Report on a workshop held on September 10, 2004 at King’s College Geography Department on Adaptations in people's rural livelihoods as a result of climatic factors and stresses in African drylands The workshop related to collaborative research between the Environment, Politics and Development Group of the Geography Department of King’s College London and CICERO (Center for International Climate and Environmental Research [Oslo]). The workshop brought together a group of researchers, including a number of postgraduate students, who have special interests in the broad area of climate and livelihoods in dryland Africa, and included some who have particular interests in the sub-theme of conflict and livelihoods in Africa which relates specifically to the CICERO-funded research. The workshop’s remit was to discuss new research and results in these areas and to attempt to identify new directions and themes within an informal venue. The workshop programme and attendance list are attached as an appendix to this report. The theme of ‘climatic factors’ was deliberately broad in order not to confine the workshop’s discussions to issues related only to definite or postulated climate change. REPORT Research on African drylands is driven by many different agendas. In an attempt to give some structure to the discussions within the workshop the report is not organized chronologically but relates the participants’ inputs and presentations to five key questions or themes identified at the beginning by Mike Mortimore, who opened the workshop. 1. Climate Change or Managing the Weather? Farmers and pastoralists in dryland Africa are accustomed to managing and adapting to unpredictable climates. There is a host of good research on this. On the other hand the threat of real shifts in climatic patterns – climate change as a result of global warming etc – now attracts major funds and dominates discourses in many circles, including the media. One effect of this is that there may be some disjuncture between problems and issues perceived and prioritized by indigenous farmers and pastoralists and those focussed on by the agencies, many academic researchers and policy makers. This is, of course, an example of the frequently noted tension in many fields between ‘local’ and ‘global’ perceptions and approaches to research questions and policy issues – tensions which geographers try to address by understanding the relationships between dynamics at different scales. This issue partly stems from the fact that local people have to focus on managing shortterm fluctuations as very few are in a position to judge longer term changes. Field researchers working with indigenous people thus also reflect this perspective. When discussing work on drylands it is therefore important to pay attention to how the research is located in relation to these points. More concretely, it is important not to assume that longstanding adaptations in livelihoods, or even more recent ones, are driven by climate change – or indeed necessarily by climate at all. Investment barriers, sheer lack of finance and/or credit, or poor market conditions may be far more essential, for example. Furthermore, diversification into other livelihoods, and possible reductions in agricultural and pastoral productivity as a result, may be due to the potential of such diversification to offer better livelihoods, rather than climatic factors/climate change. Finding ways to link the local, short-term perspectives and the research on climate change is an important issue, but as yet remains an unfulfilled challenge. Discussion and presentations: Most of the adaptations in dryland livelihoods exemplified by participants at this workshop did not relate to climate change, however broadly defined. Martin Evans' work from the Casamance did point to downward trends in rainfall which seem to be fairly longstanding and consonant with those generally observed across the West African Sahel. The salinization of local paddy fields may have been exacerbated by this factor, but in addition the non-maintenance of anti-saline dykes, for a variety of reasons including conflict, was an issue. This links to the need to identify barriers to adaptive change. Jeremy Lind's work from the Turkana region of Kenya also exemplified this question. The Turkana's livelihoods are well adapted to their dry environment and utilise a wide range of pastoralist strategies which are well known and widely discussed in the extensive pastoralist literature. Of far more immediate concern to most Turkana today is the impact of armed conflict which has created a number of barriers and distortions in these strategies. Although livestock raiding is not new in this region, there are new elements today. Conflict-related insecurity is often on a much larger scale, the arms are more deadly, and the outcomes for Turkana livelihoods are far-reaching. It has, for example, affected the nature of social groupings and mobility, livestock- and labourlending practices, and power relations within households. The sheer scale of the destruction or loss of assets, which extends far beyond livestock, has been intolerable for some and driven them from any realistic engagement with pastoralist livelihoods. Any attempt to ascribe vulnerability within the Turkana's current livelihoods mainly to climatic factors would be seriously misleading therefore. Both Lind and Evans thus showed how the effects of conflict are varied, complex and mediated through a range of processes. There was some discussion of the view that environmental stresses, including those related to climate and climate change, might be seen as triggers for some of the adaptations discussed (MP). In this view, the current scale of conflict and raiding in Turkana region, for example, would be seen as being driven by intensified struggle for natural resources as both climatic and demographic factors exacerbated the competitive claims natural to any social system. It was suggested that changes of government in Niger and Ethiopia might be attributed in part to such factors. This view was countered by the presenters at the workshop. For example, the conflict in Turkana was not over grazing lands which are the obvious 'resource' in this sort of equation. Furthermore, the frequency of livestock raiding had fallen quite significantly in the Marakwet area near Turkana in the aftermath of the December 2002 elections which saw the removal of the ruling party. This appears to be evidence of ‘external’ political and economic forces being major drivers of the negative changes in Turkana livelihoods, rather than local environmental factors (JL). In Niger there was no armed conflict or major cattle raiding (SK). Yet in Guinea Bissau, which falls outside of dryland Africa, cattle raiding across the border into neighbouring Senegal has increased recently due to conflict-related dynamics in both countries, including increased poverty and small arms proliferation. In no way could this be attributed to being driven by environmental stress, climatic or otherwise (ME). Marisa Goulden's research in Uganda included livelihood adaptations to lake level change which were clearly related to climatic fluctuations but not to climate change. Indeed the fact that one lake had re-filled in the short term had wrongfooted many people. The immense riskiness of unpredictable climates was thereby yet again exemplified. 2. What is the meaning of livelihood adaptation? There is also much research which has demonstrated how farmers and pastoralists’ livelihoods are usually made up of a diverse portfolio of income and production streams. Most of these ‘adaptations’ however are of longstanding. The question of how to identify those which are driven by, or at least partly related to, real climate change is important. The vast majority of livelihood adaptations in drylands are not related to climate change. Many of them are driven by global or local economic and/or political forces. Misidentification of causes can lead to wasted policy initiatives and resource allocation. In this respect it is always important to bear in mind issues of scale ie are the adaptations very local or more widespread; who is involved? Also a sense of history is vital – one can only judge change (or if adaptations are new) if one can relate what is happening now to how people have lived in the past. For example, is the ‘adaptation’ a real departure or has it been used before when particular sets of circumstances arose? The paucity of really long-term, reliable datasets makes such judgements particularly difficult in Africa, but probably more efforts could be made to use what is available to good effect. Oral histories and indigenous knowledge are also essential sources. Disaggregation of adaptive strategies between ones which are perceived (by researchers) to have potential for accumulation, and those which are more survivalist and short-term is an important issue. Such disaggregation is common in some fields of African inquiry, including urban-based studies. However for dryland African rural livelihoods, there was some sense that this could obscure what happens more than it could help – the term ‘coping’ strategy was largely to be eschewed, for example. However if livelihood adaptations are judged, in a broad sense, in relation to empowerment, this can be useful. It can lead on to analysis of such livelihood strategies in terms of claims and entitlements to privilege and resources and it is here, in the realm of ‘red hot politics’, that the real barriers to improved livelihoods often lie. Discussion: A further complexity in relation to adapting livelihoods is that there may be a degree of inertia to be overcome before people will ‘invest’ in some changes. Furthermore perceived risks are dynamic, altering as people adapt their livelihoods (KB). An important element of some livelihoods today is foreign exchange remittances from the international diaspora (ie beyond the remittances from intra-sub-Saharan African migrant destinations). These are important in Sudan, for example, from Saudi Arabia (KL). In Niger evidence was presented which indicated that the Wodaabe may be gradually excluded from land by the simple process of the government redefining, agroecologically, the area of the country suited to their dryland pastoral livelihoods. In this way there is increasing potential for them to be prevented from successful adaptive strategies.1 The key significance of pastoralists’ rights to land was highlighted and clearly this is independent of climate change or broader climatic influences. It was suggested that it might be possible to use the climate change debate to enhance the voices of those arguing for more secure land rights for dryland pastoralists (SuH). On the other hand there was some concern that climate change can also be used as a tool to disadvantage pastoralists yet further since it gave states or other anti-pastoralist stakeholders a seemingly inevitable scenario from which to argue that pastoralists would have to change their lifestyles in ways dictated by outsiders. In the Sudan, for example, NGOs use the ‘climate change’ terminology without much consideration for the implications (KL). In the Casamance, conflict had led to large numbers of people being internally displaced and this had led to major livelihood adaptations away from natural resource use. Indeed, in Ziguinchor, the regional capital, IDPs were found to have fewer livelihood activities related to natural resources than the average urban family(ME). Marisa Goulden's studies in Uganda indicated also that local people's prioritization of barriers to successful livelihoods did not highlight environmental factors. Health issues were very important, for example; another issue was theft of fishing nets. On the other hand, research by Katharine Vincent in South Africa on gender and environmental change did not include the issue of climate change, but it was noted that local men do argue that they perceive that the weather is changing. These studies again highlight the need to take into account local understandings of livelihood problems rather than simply try to relate such problems to more visible, often larger-scale processes – a fault evident in some research, both climate- and conflict-related. 3. Gaps between global/continental models and local-level research: a dialogue of the ‘deaf’? Environment and climate modelling is usually undertaken at the global- or very largescale, although livelihood adaptations are generally local. It is often hard to reconcile the two. In particular the workshop noted the frequent disjuncture between local research findings about what is going on in arable and livestock agriculture and the ‘big picture’. The particular example cited, which was familiar to a number of participants, was Steve Wiggins’ work which compares a wide range of local case studies of African farming, which often point to some positive trends and outcomes, with the more negative picture emanating from regional, continental or global-scale analyses. The importance of 1 A particularly useful source on this issue in relation to drylands is a recent UNDP paper, Pastoralists and mobility in drylands, Nairobi, Dryland Development Centre. ‘ground-truthing’ such broad pictures was stressed. Evidently, this is another take on the issue of ‘local’ and ‘global’ perceptions and approaches to research questions and policy issues that is identified in the first question. Discussion: This issue is one which has recently been emphasised in a series of regional texts produced by the Developing Areas Research Group of the Institute of British Geographers/Royal Geographical Society.2 Greater recognition of the need to link the local and global levels in terms of both data and policy outcomes is occurring. For example the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) has a ‘LDC Fund’ to help the least developed countries to meet their obligations under the Convention. Local knowledge and research could be fed in here. In addition there are ‘side’ events held at the annual Conference of Parties (COPs) to the UNFCCC, as well as the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). These events are led by organizations such as IIED specifically to try and address the need for greater input of people-centred development and livelihood issues (SuH). Also many countries are preparing National Adaptation Programmes of Action (NAPAs), which prioritise urgent and longer-term adaptation needs. This is another opportunity for researchers looking at local livelihood and adaptation issues to feed into climate change policy making processes. In the Sudan, KL noted that the settling of the Hawawir on an irrigation project had led to cultural tensions over the new lifestyles involved, but it was also worth noting that the settlers perceived some specific advantages including improved access to services. The cultural significance of being able to move back to their ‘home’ territory was in fact a more important priority for many, than re-engaging fully with a pastoralist lifestyle. A willingness to adapt in difficult circumstances was thus evident, as long as certain cultural values were respected. Work by Lindsay Stringer in Swaziland supported the hypothesis of a 'dialogue of the deaf'. Local people's perceptions of the main environmental stresses in their agricultural landscape point to the need for support in the form of nutrient inputs in their agricultural systems. Yet the government prefers to present the 'problem' more dramatically, with reference to unrepresentative erosion features. The unequal potential for accessing global resources to address such issues may be part of the reason. On the other hand the tendency to project exaggerated environmental conditions from emblematic, but unrepresentative, landscape features and worst case scenario erosion statistics is a common problem in sub-Saharan Africa eg in Zimbabwe and Lesotho (DP). Sometimes this tendency can be understood as a quirk in the nature of ‘scientific’ enquiry, which may seek out odd and extreme examples. However, even if such projections are not deliberately instrumental exaggeration, they may be seized upon by certain actors seeking to promote a particular policy. 4. How are natural resource/ecosystem management strategies placed within broader livelihood complexities? 2 See Potts, D. and Bowyer-Bower, T (eds), Eastern and Southern Africa: Development Challenges in a Volatile Region (Harlow, Pearsons, IBG/DARG Series, 2004) and a forthcoming volume on West Africa. Where are farmers and pastoralists focussing their own efforts? The state of the natural environment is only one of the many factors influencing their investment strategies. Education and health are two other obvious priorities, among a wide range. Households can be seen as a network of implicit contracts and natural resource management should not be seen in isolation. The management of overall levels of risk for the household can lead to trade-offs and intersectoral flows. It was acknowledged that incentives are often needed to allow effective environmental management. Within this it is important to recognise how frequently the key problem can be traced to lack of capital. Discussion and presentations: Cultural issues influencing priorities are often underplayed (SK; KL) – this was exemplified with research from Sudan (SK) and Niger (KL). In the Sudan, Kjersti Larsen’s research has shown how internally displaced Hawawir were moved onto an irrigation project after the 1970s drought. They were then repatriated in the mid-1990s to irrigation schemes set up in homeland. Today they have a range of livelihoods, the main ones being mobile pastoralism, irrigated farming, and small businesses in government established settlements. Pastoralism is still seen as an important way of managing climate constraints, nevertheless, and also as the ‘right’ livelihood by many local people. Martin Evans' work from the Casamance identified changes in household composition which were long established, as migrancy to Dakar had become an important strategy, as one factor affecting the capacity to maintain paddy fields. This outcome could not be attributed only to climatic factors therefore. 5. Whose perceptions influence the framing of ‘problems’ and the nature of ‘answers’ Views of African drylands and the pastoralists and farmers who make their livings there have been dominated by the ‘degradation juggernaut’, presented by scientists since the 1960s. Even today, after considerable input by the social sciences and humanities many institutions (eg ICRISAT) still think almost solely in terms of technical solutions (although it is necessary to remember that many such agencies have a mandate to follow and cannot easily change their research priorities). However it is important to move on from the debates over the nature and reliability of data and the issue of whether, and what sort of, environmental change is occurring, albeit these were necessary. Of greater current relevance is to to look at how to implement policies to improve livelihoods, and how to resource such positive change. Within this framework, important questions include: how equally are benefits distributed; do resource tenure structures allow beneficial adaptation; who are the most vulnerable or excluded from benefits and decision-making; and how is knowledge stored, created and used, especially in dryland areas? Who has the knowledge? Is it useful for adaptive purposes? Or inappropriate? The key significance of indigenous knowledge which, despite much research interest, still tends to be ignored at policy level needs to be much more widely acknowledged and incorporated into policies. Discussion and presentations: It is important to note that while doing nothing can be measured as costing a lot in terms of welfare and missed production, frequently there are beneficiaries of underdevelopment and policy neglect. Saverio Kratli’s study of the Wodaabe in Niger and their preferred cattle breed, the Bororo, exemplified a number of these issues about how the creation and storing of ‘knowledge’ can influence policy outcomes in deeply unfair ways. His case study did not relate to climate change but to climate unpredictability. According to the most publicised and available ‘scientific’ research within Niger and outside the breed is inferior to another, smaller breed but careful tracking of the way in which this research has been done and selectively used suggests that this is not at all clear cut. The Bororo are also very highly adapted to drought. The issue appears to link to negative state perceptions of the Wodaabe and attempts to exclude them from national resources. In Swaziland (LS) the way in which environmental issues affecting livelihoods are presented by the government is also evidence of these issues. The use of this 'knowledge' may lead to the rehabilitation of certain elements of environmental degradation, but may not address the farmers' much more pressing needs for help with nutritional depletion. Conclusion The range of questions and evidence presented at this workshop points to the continued need to realise the complexity of dryland livelihoods in sub-Saharan Africa. It was notable that climate change, per se, rarely figured as a factor in the research presented. The importance of non-climatic factors, including armed conflict, as barriers to livelihood improvements was also significant. However it should be noted that this in no way discounts the underlying, structural importance of climate and the wider physical environment as driving forces in dryland livelihoods. In part, these are givens and the adaptive outcomes are widely recognised. One danger of livelihoods approaches to analysis is that these wider, structural, issues can become virtually invisible - although normally this criticism relates to the problems of ignoring the wider political economy within which specific livelihoods are situated. Climate, in particular, is not amenable to policy initiatives at the local level. New research, and local people's priorities, understandably tend to highlight issues which may be more amenable to intervention. This is largely to be welcomed because, as discussed in the points raised above, the identification of barriers to improving livelihoods (and hopefully the development of policies to enable local people to overcome them) should be the key dryland research agenda. At the same time it remains important to continue to engage with the global climate change agenda in order to try and ensure that sub-Saharan African viewpoints and needs are properly addressed and, just as importantly, not misrepresented. Appendix 1 WORKSHOP: Adaptations in rural livelihoods as a result of climatic factors and stresses in African drylands Venue: King’s College London (Strand Campus), Geography Department [in Norfolk Building on Surrey Street, off Strand on eastern side of KCL] Time: Friday 10th September, 9.30 for 10.00 start Background The Environment, Politics and Development Research Group of King’s College London, in collaboration with CICERO (Center for International Climate and Environmental Research-Oslo) is engaged in research on the relationship between conflict and adaptations to climate factors in African drylands. This workshop will bring together a group of researchers who have special interests in the broad area of climate and livelihoods in dryland Africa, and includes some who have particular interests in the subtheme of conflict and livelihoods in Africa which relates specifically to the CICEROfunded research. As explained in our original invitation the workshop’s remit is to discuss new research and results in these areas and to identify new directions and themes. We hope to provide an informal venue in which everyone can feed in their relevant experiences and research. We are therefore keeping individual presentations to a minimum and are not expecting to circulate prepared papers etc. The morning session of the workshop will focus on general livelihood and climate issues; the afternoon session will include the conflict angle more specifically. A report on the workshop will be circulated after the meeting. This will attempt (in a most un-postmodern way) to identify useful generalizations that emerge, as well as key elements of difference and possible reasons for such differences. WORKSHOP PROGRAMME: 9.00 Coffee and registration 9.30 Introduction: Jeremy Lind and Debby Potts 10.00 Mike Mortimore: climate and livelihoods research: some central questions 10.30 Discussion 11.15 Coffee 11.30 Kjersti Larsen (University of Oslo, Ethnographic Museum): Hawawir sedentarization, Sudan 11.45 Saverio Kratli (IDS, Sussex): Bororo cattle selection among the Wodaabe of Niger 12.00 Discussion 1.00 LUNCH 2.OO Jeremy Lind (EPDG, KCL): Patterns of insecurity and impacts on livelihoods in south Turkana, Kenya 2.15 Martin Evans (EPDG, KCL): Environmental change, conflict and livelihoods: wet rice cultivation in the Casamance 2.30-3.15 Discussion 3.30-3.45 Coffee 4.OO Final Discussions CICERO WORKSHOP KCL Geography Department, September 10th 2004 Adaptations in people's rural livelihoods as a result of climatic factors and stresses in African drylands Participant List Surname Baker, Initial Kathy Bowyer-Bower Evans, Tanya Martin Goulden Marisa Huq Saleemul Krätli Larsen Saverio Kjersti Lind Mortimore Pelling Potts, Reid Slaymaker Stringer Vincent Jeremy Mike Mark Debby Hannah Tom Lindsay Katharine Affiliation KCL Geog; Envt, Politics and Devt Research Group KCL Geog; EPDG KCL Geog; EPDG UEA; Tyndall Centre Director, Climate Change Programme, IIED IDS Sussex Ethnographic Museum, University of Oslo KCL Geog; EPDG Drylands Research KCL Geog; EPDG KCL Geog; EPDG IIED ODI Sheffield U. UEA Area of interest Gambia; environment and agriculture, West Africa Drylands Rice production/salinization/Senegal/conflic t Livelihood diversity and coping with climate variability in Uganda Climate change Bororo cattle/Wodaabe/Niger Sudan Turkana/Kenya/conflict/livelihoods Drylands Environment and development Intra-rural migration, Malawi Climate change Somali and south Sudan Environmental change/Swaziland Climate change/gender/South Africa