Modeling HEAR for CU-Boulder 1 Modeling CCHE admission standard Higher Education Admission Requirements (HEAR) for CU-Boulder admits Lou McClelland, Perry Sailor, and Dave Deffenbacher CU-Boulder Planning, Budget, and Analysis, 6/8//2006 Updated 5-07 Lou McClelland, Perry Sailor Updated with fall 2007 admits as of 5/11/07. Data on fall 2006 admits are from about 5/20/06. PBA file reference: L:\ir\cche\adm\hear\heartest.sas, model Note: CU-Boulder results generally look better with fall 2007 admits modeled than we did with fall 2006. This reflects not only possible changes in the applicants, but also the fact that we admitted a lower percentage of applicants in 2007. Do not presume that all 2006 to 2007 change is due to change in applicants! Everything on HEAR is an ESTIMATE, using currently available high school unit data only. Why this is an estimate HS units were available/used for analysis only for new freshman admits – not for transfer admits with under 30 transfer hours, who are also covered by HEAR HS units were missing for a few new freshman admits – under 5%. Minimal effect The HS unit counts used were verified by Admissions from 7th or 6th term transcripts for most admits who had paid a confirmation deposit, but not for the 6000+ admits who have not paid deposits. Unverified counts are based entirely on applicant self-report on the application for admission. However, this is also what would be used for the real thing. We looked at HS units only. Many (almost half) CU-Boulder applicants have college credit from AP, IB, and/or college courses taken while in HS. Some of this work may meet a HEAR component for students who would otherwise not meet HEAR. Considering this work could only increase the numbers meeting HEAR. The CU-Boulder application for admission collects self-reported units that “have or will be” completed by the applicant. See question 26, page 15, of the PDF version of the app at http://www.colorado.edu/prospective/freshman/apply/07applicationpkt.pdf HEAR requirements: See admission policy http://www.state.co.us/cche/policy/newpolicies/i-partf.pdf This analysis examines admitted first time freshman covered by the freshman admission standard. This excludes all transfer students, including those covered by the freshman standard and by the transfer standard. Correctly modeling the HEAR requirements for transfer students requires examining prior college work as well as high school units, which is beyond the scope of this analysis. ALL first time CU-Boulder freshman admits covered by the CCHE freshman standard Note: Students with missing units data are excluded from the 2007 data below; it is not known if they were included (as HEAR fails) or excluded from 2006. The proportion with missing data is small. Pass rate, HEAR 2008 and non-HEAR adm standard – 2006 admits 88.8% pass HEAR 08 80.6% pass both HEAR 08 and index/GED for Boulder (103) 9.5% pass index/GED but not HEAR 08 8.2% pass HEAR 08 but not index/GED Pass rate, HEAR 2008 and non-HEAR adm standard -- 2007 admits 91.1% pass HEAR 08 86.5% pass both HEAR 08 and index/GED for Boulder (103) 8.0% pass index/GED but not HEAR 08 4.6% pass HEAR 08 but not index/GED UCB PBA – B -- D:\219471513.doc -- 7/12/2016 IR@colorado.edu Modeling HEAR for CU-Boulder 2 Pass rate, HEAR 2010 and non-HEAR The proportion passing HEAR drops from 88.8% (for HEAR08) to 74.6% with HEAR 2010 for 06 admits, and from 91.1% to 77.7% for 07 admits. This reduces the proportion who pass both HEAR10 and index/GED to 68.7% for 06 admits, and to 74.5% for 07 admits. All remaining sections refer only to CU-Boulder COLORADO RESIDENT first time freshman admits covered by CCHE freshman standard Pass rate, HEAR 2008 and non-HEAR – Results similar to those for all freshman admits, for both 2006 and 2007. Pass rate, HEAR 2010 and non-HEAR – Also similar to results for all freshman admits, for both 2006 and 2007. Individual HEAR components, HEAR 2008 and HEAR 2010 (ignoring non-HEAR part of standard) – For CU-Boulder Colorado resident new freshman admits % Pass 2006 89% 96% 98% 96% 95% % Pass 2007 92% 96% 98% 98% 97% 99% 99% Pass HEAR 10 overall 73% Pass HEAR 10, math part (4 units) 82% HEAR 10 English, nat sci, soc sci – same as HEAR 08 Pass HEAR 10, language part (2 units of SAME language) 95% Pass HEAR 10, total units (18, lang counted only if 2+ units of same lang) 93% 78% 84% Pass HEAR 08 overall Pass HEAR 08, English part (4 units) Pass HEAR 08, math part (3 units) Pass HEAR 08, natural science part (3 units) Pass HEAR 08, social science part (3 units) Pass HEAR 08, total units (15, lang counted only if 2+ units of same lang) 96% 95% Of 2006 resident admits not passing HEAR 2008, approximately 30% had a deficit in only the Social Science area. This percentage with a single deficit was considerably higher than any other any other area (English was the next highest at 22%). For 2007, the two leading single areas associated with not passing remained Social Science and English, with 26% failing each area. Not surprisingly, for HEAR 2010, math was the largest single deficit area in 2006 and remains so in 2007. Relationship of high school units to the admission index: Higher index scores are related to larger numbers of high school units (correlation with total units of 0.33 in 2006, 0.30 in 2007). The index is more strongly related to total units taken and to natural science, math, and language units than to social science and English units. These relationships hold for both 2006 and 2007. UCB PBA – B -- D:\219471513.doc -- 7/12/2016 IR@colorado.edu Modeling HEAR for CU-Boulder 3 HEAR 2008 pass rate patterns for CO high schools While the schools with the very lowest pass rates are smaller schools, in general high school size and HEAR standing are NOT consistently related. Pass rates by high school (for schools with at least 10 CU-Boulder admits, ordered from highest to lowest pass rate) High school name High school city N admits COLORADO ACADEMY DAKOTA RIDGE HIGH SCHOOL ELIZABETH HIGH SCHOOL FAITH CHRISTIAN ACADEMY GRANDVIEW HIGH SCHOOL GREELEY CENTRAL HIGH SCHOOL GREELEY WEST SR HIGH SCHOOL GREEN MOUNTAIN HIGH SCHOOL HERITAGE HIGH SCHOOL HERZL / RMHA @ THE DENVER CAMPUS HOLY FAMILY HIGH SCHOOL LIBERTY HIGH SCHOOL LYONS MD-SR HIGH SCHOOL MANITOU SPRINGS HIGH SCHOOL PLATTE CANYON HIGH SCHOOL PONDEROSA HIGH SCHOOL PUEBLO COUNTY HIGH SCHOOL ROCK CANYON HIGH SCHOOL SAND CREEK HIGH SCHOOL SOUTH HIGH SCHOOL TELLURIDE HIGH SCHOOL THOMAS B DOHERTY HIGH SCHOOL UNIVERSITY SCHOOLS WINDSOR HIGH SCHOOL WOODLAND PARK HIGH SCHOOL LITTLETON HIGH SCHOOL MONARCH HIGH SCHOOL MOUNTAIN VISTA HIGH SCHOOL CHEROKEE TRAIL HIGH SCHOOL OVERLAND HIGH SCHOOL WHEAT RIDGE SR HIGH SCHOOL STANDLEY LAKE HIGH SCHOOL FOSSIL RIDGE HIGH SCHOOL CHAPARRAL HIGH SCHOOL HIGHLANDS RANCH HS DOUGLAS COUNTY HIGH SCHOOL CHEYENNE MOUNTAIN HIGH SCHOOL REGIS JESUIT HIGH SCHOOL GOLDEN SENIOR HIGH SCHOOL BERTHOUD HIGH SCHOOL EAST HIGH SCHOOL D'EVELYN JUNIOR-SENIOR HS LEWIS-PALMER HIGH SCHOOL EVERGREEN SENIOR HIGH SCHOOL GEORGE WASHINGTON HIGH SCHOOL ARAPAHOE HIGH SCHOOL DENVER LITTLETON ELIZABETH ARVADA AURORA GREELEY GREELEY LAKEWOOD LITTLETON DENVER BROOMFIELD COLORADO SPRINGS LYONS MANITOU SPGS BAILEY PARKER PUEBLO HIGHLANDS RANCH COLORADO SPRINGS DENVER TELLURIDE COLORADO SPRINGS GREELEY WINDSOR WOODLAND PARK LITTLETON LOUISVILLE HIGHLANDS RANCH AURORA AURORA WHEAT RIDGE WESTMINSTER FORT COLLINS PARKER HIGHLANDS RANCH CASTLE ROCK COLORADO SPRINGS AURORA GOLDEN BERTHOUD DENVER DENVER MONUMENT EVERGREEN DENVER LITTLETON 20 47 15 18 99 11 29 48 88 13 21 27 12 17 10 57 11 48 13 11 11 35 10 11 14 95 161 103 33 33 33 63 31 60 88 87 86 85 55 27 108 50 74 70 70 135 UCB PBA – B -- D:\219471513.doc -- 7/12/2016 IR@colorado.edu HEAR 2008 pass rate 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 98% 97% 97% 97% 97% 97% 97% 97% 97% 97% 97% 96% 96% 96% 96% 96% 96% 96% 96% 96% Modeling HEAR for CU-Boulder LAKEWOOD HIGH SCHOOL HORIZON HIGH SCHOOL ARVADA SENIOR HIGH SCHOOL AIR ACADEMY HIGH SCHOOL POUDRE HIGH SCHOOL CORONADO HIGH SCHOOL SMOKY HILL HIGH SCHOOL SUMMIT HIGH SCHOOL CHERRY CREEK HIGH SCHOOL PINE CREEK HIGH SCHOOL WILLIAM J PALMER HIGH SCHOOL RALSTON VALLEY HIGH SCHOOL RAMPART HIGH SCHOOL FAIRVIEW HIGH SCHOOL THUNDERRIDGE HIGH SCHOOL THOMAS JEFFERSON HIGH SCHOOL BROOMFIELD HIGH SCHOOL STEAMBOAT SPRINGS HIGH SCHOOL ALAMEDA HIGH SCHOOL WILLIAM C HINKLEY HIGH SCHOOL CHATFIELD SENIOR HIGH SCHOOL FORT COLLINS HIGH SCHOOL NIWOT HIGH SCHOOL BEAR CREEK HIGH SCHOOL ERIE MIDDLE-SENIOR HIGH SCHOOL SAINT MARYS HIGH SCHOOL SILVER CREEK HIGH SCHOOL BASALT HIGH SCHOOL ALEXANDER DAWSON SCHOOL BATTLE MOUNTAIN HIGH SCHOOL PEAK TO PEAK CHARTER SCHOOL BOULDER HIGH SCHOOL NORTHRIDGE HIGH SCHOOL LOVELAND HIGH SCHOOL NORTHGLENN HIGH SCHOOL IVER C RANUM HIGH SCHOOL EAGLECREST HIGH SCHOOL MONTROSE HIGH SCHOOL CONIFER HIGH SCHOOL ARVADA WEST HIGH SCHOOL BRIGHTON HIGH SCHOOL POMONA HIGH SCHOOL KENT-DENVER SCHOOL ROCKY MOUNTAIN HIGH SCHOOL COLUMBINE HIGH SCHOOL CENTENNIAL HIGH SCHOOL THOMPSON VALLEY HIGH SCHOOL DENVER CHRISTIAN HIGH SCHOOL CENTAURUS HIGH SCHOOL LONGMONT SENIOR HIGH SCHOOL GATEWAY HIGH SCHOOL GRAND JUNCTION HIGH SCHOOL ASPEN HIGH SCHOOL ROY J WASSON HIGH SCHOOL DENVER SCHOOL OF THE ARTS GLENWOOD SPRINGS HIGH SCHOOL SOUTH HIGH SCHOOL-PUEBLO 4 LAKEWOOD THORNTON ARVADA USAF ACADEMY FT COLLINS COLORADO SPRINGS AURORA FRISCO ENGLEWOOD COLORADO SPRINGS COLORADO SPRINGS ARVADA COLORADO SPRINGS BOULDER HIGHLANDS RANCH DENVER BROOMFIELD STEAMBOAT SPRING LAKEWOOD AURORA LITTLETON FT COLLINS NIWOT LAKEWOOD ERIE COLORADO SPRINGS LONGMONT BASALT LAFAYETTE MINTURN LAFAYETTE BOULDER GREELEY LOVELAND NORTHGLENN DENVER CENTENNIAL MONTROSE CONIFER ARVADA BRIGHTON ARVADA ENGLEWOOD FT COLLINS LITTLETON PUEBLO LOVELAND DENVER LAFAYETTE LONGMONT AURORA GRAND JUNCTION ASPEN COLORADO SPRINGS DENVER GLENWOOD SPRINGS PUEBLO UCB PBA – B -- D:\219471513.doc -- 7/12/2016 IR@colorado.edu 88 43 21 60 79 38 119 34 321 67 50 66 49 204 47 15 73 29 14 14 97 55 93 53 13 13 38 25 12 46 34 167 11 32 53 31 41 20 29 57 19 47 56 91 49 23 23 15 44 40 13 32 49 18 29 29 17 95% 95% 95% 95% 95% 95% 94% 94% 94% 94% 94% 94% 94% 94% 94% 93% 93% 93% 93% 93% 93% 93% 92% 92% 92% 92% 92% 92% 92% 91% 91% 91% 91% 91% 91% 90% 90% 90% 90% 89% 89% 89% 89% 89% 88% 87% 87% 87% 86% 85% 85% 84% 84% 83% 83% 83% 82% Modeling HEAR for CU-Boulder MULLEN HIGH SCHOOL SAINT MARYS ACADEMY HS LEGACY HIGH SCHOOL SKYLINE HIGH SCHOOL JOHN F KENNEDY HIGH SCHOOL RANGEVIEW HIGH SCHOOL FRUITA MONUMENT HIGH SCHOOL THORNTON HIGH SCHOOL DURANGO HIGH SCHOOL MOUNTAIN VIEW HIGH SCHOOL WESTMINSTER SR HIGH SCHOOL HOME HIGH SCHOOL CENTRAL HIGH SCHOOL MIDDLE PARK HIGH SCHOOL NEW VISTA HS AT BASE LINE CAMP ADAMS CITY HIGH SCHOOL 5 DENVER ENGLEWOOD BROOMFIELD LONGMONT DENVER AURORA FRUITA THORNTON DURANGO LOVELAND WESTMINSTER GRAND JUNCTION GRANBY BOULDER COMMERCE CITY UCB PBA – B -- D:\219471513.doc -- 7/12/2016 IR@colorado.edu 77 26 70 25 19 17 27 42 45 11 10 17 14 18 29 10 82% 81% 80% 80% 79% 76% 74% 74% 73% 73% 70% 65% 64% 44% 41% 0%