“The 2010 NPT Review Conference Outcome and Nuclear Disarmament” Presentation by Dr. Sameh Aboul-Enein Minister Plenipotentiary and Deputy Head of Mission of Egypt to the UK Diplomatic Academy of Vienna 26.11.2010 Sameh 1 Let me begin on a personal note by saying that I am really delighted to be back in Vienna after so many years. In this respect I wish to extend my thanks and deep appreciation to the Diplomatic Academy of Vienna and its distinguished scholars, for inviting me in my personal and academic capacities, to discuss the outcome of the 2010 NPT review conference and the central issue of the M.E Nuclear free zone. The NPT and the 2010 Review Conference Ladies & Gentleman, Distinguished presence I wish to underline at the outset of my presentation that the NPT remains the only international instrument that not only seeks to prevent the proliferation of nuclear weapons but also embodies a firm legal commitment to eliminate these weapons. The May NPT review conference was convened at a historical juncture. We all witnessed and welcomed the emergence of new leaderships announcing with determination and stronger political will, their commitment to the total elimination of nuclear weapons, and achieving the goal of a world free from nuclear weapons. This was also matched by support from public figures, intellectuals, and by civil society, in both Nuclear and Non-Nuclear Weapons States, aimed at achieving the goal of a world free from nuclear weapons. The 2010 NPT Review Conference represented a real window of opportunity to build on previous commitments - and to take concrete steps to achieve progress towards a nuclear weapon free world. The responsibility to achieve that lies with all of us - nuclear and nonNuclear Weapon States, including a substantial contribution from civil society. 2 Egypt as chair of both the Non-Aligned Movement and the New Agenda Coalition in 2010 succeeded in capitalizing on this positive environment through an open, all-inclusive and transparent process of negotiations and consultations which allowed it to crown its efforts by success. Negotiations in the conference covered a wide range of issues that were of crucial importance to the Treaty’s credibility and effectiveness on one hand, and to the security and aspirations of States parties on the other. Three forward looking action plans on nuclear disarmament, nuclear non-proliferation and the inalienable right to peaceful uses of nuclear energy were negotiated and agreed. These action plans reaffirmed the critical importance of achieving the universality of the Treaty and putting into action an effective process to implement the 1995 resolution on the Middle East. It is worth recalling here that historically we already witnessed complete nuclear disarmament by a number of States. Key successes included; South Africa's historic decision to dismantle its nuclear weapons programme and join the Treaty, decisions by Brazil and Argentina to roll back their nuclear programmes and create a bilateral verification agency, in addition to the decisions by Belarus, Kazakhstan, and Ukraine to transfer nuclear weapons back to Russia after they seceded from the Soviet Union. The actions by these States to give up nuclear programmes and weapons deserve greater recognition and acknowledgment, as they set an excellent example for other States with weapons and military nuclear programmes to follow. For this purpose, the NPT should be strengthened and ideas on its institutional development should be examined. In this respect we should seriously consider establishing an NPT Universality Adherence Support Unit to consult everyone, and address directly the 3 mechanisms that will bring the three states outside the treaty into the NPT regime as Non-Nuclear Weapon States. More than ten years ago, the foreign ministers of seven countries Brazil, Egypt, Ireland, Mexico, New Zealand, South Africa and Sweden - joined together to form the cross-regional New Agenda Coalition with the aim of giving fresh impetus to the efforts to achieve progress in nuclear disarmament. In 2000, the new agenda coalition was instrumental in the success of the Review Conference of the NPT through its proposal on nuclear disarmament which enabled the conference to adopt the 13 practical steps as part of its outcome. The need for such energy is as strong as ever today. In post 2010 NPT, a revitalized New Agenda Coalition working closely with the Nuclear Weapon States, will positively contribute towards the implementation of agreed practical steps. The New Agenda Coalition consistently calls for a world envisaged by the NPT— a world in which nuclear weapons have no role. Its philosophy is that the world will be safe from nuclear danger and the proliferation of nuclear weapons only when they are eliminated and we can be sure they will never be produced or used again. The Coalition approaches nuclear disarmament via three key principles, namely irreversibility, transparency, and verifiability. Those three principles have to apply to all efforts if we are serious in our endeavour of working to achieve a nuclear weapons free world. One of the fundamental outcomes of the 2010 Review Conference was that the nuclear-weapon States are now to report nuclear disarmament steps to the Preparatory Committee of the NPT in 2014. The 2015 Review Conference will then take stock and consider the next steps for the full implementation of article VI of the treaty. 4 The Middle East Let us now turn our attention to the Middle-East. The Middle East should be at the heart and centre of all this nuclear disarmament effort and activity, because it is particularly vulnerable to nuclear proliferation. The 1995 Resolution on the Middle East, adopted by the NPT Review and Extension Conference, recognized the region's special status, as did the Final Document of the 2000 NPT Review Conference. Insofar as it pertains to the NPT, particularly its review, implementation and universality, the 1995 Resolution on the Middle East focused on achieving the following three clear objectives: 1. 2. 3. The establishment of a nuclear free zone in the Middle East. The accession to the NPT by states in the region that have not yet done so. The placement of all nuclear facilities in the Middle East under full-scope IAEA safeguards. A we know, the 2010 final document did not include all elements proposed in the plan of action presented by the Non-Aligned Movement on the total elimination of nuclear weapons, and the comprehensive working paper presented by NAM on all three pillars of the Treaty and on the implementation of the 1995 Resolution . Let no-one doubt the importance of the implementation of the 1995 Resolution, not only for the Middle East, but also to the survival of the non-proliferation regime itself into the future. The adoption of an action plan that pushes towards the implementation of the 1995 resolution reopens the chance for progress and for the survival and development of the regime. Our negotiations and exchanges at the 2010 NPT Review Conference resulted in a Middle East document that emphasized a process leading 5 to the full implementation of the Resolution. To this end, the Conference endorsed the following practical steps, namely: 1. The UN Secretary-General and the co-sponsors of the 1995 Middle East Resolution, in consultation with the States of the region, will convene a Conference in 2012, to be attended by all States of the Middle East, on the establishment of a Middle East zone free of nuclear weapons and all other weapons of mass destruction, on the basis of arrangements freely arrived at by the States of the region, and with the full support and engagement of the Nuclear-Weapon States. The 2012 Conference shall take as its terms of reference the 1995 Resolution on the Middle East. 2. The Appointment by the UN Secretary-General and the cosponsors of the 1995 Middle East Resolution, in consultation with the States of the region, of a Facilitator, with a mandate to support implementation of the 1995 Resolution by conducting consultations with the States of the region in that regard and undertaking preparations for the convening of the 2012 Conference. The Facilitator will also assist in implementation of follow-on steps agreed by the participating regional States at the 2012 Conference. The Facilitator will report to the 2015 Review Conference and its Preparatory Committee meetings. 3. The Designation by the UN Secretary-General and the cosponsors of the 1995 Middle East Resolution, in consultation with the States of the region, of a host Government for the 2012 Conference. 4. Additional steps aimed at supporting the implementation of the Resolution, including that the IAEA, OPCW and other relevant international organizations will be requested to prepare background documentation for the 2012 Conference, regarding modalities for a zone free of nuclear weapons and other weapons of mass destruction and their delivery systems, taking into account work previously undertaken and experience gained. 6 5. Consideration of all offers aimed at supporting the implementation of the Resolution, including the offer of the European Union to host a follow-on seminar to that organized in June 2008. 6. The Review Conference emphasized also the requirement of maintaining parallel progress, in substance and timing, in the process leading to achieving total and complete elimination of all WMD in the region, nuclear, chemical and biological. The 2010 Review Conference reaffirmed that all States Parties to the Treaty, particularly the Nuclear-Weapons States and the States in the Middle East, should continue to report on steps taken to implement the Resolution, through the United Nations Secretariat, to the President of the 2015 Review Conference, as well as to the Chairperson of the Preparatory Committee meetings to be held in advance of that Conference. The Conference further recognized the important role played by civil society in contributing to the implementation of the Resolution and encouraged all efforts in this regard. Looking forward from here, universality of the NPT is critical to regional and global security, because States remaining outside the Treaty fundamentally weaken it by undermining the benefits of membership for their neighbours and by maintaining nuclear programmes that constitute a continuing nuclear danger to their neighbours and the rest of the world. In this respect, the 2010 NPT conference reaffirmation of the importance of Israel’s accession to the Treaty and the placement of all its nuclear facilities under IAEA comprehensive safeguards, confirms the continued resolve of the States Parties to the NPT to pursue the 1995 and 2000 commitments in this respect. 7 It is also very important at this stage to examine other examples of Nuclear-weapon-free zones. Nuclear-weapon-free zones in Latin America and the Caribbean (established by the Treaty of Tlatelolco), the South Pacific (Treaty of Rarotonga), Southeast Asia (Treaty of Bangkok), and Africa (Treaty of Pelindaba) have all progressed through similar stages as they have come into force. These steps can be summarized as: 1. Prenegotiation phase (outlining principles and preferences that assist common understanding of the parameters the zone would take); 2. Negotiation of a treaty text (targeted negotiations based on formulating a legally binding text); 3. Setting agreed verification models and the role of the IAEA; 4. Entry into force (signing and ratifying); 5. Institution building and additional accessions; and 6. Step-by-step implementation of all treaty commitments, maturity of the treaty and regime, normalization; entry into assumed “normal behaviour”. We can derive a lot of experiences from these steps and build on them for the Middle East. 8 The Nuclear Zero Success in preventing the proliferation of nuclear weapons at both the regional and global levels depends, at some fundamental level, on the ability to make a credible and compelling argument that they are neither necessary nor desirable, that whatever advantages they confer are outweighed by the costs. It is, however, difficult to sustain this argument when the large and powerful States that possess nuclear weapons proclaim that such weapons provide crucial security benefits. For the vision of zero to be credible, the permanent members of the UN Security Council should take the lead at an early stage both at the international and regional level including the Middle East. We have recently seen the link between disarmament and non-proliferation explicitly acknowledged by several key statesmen: This is to be warmly welcomed. Ultimately, the only normative environment for successfully promoting non-proliferation is one in which nuclear weapons are universally regarded to be illegal, illegitimate, and immoral. That is, to inhibit nuclear proliferation, it is essential not only to devalue nuclear weapons but also to delegitimize them. That is why we examined in the 2010 NPT Review conference the need for a Nuclear Weapons Convention for the total elimination of nuclear weapons within a specified framework of time. We must now keep the momentum generated by the Review Conference. We must keep our eyes on the goal - the elimination of nuclear weapons and the assurance that they will never be produced or used again. This will require at some stage the active negotiation of a nuclear weapons convention, as called for by the UN General Assembly, and recently endorsed by the UN Secretary General. This is the logical conclusion to the current campaigns for global zero, 9 and all States including the ones in the Middle East need to engage seriously with this project. The Nuclear Weapon States have committed themselves in the 2010 Review Conference to accelerate concrete progress on steps leading to nuclear disarmament. Some of these steps are: 1. Rapidly moving towards an overall reduction in the global stockpile of all types of nuclear weapons; 2. Addressing the question of all nuclear weapons regardless of their type or their location as an integral part of the general nuclear disarmament process; 3. To further diminish the role and significance of nuclear weapons in all military and security concepts, doctrines and policies; 4. Discuss policies that could prevent the use of nuclear weapons and eventually lead to their elimination, lessen the danger of nuclear war and contribute to the nonproliferation and disarmament of nuclear weapons; 5. Consider the legitimate interest of Non-Nuclear-Weapon States in further reducing the operational status of nuclear weapons systems in ways that promote international stability and security; 6. To Further enhance transparency and increase mutual confidence. To abolish nuclear weapons, leadership by the United States and Russia is imperative. The Conference on Disarmament (CD) in Geneva still has a special role that it can play in nuclear disarmament. It is a unique forum that includes the P-5 plus the nonNPT members. The conference should immediately establish an appropriate subsidiary body with the mandate to deal with nuclear disarmament at both the international and regional levels as agreed upon in the action plan of the 2010 Review Conference. 10 Nuclear Weapons States need to act in a way that demonstrates they have the necessary transparent and credible political commitment to carry through their agreed and required undertakings. Before I conclude, I want to recall parts of the final statement of Egypt on the 28th May 2010, in which the following priorities in the run-up to the next Review Conference in 2015, were identified: 1. Realizing the full and prompt implementation of nuclear disarmament commitments by Nuclear Weapon States, aiming at the total elimination of nuclear weapons by 2025. 2. Pursuing continued and dedicated efforts to realize, at the earliest possible time the universality of the Treaty as a key requirement for its effectiveness, and the global realization of its objectives. 3. Prompt commencement of negotiations on a Nuclear Weapons Convention, as the route to realizing a world free from nuclear weapons by the year 2025. 4. Commencement of negotiations on a legally binding instrument to provide Non-Nuclear Weapon States with global, unconditional security assurance against the use or threat of use of nuclear weapons, pending the realizing of the total elimination of nuclear weapons. To conclude , In April 2009, in a speech in Prague, the president of the United States reconfirmed his intention to seek a world “without nuclear weapons”. In Cairo two months later, President Obama defused the charge of double standards that has been levelled at the Nuclear Weapons States throughout the 40-year history of the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty and he said , I quote: “No nation should pick and choose which nation holds nuclear weapons”. That’s why I strongly reaffirmed America’s commitment to seek a world in which no nations hold nuclear weapons.” End of quote. The Middle East is no exception in this respect. Any double standards will only produce instability and encourage those who seek to 11 challenge the NPT regime itself, and that will only increase the risk of conflict and nuclear proliferation. It is time to implement the 1995 M.E. resolution to get out of the present bottleneck. The NPT is a potentially powerful instrument to reach that end. At the 2010 Review Conference, after a long pause, the parties showed signs of using this potential. The 2010 conference has laid the building blocs for a constructive engagement by all concerned parties to establish a nuclear-weapon free zone in the Middle East. The time has come for serious people from all political perspectives to engage in thoughtful and transparent negotiations, with the clear objective of eliminating nuclear weapons on an agreed target date. Civil society also has a key role to play in this respect. Once again, I thank the distinguished academy for this opportunity. I have presented to the academy some of my recent relevant publications (attached) and I welcome any questions. Thank you 12