6.4 Confidence Intervals for Variance and Standard Deviation • Key Concepts: – Point Estimates for the Population Variance and Standard Deviation – Chi-Square Distribution – Building and Interpreting Confidence Intervals for the Population Variance and Standard Deviation 6.4 Confidence Intervals for Variance and Standard Deviation • How do we estimate the population variance or the population standard deviation using sample data? – The variation we see in the sample will be our best guess. • the sample variance, s2, is used to estimate σ2 • the sample standard deviation, s, is used to estimate σ • To build confidence intervals for σ2 and σ, we start with the sampling distribution of a modified version of s2. 6.4 Confidence Intervals for Variance and Standard Deviation • If we find all possible samples of size n from a normal population of size N and then record the value of n 1 2 s 2 2 2 for each sample, it can be shown that follows a chi-square distribution with n – 1 degrees of freedom. 6.4 Confidence Intervals for Variance and Standard Deviation • Properties of the chi-square distribution: – All chi-square vales are greater than or equal to zero. – The shape of a chi-square curve is determined by the number of degrees of freedom. – The area below a chi-square curve is 1. – All chi-square curves are positively skewed. • Practice working with chi-square curves #4 p. 334 #6 6.4 Confidence Intervals for Variance and Standard Deviation • How do we build confidence intervals using this information? We can start with: n 1 2 2 s R 2 2 L and use algebra to get to: n 1 s 2 2 n 1 s 2 R2 L2 6.4 Confidence Intervals for Variance and Standard Deviation • Fortunately, we can use the previous result for both confidence intervals. – To build a confidence interval for the population variance, we use: n 1 s 2 2 n 1 s 2 R2 L2 – To build a confidence interval for the population standard deviation, we use: n 1 s 2 n 1 s 2 2 2 R L 6.4 Confidence Intervals for Variance and Standard Deviation • Guidelines for constructing these confidence intervals are provided on page 332. – Remember the population must be normal for us to apply these techniques. – When building our confidence intervals, we need the chi-square curve with n – 1 degrees of freedom. • Practice: #14 p. 334 (Cough Syrup) #16 p. 334 (Washers) #23 p. 335 (Waiting Times)