Managing Resilience and Sustainability of Interconnected, Interdependent, and Interactive Critical Infrastructure Systems The California Sacramento Delta Region 1 The Sacramento Delta is an Infrastructure ‘Chokepoint’ for California 2 California’s Sacramento Delta 3 University of California Berkeley Center for Catastrophic Risk Management University of Colorado at Boulder Economics Law Management An Interdisciplinary Collaboration Architecture & City Planning Public Health Engineering 4 Founding Research Team Members Name Prof. Robert Bea (PI) Prof. John Radke (Co-PI) Prof. Karlene Roberts (Co-PI) Prof. Emery Roe Prof. Dan Farber Prof. Cymie Payne Prof. Kathleen Tierney (Co-PI) Prof. Ian Mitroff Dr. Howard Foster Field Engineering Risk Analysis & Management Environmental Planning GIS Social Science – Business – Organizational Management Social Science Organizational Management Law – Environmental Risk Law – Environmental Risk Social Science – Natural Hazards Management Social Science – Crisis Management Environmental Planning GIS Research Team Members Ms. Cheryl Bly-Chester Prof. Raymond Seed Prof. Robert Twiss Prof. Matt Kondolf Prof. Carol Boyle Prof. Eric Hollnagel Dr. Robert Infelese Prof. Robb Moss Mr. Milan Moravec Civil Engineering Environmental Impact Analyses Civil Engineering – Geotechical Engineering Environmental Planning Environmental Planning Engineering Development Sustainability Risk Analysis & Management – Resilience Engineering Law in Environmental Planning Sacramento Delta Levee Risk Analysis Project Management, Teamwork, Leadership Research Team Members Name Post Doctoral Researchers Dr. Kofi Inkabi Dr. Rune Storesund Field Engineering Risk Analysis & Management Engineering & Environmental Risk Analysis & Management Graduate Students Mr. Scott Nicholson Mr. Peter Martelli Mr. Nathaniel Bush Ms. Jessica Ludy Mr. Dan Kolta Mr. Hamid Hamidifar Engineering Policy Analysis & Environmental Planning Public Health Public Policy Environmental Planning Law Civil Engineering Geotechnical Undergraduate Students Ms. Anna Harvey Civil & Environmental Engineering 4-Year NSF Project Goal Develop and validate advanced Risk Assessment & Management (RAM) approaches to help improve the Resilience and Sustainability of the Delta’s Interconnected, Interdependent, Interactive Critical Infrastructure Systems (I3CISs) 8 Uncertainties Categories of Taxonomy Uncertainties resulting in Risks Intrinsic Inherent Variability Analytical Models Extrinsic Human Performance Information Development Analyzing Risks: Pfs (likelihoods of failure) & Cfs (consequences of failure) Pf = PfIntrinsic + PfExtrinsic Cf = CfIntrinsic + CfExtrinsic Intrinsic Extrinsic Not included in conventional engineering risk analyses Resilience - time to regain Functionality Good resilience 100 % Functionality Poor resilience rehabilitation rescue recovery repair Time 11 meaningful metrics for ‘decision makers’ ? Benefits - Costs Sustainability Ability to maintain functions Sustainable Time Not Sustainable meaningful metrics for ‘decision makers’ ? 12 Research Risk Assessment & Management (RAM) approaches and strategies PROACTIVE to prepare increase detection & correction reduce likelihoods reduce consequences REACTIVE to recover INTERACTIVE to respond Technology Delivery System: TDS Public Inputs TECHNOLOGY Outputs Nature Industrial Enterprise Government Outcomes: A manual of practice 3 for RAM of I CISs Outcomes: An interdisciplinary curriculum for Infrastructure Engineering 3 of I CISs Research Project Tasks 2009 •Group formation •System definition & analyses •QMAS & SYRAS developments •GIS #1 •Key stakeholder identification Research Project Tasks 2009 •I3CISs operator discussions •Studio Course #1 - GIS •Workshops & conferences • WWW sites development •Sherman Island pilot project - 1 2009 Research Outcomes 2009 Research Outcomes 2009 Research Outcomes 21 2009 Research Outcomes 2009 Research Outcomes 23 Research Project Tasks 2010 RAM methods & guidelines development I3CISs operator discussions Sherman Island pilot project - 2 GIS #2 Studio Course #2 - Law TDS implementation 2011 Multiple chokepoints project - 1 I3CISs operator discussions RAM guidelines validations GIS #3 Studio Course #3 - Engineering TDS implementation Research Project Tasks 2012 Multiple chokepoints project - 2 I3CISs operator discussions RAM guidelines documentation GIS #4 TDS implementation