The Future of Furniture High Definition Retailing Workshop Supply Chain Management Dr. Bjarne Berg Lenoir-Rhyne College Agenda Background and history Supply Chain Management Alternatives Software Integration of Supply Chain Initiatives Lessons Learned Resources Wrap up 2 Background and history In the “old days”, waiting for something was the norm: In 1888, Richard Sears first used a printed mailer to advertise watches and jewelry. Delivery times was between 4 and 26 weeks. In 1992, the delivery times (most items) in Sears catalog were 1-7 days In 1993, Sears stopped publishing the general catalog (customers said delivery times were too long). 2007, Why are customers waiting for furniture 2-16 weeks? Will they continue to accept that? 3 What is Supply Chain? • A Supply Chain is the alignment of firms that bring products or services to market • A Supply Chain consists of all stages involved, directly or indirectly, in fulfilling a customer request. This includes manufacturers, suppliers, transporters, warehouses, retailers, and customers 4 A Supply Chain is an alignment of firms that bring products to market 1. Request for Quote 3. Purchase Order 4. P. O. Confirmation 2. Quotation 6. Ship Order / Instr. 13. Payment Order 14. Remittance Buyer Bank Bank 16. Proof of Delivery Supplier 12. Export Documents 15. Import Documents Air Freight Terminal at Origin Terminal at Destination 5. Shipper Order/Instr. + Invoice + Packing List Surface Carriers 7a. Ship Instr. Cycle Freight Forwarder Capture Gate Movement Terminal at Destination Freight Forwarder 8. Gate-in/ Gate-out 8. Gate-out/ Gate-in 10. Bay Plan 9. Bay Plan Ocean Carrier Capture Gate Movement (Gate-out/in) Terminal at Origin 5 The Supply Chain and the Bullwhip effect 6 Source: SCM Group A Supply Chain Management: Information is the key to success Production What, how, and when to produce Inventory How much to make and how much to store Information The basis for making decisions Transportation How and when to move the product Location Where best to do what activity 7 SCM: Efficiency Vs. Responsiveness Responsiveness Efficiency These two directions are mutually conflicting goals and it is important to determine where your strategy lies within these conflicting goals Goal Driver Production Inventory Location Transportation Information Responsiveness Efficiency -Excess Capacity -Flexible Manufacturing -Many small factories -Little excess capacity -Narrow focus -Few central plants -High Inventory levels -Wide range of items -Low inventory levels -Fewer items -Many locations close to customer -Few central locations serving wide areas -Frequent shipments -Fast and flexible mode -Shipments are few and large -Slow and cheaper modes -Collect and share timely, accurate data -Cost of information drops while other costs rise 8 How Does the Furniture Industry Stack up Against Other Industries? Sector Fine Mango Costume Footwear Leathergoods Furniture Housewares Holiday Production Cycle Ave PCT Volume Value % with Level of levels d Time (PCT) (weeks) (Units) (Pesos) Subcon Subcon 5 4 6 5 6 6 6 6 1 to 2 weeks 2 to 4 weeks 4 to 6 weeks 2 to 4 weeks 4 to 6 weeks 5 to 6 weeks 4 to 7 weeks 8 weeks 1.5 3 5 3 5 5 5.5 8 Low High High Med Med Low Med High High Low Low Med Med High Med Med 10 0 95 33 82 90 80 95 few No high few high high high high (Source: Dennis T. Beng Hui, 2005) 9 Agenda Background and history Supply Chain Management Alternatives Software Integration of Supply Chain Initiatives Lessons Learned Resources Wrap up 10 Supply Chain Management Alternatives In a changing environment with increased lead times in the supply chain, there are three alternative strategies a company can employ. These include: 1. Create Marketplaces 2. Consolidation of retail operations 3. Vertical SCM integration In the next section we will see how each of these strategies can work in a retail furniture operation 11 Supply Chain Management Alternatives As the lead times increases from ordermanufacturing delivery, there are increasing pressures on an industry on transitioning from Make-to-Order (MTO) over to a Make-to-Stock (MTS) model. The challenges with a MTS model are that there are inherent risks to obsolete inventory, high inventory costs, and often low production runs of each models due to changing preferences. The cost aspects of a MTS model is also too high for a mid-sized retail operation. Therefore, we tend to find marketplaces emerging in these industries. Long supply chains leads to opportunities for marketplaces 12 Supply Chain Management Alternatives – Traditional In a traditional local marketplace, the factory may delivery directly to the stores in a region or state. Benefits: Low inventory, personal contact from manufacturer to retail store (allows for quick customization of products) Drawback: Manufacturing facilities has to be relatively close to retail operations 13 Supply Chain Management Alternatives - Traditional In a traditional extended marketplace, the factory may delivery to distribution centers in an extended area Benefits: Shortens lead-time from store order to delivery and is a scaleable distribution system. Drawback: Factory is distanced from customers, inventory is higher and customized orders take longer time to delivery. Also, the demand cycle is longer and chances of obsolete inventory increases. 14 Supply Chain Management Alternatives – Overseas In an international marketplace, the supply chain get very long. To control costs, companies must either increase sales volume or being able to forecast demand in advance of the customer orders. Due to long lead times, this is a system that works well in a MTO model. Benefits: Access to low costs materials and low costs labor Drawback: Long lead times and long times to deliver customized orders. Also, over time there is a shift in power to the manufacturer (i.e. Datsun Vs. Nissan). 15 Supply Chain Management Alternatives - Marketplaces Company A The exchange Company B Some well known examples of exchanges are Amazon (books); Travelocity (travel); AlliedElectronics (microchips); Dell (customized computers); LL Bean (clothing). In a Exchange marketplace, the retail channel is owned by either the marketplace, or the exchange. However, the exchange cannot engage in retail operations, while also selling to other retail networks. The classic model here is a wholesaler. 16 Supply Chain Management Alternatives - Marketplaces Company A The exchange Company B In this SCM model, the power is at the exchange level. Suppliers and retailers are dependent on an efficient marketplace. The exchange keeps most of the inventory, and the turnover rates are high. Due to scale, the exchange can also keep relatively low demand items on hand as well (products that company A and B cannot to afford to carry). There are two hybrid models for this Supply Chain: 1. Finished goods and/or Raw materials 2. Work in Progress (components) 17 Supply Chain Management Alternatives - Marketplaces Company A The exchange Company B The most efficient exchange model is a hybrid, where components are traded through the exchange (i.e. sofa and chair frames; standardized components), while the local companies finishes the customization locally This decreases the lead times, while shortening the effective supply chain from customer to customization. Today, this is done in a variety of industries, such as automotive breaks, small engines, microprocessors, memory, displays, roof frames, and much more 18 Supply Chain Management Alternatives - Marketplaces Company A The exchange Company B In the 1990s the introduction of exchanges created revolutions in many industries such as travel, computers, book sellers, automotive, energy, candy (M&M), small appliances (i.e. Whirlpool and Maytag). The winners in all these ‘revolutions’ were companies that adapted fast (Amazon, Barns & Noble,CVS, Advanced Motorparts, eBay). While the losers where those who tried to held on to old SCM models (travel agents, K-Mart, Delphi automotive, local pharmacies and many more). 19 SCM Alternatives - Consolidation of retail operations Another alternative is to increase the retail operations sales market consolidation (mergers), prices, and/or better sales channels (internet, stores, showrooms). This allows the retail operations to have the capacity to keep a certain amount of inventory (increased inventory turnover reduces overall costs). The challenge is that capital is not as inexpensive as it once was, the industry is highly fragmented and the risks to the execution are high. Also, benefits of scale can only be achieved by standardization of products (are customer’s ready for less choice?) 20 SCM Alternatives - Vertical integration A retailer, or wholesaler can also create strategic alliances with suppliers where inventory risk are shared. 1. This can be done by having the overseas vendor providing inventory at distribution center (risks: who owns the distribution center?) 2. This can also be done by retailers having Vendor Managed Inventory (VMI), where the retailer owns the space, but the vendor does not get paid until items are sold. This shifts risks from retailer to manufacturer, but creates mutual dependencies. 3. Vertical integration can also take place when manufacturer acquire manufacturing companies or facilities overseas and thereby own the supply chain. In every industry in turmoil there are opportunities and challenges; winners and losers (i.e. NationsBank vs. Barnett Bank) 21 Agenda Background and history Supply Chain Management Alternatives Software Integration of Supply Chain Initiatives Lessons Learned Resources Wrap up 22 Software Integration of Supply Chain Initiatives SAP and Oracle has ERP tools that allows you to integrate the supply chain in a single location Initially ERP systems integrated data within a company; today it integrates vendors, companies and end customers. 23 Software Integration of Supply Chain Initiatives ERP systems removes manual tracking systems and can track all items from purchase orders to final delivery ERP system also allows for vendor evaluation and more realistic delivery dates based on actual history. 24 Agenda Background and history Supply Chain Management Alternatives Software Integration of Supply Chain Initiatives Lessons Learned Resources Wrap up 25 Lessons Learned 1. Companies in industries that faces long supply chains and overseas competition will do better by being proactive, instead of delaying making changes. 2. Changes are drastic and change management is required (employee and stakeholder satisfaction). 3. Avoid hybrid strategies. Be singleminded and concentrate resources. 4. Use a SCM tool and make sure your partners (vendor/customer) do also. 5. You can only increasing volume by reducing choice. Find out what really matters (costs is ‘king’). 26 Agenda Background and history Supply Chain Management Alternatives Software Integration of Supply Chain Initiatives Lessons Learned Resources Wrap up 27 7 Key Points to Take Away 1. You need a long-term strategy (design, not evolve! Hint: Nokia) 2. Only the really big players will make it without strategic alliances 3. Supply chain management is paramount in overseas transportation 4. You need one integrated supply chain management system 5. Standardization of components is critical for volume & reduced lead-times. – can you make customers believe that you are mass customizing? (hint: Lexus vs. Toyota). 6. In a retail setting, the company that owns the channels wins (hint: eBay, Dell, Travelocity, Wal-Mart, Exxon Mobil, Shell, International Paper) 7. Customers says they want choices, but costs wins most of the time! 28 Resources Manufacturing planning and Control Systems for Supply Chain Management: The Definitive Guide for Professionals by Thomas E Vollmann , William Lee Berry , David Clay Whybark , F. Robert Jacobs , Thomas Vollmann , William Berry Successful Strategies in Supply Chain Management by Chi-Kin Chan, H. W. J. Lee The Practice of Supply Chain Management: Where Theory and Application Converge by Terry P. Harrison, Hau L. Lee, John J. Neale 29 Agenda Background and history Supply Chain Management Alternatives Software Integration of Supply Chain Initiatives Lessons Learned Resources Wrap up 30 How to contact me: Dr. Bjarne Berg bergb@lrc.edu 31