Supplemental Materials for Natarajan Balasubramanian and Marvin B Lieberman, “Learning-byDoing and Market Structure”, The Journal of Industrial Economics *DISCLAIMER: The research in this supplement was conducted while the authors were Census Bureau research associates at the California Census Research Data Center (CCRDC). Research results and conclusions expressed are those of the authors and do not necessarily indicate concurrence by the Bureau of the Census. The results presented in this supplement have been screened to ensure that no confidential data are revealed. 1 LIST OF APPENDICES & TABLES Table A1: Learning Coefficients (Olley-Pakes with selection correction) Appendix A2: Potential issues with measuring learning Table A2.1: Rank correlations with alternative learning rates Table A3: Learning by doing and lower bounds of concentration (Other quantiles) Table A4: Learning by doing and lower bounds of concentration (SIC-4 Level) Table A5: Learning by doing and lower bounds of concentration (Industries with missing R&D and advertising omitted) Table A6:Learning by doing and lower bounds of concentration (Alternative cutoffs for imprecise estimates) Table A7: Learning by doing and lower bounds of concentration (Outliers dropped) Table A8: Learning by doing and lower bounds of concentration (Other estimation approaches) Table A9: Learning by doing and lower bounds of concentration (4 quartiles of R&D and advertising) Table A10: Learning by doing and lower bounds of concentration (National Markets) Table A11: Learning by doing and lower bounds of concentration (Non-advertising industries) Appendix A12: Learning coefficients using other estimation approaches 2 Ind 2011 2013 2015 2022 2023 2024 2026 2032 2033 2035 2037 2038 2041 2045 2047 2048 2051 2052 2053 2064 2066 2068 2077 2084 2086 2087 2091 2092 2096 2097 2098 Coeff 0.18 0.37 0.25 0.24 0.53 0.40 0.26 0.62 0.42 0.33 0.31 0.42 0.23 0.29 0.48 0.39 0.38 0.36 0.06 0.55 0.40 0.49 0.30 0.42 0.31 0.46 0.41 0.30 0.30 0.31 0.41 S.E. (0.05) (0.08) (0.08) (0.09) (0.24) (0.08) (0.07) (0.31) (0.1) (0.12) (0.09) (0.09) (0.08) (0.11) (0.23) (0.03) (0.06) (0.1) (0.22) (0.19) (0.41) (0.25) (0.12) (0.07) (0.06) (0.17) (0.37) (0.05) (0.1) (0.06) (0.15) Table A1: Learning Coefficients (Olley-Pakes with Selection Correction) Rank Ind Coeff S.E. Rank Ind Coeff S.E. 306 2099 0.36 (0.04) 105 2337 0.40 (0.05) 88 2211 0.27 (0.16) 193 2339 0.36 (0.06) 219 2221 0.55 (0.13) 14 2341 0.30 (0.06) 240 2231 -0.31 (0.27) 368 2353 0.23 (0.08) 19 2241 0.18 (0.1) 308 2361 0.41 (0.11) 72 2251 0.36 (0.21) 94 2369 0.20 (0.09) 199 2252 0.11 (0.07) 349 2371 0.18 (0.41) 8 2253 0.34 (0.06) 112 2386 0.11 (0.26) 54 2254 -0.07 (0.11) 364 2387 0.17 (0.12) 119 2257 0.31 (0.07) 141 2389 0.86 (0.24) 139 2258 0.21 (0.07) 271 2391 0.28 (0.06) 58 2259 0.52 (0.29) 23 2392 0.28 (0.05) 253 2261 0.52 (0.19) 24 2393 0.11 (0.18) 175 2262 0.24 (0.12) 241 2394 0.29 (0.05) 31 2269 0.12 (0.13) 343 2395 0.24 (0.08) 74 2273 0.36 (0.07) 100 2396 0.32 (0.05) 79 2281 0.12 (0.05) 341 2397 0.34 (0.28) 98 2282 0.15 (0.08) 328 2399 0.30 (0.07) 358 2295 0.21 (0.16) 275 2411 0.24 (0.03) 12 2297 0.43 (0.13) 51 2421 0.25 (0.03) 70 2298 0.43 (0.18) 50 2426 0.18 (0.06) 30 2299 0.32 (0.07) 136 2429 0.47 (0.17) 158 2311 0.32 (0.12) 132 2431 0.21 (0.03) 57 2321 0.24 (0.06) 244 2434 0.27 (0.03) 146 2322 0.28 (0.21) 187 2435 0.17 (0.08) 38 2323 0.13 (0.37) 339 2436 0.19 (0.08) 61 2325 0.20 (0.09) 294 2439 0.21 (0.04) 166 2326 0.33 (0.08) 124 2441 0.14 (0.07) 167 2329 0.21 (0.05) 277 2448 0.15 (0.03) 147 2331 0.39 (0.04) 75 2449 0.28 (0.13) 62 2335 0.23 (0.07) 250 2451 0.12 (0.03) Rank 68 99 155 248 66 281 310 345 321 1 186 185 350 168 231 138 116 163 243 222 307 36 280 195 313 302 270 335 330 189 342 3 Ind 2452 2491 2493 2499 2511 2512 2514 2515 2519 2521 2522 2531 2541 2542 2591 2599 2621 2652 2653 2655 2657 2672 2673 2674 2675 2676 2677 2678 2679 2813 2819 2821 Coeff 0.32 0.17 0.21 0.22 0.26 0.24 0.25 0.36 0.15 0.20 0.33 0.37 0.23 0.20 0.25 0.27 0.36 0.38 0.26 0.25 0.06 0.44 0.38 0.28 0.30 0.66 0.21 -0.79 0.26 0.45 0.37 0.42 S.E. (0.05) (0.08) (0.08) (0.04) (0.03) (0.05) (0.06) (0.1) (0.14) (0.06) (0.06) (0.07) (0.05) (0.04) (0.11) (0.06) (0.13) (0.13) (0.02) (0.07) (0.06) (0.11) (0.10) (0.25) (0.08) (0.23) (0.13) (0.57) (0.08) (0.08) (0.08) (0.08) Rank 134 316 278 258 203 242 221 103 329 284 118 90 247 289 215 191 102 80 213 217 359 42 83 180 160 4 279 369 198 40 92 55 Ind 2822 2833 2834 2835 2836 2841 2842 2843 2844 2851 2865 2869 2873 2874 2875 2879 2891 2892 2893 2899 2911 2951 2952 2992 3011 3052 3053 3061 3069 3081 3082 3083 Coeff 0.04 0.64 0.77 0.75 0.19 0.50 0.46 0.19 0.49 0.52 0.56 0.52 0.08 0.41 0.35 0.42 0.35 0.19 0.38 0.53 0.48 0.33 0.20 0.39 0.36 0.17 0.32 0.24 0.29 0.36 0.25 0.22 S.E. (0.25) (0.20) (0.11) (0.20) (0.10) (0.12) (0.10) (0.22) (0.08) (0.06) (0.16) (0.07) (0.23) (0.46) (0.12) (0.19) (0.05) (0.14) (0.04) (0.05) (0.43) (0.03) (0.11) (0.13) (0.19) (0.10) (0.08) (0.06) (0.06) (0.05) (0.07) (0.13) Rank 361 7 2 3 299 27 37 304 29 22 11 21 354 63 111 56 108 296 84 18 35 122 282 78 106 319 131 232 170 101 225 259 Ind Coeff 3084 0.35 3085 0.19 3086 0.19 3087 0.37 3088 0.39 3089 0.26 3111 0.10 3131 -0.17 3143 0.17 3144 0.41 3149 0.24 3161 0.20 3171 0.03 3172 0.17 3199 0.22 3229 0.32 3231 0.29 3241 0.54 3251 0.39 3253 0.13 3255 0.51 3261 0.36 3264 0.24 3269 0.19 3271 0.20 3272 0.29 3273 0.25 3274 -0.10 3275 0.23 3281 0.22 3291 0.43 3295 0.33 S.E. (0.06) (0.06) (0.04) (0.08) (0.10) (0.02) (0.12) (0.35) (0.1) (0.21) (0.16) (0.11) (0.08) (0.19) (0.11) (0.11) (0.04) (0.2) (0.15) (0.19) (0.15) (0.20) (0.12) (0.06) (0.05) (0.02) (0.02) (0.51) (0.12) (0.06) (0.09) (0.12) Rank 110 303 301 93 77 208 352 366 318 60 235 286 363 317 265 129 176 15 76 340 26 96 246 300 283 169 216 365 251 264 47 117 4 Ind 3296 3297 3299 3312 3315 3316 3317 3321 3324 3325 3341 3351 3354 3356 3357 3363 3364 3365 3366 3369 3398 3399 3411 3412 3421 3423 3425 3429 3431 3432 3433 3441 Coeff 0.44 0.22 0.30 0.27 0.25 0.28 0.28 0.20 0.24 0.07 0.31 0.27 0.22 0.14 0.31 0.34 0.06 0.19 0.24 0.26 0.22 0.21 0.55 0.11 -0.24 0.17 0.31 0.22 0.29 0.54 0.33 0.24 S.E. (0.11) (0.17) (0.11) (0.06) (0.06) (0.14) (0.1) (0.04) (0.1) (0.11) (0.09) (0.14) (0.09) (0.11) (0.04) (0.09) (0.11) (0.08) (0.11) (0.28) (0.04) (0.07) (0.09) (0.11) (0.32) (0.04) (0.14) (0.04) (0.33) (0.29) (0.08) (0.03) Rank 43 257 153 190 218 188 184 285 239 357 150 192 266 333 149 114 360 297 245 197 260 274 13 347 367 314 140 262 174 16 120 227 Ind 3442 3443 3444 3446 3448 3449 3451 3452 3462 3465 3469 3471 3479 3484 3491 3492 3493 3494 3495 3496 3497 3498 3499 3511 3519 3523 3524 3531 3534 3535 3536 3537 Coeff 0.24 0.20 0.26 0.25 0.33 0.26 0.20 0.26 0.26 0.32 0.23 0.21 0.20 0.15 0.18 0.21 0.36 0.18 0.61 0.28 0.30 0.20 0.24 0.31 0.23 0.27 0.04 0.36 0.29 0.25 0.33 0.24 S.E. (0.04) (0.04) (0.02) (0.04) (0.08) (0.05) (0.04) (0.06) (0.08) (0.06) (0.03) (0.04) (0.03) (0.28) (0.07) (0.16) (0.23) (0.09) (0.09) (0.05) (0.21) (0.05) (0.02) (0.28) (0.07) (0.05) (0.22) (0.09) (0.13) (0.04) (0.12) (0.09) Rank 230 293 204 223 123 207 288 206 214 128 254 276 287 327 309 272 97 312 9 179 162 291 236 142 256 194 362 95 177 226 127 228 Ind 3541 3542 3543 3544 3545 3546 3548 3549 3552 3553 3554 3555 3556 3559 3561 3562 3563 3564 3565 3566 3567 3568 3569 3571 3572 3575 3577 3578 3579 3581 3585 3589 Coeff 0.34 0.38 0.17 0.18 0.24 0.43 0.19 0.32 0.29 0.15 0.40 0.28 0.26 0.30 0.41 0.09 0.22 0.08 0.31 0.24 0.16 0.22 0.28 0.66 0.37 0.39 0.42 0.56 0.38 0.31 0.23 0.31 S.E. (0.08) (0.12) (0.04) (0.02) (0.04) (0.17) (0.19) (0.07) (0.09) (0.08) (0.11) (0.07) (0.11) (0.03) (0.06) (0.08) (0.08) (0.09) (0.07) (0.08) (0.08) (0.12) (0.04) (0.07) (0.2) (0.16) (0.08) (0.26) (0.12) (0.33) (0.05) (0.05) Rank 115 87 323 311 237 48 295 133 173 331 69 183 205 164 67 353 261 356 143 233 325 263 182 5 91 73 59 10 85 152 252 148 5 Ind 3592 3593 3594 3596 3599 3612 3613 3621 3624 3625 3629 3634 3643 3644 3645 3646 3648 3651 3652 3661 3663 3669 3671 3672 3674 3675 3676 3677 3678 3679 3691 3694 Coeff 0.32 0.54 0.16 0.10 0.20 0.37 0.38 0.24 0.31 0.33 0.45 0.48 0.21 0.48 0.24 0.38 0.11 0.38 0.25 0.51 0.32 0.30 0.11 0.25 0.44 0.14 0.08 0.14 0.26 0.33 0.50 0.26 S.E. (0.16) (0.18) (0.16) (0.13) (0.01) (0.13) (0.06) (0.06) (0.27) (0.08) (0.13) (0.15) (0.09) (0.22) (0.09) (0.11) (0.2) (0.12) (0.09) (0.11) (0.06) (0.17) (0.29) (0.07) (0.04) (0.08) (0.11) (0.05) (0.09) (0.03) (0.16) (0.06) Rank 130 17 324 351 290 89 82 238 144 126 39 34 268 32 234 86 348 81 224 25 135 154 346 220 44 337 355 338 209 125 28 210 Ind 3695 3699 3711 3713 3714 3715 3716 3721 3724 3728 3731 3732 3743 3751 3792 3799 3812 3821 3822 3823 3824 3825 3826 3827 3829 3841 3842 3942 3944 3949 3951 3952 Coeff 0.28 0.30 0.17 0.29 0.30 0.17 0.33 0.21 0.31 0.42 0.16 0.23 0.26 0.43 0.14 0.24 0.21 0.43 0.41 0.29 0.42 0.35 0.40 0.20 0.27 0.36 0.35 0.32 0.34 0.26 0.17 0.45 S.E. (0.16) (0.06) (0.07) (0.05) (0.03) (0.05) (0.09) (0.12) (0.09) (0.06) (0.05) (0.04) (0.09) (0.12) (0.05) (0.1) (0.07) (0.15) (0.1) (0.06) (0.1) (0.04) (0.09) (0.08) (0.05) (0.04) (0.04) (0.12) (0.08) (0.04) (0.37) (0.21) Rank 178 161 315 172 157 320 121 267 151 52 326 249 200 45 332 229 273 49 65 171 53 107 71 292 196 104 109 137 113 211 322 41 Ind 3953 3955 3961 3965 3991 3993 3995 3999 Coeff 0.14 0.30 0.41 0.26 0.43 0.21 0.30 0.19 S.E. (0.07) (0.18) (0.10) (0.17) (0.13) (0.03) (0.17) (0.02) Rank 334 159 64 202 46 269 156 305 6 Appendix A2: Potential Issues with Measuring Learning This appendix along with Table A2.1 identifies and addresses some important issues with measuring learning. Alternative estimation approaches (Rows 1-9) We used a number of different alternative estimation approaches to ensure that the ranking of industries were not driven by the choice of estimation approach. Specifically, we (a) dropped the selection correction in the OP approach (OPNS) (b) used an extension of Ackerberg, Caves and Frazer [2005] described in Appendix A10, (ACF) and (c) applied OLS. For the baseline ACF approach, we adopted the most precise learning estimates (current period instruments along with the materials decision to back out the unobserved heterogeneity). Sample selection (Row 10) Using a sample that excluded plants with any gaps produced learning estimates that were highly correlated with baseline estimates. Other measures of experience (Rows 11-12) Using age in additional to cumulative output, and lagged cumulative output produced learning estimates that were highly correlated with baseline estimates. Measurement errors in capital (Row 13) It is well known that there are errors with measuring capital. If it were true that such measurement errors were more prevalent in some industries, then we may observe a high measured rate of learning in such industries. While there is no easy way to rule this out, learning coefficients were re-estimated using the year-end book value of assets. The resulting learning coefficients were highly correlated with the baseline estimates. Alternative production functions (Rows 14-15) The following alternative production function forms (instead of the Cobb-Douglas with value added) adopted here were tested – (a) a version of the Translog production function (yijt=ajt+αj.kijt+ α’j.(kijt)2+βj.lijt+ β’j.(lijt)2+ γj (kijt)(lijt) + λj.xijt+εijt) and (b) a non-linear least squares with allowance for depreciation in the experience term. These learning coefficients were highly correlated with the baseline estimates. R&D investments (Row 16-17) Refer discussion in text. Inter-temporal and inter-cohort variations (Rows 18-21) The learning rates were re-estimated by industry for two different time periods (roughly equal sub-samples), and for two different entry cohorts (roughly equal sub-samples). The resulting learning estimates were highly correlated with the baseline estimates. Geography (Row 22). In order to rule out geography as a potential factor, learning rates were re-estimated with SMSA fixed effects as controls for the plant’s location. The resulting learning estimates were highly correlated with the baseline estimates. 7 TABLE A2.1: RANK CORRELATIONS WITH ALTERNATIVE LEARNING RATES Rank Correlation Coefficient with SIC4 Baseline Rates Alternative estimation approaches 1 OLS 0.628*** 2 OP with no selection correction ACF with materials to invert, and current-period variables as instruments 0.760*** 0.548*** 3 Rank Correlation Coefficient with SIC3 Level Rates Alternative estimation approaches 4 OLS 0.737*** 5 OP with no selection correction ACF with materials to invert, and current-period variables as instruments ACF with materials to invert, and lagged experience as instrument ACF with investments to invert, and current-period variables as instruments ACF with investments to invert, and lagged experience as instrument OLS learning rates excluding plants with any gaps in observations 0.813*** 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 Alternative measures of experience OLS with age and cumulative output OLS with lagged cumulative output Alternative measure of capital OLS with year end assets instead of perpetual inventory 0.567*** 0.540*** 0.696*** 0.650*** 0.553*** 0.666*** 0.804*** 0.690*** 8 Rank Correlation Coefficient with SIC3 Level Rates 14 15 Alternative production function specifications OLS with translog production function 0.745*** NLS with depreciated cumulative output 0.646*** 16 17 Controlling for R&D OLS with R&D expenditure OLS with R&D stock 18 19 20 21 22 Time and Cohort Effects OLS limited to observations between 1973 and 1984 OLS limited to observations between 1985 and 2000 OLS with entry cohorts between 1973 and 1984 OLS with entry cohorts between 1985 and 2000 Geography OLS with SMSA fixed effects 0.558*** 0.693*** 0.559*** 0.750*** 0.619*** 0.601*** 0.704*** This table is extracted from Balasubramanian [2007], which studies inter-industry heterogeneity in learning in greater detail. The primary level of aggregation in that study was SIC-3 due to other data limitations. Given the administrative difficulties in obtaining Census disclosure for multiple results of the same nature, all but the first three robustness checks above were limited to the SIC-3 level, and using a sample of plants that with no gaps greater than three years between consecutive observations. The SIC3 learning rates were significantly correlated with the weighted-average SIC3 rates computed using the baseline SIC-4 rates (spearman’s rank correlation coefficient: 0.67). Also, given the computational costs, we limited the checks in many instances to OLS. *p < 0.10 **p < 0.05 ***p < 0.01. 9 TABLE A3: Learning by doing and lower bounds of concentration (Other quantiles) C8 1st 10th 25th 50th Constant -6.37 -5.09 -4.01 -3.08 (1.45)*** (1.1)*** (0.79)*** (0.66)*** Learning Quartile 2 (D2) 0.45 0.23 -0.41 -0.74 (2.25) (1.27) (0.91) (0.76) Learning Quartile 3 (D3) 2.71 1.97 0.80 0.00 (1.65) (1.39) (1.06) (0.75) Learning Quartile 4 (D4) 4.48 2.80 1.36 0.60 (1.6)*** (1.23)** (0.91) (0.94) 1/ln(S/σ) 30.68 26.66 22.92 20.17 (10.11)*** (7.1)*** (5.63)*** (4.86)*** D2*(1/ln(S/σ)) -1.98 (17.24) -14.37 (11.69) -26.56 (11.37)** 1.62 (1.2) -9.08 (8.68) -1.52 (0.96) 12.39 (7.01)* -1.10 (8.86) -11.96 (9.55) -17.68 (8.29)** 1.63 (0.66)** -8.19 (5.11) -0.20 (0.57) 2.84 (4.5) 2.62 (6.42) -4.39 (7.64) -8.70 (6.64) 1.40 (0.56)** -6.73 (4.19) 0.32 (0.52) -1.18 (3.96) 3.77 (5.74) 0.49 (5.52) -3.53 (7.42) 1.83 (0.53)*** -9.58 (4.12)** 0.27 (0.42) -1.10 (3.35) 1,103 1,103 1,103 1,103 D3*(1/ln(S/σ)) D4*(1/ln(S/σ)) RND (DR) DR*(1/ln(S/σ)) ADV (DA) DA *(1/ln(S/σ)) N Note: This table replicates results in Table III (C8) of the main text at the 1st, 10th, 25th and 50th percentiles. 10 TABLE A4: Learning by doing and lower bounds of concentration (SIC- 4 Level) Constant Learning Quartile 2 (D2) Learning Quartile 3 (D3) Learning Quartile 4 (D4) C4 -7.23 (1.41)*** 3.53 (1.82)* 4.13 (1.9)** 3.44 (1.53)** C8 C20 -4.55 -5.17 (1.8)** (1.97)*** -0.32 0.63 (2.00) (2.26) 1.69 2.54 (1.91) (2.05) 3.43 3.90 (1.80)* (1.93)** 1/ln(S/σ) 35.21 19.87 (10.25)*** (13.65) 30.52 (15.07)** D2*(1/ln(S/σ)) -25.82 (14.41)* -27.71 (13.92)** -22.14 (11.05)** 2.91 (1.1)*** -16.01 (8.31)* -0.85 (1.09) 8.53 (8.42) 2.32 (15.57) -9.42 (14.06) -22.97 (13.19)* 0.68 (1.41) 0.51 (11.19) -0.85 (1.48) 8.05 (11.78) -4.87 (17.61) -16.87 (15.09) -27.38 (14.32)* 0.96 (1.51) -0.56 (11.88) -0.75 (1.58) 7.23 (12.46) 255 255 255 D3*(1/ln(S/σ)) D4*(1/ln(S/σ)) RND (DR) DR*(1/ln(S/σ)) ADV (DA) DA *(1/ln(S/σ)) N Note: This table replicates results in Table III of the main text at the SIC4 industry level. 11 TABLE A5: Learning by doing and lower bounds of concentration (Industries with missing R&D and advertising omitted) C4 C8 C20 Constant -5.98 -5.99 -5.88 (1.04)*** (1.17)*** (1.51)*** Learning Quartile 2 (D2) 1.42 1.70 1.55 (1.37) (1.53) (1.83) Learning Quartile 3 (D3) 2.44 2.51 2.41 (1.25)* (1.38)* (1.71) Learning Quartile 4 (D4) 3.64 3.96 3.99 (1.2)*** (1.29)*** (1.61)** 1/ln(S/σ) 26.34 (6.8)*** 30.66 36.00 (7.75)*** (10.18)*** D2*(1/ln(S/σ)) -9.90 (9.83) -14.00 (8.49) -22.51 (8.16)*** 2.03 (0.71)*** -11.56 (5.27)** -1.46 (0.67)** 11.82 (5.07)** -11.68 (10.8) -14.46 (9.39) -24.97 (8.72)*** 2.04 (0.76)*** -11.13 (5.7)* -1.10 (0.69) 9.18 (5.25)* -11.47 (12.95) -13.94 (11.86) -25.35 (10.97)** 1.97 (0.92)** -10.36 (7.08) -0.57 (0.75) 5.33 (5.79) 1,025 1,027 1,027 D3*(1/ln(S/σ)) D4*(1/ln(S/σ)) RND (DR) DR*(1/ln(S/σ)) ADV (DA) DA *(1/ln(S/σ)) N Note: This table replicates results in Table III (in the main text) omitting industries with no R&D and advertising data. 12 TABLE A6: Learning by doing and lower bounds of concentration (Alternative cutoffs for imprecise estimates) C8 C8 C8 Constant -5.35 (0.93)*** -6.06 (1.04)*** -6.12 (1.1)*** Learning Quartile 2 (D2) 1.09 (1.3) 2.18 (1.24)* 3.20 (1.06)*** 1.62 (1.36) 2.72 (1.34)** 3.87 (1.15)*** 1.74 (1.35) 2.71 (1.34)** 4.08 (1.19)*** 1/ln(S/σ) 25.60 (5.69)*** 31.15 (6.79)*** 31.47 (7.29)*** D2*(1/ln(S/σ)) -6.91 (9.28) -11.82 (8.38) -18.56 (6.98)*** -10.64 (9.58) -15.83 (9.09)* -23.74 (7.71)*** -11.63 (9.61) -15.71 (9.27)* -25.78 (8.08)*** 1.84 (0.73)** -9.50 (5.3)* -1.38 (0.68)** 11.73 (5.17)** 2.00 (0.75)*** -11.03 (5.52)** -1.08 (0.66) 9.06 (5)* 2.07 (0.73)*** -11.48 (5.43)** -1.10 (0.71) 9.18 (5.36)* 1,171 1,125 1,078 Learning Quartile 3 (D3) Learning Quartile 4 (D4) D3*(1/ln(S/σ)) D4*(1/ln(S/σ)) RND (DR) DR*(1/ln(S/σ)) ADV (DA) DA *(1/ln(S/σ)) N Note: This table replicates Table III for C8 using alternative cutoffs for dropping imprecise estimates. The decision rule was as follows: for a given cut-off n, if adding (subtracting) n times the standard error to the estimated learning rate moved an industry from the first (fourth) to the fourth (first) quartiles, the industry was excluded. 13 TABLE A7: Learning by doing and lower bounds of concentration (Outliers dropped) C4 C8 C20 Constant -6.02 -6.07 -5.99 (0.96)*** (1.08)*** (1.35)*** Learning Quartile 2 (D2) 1.46 1.65 1.30 (1.23) (1.34) (1.59) Learning Quartile 3 (D3) 2.43 2.67 2.39 (1.21)** (1.33)** (1.6) Learning Quartile 4 (D4) 3.62 3.88 4.22 (1.09)*** (1.17)*** (1.42)*** 1/ln(S/σ) 26.73 31.20 36.57 (6.32)*** (7.16)*** (9.22)*** D2*(1/ln(S/σ)) -10.17 (8.99) -13.92 (8.28) -22.22 (7.35)*** 2.08 (0.72)*** -12.01 (5.27)** -1.41 (0.7)** 11.36 (5.31)** -10.92 (9.54) -15.36 (9.08)* -23.80 (7.85)*** 2.02 (0.75)*** -11.20 (5.55)** -1.10 (0.72) 9.25 (5.43)* -8.82 (11.42) -13.35 (11.08) -26.57 (9.64)*** 1.95 (0.9)** -10.64 (6.79) -0.67 (0.74) 6.26 (5.71) 1,120 1,122 1,122 D3*(1/ln(S/σ)) D4*(1/ln(S/σ)) RND (DR) DR*(1/ln(S/σ)) ADV (DA) DA *(1/ln(S/σ)) N Note: This table replicates results in Table III (in the main text) omitting outlier industries in the top and bottom 2% of learning rates. No imprecise estimates are dropped. 14 TABLE A8: Learning by doing and lower bounds of concentration (Other estimation approaches) OPNS ACF OLS Constant -6.54 -6.83 -6.78 (1.57)*** (1.06)*** (0.86)*** Learning Quartile 2 (D2) 1.60 1.66 2.49 (1.82) (1.58) (0.93)*** Learning Quartile 3 (D3) 2.15 3.37 2.41 (1.64) (1.12)*** (1.08)** Learning Quartile 4 (D4) 3.48 2.18 3.24 (1.65)** (1.35) (0.95)*** 1/ln(S/σ) 34.92 (11.49)*** 37.88 (7.6)*** 36.14 (6.19)*** D2*(1/ln(S/σ)) -8.83 (13.32) -13.25 (11.94) -20.70 (11.83)* 1.36 (0.93) -6.26 (7.04) -0.15 (0.62) 1.55 (4.83) -11.57 (10.83) -22.40 (8.17)*** -13.69 (9.81) 0.50 (0.92) 0.40 (6.66) 0.53 (0.69) -2.88 (5.13) -12.43 (6.81)* -14.36 (7.66)* -18.00 (6.83)*** 1.55 (0.67)** -8.70 (4.92)* -0.03 (0.62) 1.58 (4.62) 1,100 1,141 1,171 D3*(1/ln(S/σ)) D4*(1/ln(S/σ)) RND (DR) DR*(1/ln(S/σ)) ADV (DA) DA *(1/ln(S/σ)) N Note: This table replicates results in Table III (in the main text) for C8 using learning estimates from other estimation approaches. See Appendix A10 for additional details on these approaches. 15 TABLE A9: Learning by doing and lower bounds of concentration (4 quartiles of R&D and advertising) C4 C8 C20 Constant -5.84 -5.70 -5.47 (1.21)*** (1.33)*** (1.58)*** Learning Quartile 2 (D2) 1.42 (1.38) 1.85 (1.25) 3.84 (1.30)*** Learning Quartile 3 (D3) Learning Quartile 4 (D4) 1.76 (1.51) 2.20 (1.4) 3.90 (1.39)*** 1.99 (1.8) 2.40 (1.71) 3.99 (1.63)** 1/ln(S/σ) 24.94 27.40 31.77 (8.18)*** (9.13)*** (10.93)*** D2*(1/ln(S/σ)) -10.34 (10.07) -9.94 (8.67) -24.79 (9.14)*** -12.50 (10.95) -12.03 (9.98) -24.30 (9.89)** -14.89 (12.99) -13.65 (12.24) -25.31 (11.52)** -0.26 (0.69) 1.45 (1.2) 2.33 (0.96)** 2.65 (4.99) -8.21 (8.83) -13.77 (7.43)* -0.72 (0.75) 1.44 (1.26) 1.87 (1.05)* 6.02 (5.55) -7.97 (9.28) -9.88 (8.34) -0.87 (0.75) 1.06 (1.37) 1.78 (1.26) 7.07 (5.69) -4.53 (10.16) -9.18 (10.15) -0.27 (0.82) -1.47 (0.86)* -1.27 (1.09) 3.57 (6.55) 13.63 (6.62)** 10.88 (8.07) 0.09 (0.89) -0.98 (0.86) -1.56 (1.13) 1.58 (7.2) 9.90 (6.76) 13.49 (8.45) 0.45 (1.09) -0.79 (0.94) -1.51 (1.23) -1.49 (8.87) 8.38 (7.51) 13.58 (9.26) 1,101 1,103 1,103 D3*(1/ln(S/σ)) D4*(1/ln(S/σ)) RND2 (DR2) RND3 (D R3) RND4 (D R4) RND2*(1/ln(S/σ)) RND3*(1/ln(S/σ)) RND4*(1/ln(S/σ)) ADV2 (DA2) ADV3 (DA3) ADV4 (DA4) ADV2*(1/ln(S/σ)) ADV3*(1/ln(S/σ)) ADV4*(1/ln(S/σ)) N Note: This table replicates results in Table III (in the main text) using 4 quartiles of R&D and advertising instead of two classes. 16 TABLE A10: Learning by doing and lower bounds of concentration (National Markets) Constant Learning Quartile 2 (D2) Learning Quartile 3 (D3) Learning Quartile 4 (D4) C4 -6.02 (1.61)*** 1.54 (1.60) 2.92 (1.73) 3.47 (1.55)** C8 C20 -5.76 -7.42 (1.75)*** (2.31)*** 2.13 2.58 (1.84) (2.33) 2.70 3.82 (1.94) (2.42) 4.23 5.11 (1.75)** (2.35)** 1/ln(S/σ) 31.07 32.93 52.41 (12.24)*** (13.26)*** (17.50)*** D2*(1/ln(S/σ)) -8.21 (12.48) -19.29 (13.07) -23.57 (11.76)** 1.85 (0.95)* -13.14 (7.65) -0.62 (0.89) -4.17 (7.25) -12.83 (14.51) -16.70 (14.66) -28.65 (13.22)** 1.47 (0.94) -9.50 (7.38) 0.11 (0.92) -0.06 (7.45) -16.85 (18.16) -25.78 (18.44) -34.56 (17.84)** 1.89 (1.16) -12.90 (8.98) 1.24 (0.97) -9.53 (7.69) 519 519 519 D3*(1/ln(S/σ)) D4*(1/ln(S/σ)) RND (DR) DR*(1/ln(S/σ)) ADV (DA) DA *(1/ln(S/σ)) N Note: This table replicates results in Table III (in the main text) for industries with ‘national markets’. We used the method adopted in Syverson [2004]. (We thank Chad Syverson for providing these data). Using data from the 1977 Commodity Transportation Survey, this method computes, by industry, the tonnage-weighted average distance the output is shipped. The CTS provides seven distance classes (<100, 100-199, 200-299,300-499, 500-999, 1000-1499, >1500 miles) and the tonnage in each class. It is assumed that distance is distributed uniformly, and used the average distance in each class (e.g. 50 miles in the <100 miles class). For the >1500 miles class, 1750 miles were used. Industries with tonnage-weighted average distance greater than the median tonnage-weighted average distance were classified as ‘national markets’. 17 TABLE A11: Learning by doing and lower bounds of concentration (Non-advertising industries) C4 C8 C20 Constant -5.95 -5.65 -5.60 (1.03)*** (1.15)*** (1.26)*** Learning Quartile 2 (D2) 0.67 1.46 1.99 (1.54) (1.71) (1.83) Learning Quartile 3 (D3) 2.25 2.11 2.29 (1.32) (1.47) (1.71) Learning Quartile 4 (D4) 3.04 2.86 2.77 (1.13)** (1.20)** (1.36)** 1/ln(S/σ) 26.81 28.28 33.99 (7.02)*** (7.75)*** (8.87)*** D2*(1/ln(S/σ)) -4.37 (11.75) -14.09 (9.40) -20.21 (8.37)** 2.45 (0.79)*** -14.09 (6.08)** 600 D3*(1/ln(S/σ)) D4*(1/ln(S/σ)) RND (DR) DR*(1/ln(S/σ)) N -10.85 (12.99) -12.65 (10.43) -17.62 (8.78)** 2.59 (0.89)*** -14.15 (6.72)** 601 -16.37 (14.00) -14.48 (12.48) -17.24 (10.19* 2.50 (1.12)** -12.91 (8.68) 601 Note: This table replicates results in Table III (in the main text) for SIC-3 industries that report no advertising or have advertising intensities below the median (0.37% of industry sales). It also excludes advertising terms in the empirical specification. 18 SIC 2011 2013 2015 2022 2023 2024 2026 2032 2033 2035 2037 2038 2041 2045 2047 2048 2051 2052 2053 2064 2066 2068 2077 2084 2086 2087 2091 2092 2096 2097 Appendix A12: Learning coefficients using other estimation approaches OP (NS) ACF OLS Coeff S.E. Rank Coeff S.E. Rank Coeff S.E. Rank 0.14 (0.05) 337 0.02 (0.06) 353 0.07 (0.02) 331 0.18 (0.1) 318 0.48 (0.06) 33 0.24 (0.02) 82 0.24 (0.07) 260 0.25 (0.06) 173 0.15 (0.03) 207 0.24 (0.11) 256 0.25 (0.1) 176 0.19 (0.03) 145 0.18 (0.26) 316 0.26 (0.2) 158 0.19 (0.08) 146 0.44 (0.08) 51 0.31 (0.1) 125 0.27 (0.03) 48 0.27 (0.08) 197 0.28 (0.08) 140 0.24 (0.03) 85 0.63 (0.47) 9 0.90 (0.41) 3 0.46 (0.08) 6 0.42 (0.09) 59 0.38 (0.11) 71 0.25 (0.04) 71 0.38 (0.12) 90 0.24 (0.14) 187 0.23 (0.05) 90 0.32 (0.1) 147 0.24 (0.16) 184 0.28 (0.04) 46 0.45 (0.08) 43 0.38 (0.1) 74 0.23 (0.03) 89 0.27 (0.09) 210 0.34 (0.08) 100 0.18 (0.04) 157 0.23 (0.13) 269 0.35 (0.16) 92 0.25 (0.04) 70 0.56 (0.21) 16 0.41 (0.15) 59 0.24 (0.05) 84 0.41 (0.03) 65 0.50 (0.04) 30 0.30 (0.02) 32 0.26 (0.09) 225 0.31 (0.06) 123 0.26 (0.01) 62 0.34 (0.1) 117 0.35 (0.13) 91 0.20 (0.03) 127 0.06 (0.22) 358 0.11 (0.17) 318 (0.07) (0.07) 366 0.01 (0.25) 363 0.47 (0.18) 34 0.15 (0.04) 210 0.25 (0.25) 245 0.21 (0.16) 214 0.10 (0.06) 306 0.48 (0.35) 33 0.46 (0.14) 39 0.30 (0.07) 28 0.28 (0.09) 194 0.42 (0.09) 55 0.21 (0.04) 122 0.39 (0.08) 83 0.44 (0.09) 49 0.29 (0.04) 34 0.29 (0.07) 181 0.32 (0.07) 114 0.23 (0.02) 97 0.40 (0.2) 69 0.80 (0.18) 4 0.55 (0.05) 2 0.52 (0.4) 24 0.22 (0.29) 194 0.27 (0.08) 50 0.29 (0.05) 179 0.07 (0.07) 335 0.20 (0.03) 136 0.33 (0.11) 130 0.12 (0.08) 310 0.07 (0.05) 332 0.31 (0.06) 158 0.16 (0.06) 264 0.22 (0.03) 109 19 SIC 2098 2099 2211 2221 2231 2241 2251 2252 2253 2254 2257 2258 2259 2261 2262 2269 2273 2281 2282 2295 2297 2298 2299 2311 2321 2322 2323 2325 2326 2329 2331 OP (NS) Coeff S.E. Rank 0.39 (0.17) 80 0.36 (0.04) 94 0.23 (0.13) 279 0.52 (0.13) 23 0.15 (0.31) 332 0.16 (0.1) 325 0.36 (0.32) 98 0.12 (0.08) 351 0.34 (0.05) 120 (0.04) (0.12) 364 0.33 (0.09) 133 0.20 (0.07) 299 0.74 (0.35) 4 0.45 (0.23) 39 0.28 (0.14) 192 0.23 (0.13) 272 0.37 (0.06) 93 0.15 (0.04) 331 0.16 (0.11) 328 0.31 (0.13) 152 0.36 (0.09) 104 0.39 (0.15) 84 0.33 (0.07) 136 0.34 (0.11) 128 0.26 (0.06) 230 0.51 (0.21) 26 0.04 (0.4) 361 0.19 (0.1) 307 0.31 (0.07) 150 0.23 (0.05) 278 0.40 (0.03) 70 ACF Coeff S.E. 0.29 (0.12) 0.20 (0.05) 0.18 (0.11) 0.56 (0.21) (0.14) (0.16) 0.13 (0.11) 0.10 (0.16) 0.03 (0.08) 0.40 (0.09) (0.05) (0.19) 0.38 (0.06) 0.27 (0.07) 0.27 (0.18) 0.22 (0.13) 0.13 (0.12) 0.24 (0.11) 0.31 (0.07) 0.24 (0.12) 0.01 (0.16) 0.34 (0.15) 0.07 (0.09) 0.25 (0.12) 0.34 (0.06) 0.40 (0.12) 0.28 (0.07) 0.45 (0.16) 0.02 (0.19) 0.37 (0.1) 0.45 (0.13) 0.26 (0.07) 0.29 (0.05) Rank 135 223 247 26 367 299 319 349 62 364 73 152 156 196 301 179 120 177 355 94 338 175 97 61 147 41 354 75 43 162 137 Coeff 0.20 0.18 0.10 0.22 0.01 0.12 0.24 0.06 0.23 0.04 0.14 0.19 0.24 0.17 0.14 0.17 0.20 0.07 0.10 0.19 0.21 0.20 0.27 0.24 0.18 0.28 0.20 0.26 0.18 0.18 0.25 OLS S.E. (0.05) (0.02) (0.04) (0.03) (0.07) (0.04) (0.06) (0.03) (0.02) (0.06) (0.03) (0.03) (0.07) (0.05) (0.04) (0.04) (0.03) (0.03) (0.04) (0.04) (0.04) (0.05) (0.03) (0.03) (0.02) (0.03) (0.11) (0.03) (0.04) (0.02) (0.01) Rank 128 160 312 104 361 270 79 345 96 353 235 144 80 169 236 168 131 339 303 149 115 133 60 81 166 44 132 63 167 153 74 20 SIC 2335 2337 2339 2341 2353 2361 2369 2371 2386 2387 2389 2391 2392 2393 2394 2395 2396 2397 2399 2411 2421 2426 2429 2431 2434 2435 2436 2439 2441 2448 2449 OP (NS) Coeff S.E. Rank 0.39 (0.06) 79 0.41 (0.06) 63 0.35 (0.04) 113 0.31 (0.06) 160 0.24 (0.08) 251 0.36 (0.14) 101 0.22 (0.09) 286 (0.24) (0.75) 367 (0.41) (0.37) 368 0.15 (0.15) 330 0.80 (0.15) 3 0.25 (0.06) 236 0.28 (0.05) 193 0.36 (0.19) 102 0.31 (0.05) 159 0.25 (0.08) 243 0.33 (0.05) 140 0.19 (0.32) 310 0.32 (0.07) 146 0.24 (0.03) 248 0.27 (0.03) 198 0.19 (0.06) 312 0.45 (0.18) 40 0.21 (0.03) 290 0.29 (0.06) 178 0.20 (0.08) 306 0.22 (0.11) 285 0.23 (0.04) 275 0.04 (0.07) 360 0.16 (0.04) 329 0.30 (0.15) 166 ACF Coeff S.E. 0.43 (0.02) 0.37 (0.06) 0.34 (0.05) 0.22 (0.07) 0.23 (0.11) 0.09 (0.11) 0.14 (0.1) 0.07 (0.16) 0.56 (0.19) (0.07) (0.16) 0.34 (0.08) 0.16 (0.06) 0.28 (0.05) 0.25 (0.12) 0.11 (0.04) 0.12 (0.07) 0.22 (0.07) 0.01 (0.09) 0.26 (0.08) 0.17 (0.02) 0.30 (0.02) 0.09 (0.05) 0.20 (0.11) 0.13 (0.06) 0.15 (0.04) 0.28 (0.09) 0.27 (0.12) 0.19 (0.06) 0.08 (0.06) 0.11 (0.03) 0.23 (0.12) Rank 51 77 102 198 193 326 296 339 25 365 103 258 143 171 311 309 195 358 166 257 131 329 218 302 278 142 150 238 334 317 191 Coeff 0.26 0.28 0.20 0.26 0.10 0.18 0.22 0.23 0.18 0.11 0.27 0.16 0.13 0.15 0.15 0.16 0.17 0.12 0.17 0.12 0.17 0.07 0.29 0.14 0.10 0.13 0.21 0.15 0.06 0.03 0.11 OLS S.E. (0.01) (0.02) (0.01) (0.02) (0.03) (0.03) (0.03) (0.06) (0.07) (0.04) (0.05) (0.02) (0.02) (0.04) (0.02) (0.03) (0.02) (0.04) (0.02) (0.01) (0.01) (0.02) (0.06) (0.01) (0.01) (0.04) (0.03) (0.02) (0.03) (0.01) (0.05) Rank 64 45 135 65 297 163 106 93 159 283 56 204 252 209 216 205 180 272 179 274 176 336 37 241 311 253 120 218 341 355 282 21 SIC 2451 2452 2491 2493 2499 2511 2512 2514 2515 2519 2521 2522 2531 2541 2542 2591 2599 2621 2652 2653 2655 2657 2672 2673 2674 2675 2676 2677 2678 2679 2813 OP (NS) Coeff S.E. Rank 0.13 (0.03) 347 0.31 (0.04) 161 0.14 (0.08) 339 0.23 (0.09) 276 0.19 (0.04) 314 0.26 (0.03) 231 0.27 (0.05) 208 0.26 (0.07) 226 0.35 (0.08) 107 0.08 (0.13) 356 0.20 (0.06) 300 0.14 (0.09) 338 0.41 (0.07) 64 0.23 (0.05) 270 0.20 (0.04) 303 0.25 (0.11) 237 0.30 (0.05) 170 0.34 (0.17) 127 0.35 (0.12) 106 0.24 (0.03) 261 0.26 (0.06) 227 0.07 (0.06) 357 0.45 (0.1) 45 0.39 (0.09) 87 0.35 (0.28) 109 0.27 (0.09) 205 0.59 (0.22) 12 0.24 (0.14) 250 (0.92) (1.18) 369 0.27 (0.08) 214 0.45 (0.11) 42 ACF Coeff S.E. 0.18 (0.06) 0.27 (0.07) (0.00) (0.1) 0.28 (0.08) 0.15 (0.03) 0.08 (0.02) 0.15 (0.05) 0.19 (0.09) 0.33 (0.05) 0.24 (0.11) 0.01 (0.06) 0.24 (0.06) 0.27 (0.07) 0.12 (0.03) 0.12 (0.06) 0.20 (0.08) 0.15 (0.05) 0.38 (0.2) 0.42 (0.22) 0.31 (0.03) 0.21 (0.09) 0.14 (0.04) 0.64 (0.15) 0.33 (0.08) 0.34 (0.16) 0.20 (0.07) 0.05 (0.16) 0.09 (0.16) (0.47) (0.16) 0.35 (0.09) 0.57 (0.09) Rank 245 153 363 141 269 331 268 229 104 181 356 178 155 307 304 216 276 69 56 118 211 294 15 105 96 221 345 328 369 85 24 OLS Coeff S.E. 0.08 (0.02) 0.16 (0.02) 0.15 (0.03) 0.16 (0.03) 0.13 (0.01) 0.13 (0.01) 0.13 (0.01) 0.10 (0.03) 0.16 (0.02) 0.10 (0.04) 0.07 (0.02) 0.17 (0.03) 0.13 (0.03) 0.10 (0.01) 0.03 (0.02) 0.16 (0.03) 0.11 (0.02) 0.09 (0.04) 0.18 (0.05) 0.16 (0.01) 0.18 (0.02) 0.02 (0.02) 0.34 (0.04) 0.17 (0.03) 0.09 (0.04) 0.13 (0.03) 0.11 (0.05) 0.05 (0.05) (0.25) (0.1) 0.14 (0.02) 0.28 (0.04) Rank 327 188 213 201 266 261 250 310 189 304 337 185 255 307 354 202 290 313 164 206 161 356 21 175 319 264 287 350 369 226 42 22 SIC 2819 2821 2822 2833 2834 2835 2836 2841 2842 2843 2844 2851 2865 2869 2873 2874 2875 2879 2891 2892 2893 2899 2911 2951 2952 2992 3011 3052 3053 3061 3069 Coeff 0.36 0.41 0.17 0.58 0.82 0.72 0.24 0.52 0.43 0.12 0.48 0.55 0.63 0.50 0.14 0.34 0.39 0.49 0.35 0.20 0.40 0.54 0.53 0.35 0.19 0.40 0.36 0.22 0.34 0.28 0.29 OP (NS) S.E. Rank (0.08) 96 (0.07) 62 (0.67) 322 (0.2) 14 (0.21) 2 (0.18) 5 (0.14) 252 (0.12) 22 (0.11) 56 (0.19) 350 (0.1) 32 (0.06) 18 (0.2) 10 (0.07) 27 (0.3) 336 (0.55) 126 (0.18) 78 (0.18) 30 (0.05) 116 (0.15) 301 (0.04) 73 (0.05) 19 (0.41) 21 (0.03) 114 (0.13) 308 (0.12) 72 (0.22) 105 (0.08) 287 (0.08) 119 (0.06) 185 (0.05) 174 Coeff 0.38 0.46 0.23 0.33 0.70 0.71 0.08 0.43 0.44 0.21 0.35 0.44 0.72 0.47 0.35 0.43 0.45 0.60 0.34 0.16 0.37 0.60 0.77 0.42 0.41 0.43 0.33 0.21 0.18 0.24 0.14 ACF S.E. (0.13) (0.08) (0.16) (0.28) (0.14) (0.2) (0.16) (0.1) (0.12) (0.29) (0.11) (0.09) (0.21) (0.1) (0.22) (0.49) (0.08) (0.21) (0.08) (0.15) (0.11) (0.06) (0.31) (0.04) (0.1) (0.19) (0.15) (0.11) (0.1) (0.06) (0.06) Rank 72 38 188 107 9 8 332 53 46 205 90 45 7 36 88 50 44 19 99 262 81 20 5 54 60 52 108 210 239 185 288 Coeff 0.25 0.38 0.19 0.51 0.49 0.37 0.10 0.33 0.28 0.12 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.36 0.45 0.56 0.27 0.32 0.25 0.14 0.26 0.43 0.55 0.24 0.10 0.29 0.29 0.12 0.19 0.08 0.16 OLS S.E. (0.03) (0.03) (0.08) (0.04) (0.03) (0.04) (0.03) (0.03) (0.04) (0.06) (0.03) (0.02) (0.05) (0.03) (0.07) (0.12) (0.04) (0.05) (0.02) (0.05) (0.02) (0.02) (0.1) (0.01) (0.03) (0.04) (0.05) (0.05) (0.03) (0.02) (0.02) Rank 76 14 152 4 5 15 309 23 43 267 55 47 53 17 7 1 54 24 77 227 61 9 3 86 296 38 35 271 141 322 195 23 SIC 3081 3082 3083 3084 3085 3086 3087 3088 3089 3111 3131 3143 3144 3149 3161 3171 3172 3199 3229 3231 3241 3251 3253 3255 3261 3264 3269 3271 3272 3273 3274 OP (NS) Coeff S.E. Rank 0.35 (0.05) 110 0.27 (0.07) 204 0.28 (0.13) 191 0.33 (0.04) 134 0.22 (0.07) 280 0.21 (0.05) 291 0.39 (0.07) 86 0.43 (0.15) 58 0.27 (0.02) 201 0.09 (0.1) 355 (0.08) (0.46) 365 0.13 (0.12) 345 0.47 (0.23) 35 0.27 (0.16) 199 0.25 (0.12) 233 0.03 (0.11) 362 0.22 (0.21) 284 0.25 (0.15) 240 0.26 (0.1) 229 0.27 (0.04) 203 0.56 (0.17) 17 0.40 (0.13) 68 0.43 (0.24) 57 0.36 (0.14) 97 0.32 (0.29) 141 0.29 (0.13) 177 0.19 (0.06) 311 0.23 (0.06) 264 0.33 (0.02) 135 0.28 (0.02) 186 1.16 (0.72) 1 ACF Coeff S.E. 0.40 (0.05) 0.26 (0.09) 0.15 (0.09) 0.53 (0.11) 0.20 (0.08) 0.37 (0.05) 0.49 (0.09) 0.45 (0.12) 0.31 (0.02) 0.28 (0.08) 0.62 (0.33) 0.12 (0.13) 0.22 (0.12) 0.16 (0.21) 0.15 (0.08) 0.12 (0.12) 0.06 (0.1) 0.26 (0.13) 0.14 (0.1) 0.23 (0.05) 0.20 (0.16) 0.33 (0.07) 0.02 (0.15) 0.41 (0.14) 0.30 (0.1) (0.00) (0.12) 0.14 (0.06) 0.19 (0.05) 0.25 (0.02) 0.35 (0.02) 0.10 (0.28) Rank 63 165 275 29 225 79 31 40 119 146 18 305 200 267 280 306 342 160 292 189 224 110 352 57 126 362 284 230 167 89 324 OLS Coeff S.E. 0.28 (0.02) 0.08 (0.03) 0.12 (0.04) 0.22 (0.03) 0.15 (0.03) 0.13 (0.02) 0.23 (0.03) 0.17 (0.03) 0.11 (0.01) 0.06 (0.05) 0.20 (0.08) 0.08 (0.04) 0.23 (0.05) 0.35 (0.06) 0.13 (0.04) 0.06 (0.04) (0.00) (0.06) 0.09 (0.03) 0.10 (0.03) 0.14 (0.01) 0.34 (0.06) 0.30 (0.04) 0.08 (0.05) 0.27 (0.04) 0.29 (0.03) 0.06 (0.05) 0.06 (0.02) 0.12 (0.02) 0.17 (0.01) 0.16 (0.01) 0.19 (0.09) Rank 41 324 268 107 212 251 98 170 286 342 126 328 91 18 248 346 363 315 301 232 20 29 320 57 36 344 347 279 184 191 151 24 SIC 3275 3281 3291 3295 3296 3297 3299 3312 3315 3316 3317 3321 3324 3325 3341 3351 3354 3356 3357 3363 3364 3365 3366 3369 3398 3399 3411 3412 3421 3423 3425 OP (NS) Coeff S.E. Rank 0.25 (0.13) 246 0.21 (0.05) 297 0.44 (0.08) 49 0.32 (0.11) 148 0.44 (0.13) 52 0.27 (0.2) 207 0.32 (0.11) 149 0.28 (0.08) 190 0.26 (0.06) 220 0.26 (0.14) 215 0.28 (0.11) 182 0.19 (0.04) 313 0.22 (0.11) 281 0.11 (0.11) 353 0.34 (0.08) 122 0.26 (0.14) 223 0.24 (0.08) 253 0.19 (0.12) 315 0.28 (0.04) 187 0.32 (0.09) 144 0.28 (0.1) 189 0.17 (0.08) 319 0.25 (0.1) 234 0.27 (0.31) 196 0.24 (0.04) 255 0.22 (0.07) 282 0.48 (0.08) 34 0.09 (0.13) 354 (0.17) (0.37) 366 0.20 (0.04) 302 0.25 (0.19) 239 Coeff 0.08 0.17 0.33 0.29 0.39 0.17 0.36 0.41 0.37 0.14 0.25 0.25 0.09 0.19 0.57 0.28 0.14 0.21 0.25 0.22 0.29 0.19 0.16 0.33 0.19 0.33 0.59 0.06 0.10 0.07 0.19 ACF S.E. (0.1) (0.06) (0.07) (0.12) (0.09) (0.17) (0.08) (0.07) (0.05) (0.16) (0.15) (0.04) (0.1) (0.09) (0.13) (0.23) (0.09) (0.07) (0.05) (0.11) (0.08) (0.07) (0.06) (0.14) (0.09) (0.1) (0.07) (0.16) (0.15) (0.03) (0.08) Rank 333 255 112 136 67 252 84 58 78 286 170 168 327 231 23 149 283 208 172 199 134 235 266 106 233 109 22 343 321 336 232 Coeff 0.10 0.14 0.26 0.16 0.20 0.30 0.24 0.22 0.23 0.16 0.19 0.14 0.19 0.09 0.27 0.17 0.17 0.12 0.18 0.20 0.22 0.07 0.01 0.21 0.08 0.15 0.25 0.08 0.21 0.13 0.14 OLS S.E. (0.05) (0.02) (0.03) (0.03) (0.03) (0.04) (0.03) (0.03) (0.03) (0.05) (0.04) (0.02) (0.04) (0.04) (0.04) (0.06) (0.04) (0.04) (0.02) (0.03) (0.05) (0.03) (0.05) (0.05) (0.02) (0.03) (0.02) (0.05) (0.06) (0.02) (0.05) Rank 298 240 69 190 130 31 87 112 88 193 147 238 150 316 51 172 171 273 155 134 105 333 362 116 323 215 75 321 121 265 230 25 SIC 3429 3431 3432 3433 3441 3442 3443 3444 3446 3448 3449 3451 3452 3462 3465 3469 3471 3479 3484 3491 3492 3493 3494 3495 3496 3497 3498 3499 3511 3519 3523 Coeff 0.24 0.21 0.44 0.36 0.27 0.28 0.23 0.29 0.25 0.39 0.26 0.21 0.28 0.26 0.33 0.26 0.23 0.25 0.30 0.28 0.21 0.67 0.14 0.59 0.31 0.33 0.19 0.26 0.31 0.24 0.26 OP (NS) S.E. Rank (0.04) 258 (0.6) 296 (0.32) 47 (0.08) 99 (0.03) 209 (0.04) 184 (0.04) 268 (0.02) 175 (0.04) 241 (0.06) 85 (0.05) 221 (0.04) 295 (0.06) 188 (0.1) 228 (0.07) 131 (0.03) 232 (0.04) 267 (0.05) 247 (0.3) 168 (0.08) 183 (0.16) 293 (0.24) 6 (0.08) 334 (0.07) 13 (0.05) 156 (0.21) 139 (0.06) 309 (0.02) 217 (0.3) 153 (0.06) 257 (0.05) 218 ACF Coeff S.E. 0.28 (0.06) 0.37 (0.25) 0.49 (0.33) 0.22 (0.07) 0.30 (0.04) 0.10 (0.06) 0.24 (0.04) 0.29 (0.03) 0.25 (0.03) 0.17 (0.1) 0.32 (0.07) 0.21 (0.06) 0.36 (0.08) 0.18 (0.09) 0.34 (0.07) 0.18 (0.04) 0.18 (0.03) 0.28 (0.05) 0.11 (0.23) 0.17 (0.12) 0.06 (0.21) (0.08) (0.14) 0.01 (0.07) 0.54 (0.07) 0.37 (0.06) 0.64 (0.18) 0.05 (0.07) 0.19 (0.03) 0.21 (0.19) 0.28 (0.08) 0.14 (0.04) Rank 148 76 32 202 130 322 186 138 169 254 116 215 82 243 101 242 241 144 312 249 341 366 357 27 80 14 346 237 212 145 282 Coeff 0.14 0.13 0.29 0.21 0.15 0.14 0.11 0.16 0.12 0.15 0.14 0.09 0.15 0.22 0.18 0.12 0.09 0.11 0.21 0.11 0.17 0.13 0.10 0.40 0.17 0.20 0.10 0.14 0.14 0.21 0.14 OLS S.E. (0.02) (0.08) (0.07) (0.03) (0.01) (0.02) (0.02) (0.01) (0.02) (0.02) (0.02) (0.01) (0.02) (0.03) (0.03) (0.01) (0.01) (0.01) (0.06) (0.03) (0.04) (0.05) (0.03) (0.03) (0.02) (0.05) (0.02) (0.01) (0.06) (0.03) (0.02) Rank 237 257 39 119 217 224 294 196 269 222 242 317 220 110 162 275 318 291 118 280 174 247 302 11 177 124 295 244 228 113 243 26 SIC 3524 3531 3532 3533 3534 3535 3536 3537 3541 3542 3543 3544 3545 3546 3548 3549 3552 3553 3554 3555 3556 3559 3561 3562 3563 3564 3565 3566 3567 3568 3569 Coeff 0.45 0.33 0.25 0.24 0.27 0.25 0.34 0.32 0.37 0.37 0.18 0.20 0.30 0.46 0.23 0.34 0.34 0.13 0.38 0.30 0.29 0.31 0.40 0.12 0.21 0.31 0.33 0.24 0.17 0.21 0.30 OP (NS) S.E. Rank (0.16) 38 (0.09) 132 (0.11) 235 (0.04) 263 (0.14) 200 (0.04) 238 (0.16) 124 (0.11) 145 (0.08) 92 (0.1) 91 (0.05) 317 (0.02) 305 (0.04) 164 (0.2) 36 (0.21) 265 (0.07) 118 (0.15) 129 (0.11) 343 (0.13) 89 (0.07) 169 (0.1) 176 (0.03) 162 (0.06) 75 (0.09) 352 (0.08) 292 (0.04) 155 (0.06) 137 (0.07) 249 (0.08) 320 (0.11) 289 (0.04) 171 Coeff 0.23 0.30 0.32 0.17 0.16 0.10 0.14 0.23 0.29 0.31 0.12 0.14 0.25 0.35 0.04 0.15 0.29 0.18 0.53 0.20 0.14 0.19 0.44 0.08 0.34 0.15 0.27 0.30 0.06 0.15 0.16 ACF S.E. (0.15) (0.08) (0.1) (0.05) (0.11) (0.06) (0.1) (0.09) (0.06) (0.1) (0.04) (0.01) (0.05) (0.11) (0.15) (0.05) (0.08) (0.07) (0.2) (0.08) (0.07) (0.04) (0.08) (0.08) (0.11) (0.06) (0.1) (0.08) (0.09) (0.12) (0.04) Rank 192 127 117 250 263 320 290 190 139 124 303 285 174 93 348 277 133 246 28 226 281 234 48 330 98 279 157 129 344 271 261 Coeff 0.08 0.18 0.13 0.12 0.14 0.13 0.21 0.20 0.23 0.23 0.10 0.07 0.16 0.24 0.16 0.16 0.19 0.04 0.26 0.17 0.13 0.15 0.30 0.07 0.16 0.17 0.18 0.22 0.11 0.16 0.17 OLS S.E. (0.03) (0.02) (0.03) (0.03) (0.06) (0.02) (0.04) (0.03) (0.03) (0.04) (0.02) (0.01) (0.01) (0.04) (0.06) (0.03) (0.03) (0.04) (0.04) (0.03) (0.03) (0.01) (0.03) (0.04) (0.03) (0.02) (0.02) (0.03) (0.03) (0.03) (0.02) Rank 329 154 245 278 223 258 123 137 92 99 300 330 203 78 192 199 142 352 68 181 260 211 30 334 194 183 156 108 292 187 182 27 SIC 3571 3572 3575 3577 3578 3579 3581 3585 3589 3592 3593 3594 3596 3599 3612 3613 3621 3624 3625 3629 3634 3643 3644 3645 3646 3648 3651 3652 3661 3663 3669 Coeff 0.65 0.53 0.44 0.44 0.58 0.39 0.41 0.25 0.32 0.39 0.61 0.14 0.14 0.23 0.40 0.39 0.25 0.27 0.31 0.46 0.36 0.24 0.43 0.26 0.38 0.13 0.29 0.26 0.49 0.33 0.35 OP (NS) S.E. Rank (0.12) 8 (0.2) 20 (0.18) 48 (0.07) 46 (0.32) 15 (0.12) 81 (0.41) 61 (0.05) 244 (0.04) 142 (0.2) 82 (0.18) 11 (0.2) 340 (0.12) 335 (0.01) 273 (0.11) 76 (0.06) 77 (0.06) 242 (0.23) 206 (0.1) 154 (0.12) 37 (0.16) 95 (0.08) 254 (0.18) 54 (0.08) 219 (0.08) 88 (0.25) 342 (0.1) 180 (0.08) 216 (0.11) 31 (0.06) 138 (0.17) 111 Coeff 0.97 0.73 0.21 0.62 0.63 0.35 0.31 0.22 0.16 0.00 0.39 0.00 0.13 0.14 0.24 0.32 0.21 0.32 0.14 0.45 0.66 0.20 0.26 0.22 0.36 0.18 0.59 0.11 0.44 0.20 0.24 ACF S.E. (0.05) (0.22) (0.28) (0.1) (0.19) (0.11) (0.22) (0.05) (0.04) (0.16) (0.12) (0.19) (0.09) (0.01) (0.08) (0.08) (0.08) (0.24) (0.07) (0.1) (0.12) (0.09) (0.16) (0.07) (0.13) (0.22) (0.06) (0.1) (0.12) (0.1) (0.21) Rank 1 6 207 17 16 86 122 201 265 360 65 361 298 287 183 115 204 113 289 42 12 222 161 197 83 244 21 316 47 220 180 OLS Coeff S.E. 0.44 (0.03) 0.34 (0.08) 0.23 (0.05) 0.27 (0.03) 0.41 (0.08) 0.33 (0.05) 0.27 (0.09) 0.15 (0.02) 0.15 (0.02) 0.02 (0.04) 0.26 (0.04) (0.09) (0.07) 0.14 (0.05) 0.08 (0) 0.25 (0.03) 0.27 (0.02) 0.16 (0.02) 0.23 (0.06) 0.13 (0.02) 0.23 (0.03) 0.37 (0.05) 0.14 (0.03) 0.25 (0.04) 0.10 (0.03) 0.20 (0.05) 0.18 (0.04) 0.23 (0.04) (0.01) (0.03) 0.21 (0.03) 0.13 (0.02) 0.11 (0.04) Rank 8 19 102 58 10 22 52 219 214 360 67 368 233 325 72 49 197 101 262 95 16 234 73 299 125 158 94 365 114 254 288 28 SIC 3671 3672 3674 3675 3676 3677 3678 3679 3691 3694 3695 3699 3711 3713 3714 3715 3716 3721 3724 3728 3731 3732 3743 3751 3792 3799 3812 3821 3822 3823 3824 Coeff 0.13 0.27 0.44 0.13 0.05 0.12 0.29 0.35 0.45 0.26 0.30 0.32 0.20 0.27 0.30 0.16 0.34 0.14 0.26 0.40 0.17 0.23 0.30 0.43 0.16 0.22 0.23 0.41 0.35 0.27 0.43 OP (NS) S.E. Rank (0.38) 346 (0.07) 202 (0.04) 50 (0.08) 344 (0.11) 359 (0.06) 349 (0.09) 173 (0.03) 115 (0.13) 44 (0.05) 222 (0.14) 165 (0.06) 143 (0.06) 304 (0.05) 212 (0.03) 172 (0.05) 323 (0.09) 121 (0.12) 341 (0.08) 224 (0.07) 74 (0.05) 321 (0.04) 266 (0.07) 167 (0.15) 55 (0.05) 324 (0.1) 288 (0.08) 274 (0.14) 60 (0.09) 108 (0.06) 211 (0.12) 53 Coeff 0.16 0.21 0.95 0.14 0.20 0.10 0.12 0.30 0.46 0.27 0.47 0.26 0.22 0.15 0.35 0.15 0.40 0.10 0.17 0.27 0.02 0.17 0.20 0.33 0.11 0.04 0.11 0.30 0.21 0.01 0.20 ACF S.E. (0.13) (0.06) (0.07) (0.1) (0.16) (0.08) (0.15) (0.04) (0.11) (0.07) (0.2) (0.07) (0.07) (0.07) (0.03) (0.06) (0.16) (0.08) (0.11) (0.08) (0.04) (0.04) (0.08) (0.07) (0.09) (0.07) (0.05) (0.12) (0.09) (0.05) (0.09) Rank 259 213 2 291 219 323 308 132 37 151 35 164 203 270 87 274 64 325 253 154 351 256 217 111 314 347 313 128 206 359 227 Coeff 0.16 0.10 0.27 0.05 0.08 0.06 0.23 0.21 0.38 0.14 0.20 0.19 0.13 0.19 0.18 0.10 0.17 0.06 0.16 0.19 0.05 0.13 0.14 0.11 0.07 0.02 0.14 0.19 0.29 0.11 0.24 OLS S.E. (0.05) (0.02) (0.02) (0.05) (0.05) (0.03) (0.04) (0.01) (0.04) (0.03) (0.06) (0.02) (0.03) (0.02) (0.01) (0.03) (0.04) (0.05) (0.03) (0.02) (0.02) (0.02) (0.04) (0.04) (0.02) (0.02) (0.02) (0.04) (0.04) (0.02) (0.04) Rank 198 308 59 351 326 343 100 117 12 229 129 139 263 140 165 305 186 348 200 148 349 246 239 285 338 358 231 143 40 289 83 29 SIC OP (NS) ACF OLS Coeff S.E. Rank Coeff S.E. Rank Coeff S.E. Rank 3825 0.36 (0.05) 103 0.15 (0.06) 273 0.15 (0.02) 221 3826 0.40 (0.09) 71 0.20 (0.08) 228 0.13 (0.03) 259 3827 0.20 (0.1) 298 0.16 (0.1) 260 0.11 (0.03) 293 3829 0.23 (0.05) 271 0.07 (0.04) 337 0.11 (0.02) 284 3841 0.36 (0.04) 100 0.26 (0.04) 163 0.15 (0.02) 208 3842 0.34 (0.04) 125 0.24 (0.04) 182 0.19 (0.01) 138 3843 0.34 (0.07) 123 0.14 (0.03) 297 0.09 (0.02) 314 3844 0.52 (0.3) 25 0.03 (0.21) 350 (0.01) (0.08) 364 3845 0.66 (0.17) 7 0.68 (0.25) 11 0.38 (0.04) 13 3851 0.15 (0.08) 333 0.19 (0.07) 236 0.12 (0.02) 276 3861 0.50 (0.08) 28 0.31 (0.12) 121 0.30 (0.02) 25 3873 0.45 (0.12) 41 0.17 (0.11) 251 0.22 (0.04) 111 3911 0.27 (0.04) 213 0.26 (0.04) 159 0.14 (0.01) 225 3914 0.35 (0.23) 112 0.39 (0.22) 66 0.02 (0.07) 359 3915 0.21 (0.11) 294 0.11 (0.1) 315 0.07 (0.04) 335 3931 0.16 (0.09) 327 0.15 (0.08) 272 0.12 (0.02) 277 3942 0.31 (0.17) 157 0.39 (0.17) 68 0.30 (0.05) 26 3944 0.40 (0.09) 67 0.34 (0.08) 95 0.17 (0.02) 173 3949 0.28 (0.05) 195 0.21 (0.04) 209 0.17 (0.02) 178 3951 0.31 (0.32) 151 (0.34) (0.36) 368 (0.09) (0.08) 367 3952 0.12 (0.25) 348 0.18 (0.14) 240 0.30 (0.07) 27 3953 0.16 (0.07) 326 0.07 (0.07) 340 0.02 (0.02) 357 3955 0.24 (0.16) 259 0.70 (0.15) 10 0.30 (0.06) 33 3961 0.40 (0.08) 66 0.14 (0.06) 293 0.13 (0.02) 249 3965 0.23 (0.19) 277 0.14 (0.12) 295 0.06 (0.05) 340 3991 0.49 (0.16) 29 0.38 (0.11) 70 0.26 (0.04) 66 3993 0.24 (0.03) 262 0.13 (0.02) 300 0.11 (0.01) 281 3995 0.30 (0.18) 163 0.66 (0.26) 13 0.23 (0.06) 103 3999 0.22 (0.03) 283 0.17 (0.04) 248 0.13 (0.01) 256 OPNS refers to Olley-Pakes with no selection correction; ACF to Ackerberg, Caves, Frazer [2005] using materials to invert, and current-period variables as instruments 30 Algorithm for ACF Method Step 1: Regress using OLS, yt on a polynomial of lt, mt, kt and xt. Obtain predicted values of yt, which are unbiased estimates of αkt+βlt,+λxt +ωt (So, no coefficients are estimated here) Step 2: Choose some initial set of parameter values for α, β and λ. Using the predicted values from Step 1 and the chosen parameter values, obtain the estimated ωt. Step 3: Regress using OLS, the ωt from Step 2 on a polynomial in ωt-1. The residuals from the regression give the estimated ξt. Step 4: Using the estimated ξt, say ξ*t, construct the empirical equivalent of the moment conditions i.e. (1/N)(Σ k2t(ξ*t)2 2 +x t(ξ*t)2) where N is the sample size. Step 5: Check if the sum of squares in Step 4 is close to zero. If yes, the parameter values in Step 2 are the estimated coefficients. If not, change parameter values in Step 2 and repeat till the condition is achieved. 31