2013 Cambridge Business & Economics Conference ISBN : 9780974211428 “and they shall beat their swords into plowshares, and their spears into pruninghooks: nation shall not lift up sword against nation, neither shall they learn war anymore” Isaiah 2;4 Managing the military way The paper will demonstrate why and how civilian organizations can benefit from utilizing methods that have been developed, tried and tested by the military for Restrictions Based Management, planning, decision making and leadership. The paper will; 1. Point out the similarities between a civilian organization / company and the military that make this a viable concept. 2. Point out a number of examples (good and bad) from which one can draw conclusions. The paper will introduce and expose the audience to the inner working of: 3. Subjecting an entire organization to an objective in a method that is set for success, 4. Identifying and taking advantage of opportunities by creating the capacity for quickly adapting to changing environments and situations. Explanation will be given to: 1. Setting objectives (what is success?), 2. Planning, 3. Prioritizing, 4. Maintaining situational awareness, 5. Identifying and utilizing power multiplying factors, 6. Building and marinating flexible structure that allows organizations to perform complex maneuvers (i.e. survive and end up ahead of the others). Discussion will be given to: 1. How to identify what portion of the methods (and to what degree) are adequate for the organization 2. How to manage this type of change. The paper will provide basic templates and examples of successful experiences. Introduction (or why do we want to learn how to manage from the military)? Ever since the beginning of time men have been fighting about everything and anything under the sun. A reasonable amount of testimonials regarding battles and military endeavors has been accumulated from ancient times up to today. It is thru these chronicles that it was possible for people in the military profession to learn what worked, what didn’t work and how to prefect their methods. As they have learned from their successes and mistakes they have also learned from each other. The two major spheres of learnings are the technical and the methodology. The flow of information brought with it July 2-3, 2013 Cambridge, UK 1 2013 Cambridge Business & Economics Conference ISBN : 9780974211428 an evolution of military methodologies in thinking, executing and educating the next generations of solders and commanders. As war is a great endeavor, for any state, it holds great risks and promises great rewards. Armies - tool for waging war are a complex and expensive. The factors they deal with are; the state’s leader goal, the enemy, the terrain and the resources at hand. They are always out to achieve the goal that was set to them. Armies deal in: breaking stalemate, changing the Equilibrium, creating favorable conditions for leaders to capitalize on by, o Utilizing assets (men and material) to carry out actions that will bring forth the change. o Creating and capitalizing on circumstances to their favor. We want to learn from the military because of the: 1. Similarities: (just a few) 1. The need to define goals at all levels 2. Measurable Goal oriented. 3. Develop actions. 4. Operating in a continues changing environment. 5. Resource restricted. 6. Utilize people and equipment. 2. The 2000 years of proven, documented, analyzed failures to learn from (the military methodologies have a proven 50% rate of success). 3. National level resource investment in creating and refining methodologies across the board. 4. Simplified guidelines for complicated situation. 5. Pushing the envelope. 6. An old establishment continuously changing. 7. A learning organization. • As in every case the conclusions are only as good as the data is. July 2-3, 2013 Cambridge, UK 2 2013 Cambridge Business & Economics Conference ISBN : 9780974211428 Some military definitions and principals Purpose of war: Disrupting the Equilibrium and by change, creating favorable conditions to support higher echelon goals. War is conducted in a restriction based environment by: 1. Terrain. 2. Enemy. 3. Resources. 4. Time. “The military way” or the Essence of Military Thinking! “The art of war is of vital importance”. Structured processes (planning and decision making,). Exercise caution not hesitance. Risk versus gain – taking calculated risks. Plan for the next war and remember the last war. “If victory is long in coming, you will exhaust your strength”. Utilizing the “spirit de core”. Understanding the challenges. Clear (not necessary simple) goals Deriving from upper echelon (Not necessary realistic). 10. Multi discipline joint efforts. 11. Creating leverages for higher echelons. 12. Planning everything and take advantage of circumstances. 13. Preparations and improvisation. 14. Overall commitment to the goal. 15. Identification and Use of force multipliers – 1. Leadership as a tool. 2. Communication (meetings, technical means). 3. Technology. 16. Achieve and maintain situational awareness. 17. Competency at all levels. (G.I. Joe - CURREY, FRANCIS S) 18. Calculated risks (or not so calculated – “Market Garden”) 19. Train and educate - Training, education, and job experience gained during operational assignments. 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. The principles of war 1. Objective. support the higher echelon, be realistic 2. Concentration of effort. Take action that will make a difference. 3. Unity of command (as demanded by Ike on the eve of the invasion to Europe). 4. Cooperation between different disciplines. July 2-3, 2013 Cambridge, UK 3 2013 Cambridge Business & Economics Conference ISBN : 9780974211428 5. Complexity of planning Simplicity in exaction. 6. Economy. Plan by need. 7. Flexibility. Allow for and define leverage. 8. Initiative (Attack, Maneuver). 9. Surprise and Deception. 10. Chase. (Pharaoh, Sherman, Lee) opportunism. 11. Security and Reserve. 12. Logistics. 13. Morale. July 2-3, 2013 Cambridge, UK 4 2013 Cambridge Business & Economics Conference ISBN : 9780974211428 The Planning (and preparation) process • “The devil is in the details” • “They who have a structured thought process sometime fail. They who have no structured thought process sometime succeed.” (Brig.Gen A. Moran) • “No plan stand the test of battle” (Gen. H. Guderian) • “In preparing for battle I have always found that plans are useless, but planning is indispensable”. (Dwight D. Eisenhower) For want of a nail For want of a nail the shoe was lost. For want of a shoe the horse was lost. For want of a horse the rider was lost. For want of a rider the battle was lost. For want of a battle the kingdom was lost. And all for the want of a horseshoe nail. (Written about the battle of Bosworth 22 august 1485 where King Richard the third Lost the thrown to Henry vii father of Henry the viii) July 2-3, 2013 Cambridge, UK 5 2013 Cambridge Business & Economics Conference ISBN : 9780974211428 The planning process The purpose of the military planning process is to: • Analyze the given task, • Set task objectives. • Create options that adhere to main restrictions time / Cost / compatibility with defined mission. • Choose the best option according to set criteria • Improve on the chosen solution and turn it into a workable plan. Flow • Receipt of mission (defined by higher echelon) • Mission analysis • Cdr mission statement (guideline for planning Course Of Action - COA) and objectives. • COA development • COA analysis • COA comparison • COA selection • COA modification as a final plan. (tested against the principles of war) • Orders production The importance and benefit of developing the COA is having a broader structured view at the problem and different angles of solution rather than acting on impulse or based on tunnel vision that leads to the concept of “Post hoc ergo propter hoc” ("after this, therefore because of this"). COA development guidelines 1. Analyzing the mission, (terrain) environment, enemy, other restrictions. 2. “Zero resource planning” (to answer the principles of war) as per Cdr guidelines. Explore the fastest, the cheapest and the most simple COA COA 1. Raw data layout. 2. Reverse engineering. 3. Breakdown to sub missions and best solution (for resources and time). 4. Put back as a full plan. 5. Identify weaknesses and resolve. 6. Identify the critical path and secure / open bottlenecks. July 2-3, 2013 Cambridge, UK 6 2013 Cambridge Business & Economics Conference ISBN : 9780974211428 COA comparison and selection process COA 1 COA 2 COA 3 Selected & adjusted COA Objective. Concentration of effort. Unity of command. Cooperation. Simplicity. Economy. Flexibility. Initiative. Surprise and deception Chase. Security and Reserve Logistics. Morale July 2-3, 2013 Cambridge, UK 7 2013 Cambridge Business & Economics Conference ISBN : 9780974211428 Setting Objectives Strategic objective – a definition by the highest echelon describing the desired end state. The objective structure is composed of “who”, “what”, “when” & usually “in order to”. The “who” is vague and the how is not described the to allow the lower level to come up with a plan on it’s own. Example: D DAY OBJECTIVES: “The objective of the AEF for the first 40 days is to create a lodgment that would include the cities of Caen and Cherbourg (especially Cherbourg, for its deep-water port). Subsequently, there would be a breakout from the lodgment to liberate Brittany and its Atlantic ports, and to advance to a line roughly 125 miles (190 km) to the southwest of Paris, from Le Havre through Le Mans to Tours, so that after ninety days the Allies would control a zone bounded by the rivers Loire in the south and Seine in the northeast’. July 2-3, 2013 Cambridge, UK 8 2013 Cambridge Business & Economics Conference ISBN : 9780974211428 Operative objectives - describe the means by which a strategic objective will be obtained and will include; 1. The higher echelon objectives, 2. The said unit’s objective and a heads up for it’s next objective. 3. The means and restrictions. Example: Objective: “First battalion will obtain enemy stronghold 123 by attacking from east to west along the road to A no later then 1am in order to provide suppressing fire on enemy stronghold 456 and allow Second battalion to take enemy stronghold 456 and be ready to serve as regiment reserve” “Who will do what by restriction no later then time in order to what and allow who (other than the said unit) to other unit’s mission and be ready for the next mission”. Method Method: a four phase movement where a) In phase one Charley company will be positioned at point Mary and will be ready to provide suppressing fire No later than mm/dd/hh:mm. a) In phase two David company will commence the assault on the parameter of AS 123. a) In phase three Echo company will go thru David company and complete the movement and provide parameter security. a) In phase four Charley Company will join the rest of the battalion and David company will be providing suppressing fire for Second battalion assault on AS456. the rest of the battalion will make ready to act as regimental reserve. David Company will join as soon as its mission is complete. July 2-3, 2013 Cambridge, UK 9 2013 Cambridge Business & Economics Conference Phase Charley Company David Company 1 From dd/hh:mm to dd/hh:mm positioned at point Mary and will be ready to provide suppressing fire Make ready to assault parameter of AS 123 2 From dd/hh:mm to dd/hh:mm Positioned at point Mary and will be ready to provide suppressing fire ISBN : 9780974211428 3 From dd/hh:mm to dd/hh:mm At the entrance point to join the rest of the battalion on AS123 AS123. and make ready to act as regimental reserve Assault Provide close parameter of AS suppressing fire for David company and 123 move to position to provide suppressing fire for Second battalion assault on AS456 Echo Company Behind David Behind David go thru David company company in company in and complete securing formation. formation AS123 and provide parameter security. Logistics Point Mary Point Mary Point Mary Medical Point Mary ready receive casualties & medevac. Point Mary ready receive casualties & medevac. Point Mary ready receive casualties & medevac. Command post With Charley Behind David With David Company Company at Company at identifying AS456 parameter of AS Mary 123 July 2-3, 2013 Cambridge, UK 4 From dd/hh:mm to dd/hh:mm provide suppressing fire for Second battalion assault on AS456 make ready to act as regimental reserve Point Mary Provide Amo reload and provisions Point Mary ready receive casualties & medevac. Replenish supply and be ready to act as regimental reserve Forming battalion rally point and ready to act as regimental reserve at Mary 10 2013 Cambridge Business & Economics Conference ISBN : 9780974211428 Adaptation: Tire management Goal: Minimize the effect of HME tire shortage and price hike in order to maintained operational capacity of M4.5 tpa and hold to this year tire budget by implementing a tire utilization plan. Method Create and implement a combined tire utilization plan no later then April 29 that will include: 1. Maximizing tire life. 2. Reducing new tire inventory to free funds for as needed purchase on top of the budget. Mile Stones 1. Choose the vendor that will remove new tire inventory, hold tires on consignment and provide service. 1. Conduct tire survey. 2. Set utilization benchmarks. 3. Identify external impacting factors on tire life and put in place protocol to remove / increases them. 1. Set tire rotation and procurement plan. 2. Continues monitoring. 1 Choose the vendor that will remove new tire inventory, hold tires on consignment and provide service. No later then 4/1 2 Conduct survey and present findings no later then 3/7 3 Set utilization benchmarks no later then 3/20 4 5 6 Identify external impacting Set tire rotation Continues factors on tire life and put and procurement monitoring. in place protocol to remove plan no later then / increases them. 4/14. No later then 3/30 Vendor Quarry management Procurement Quarry staff July 2-3, 2013 Cambridge, UK 11 2013 Cambridge Business & Economics Conference ISBN : 9780974211428 Managing Chaos by situational awareness Although planning according to objectives is an effort to create a controlled, manageable environment, the military has acknowledged that “no plan can stand the test of battle”. To overcome the obstacle of working in un-controlled environment the military has adopted the methodology of command and control - The understanding of Chaos and the tools to work thru it is the essence of leading successful military operations. The technique is obtaining and maintaining situational awareness. That essence can be adopted and utilized by any organization. Chaos Small differences in initial conditions (such as those due to rounding errors in numerical computation) yield widely diverging outcomes for chaotic systems, rendering long-term prediction impossible in general.[1] This happens even though these systems are deterministic, meaning that their future behavior is fully determined by their initial conditions, with no random elements involved.[2] In other words, the deterministic nature of these systems does not make them predictable.[3] This behavior is known as deterministic chaos, or simply chaos. Situational awareness, or SA, is the perception of environmental elements with respect to time and/or space, the comprehension of their meaning, and the projection of their status after some variables has changed. It concerned with perception of the environment critical to decision-makers in complex, dynamic areas from military C&C, to driving a car. Situation awareness (SA) involves being aware of what is happening around you to understand how information, events, and your own actions will impact your goals and objectives, both now and in the near future. Lacking SA or having inadequate SA has been identified as one of the primary factors in accidents attributed to human error Thus, SA is especially important in work domains where the information flow can be quite high and poor decisions may lead to serious consequences. July 2-3, 2013 Cambridge, UK 12 2013 Cambridge Business & Economics Conference ISBN : 9780974211428 Obtaining and maintaining situational awareness - Observe, Orient Decide, Act OODA • • • • • Observe the situation— take in information about our own status, our surroundings, and our enemy. Orient to it— estimates, assumptions, analyses, and judgments about the situation create a cohesive mental image. What the situation means to us. Act. disseminating the decision, supervising to ensure proper execution, and monitoring results through feedback, Having acted, we have changed the situation, and so the cycle begins again. Note - Organizations with multiple decision makers, multiple OODA loops spin simultaneously, although not necessarily at the same speed, as commanders exercise command and control at their own level and locale. The OODA loop turns at different speeds at different levels, triggered by the pace of events or by time. The more complex the system the more loops are created and run at different speeds, some of them interacting with others. In order to get to the orient level an additional process has been identified by the military as a key, turning data into decision supporting information. The process involves building a (as close to true as possible) panoramic view picture. This fact based, well rounded balanced picture provides the decision makers the perceptions of reality and allows him to make the best decision possible. July 2-3, 2013 Cambridge, UK 13 2013 Cambridge Business & Economics Conference ISBN : 9780974211428 Turning data into decision supporting information. Data comes in different formats from verbal accounts to visual live streaming video feed. The amount of available data is overwhelming as well. To be able to make knowledge based decision there is a need to build a balanced picture. That picture should be simple to understand by the competent commander on one hand , and be accurate and provide the drill down opportunity on the other. The process of driving the raw data to decision supporting information is described in the following flow charts. July 2-3, 2013 Cambridge, UK 14 2013 Cambridge Business & Economics Conference July 2-3, 2013 Cambridge, UK ISBN : 9780974211428 15 2013 Cambridge Business & Economics Conference ISBN : 9780974211428 Systematically working with this method allows the decision maker the best use of his time where he can “cut thru the chase” and deal with the core issues yet maintain the ability to dig to the root i.e. raw data source, when he thinks it necessary. Another major component of chaos control is prioritizing. July 2-3, 2013 Cambridge, UK 16 2013 Cambridge Business & Economics Conference ISBN : 9780974211428 Prioritizing (Precedence, especially established by order of importance or urgency. An established right to precedence. An authoritative rating that establishes such precedence. A preceding or coming earlier in time. Something afforded or deserving prior attention.) As “no plan stands the test of battle” circumstances change and so will the priorities. Priorities determine resource allocation and are subject to validation criteria. Prioritizing is the main ingredient in the decision phase of the OODA loop. – Prioritizing and allocating resources. – Criteria for priorities: • Validity (compared to list of values). • Impact on us. • Life span (Time to next evolution). • Future risk. – When a group of unrelated targets are at the same priority it is commonly defined as a “bottleneck”. – The attached table demonstrates the set of values used to prioritize allocation of resources. Target Resource Commander's plan What supports the general plan Location What resource can be utilized. Type What resource can negotiate the target? Size What is the minimal effect required to negotiate this target Time For how long is this target valid (window of opportunity) what resource is available? Risk What is the risk to the resource? For how long will the resource be occupied by the target July 2-3, 2013 Cambridge, UK 17 2013 Cambridge Business & Economics Conference ISBN : 9780974211428 Force Multipliers: Force multipliers refer to a set of tools that increase the efficiency of organizations without major investment. Many organizations tend to take a life of their own and relapse to a performance state within their comfort zone. That performance standard usually doesn’t support the common goal. Force multiplier tools are driven and utilized by the organization leadership. Here are some examples: 1. Decision making process. (protocol). 2. Documentation. 3. RCA 4. Real time DSS. (some hardware and protocol like mine dispatching tools, integrated tools, fleet management tools) 5. Proficiency (thru training) at all levels. 6. Unit cohesion. 7. Leadership. Understanding that someone has walked this path before us and created the methodology and tools to define objectives and achieve them in a very affective way opens up an opportunity for organizations to better themselves and deal with changing environments. Weather its growth or declining markets the military has been there before (chase and organized retreat). The utilization of the same methodologies at all levels of the organization makes for smother faster understanding and adherence of high level decisions by the ground level “troops”. Everyone speaks the same language. It also has the benefit of assisting the organization in building the next generation of managers. As much as its structured and rigid as a format of doing business it allows looking at situations from different angles that lead to innovation and out of the box solutions. It eliminates the “we have always done it this way” tunnel vision. As we work in volatile environments the structure helps us push further the loss of focus when pressure sets in. Learning and training are a major part of the military discipline that has been neglected by other organizations as not profit generating therefore not important. The military is associated with war, forcefulness and destruction. Humanity has perfected the art of destruction to a science. Yet with all it’s horrible consequences it has brought great developments and achievements that the modern world benefits from. This work was done in the spirit of “and they shall beat their swords into plowshares, and their spears into pruninghooks: nation shall not lift up sword against nation, neither shall they learn war anymore” Isaiah 2;4 July 2-3, 2013 Cambridge, UK 18