resources • Policy • Subsidies for conventional ag and chemical inputs • Forest code • Threat of fines • Payments for ecosystem services • Riparian zone forests • High transaction costs • More cost effective on large farms Ecological Efficiency Ecological Efficiency Next Phase: Agroforestry in the APPs • Agroecology • Substitutes ecosystem services for nonrenewable inputs • Over 90% of farmers found that ticks, horn-flies (Haematobia irritans), worms and mastitis all decreased • 72% of farmers claimed that manure decayed faster • 85% claimed soil moister during droughts • Pasture with complete vegetation coverage increased from 2% to 73% • 85% of farmers noticed an improvement in soil quality. Farmer Attitudes towards Forest Code 3 Clusters from surveys (n=60) of Voisin farmers Perceptive farmers (i.e. aware of ecosystem services) willing to restore APP (15%) Perceptive famers unwilling to restore (45%) Unperceptive and unwilling to restore (40%) Willing to restore with incentives Payments for ecosystem services (PES) Returns to agroforestry Reduced threat of fines for non-compliance Problems with PES Requires political will to continue indefinitely Does not finance adoption of agroecology Extension Investment costs High transaction costs Dependent on prices Corn prices and conservation reserve in US May erode social economy Policy Reform Publicly funded RD&D 80% IRR Alston, J.M., Marra, M.C., Pardey, P.G., Wyatt, T.J., 2000. Research returns redux: a metaanalysis of the returns to agricultural R&D. Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics 44, 185-215. Public investments in rural sector Greater than 60% IRR in LA López, R., Galinato, G.I., 2007. Should governments stop subsidies to private goods? Evidence from rural Latin America. Journal of Public Economics 91, 1071-1094. Affordable, low risk credit Must design with farmers Payment contingent on success Rotating fund with zero interest Economics of ES Market rewards people for converting ecosystems into economic products Few rewards for providing ecosystem services, regardless of relative value