Modeling HEAR for CU-Boulder 1 Lou McClelland, Perry Sailor, and Dave Deffenbacher

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Modeling HEAR for CU-Boulder
1
Modeling CCHE admission standard Higher Education Admission Requirements (HEAR)
for CU-Boulder admits
Lou McClelland, Perry Sailor, and Dave Deffenbacher
CU-Boulder Planning, Budget, and Analysis, 6/8//2006
Updated 5-07 Lou McClelland, Perry Sailor
Updated with fall 2007 admits as of 5/11/07. Data on fall 2006 admits are from about 5/20/06.
PBA file reference: L:\ir\cche\adm\hear\heartest.sas, model
Note: CU-Boulder results generally look better with fall 2007 admits modeled than we did with fall 2006.
This reflects not only possible changes in the applicants, but also the fact that we admitted a lower
percentage of applicants in 2007. Do not presume that all 2006 to 2007 change is due to change in
applicants!
Everything on HEAR is an ESTIMATE, using currently available high school unit data only. Why this is an
estimate

HS units were available/used for analysis only for new freshman admits – not for transfer admits with
under 30 transfer hours, who are also covered by HEAR

HS units were missing for a few new freshman admits – under 5%. Minimal effect

The HS unit counts used were verified by Admissions from 7th or 6th term transcripts for most admits
who had paid a confirmation deposit, but not for the 6000+ admits who have not paid deposits.
Unverified counts are based entirely on applicant self-report on the application for admission.
However, this is also what would be used for the real thing.

We looked at HS units only. Many (almost half) CU-Boulder applicants have college credit from AP,
IB, and/or college courses taken while in HS. Some of this work may meet a HEAR component for
students who would otherwise not meet HEAR. Considering this work could only increase the
numbers meeting HEAR.
The CU-Boulder application for admission collects self-reported units that “have or will be” completed by
the applicant. See question 26, page 15, of the PDF version of the app at
http://www.colorado.edu/prospective/freshman/apply/07applicationpkt.pdf
HEAR requirements: See admission policy http://www.state.co.us/cche/policy/newpolicies/i-partf.pdf
This analysis examines admitted first time freshman covered by the freshman admission standard. This
excludes all transfer students, including those covered by the freshman standard and by the transfer
standard. Correctly modeling the HEAR requirements for transfer students requires examining prior
college work as well as high school units, which is beyond the scope of this analysis.
ALL first time CU-Boulder freshman admits covered by the CCHE freshman standard
Note: Students with missing units data are excluded from the 2007 data below; it is not known if they
were included (as HEAR fails) or excluded from 2006. The proportion with missing data is small.


Pass rate, HEAR 2008 and non-HEAR adm standard – 2006 admits

88.8% pass HEAR 08

80.6% pass both HEAR 08 and index/GED for Boulder (103)

9.5% pass index/GED but not HEAR 08

8.2% pass HEAR 08 but not index/GED
Pass rate, HEAR 2008 and non-HEAR adm standard -- 2007 admits

91.1% pass HEAR 08

86.5% pass both HEAR 08 and index/GED for Boulder (103)

8.0% pass index/GED but not HEAR 08

4.6% pass HEAR 08 but not index/GED
UCB PBA – B -- D:\219471513.doc -- 7/12/2016 IR@colorado.edu
Modeling HEAR for CU-Boulder

2
Pass rate, HEAR 2010 and non-HEAR

The proportion passing HEAR drops from 88.8% (for HEAR08) to 74.6% with HEAR 2010 for 06
admits, and from 91.1% to 77.7% for 07 admits.

This reduces the proportion who pass both HEAR10 and index/GED to 68.7% for 06 admits, and
to 74.5% for 07 admits.
All remaining sections refer only to CU-Boulder COLORADO RESIDENT first time freshman admits
covered by CCHE freshman standard

Pass rate, HEAR 2008 and non-HEAR – Results similar to those for all freshman admits, for both
2006 and 2007.

Pass rate, HEAR 2010 and non-HEAR – Also similar to results for all freshman admits, for both
2006 and 2007.

Individual HEAR components, HEAR 2008 and HEAR 2010 (ignoring non-HEAR part of
standard) – For CU-Boulder Colorado resident new freshman admits
% Pass
2006
89%
96%
98%
96%
95%
% Pass
2007
92%
96%
98%
98%
97%
99%
99%
Pass HEAR 10 overall
73%
Pass HEAR 10, math part (4 units)
82%
HEAR 10 English, nat sci, soc sci – same as HEAR 08
Pass HEAR 10, language part (2 units of SAME
language)
95%
Pass HEAR 10, total units (18, lang counted only
if 2+ units of same lang)
93%
78%
84%
Pass HEAR 08 overall
Pass HEAR 08, English part (4 units)
Pass HEAR 08, math part (3 units)
Pass HEAR 08, natural science part (3 units)
Pass HEAR 08, social science part (3 units)
Pass HEAR 08, total units (15, lang counted only
if 2+ units of same lang)




96%
95%
Of 2006 resident admits not passing HEAR 2008, approximately 30% had a deficit in only the
Social Science area. This percentage with a single deficit was considerably higher than any other
any other area (English was the next highest at 22%).
For 2007, the two leading single areas associated with not passing remained Social Science and
English, with 26% failing each area.
Not surprisingly, for HEAR 2010, math was the largest single deficit area in 2006 and remains so
in 2007.
Relationship of high school units to the admission index: Higher index scores are related to
larger numbers of high school units (correlation with total units of 0.33 in 2006, 0.30 in 2007). The
index is more strongly related to total units taken and to natural science, math, and language units
than to social science and English units. These relationships hold for both 2006 and 2007.
UCB PBA – B -- D:\219471513.doc -- 7/12/2016 IR@colorado.edu
Modeling HEAR for CU-Boulder
3
HEAR 2008 pass rate patterns for CO high schools

While the schools with the very lowest pass rates are smaller schools, in general high school size
and HEAR standing are NOT consistently related.

Pass rates by high school (for schools with at least 10 CU-Boulder admits, ordered from
highest to lowest pass rate)
High school name
High school city
N
admits
COLORADO ACADEMY
DAKOTA RIDGE HIGH SCHOOL
ELIZABETH HIGH SCHOOL
FAITH CHRISTIAN ACADEMY
GRANDVIEW HIGH SCHOOL
GREELEY CENTRAL HIGH SCHOOL
GREELEY WEST SR HIGH SCHOOL
GREEN MOUNTAIN HIGH SCHOOL
HERITAGE HIGH SCHOOL
HERZL / RMHA @ THE DENVER CAMPUS
HOLY FAMILY HIGH SCHOOL
LIBERTY HIGH SCHOOL
LYONS MD-SR HIGH SCHOOL
MANITOU SPRINGS HIGH SCHOOL
PLATTE CANYON HIGH SCHOOL
PONDEROSA HIGH SCHOOL
PUEBLO COUNTY HIGH SCHOOL
ROCK CANYON HIGH SCHOOL
SAND CREEK HIGH SCHOOL
SOUTH HIGH SCHOOL
TELLURIDE HIGH SCHOOL
THOMAS B DOHERTY HIGH SCHOOL
UNIVERSITY SCHOOLS
WINDSOR HIGH SCHOOL
WOODLAND PARK HIGH SCHOOL
LITTLETON HIGH SCHOOL
MONARCH HIGH SCHOOL
MOUNTAIN VISTA HIGH SCHOOL
CHEROKEE TRAIL HIGH SCHOOL
OVERLAND HIGH SCHOOL
WHEAT RIDGE SR HIGH SCHOOL
STANDLEY LAKE HIGH SCHOOL
FOSSIL RIDGE HIGH SCHOOL
CHAPARRAL HIGH SCHOOL
HIGHLANDS RANCH HS
DOUGLAS COUNTY HIGH SCHOOL
CHEYENNE MOUNTAIN HIGH SCHOOL
REGIS JESUIT HIGH SCHOOL
GOLDEN SENIOR HIGH SCHOOL
BERTHOUD HIGH SCHOOL
EAST HIGH SCHOOL
D'EVELYN JUNIOR-SENIOR HS
LEWIS-PALMER HIGH SCHOOL
EVERGREEN SENIOR HIGH SCHOOL
GEORGE WASHINGTON HIGH SCHOOL
ARAPAHOE HIGH SCHOOL
DENVER
LITTLETON
ELIZABETH
ARVADA
AURORA
GREELEY
GREELEY
LAKEWOOD
LITTLETON
DENVER
BROOMFIELD
COLORADO SPRINGS
LYONS
MANITOU SPGS
BAILEY
PARKER
PUEBLO
HIGHLANDS RANCH
COLORADO SPRINGS
DENVER
TELLURIDE
COLORADO SPRINGS
GREELEY
WINDSOR
WOODLAND PARK
LITTLETON
LOUISVILLE
HIGHLANDS RANCH
AURORA
AURORA
WHEAT RIDGE
WESTMINSTER
FORT COLLINS
PARKER
HIGHLANDS RANCH
CASTLE ROCK
COLORADO SPRINGS
AURORA
GOLDEN
BERTHOUD
DENVER
DENVER
MONUMENT
EVERGREEN
DENVER
LITTLETON
20
47
15
18
99
11
29
48
88
13
21
27
12
17
10
57
11
48
13
11
11
35
10
11
14
95
161
103
33
33
33
63
31
60
88
87
86
85
55
27
108
50
74
70
70
135
UCB PBA – B -- D:\219471513.doc -- 7/12/2016 IR@colorado.edu
HEAR 2008
pass rate
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
98%
98%
97%
97%
97%
97%
97%
97%
97%
97%
97%
97%
96%
96%
96%
96%
96%
96%
96%
96%
96%
Modeling HEAR for CU-Boulder
LAKEWOOD HIGH SCHOOL
HORIZON HIGH SCHOOL
ARVADA SENIOR HIGH SCHOOL
AIR ACADEMY HIGH SCHOOL
POUDRE HIGH SCHOOL
CORONADO HIGH SCHOOL
SMOKY HILL HIGH SCHOOL
SUMMIT HIGH SCHOOL
CHERRY CREEK HIGH SCHOOL
PINE CREEK HIGH SCHOOL
WILLIAM J PALMER HIGH SCHOOL
RALSTON VALLEY HIGH SCHOOL
RAMPART HIGH SCHOOL
FAIRVIEW HIGH SCHOOL
THUNDERRIDGE HIGH SCHOOL
THOMAS JEFFERSON HIGH SCHOOL
BROOMFIELD HIGH SCHOOL
STEAMBOAT SPRINGS HIGH SCHOOL
ALAMEDA HIGH SCHOOL
WILLIAM C HINKLEY HIGH SCHOOL
CHATFIELD SENIOR HIGH SCHOOL
FORT COLLINS HIGH SCHOOL
NIWOT HIGH SCHOOL
BEAR CREEK HIGH SCHOOL
ERIE MIDDLE-SENIOR HIGH SCHOOL
SAINT MARYS HIGH SCHOOL
SILVER CREEK HIGH SCHOOL
BASALT HIGH SCHOOL
ALEXANDER DAWSON SCHOOL
BATTLE MOUNTAIN HIGH SCHOOL
PEAK TO PEAK CHARTER SCHOOL
BOULDER HIGH SCHOOL
NORTHRIDGE HIGH SCHOOL
LOVELAND HIGH SCHOOL
NORTHGLENN HIGH SCHOOL
IVER C RANUM HIGH SCHOOL
EAGLECREST HIGH SCHOOL
MONTROSE HIGH SCHOOL
CONIFER HIGH SCHOOL
ARVADA WEST HIGH SCHOOL
BRIGHTON HIGH SCHOOL
POMONA HIGH SCHOOL
KENT-DENVER SCHOOL
ROCKY MOUNTAIN HIGH SCHOOL
COLUMBINE HIGH SCHOOL
CENTENNIAL HIGH SCHOOL
THOMPSON VALLEY HIGH SCHOOL
DENVER CHRISTIAN HIGH SCHOOL
CENTAURUS HIGH SCHOOL
LONGMONT SENIOR HIGH SCHOOL
GATEWAY HIGH SCHOOL
GRAND JUNCTION HIGH SCHOOL
ASPEN HIGH SCHOOL
ROY J WASSON HIGH SCHOOL
DENVER SCHOOL OF THE ARTS
GLENWOOD SPRINGS HIGH SCHOOL
SOUTH HIGH SCHOOL-PUEBLO
4
LAKEWOOD
THORNTON
ARVADA
USAF ACADEMY
FT COLLINS
COLORADO SPRINGS
AURORA
FRISCO
ENGLEWOOD
COLORADO SPRINGS
COLORADO SPRINGS
ARVADA
COLORADO SPRINGS
BOULDER
HIGHLANDS RANCH
DENVER
BROOMFIELD
STEAMBOAT SPRING
LAKEWOOD
AURORA
LITTLETON
FT COLLINS
NIWOT
LAKEWOOD
ERIE
COLORADO SPRINGS
LONGMONT
BASALT
LAFAYETTE
MINTURN
LAFAYETTE
BOULDER
GREELEY
LOVELAND
NORTHGLENN
DENVER
CENTENNIAL
MONTROSE
CONIFER
ARVADA
BRIGHTON
ARVADA
ENGLEWOOD
FT COLLINS
LITTLETON
PUEBLO
LOVELAND
DENVER
LAFAYETTE
LONGMONT
AURORA
GRAND JUNCTION
ASPEN
COLORADO SPRINGS
DENVER
GLENWOOD SPRINGS
PUEBLO
UCB PBA – B -- D:\219471513.doc -- 7/12/2016 IR@colorado.edu
88
43
21
60
79
38
119
34
321
67
50
66
49
204
47
15
73
29
14
14
97
55
93
53
13
13
38
25
12
46
34
167
11
32
53
31
41
20
29
57
19
47
56
91
49
23
23
15
44
40
13
32
49
18
29
29
17
95%
95%
95%
95%
95%
95%
94%
94%
94%
94%
94%
94%
94%
94%
94%
93%
93%
93%
93%
93%
93%
93%
92%
92%
92%
92%
92%
92%
92%
91%
91%
91%
91%
91%
91%
90%
90%
90%
90%
89%
89%
89%
89%
89%
88%
87%
87%
87%
86%
85%
85%
84%
84%
83%
83%
83%
82%
Modeling HEAR for CU-Boulder
MULLEN HIGH SCHOOL
SAINT MARYS ACADEMY HS
LEGACY HIGH SCHOOL
SKYLINE HIGH SCHOOL
JOHN F KENNEDY HIGH SCHOOL
RANGEVIEW HIGH SCHOOL
FRUITA MONUMENT HIGH SCHOOL
THORNTON HIGH SCHOOL
DURANGO HIGH SCHOOL
MOUNTAIN VIEW HIGH SCHOOL
WESTMINSTER SR HIGH SCHOOL
HOME HIGH SCHOOL
CENTRAL HIGH SCHOOL
MIDDLE PARK HIGH SCHOOL
NEW VISTA HS AT BASE LINE CAMP
ADAMS CITY HIGH SCHOOL
5
DENVER
ENGLEWOOD
BROOMFIELD
LONGMONT
DENVER
AURORA
FRUITA
THORNTON
DURANGO
LOVELAND
WESTMINSTER
GRAND JUNCTION
GRANBY
BOULDER
COMMERCE CITY
UCB PBA – B -- D:\219471513.doc -- 7/12/2016 IR@colorado.edu
77
26
70
25
19
17
27
42
45
11
10
17
14
18
29
10
82%
81%
80%
80%
79%
76%
74%
74%
73%
73%
70%
65%
64%
44%
41%
0%
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