12.04.2004 1.00 - 4.00 LOYOLA COLLEGE (AUTONOMOUS), CHENNAI –600 034 B.Sc., DEGREE EXAMINATION - STATISTICS FIFTH SEMESTER – APRIL 2004 ST 5502/STA 507 - APPLIED STATISTICS Max:100 marks SECTION - A (10 2 = 20 marks) Answer ALL questions 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. What is the purpose of constructing index numbers? How do you select base period while constructing index numbers? Distinguish between seasonal variations and cyclical fluctuations. What do you understand by the term moving average? How is it used in measuring trend? Given the following values: r23 = 0.4, r13 = 0.61, r12 = 0.7 Find the partial correlation coefficient r12.3. 6. Define multiple correlation and give an example. 7. Distinguish between crude and specific death rates. 8. Describe the significance and importance of a life table. 9. What are De-Jure and De-Facto enumeration in population census? 10. Write a brief note on National Institute of Agricultural Marketing. SECTION - B Answer any FIVE questions (5 8 = 40 marks) 11. Calculate price index using Fisher's ideal formula from the following data: 2002 2003 Commodity Price Quantity Price Quantity A 10 50 12 60 B 8 30 9 32 C 5 35 7 40 12. A textile worker in Chennai earns Rs.3500 per month. The cost of living index for a particular month is given as 136. Using the following data, find out the amounts he spent on house rent and clothing: Group: Food Clothing House rent Fuel and lighting Misc. Expenditure: 1400 560 630 Group index: 180 150 100 110 80 X 13. Fit a curve of the type Y = ab to the following data and estimate for 2004. Year: 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 Population: 132 142 157 170 191 (in 1000 tons) 14. Describe one method each of i) eliminating the effect of trend from a time series and ii) measuring the seasonal variations. 15. In a trivariate distribution, it was found: r12 = 0.7 1 = 3 r23 = 0.4 2 = 4 r31 = 0.61 3 = 5 Find the regression equation of X1 on X2 and X3, when the variables are measured from their means. 16. Compute gross reproduction rate and net reproduction rate from the data given below: Age-group Female Population Female births Survival rate 15-19 13,000 300 0.9 20-24 9,000 630 0.89 25-29 8,000 480 0.88 30-34 7,000 280 0.87 35-39 6,000 150 0.85 40-44 5,000 35 0.83 17. Write an elaborate note on population census. 18. Explain in detail the developments in Fisheries and point out the welfare programmes available for Traditional Fishermen. SECTION - C Answer any TWO questions (2 20 = 40 marks) 19. a) By giving suitable examples, explain i) Splicing of index numbers ii) Deflating of prices and income (4+4) b) Show that Fisher's formula satisfies both time reversal and factor reversal tests using the following data: Base year Current year Commodity Price Quantity Price Quantity A 4 3 6 2 B 5 4 6 4 C 7 2 6 2 D 2 3 1 5 (6+6) 20. Compute seasonal indices by the ratio to moving average method from the following data: Year Quarter 2000 2001 2002 2003 I 75 86 90 100 Current production II 60 65 72 78 in 1000 tons III 54 63 66 72 IV 59 80 85 93 21. a) Calculate the multiple correlation coefficient of X1 on X2 and X3 from the following data: X1: 5 3 2 4 3 1 8 X2: 2 4 2 2 3 2 4 X3: 21 21 15 17 20 13 22 (12) b) For the problem in (a), test the significance of the population multiple correlation at 5% level of significance. (8) 22. a) Define vital statistics. What is the importance of these statistics? (5) b) Distinguish between Age specific fertility rate and General fertility rate. (5) c) Given the age returns for the two ages x = 9 years and x+1 = 10 years with a few life tale values as 9 = 75,824, 10 = 75,362, d10 = 418 and T10 = 49,53,195. Give the complete life-table for two ages of persons. (10)