2008 Oxford Business &Economics Conference Program ISBN : 978-0-9742114-7-3 RISING ECONOMIC INEQUALITY AND CLASS DIVISIONS IN AMERICA: FROM A MASS TO A CLASS MARKET Y. Datta Ph. D.--State University of New York at Buffalo Professor Emeritus College of Business Administration Northern Kentucky University Highland Heights, KY 41099 7539, Tiki Av. Cincinnati, OH 45243 USA Tel :(513) 984-1032 [Home] E-Mail: datta@nku.edu A paper accepted for presentation at the Oxford Business & Economics Conference, to be held in Oxford, England, June 22-24, 2008 June 22-24, 2008 Oxford, UK 1 2008 Oxford Business &Economics Conference Program ISBN : 978-0-9742114-7-3 (Revised) Table of Contents RISING ECONOMIC INEQUALITY AND CLASS DIVISIONS IN AMERICA: FROM A MASS TO A CLASS MARKET .................................................................................................. 1 ABSTRACT ................................................................................................................................... 5 INTRODUCTION ....................................................................................................................... 5 MIDDLE CLASS ON A PATH OF RELENTLESS ECONOMIC STAGNATION ....... 7 From One-Income to Dual-Income Family ............................................................................ 8 The Elusive “Middle Class Dream” ........................................................................................ 9 Massive Transfer of Economic Risk to the Middle Class ...................................................... 9 Changing Social Values Widen Economic Inequality ......................................................... 10 THE RICHEST ARE LEAVING EVEN THE RICH FAR BEHIND ................................... 12 Top Executives Replace Capital Owners at the Top of U.S. Income Hierarchy ........ 12 CEO Compensation Going through the Roof ...................................................................... 12 The “Class Matters” Study .................................................................................................... 13 The “Superstar” Model and the “Winner-Take-All Society”............................................. 14 Sharp Increase in Concentration of Wealth ......................................................................... 14 AN ECONOMIC CLASS STRUCTURE OF AMERICA ...................................................... 16 The Poor ................................................................................................................................... 18 The “Near Poor” ..................................................................................................................... 18 The Traditional Middle Class ................................................................................................ 18 Upper Middle Class and Upper Class ................................................................................... 18 A SOCIO-ECONOMIC CLASS PROFILE OF AMERICA .................................................. 20 Where They Generally Shop? ................................................................................................ 22 The new middle-class consumer. ......................................................................................... 22 The ultra-economy segment................................................................................................. 22 The economy segment. ......................................................................................................... 23 June 22-24, 2008 Oxford, UK 2 2008 Oxford Business &Economics Conference Program ISBN : 978-0-9742114-7-3 The Poor--“Survival” (“Bottom of the Pyramid”) ............................................................... 24 The “Near Poor”--“Just Making It” ..................................................................................... 25 The Traditional “Middle” Class: From “Keeping up with the Joneses” to “Good Quality Public Schools in Suburbia” .................................................................................................. 27 The Upper Middle Class—“Cultured Affluence” ................................................................ 29 The Rich: Conspicuous Consumption” ................................................................................. 30 The Mega-Rich: “Masters of the Universe” and “Keeping up with the Gateses” ............ 32 “Keeping up with the Gateses.” ........................................................................................... 33 “Luxury goes undercover.” ................................................................................................. 33 “My boat is bigger than your boat.” .................................................................................... 34 Return of the butler and live-in servants............................................................................. 35 DISCUSSION .............................................................................................................................. 35 From a Mass to a Class Market ............................................................................................. 36 Mass Market was a Unifying Force in America ................................................................... 37 Sharpening of Class Divisions Causing Social Tensions ..................................................... 38 The Wealthy Isolating Themselves from Society ............................................................. 38 Upward Economic Mobility Stalled in America .................................................................. 39 A Matter of Equity .................................................................................................................. 40 Wages decoupled from productivity. ................................................................................... 40 Wages lag corporate profits. ................................................................................................ 40 Secretary pays a higher average tax rate than her billionaire boss. .................................. 41 CONCLUSION ........................................................................................................................... 41 REFERENCES ............................................................................................................................ 44 TABLE 1 ...................................................................................................................................... 49 Threshold Incomes of Top 5% American Families in 2005 .................................................... 49 TABLE 2 ...................................................................................................................................... 51 An Economic Class Structure of America ................................................................................ 51 TABLE 3 ...................................................................................................................................... 53 A Socio-Economic Class Profile of America ............................................................................. 53 June 22-24, 2008 Oxford, UK 3 2008 Oxford Business &Economics Conference Program ISBN : 978-0-9742114-7-3 June 22-24, 2008 Oxford, UK 4 2008 Oxford Business &Economics Conference Program ISBN : 978-0-9742114-7-3 RISING ECONOMIC INEQUALITY AND CLASS DIVISIONS IN AMERICA: FROM A MASS TO A CLASS MARKET ABSTRACT Here I have two objectives. First, I present empirical support for the argument that economic inequality has sharply increased in America over the last three decades. My second objective is to develop a socio-economic class profile of America. I first develop the current economic class structure of America, using income data. This analysis reveals three broad groups: the lower class (the bottom 40%), the middle class (40-95th percentile), and the upper class (the top 5%). A further refinement ultimately yields a total of six economic classes (TABLES 1-2). Next, building on the first step, I invoke Datta’s (1996) integrated framework of market segmentation: a framework that provides a direct link to the resourcebased theory of strategic management. Combining economic class with price-quality segmentation, I finally present a socio-economic class profile of America that attempts to articulate the life style of each class (TABLE 3). INTRODUCTION From 1942 to the mid-1970s, a “great leveling” of incomes occurred between classes in America (Rasmus, 2007). Then, three decades later, the “hourglass of history was inverted” (p. 1). This “great leveling,” after a brief break from 1974-1978, turned out to be a “great reversal” (p. 1). From the mid-1970s, until the present time, the income gap has again been getting wider, as it was in the 1920s that led to the Great Depression. Objective of This Paper June 22-24, 2008 Oxford, UK 5 2008 Oxford Business &Economics Conference Program ISBN : 978-0-9742114-7-3 In this paper my purpose is two-fold. First I try to present empirical support for the assertion that economic inequality has sharply increased in America over the last three decades. My second objective is to develop a socio-economic class profile of America. In the next section I present data showing that since 1973 median family income has virtually remained s tatic, even when women have increasingly joined the workforce. Next, I make the case that the economic inequality—both in income and in wealth--has reached such heights that the richest are leaving even the rich far behind! After that I present an economic class structure of America in which I identify the following six main classes (TABLES 1-2): The Upper Class I The Mega-Rich (top .01%) The Upper Class II The Rich (top 0.1- .01) The Very-Affluent (top 1-0.1% The Affluent (top 5-1%) Upper Middle Class (80-95th percentile) Traditional Middle Class (40-80 th percentile) The “Near Poor” (20-40 th percentile) The Poor (the bottom 20%) In the next section I present a socio-economic class profile of America (TABLE 3). This profile is based on two factors: (1) the economic class structure of TABLE 2, and (2) Datta’s (1996) integrated framework of market segmentation. June 22-24, 2008 Oxford, UK 6 2008 Oxford Business &Economics Conference Program ISBN : 978-0-9742114-7-3 Finally, in the Discussion section, I raise several issues: that America has gone from a mass to a class market ; that the mass market in the past was a unifying force in America; that this sharpening of class divisions is causing social tensions; that the wealthy are isolating themselves from society; and that upward economic mobility is stalled in America. Finally, I raise the issue of equity for the middle class. MIDDLE CLASS ON A PATH OF RELENTLESS ECONOMIC STAGNATION Even though the overall economy--and per-capita income--has been growing since 1973, it has not helped the middle and lower classes. The median family income has practically remained stagnant even when wives have increasingly joined husbands in the workforce. Based on data from the U.S. Census Bureau, the median family income went up a mere 7%—from $40,400 to $43,200 in 1996 dollars--over the 23-year period from 1973-1996 (Levy, 1998, p. 50). During the same period, the U.S. gross domestic product (GDP) grew at an average rate of 3.1% per year1. The median family income from 1997 to 2005 rose just 4% (in 2005 dollars) from $54,056 to $56,194 (Economic Report of the President, 2006, TABLE, B-33)2. Looking at a somewhat different time period from 1979 to 2003, the results were not much different. The median family income rose 12.6% during this 24-year time period (Frank, Based on data from Table B4, "Economic Report of the President, 2006.” http://www.gpoaccess.gov/eop/tables06.html. 1 2 During this nine-year period the U.S. GDP grew at an average rate of 3.3% (see footnote 1 for source). June 22-24, 2008 Oxford, UK 7 2008 Oxford Business &Economics Conference Program ISBN : 978-0-9742114-7-3 2007, chap 2). However, while the income of the bottom quintile went up a measly 3.5%, the top 20% gained 45.7%, and the top 5% had a raise of 68% (ibid). The real wages of production or non-supervisory workers in the private sector fared much worse. They declined 16% between 1973 and 2006 ("Economic Report of the President," 2007, Table B-47). [http://www.gpoaccess.gov/eop/tables07.html]. Warren (2007: 39) looked at the wages of fully-employed males over the period 19712003. She found that today’s American male earns $800 less per year than his father did more than thirty years ago. Krugman (1997) characterizes the period of 1947-73 as the “good” years which looks like an all-American “picket fence"--representing a prosperity that was widespread. In contrast, the 1974-94, a “troubled” period, projects a radically different view: "a staircase, with some of the steps below ground level" (pp. 21-22)1. From One-Income to Dual-Income Family In the 1950s the median family income largely represented the earnings of one working spouse (Barlett & Steele, 1992: xiv). A generation ago, an average working wife earned only a quarter of a family’s income (Warren & Tyagi, 2003: 29). Then many families regarded the income earned by women as mere “pin money” (ibid). By the mid-1980s, more than two-thirds of all young wives were working (Coontz, 1992: 266). In 1976, a married woman was more than twice as likely to stay at home to take 1 His comments are based on family income data from the U.S. Census Bureau. June 22-24, 2008 Oxford, UK 8 2008 Oxford Business &Economics Conference Program ISBN : 978-0-9742114-7-3 care of her children, rather than work full time (Warren & Tyagi, 2003: 30). In 2000, she was twice as likely to work full time than stay at home (ibid)1. The Elusive “Middle Class Dream” Levy (1988: 206) says that any definition of a “middle-class income” is arbitrary. One way to visualize middle class is the minimum annual income necessary “to fulfill the middle class dream,” i.e., a middle-class standard of living. He points out that, prior to 1973, when incomes were going up this purchasing-power definition was identical to being in the middle of the income distribution. However, from 1973 the two definitions started to diverge, and occupying the middle of the distribution no longer ensured a middle class standard of living. Levy’s (1988: 206) estimate to “fulfill the middle class dream” in 1984 was at-least $30,000. He adds that the percentage of a family earning $30,000 or more (in 1984 dollars) declined from 51% in 1973 to 45% in 1984, even though an increasing proportion of wives were entering the labor force, and an increase in the proportion of young workers who postponed their marriage. In 2005, this percentage had dropped to 30%.2 According to the latest survey, the “American Dream”--the middle class standard of living--means “having a good job, being able to retire in security, owning a home, having affordable health care, and a better future for [our] children (Crain & Kalleberg, 2007: 4). Massive Transfer of Economic Risk to the Middle Class 1 At present 54% of women are working full time (http://www.womenemployed.org/index.php?id=20). While an income of $30,000, or more, could fulfill a family’s “middle class dream” in 1984, a family would need an income of $56, 391—or more--(inflation-adjusted) in 2005. In 2005, only about 30`% of families were making an income of $56, 391 or more. Source: U.S. Census Bureau Table FINC-06—Part 1 for 2006: (http://pubdb3.census.gov/macro/032006/faminc/toc.htm). 2 June 22-24, 2008 Oxford, UK 9 2008 Oxford Business &Economics Conference Program ISBN : 978-0-9742114-7-3 The number of American workers, and their dependents, who do not have health insurance has been going up steadily over the past twenty five years, as corporations have increasingly curtailed their coverage. During a two year period over 80 million adults and children find themselves at some time without the protection against catastrophic health costs (Hacker, 2007: 67). About twenty five years ago 83 % of medium and large firms provided traditional “defined-benefit” pension plans that gave their employees a fixed benefit for life. Today, less than one third of the companies are doing so (Hacker, 2007: 67). Hacker (2007: 68) says that this dramatic shift in coverage is being offered as a “nirvana of individual economic management.” This is the same idea championed by President George W. Bush in his seductive call for an ‘ownership society.’ Skeptics say that this would imply YOYO: “you are on your own” (Lawrence, 2005). In response to this development, Hacker (2007: 68) has this to say: [This is a] massive transfer of economic risk from broad structures of insurance, both corporate and governmental, onto the fragile balance sheets of American families. This transformation, which I call “the great risk shift,” is the defining feature of the contemporary economy, as important as the shift from agriculture to industry a century ago (italics added). Changing Social Values Widen Economic Inequality Long-term demographic changes, triggered by social movements and changing social values1, have also added significantly to the widening of economic inequality in America. These changes include divorces, marital separations, births out of wedlock, and increasing age at first marriage. Thus, this change in social mores has led to a shift from married-couple households to 1 McLanahan (2007) argues that the lower rate of marriage among less educated adults is accounted for by both economic factors and values. June 22-24, 2008 Oxford, UK 10 2008 Oxford Business &Economics Conference Program ISBN : 978-0-9742114-7-3 single-parent families and nonfamily households. Since single-parent and non-married-couple households tend to have lower income--compared to married-couple households--the swelling of their ranks has further added to the growing income inequality1. A statistic commonly repeated in the news media is that one of two American marriages ends in a divorce. However, this figure is based on an erroneous calculation. Research based on a new method, now preferred by social scientists, suggests that the rate has never been higher than 41% (Hurley, 2005). The American divorce rate tripled between 1960 and 1982 (Coontz, 1992: 3). However, it peaked in 1981 and is now at the lowest level since 1970 (Crary, 2007). Divorce as a social phenomenon has had a devastating effect on divorced women—and the children in their custody—many of whom fall out of the middle class: an important factor in the “feminization of poverty” (Phillips, 1993: 30). The Economist is reporting another disquieting trend. Whereas, the divorce rate among the more educated--and more affluent--Americans has been dropping, it has been going in the opposite direction among the poor and those with low levels of education. And this is further fueling income inequality in America (The frayed knot, 2007). With the widespread entry of women in professional ranks, following the feminist movement, a new marriage pattern emerged sometime ago. In the past it was common for an executive to marry a pretty secretary, or for a doctor to marry a nurse. Now an executive is much more likely to marry another executive or a professional. Doctors, too, are now marrying 1 (http://www.census.gov/hhes/www/income/midclass/midclsan.html). June 22-24, 2008 Oxford, UK 11 2008 Oxford Business &Economics Conference Program ISBN : 978-0-9742114-7-3 other doctors, not nurses. This new marriage pattern has created a highly affluent professional family—typified by yuppies—thus further inflating income inequality (Ehrenreich, 1986). THE RICHEST ARE LEAVING EVEN THE RICH FAR BEHIND Although it is no secret that the gap between the rich and everyone has been getting wider, but the extent to which the richest are leaving even the rich way behind is not widely known (Class matters, 2005, chap. 12). Top Executives Replace Capital Owners at the Top of U.S. Income Hierarchy Piketty and Saez1 (2007) have conducted a massive study of income inequality in America from 1913-2002. They report that in 2000 the income of top 1% of families—including both the top executives and capital owners—went back to its very high levels around the time of World War II. At the end of 2000 their share was close to 17% (Piketty, 2007: 11-12). However, they point out that this very large increase since then “is not due to the revival of top capital incomes, but rather due to the very large increases in top wages (especially top executive compensation).” So, during the twentieth century, the working rich—top executives— have replaced the top capital owners--the ‘rentiers’—at the pinnacle of the U.S. income hierarchy (Piketty, 2007: 11; italics added). CEO Compensation Going through the Roof The compensation of American CEOs has virtually been going through the roof. In 1973, the CEOs of America's largest companies earned 35 times as much as the average worker; by the mid-1990s they were earning 200 times as much (Hacker, 1997, chap. 6). A more recent study 1 This study was originally published in the Quarterly Journal of Economics (Feb. 2003) under the title: Income Inequality in the United States: 1913-1998. June 22-24, 2008 Oxford, UK 12 2008 Oxford Business &Economics Conference Program ISBN : 978-0-9742114-7-3 has found that, for every one dollar earned by a blue-collar worker, an American CEO’s pay has gone up from $42 in 1980, to $85 in 1990, and $531 in 2000 (Teacher, 2005). The above information seems to be consistent with the findings of Piketty & Saez (2007) reported above. The “Class Matters” Study The New York Times published a series of articles, which were later published as a paperback in 2005, titled: “Class Matters.” One objective of the authors was to study how the incomes—based on federal income tax returns--of the very richest have changed over the years, and how the Bush tax cuts will affect them.1 The top 0.1% (one thousandth) taxpayers--145,000 in number--had a minimum income of $1.6 million, and an average income of $3 million in 2002—a figure two and a half times the group’s average income in 1980 (inflation adjusted). The income earned by this group more than doubled since the 1970s. In 2000, its share of the total U.S. income exceeded 10%--a level last observed in the 1920s. However, it is the top .01% (one ten-thousandth) of the taxpayers—about 14,000 families then—that made the most dazzling gains in income. Each family earned $5.5 million or more in 2002. The study calls the top .01% as the hyper-rich. Over the last three decades, they have been the biggest winners in an extraordinary transformation of the American economy. One way to gauge how gargantuan their income gains have been is to compare them with, say, the lower 90%. During 1950 to 1970, the top .01% earned a “measly” $162 extra for every dollar earned 1 The U.S. Treasury Department does not differentiate the incomes of those within the top 1%. So, the authors relied upon a computer model of the department. They had their income projections reviewed by experts from various organizations—including the Treasury—who found the projections reasonable (Class matters, 2005, chap 12). June 22-24, 2008 Oxford, UK 13 2008 Oxford Business &Economics Conference Program ISBN : 978-0-9742114-7-3 by the bottom 90%. But from 1990 to 2002, they pulled in a whopping $18,000 more than each dollar earned by the bottom 90% (Class matters, 2005, chap. 12). The “Superstar” Model and the “Winner-Take-All Society” The entertainment and sports industries have traditionally been identified with the “superstar” model where minor differences in performance result in huge differences in reward (Krugman, 1994: 149). Frank and Cook (1996) argue that since 1975 or so America has become a winner-take-all society, in which more and more people are competing for ever fewer and bigger prizes. They suggest that this model has now permeated almost the entire economy, and includes such areas as fashion, media, investment banking, the legal and medical professions, higher education, and even management itself. Sharp Increase in Concentration of Wealth The pattern of income distribution indicated above is also reflected in the distribution of wealth. The 1990s saw an explosive growth in millionaires and multimillionaires (Wolff, 2002: 3). Since 1995, according to the Federal Reserve Board, the number of millionaire households doubled to more than eight million in 2003, and had climbed to 11 million in 2004 (Frank, 2007: 1-2). Wolff (2002: 8) states that wealth inequality was at a seventy year high in 1998. While the highest 1% of households owned 38% of total household wealth, the top 5% controlled 59% (Multinational Monitor, 2003). Wolff’s (2002: 2) comments below are noteworthy: Examination of the data on wealth distribution leads to a disturbing question: Is America still the land of opportunity? The growing divergence between income distribution and wealth is even starker in wealth distribution. Equalizing trends during the 1930s through the 1970s reversed sharply in the 1980s. The gap between the haves and have-nots is greater now—at the start of the twenty first century— June 22-24, 2008 Oxford, UK 14 2008 Oxford Business &Economics Conference Program ISBN : 978-0-9742114-7-3 than at any time since 1929. The sharp increase in inequality since the late 1970s has made wealth distribution in the United States more unequal than it is in what used to be perceived as the class ridden societies of northwestern Europe (italics added). Wolff (2002: 36) has also made a comparison of wealth ownership between America and industrialized European countries, Canada, and Japan. His conclusion is that “wealth inequality in the United States is high by international standards” (italics added). He adds: [B]oth income and wealth inequality have continued to increase in the United States in the 1990s and that income inequality, in particular, has risen faster in the United States in the 1990s than in other OECD countries leads one to believe that the U.S. continues to remain today the most unequal country in terms of wealth (italics added). In The New York Times income study (Class matters, 2005) discussed earlier, the researchers also conducted a study of wealth. In 2001 there were 338,400 households that had possessions worth more than $10 million--including homes, investments, and other assets. Since 1980 this group had grown about 15 times faster than the total number of households (chap 12). June 22-24, 2008 Oxford, UK 15 2008 Oxford Business &Economics Conference Program ISBN : 978-0-9742114-7-3 AN ECONOMIC CLASS STRUCTURE OF AMERICA From the discussion in the previous section, it is clear that income--and wealth-inequality has sharply increased over the last three decades. While the middle class is getting squeezed, the upper class has been prospering, so much so, that the richest are leaving even the rich far behind! Now it is time to pay attention to the development of a socio-economic class profile of America. This is a two-step process. The first step is to develop an economic class structure. The second step is to use this economic class structure as a springboard to fashion a socioeconomic class profile of America. We will concentrate on the first step in this section, and then focus our attention on the second in the next section. The U.S. Census Bureau publishes family and household1 income data which includes both family and non-family households. This data shows income in quintiles. In addition, it also includes data for the top 5% families and households. As we have seen in The New York Times “Class Matters” study—based on federal income tax returns--this top segment severely masks a vast degree of variation at the upper end. TABLE 1 provides just such a breakdown2. -----------------------------------------Insert TABLE 1 about here ------------------------------------------Now I present an economic class structure of America in TABLE 2. The incomethreshold data up to the 95th percentile comes from the U.S. Census Bureau 2005 household 1 A household consists of a person living alone, related family members, or unrelated people who share the same housing unit. This is in contrast to a family, which is a group of two people or more, related by birth, marriage, or adoption and residing together (http://www.census.gov/population/www/cps/cpsdef.html). 2 The income data in Table 1includes capital gains which are a major part of the total income of this group. Adapted from the Home Page of Prof. Saez (http://elsa.berkeley.edu/~saez). June 22-24, 2008 Oxford, UK 16 2008 Oxford Business &Economics Conference Program ISBN : 978-0-9742114-7-3 income data. Similar information for the top 5% comes from the federal income-tax returns data from TABLE 1. -----------------------------------------Insert TABLE 2 about here ------------------------------------------It is important to point out that the threshold income data in TABLE 2 is average for the entire United States, and is not representative of large metropolitan areas where incomes are much higher because of a higher cost of living. For example, for the year 2006, the threshold income of each class up to the 95th percentile is about 30% higher in the Boston metropolitan area than in the nation as a whole1. TABLE 2 reveals three broad classes: Upper, Middle, and Lower. I have characterized the bottom two quintiles as Lower Class, the 40-95th percentile as Middle Class, and the top 5% as Upper Class. The Upper Class is sub-divided into two groups: Upper Class I: “The Mega-Rich” (top .01%), and Upper Class II (top 5-.01%). The latter is further sliced into three segments: top 0.1.01% : “The Rich”; top 1-0.1%: “The Very-Affluent;” and top 5-1%:“The Affluent.” The Middle Class consists of two parts: the Upper Middle Class (80-95th percentile), and the Traditional Middle Class (40-80th percentile). And the Lower Class, too, has two segments: “Near Poor” (20-40th percentile), and The Poor (bottom quintile). Now I explain below the rationale for this classification. 1 http://factfinder.census.gov/servlet/DTTable?_bm=y&-context=dt&-ds_name=ACS_2006_EST_G00_&mt_name=ACS_2006_EST_G2000_B19080&-CONTEXT=dt&-tree_id=306&-geo_id=01000US&geo_id=31000US14460&-search_results=31000US14460&-format=&-_lang=en. June 22-24, 2008 Oxford, UK 17 2008 Oxford Business &Economics Conference Program ISBN : 978-0-9742114-7-3 The Poor Starting at the bottom, I have labeled the lowest quintile as “The Poor.” The lowest income limit of the second quintile is $19,178, which is obviously the same as the highest limit for the bottom quintile. This accords very well with the “Poverty Threshold 2005” figure of $19, 971 for a family of four, published by the U.S. Census Bureau1. The “Near Poor” Next, I have designated the second quintile as the “Near Poor,” a term used by Newman and Chen (2007). They define the “near poor” as those with annual household incomes between 100-200% of the poverty line--between $20,000 and $40,000 per year--for a family of four (p. 236). The upper limit of the second quintile (the lower limit of the middle quintile), as shown in TABLE 2, is $36,000, a figure that is not far from the top range of $40,000 mentioned above. The Traditional Middle Class I have called the third and fourth quintiles—40-80th percentile--as the “Traditional Middle Class.” As TABLE 2 shows, the income of this group falls between $36,000 and $91,705. The threshold (bottom level) of this class has already been determined by the upper income level of the “Near Poor” class. As explained in the next section, I have defined 80th percentile as the bottom income level of the Upper Middle Class. So the 80th percentile becomes the top income level of the Traditional Middle Class by default. Upper Middle Class and Upper Class Juliet Schor (1998) says she considers the upper-middle class to be “the top 20% of households, with the exclusion of the top few percent” (p. 12). A reasonable interpretation of the 1 http://www.census.gov/hhes/www/poverty/threshld/thresh05.html. June 22-24, 2008 Oxford, UK 18 2008 Oxford Business &Economics Conference Program ISBN : 978-0-9742114-7-3 term “exclusion of the top few percent” seems to imply a figure closer to the 95th percentile, rather than say the 99th percentile (see discussion below), as more likely to be Schor’s view regarding the top limit of the Upper Middle Class. Classifying social classes is clearly a subjective process. So, it should not be surprising that there is some disagreement about what constitutes Upper Class. For example, Phillips (1993: 28) regards the top 1% as “Upper America.” Gilbert (2008: 13), using the Gilbert-Kahl model, also classifies the top 1% as, what he calls, the Capitalist class. Unlike Schor, he has extended the Upper Middle Class all the way to the 99th percentile. On the other hand, the U.S. Census Bureau lumps the top 5% in a single group. One way to address this problem is to analyze income of the groups in TABLE 1. As underscored by the “Class Matters” study discussed earlier, the top .01 families (14,588) are clearly in a league of their own. Their threshold income is almost six times that of the top 0.1%, and 27 times that of the top 1%.1 So, I have named this group: “The Mega-Rich.” Next is the top 0.1-0.01% group. Its threshold income is $1,722,926. Because this figure is (well) above a million ($) I call this group: “The Rich.” Next group is the top 1-0.1%. The threshold income level of this group is $350,501: a figure way below a million ($). So, I have labeled this group: “The Very-Affluent.” That leaves us with the top 5-1% group. Continuing to use the federal income tax data (TABLE 1), we find that the top income level of this group is $350,501, and the bottom level is If we use average income data from Prof. Saez’s website, the differences are even more dramatic. For example, the average income of the top .01% is $26,340,290, which is about eight times the average income of the top 0.1.01% group. 1 June 22-24, 2008 Oxford, UK 19 2008 Oxford Business &Economics Conference Program ISBN : 978-0-9742114-7-3 $140,125. However, the latter figure is too low. According to the Census Bureau household income data (TABLE HINC-05) from TABLE 2, this figure is $166,000. But, as indicated in footnote 3 of TABLE 2, a more appropriate source for this exercise is family income from Table HINC-06. That figure is $184,500. So, we can accept $184,500-350,501 as a reasonable estimate of the range of income of the top 5-1% group. I have called this group “The Affluent1.” It is clear from the above analysis that the top 1% families can comfortably be classified as members of the Upper Class. However, it is more difficult to include the top 5-1% group (9995th percentile) in the same category. Perhaps, a case could be made that this group has a better fit as a member of the Upper Middle Class, as Gilbert (2008) has suggested. How then do we resolve this dilemma? The primary source of income data for this study comes from the U.S. Census Bureau, which has lumped the top 5% households into a single basket. As stated above, Schor (1998), too, seems to lean toward the 95th percentile as the upper limit for the Upper Middle Class. So, I have decided to include the entire top 5% as part of the Upper Class. A SOCIO-ECONOMIC CLASS PROFILE OF AMERICA The readers can find a socio-economic profile of America in TABLE 3. -----------------------------------------Insert TABLE 3 about here ------------------------------------------Using the economic class structure of TABLE 2 as a springboard, I have relied upon Datta’s (1996) integrated framework of market segmentation to de velop TABLE 1 I have labeled the Upper Middle Class also “Affluent” (see TABLE 3). June 22-24, 2008 Oxford, UK 20 2008 Oxford Business &Economics Conference Program ISBN : 978-0-9742114-7-3 3. Contrary to the narrow, demand-oriented approach to market segmentation-- common in marketing and planning literature--his work represents an integrated approach that includes both the demand and supply sides. Another advantage of his fram ework is that it provides a direct link to the resource-based theory of strategic management . Invoking Datta’s (1996) framework, and combining social class with price-quality segmentation, I have created a socio-economic class profile of America (TABLE 3) that attempts to articulate the life style of each class. I have outlined this profile below for each class: Social Class Percentile Life-Style Profile Top 0.01% “Masters of the Universe Upper Class I The Mega-Rich “Keeping up with the Gateses” Upper Class II 1 The Rich Top 0.1-.01% The Very-Affluent The Affluent Top 1-0.1% Top 5-1% “Conspicuous Consumption” Upper Middle Class 80-95 th percentile “Cultured Affluence” Traditional Middle Class 40-80 th percentile From “Keeping up with Joneses” to “Good Public Schools in Suburbia” The “Near Poor” 20-40 th percentile “Just Making It” The Poor The bottom quintile “Survival” 1 Under this class I have included only the sub-group labeled: “The Rich.” (top 0.1- .01%) in TABLE 3. June 22-24, 2008 Oxford, UK 21 2008 Oxford Business &Economics Conference Program ISBN : 978-0-9742114-7-3 (“Bottom of the Pyramid”) TABLE 3 also indicates the type of retail stores where members of each class typically shop. The reason I have included this information is because it can provide a simple overall image of each class, and a realistic symbol of their life style. Where They Generally Shop? Before I present the socio-economic profile of each class, I will first discuss the subject of where they generally shop1. Because of the vast amount of information I had to cram into TABLE 3, I tried to make it as simple as possible. For example, in this table, I have identified certain types of retail stores with a particular kind of social class. However, as the following discussion shows, the reality is not so simple. The new middle-class consumer. Silverstein and Fiske (2005) suggest that many middle-class customers are willing to pay a substantial premium for goods and services that are emotionally meaningful to them, and that “deliver the perceived values of quality, performance, and engagement.” But in categories that do not appeal to them emotionally, “they become bargain hunters” (inside jacket). The same middle-class customers who are trading up at Victoria’s Secret are going on a “treasure hunt” at Costco (Silverstein, with Butman, 2006, inside jacket). The ultra-economy segment. One would have thought that the corner five-and-dime store had succumbed to K-Mart or Wal-Mart. Nevertheless, retail chains such as Dollar General, Family Dollar, and Dollar Tree are living proof that this is not so. They are experiencing growth 1 I think it is not necessary to have this discussion beyond the three topics taken on in this section. June 22-24, 2008 Oxford, UK 22 2008 Oxford Business &Economics Conference Program ISBN : 978-0-9742114-7-3 simply by "living off the crumbs of Wal-Mart" (Faircloth, 1998). Another example is Sav-a-Lot store. The new addition to these stores in America is the German implant Aldi. Like Aldi, Dollar General stores are located in suburban areas, shopping centers, and rural locations (Silverstein with Butman, 2006: 76). These chains offer easy access, small stores, a very narrow selection of basic goods, mostly house or private brands, little service--and of course--a very low price (Faircloth, 1998; Dreyfuss, 2004). These limited-assortment stores also attract more affluent customers. That’s why Aldi does not target shoppers by income. They just seek customers who want to save money (Dreyfuss, 2004). Many large supermarkets have abandoned inner city poor neighborhoods, because of low profits. This is due to higher insurance costs because of high crime, and low volume. So, partly because of transportation problems, many low-income residents in such neighborhoods are often forced to buy groceries from the corner grocery store at a price that is much higher than shoppers normally pay in suburban areas (Newman & Chen, 2007: 213). The economy segment. Today the discount store industry in the U.S. is dominated by Wal-Mart, Target, and K-Mart. Warehouse clubs that charge fees for membership--such as, Costco and Sam’s Club--are also major players in this segment. With the middle class under continuous economic pressure--and rise of the “near poor”--many customers have become more value conscious, and are on the lookout for bargains. The low prices, however, are not only attracting lower and middle class families, but more affluent customers as well, who often buy groceries and other staples at Wal-Mart. In a parking lot at Wal-Mart one can find shiny new luxury cars, alongside rusty old subcompacts. June 22-24, 2008 Oxford, UK 23 2008 Oxford Business &Economics Conference Program ISBN : 978-0-9742114-7-3 Affluent customers now regularly boast of shopping at warehouse clubs, like Costco, to show that they understand value. But Costco offers more. For example, it now stocks a larger selection and sells more premium wine than any other retailer (Silverstein & Fiske, 2005: 10). Target has positioned itself as a “discount department store,” which offers more upscale and trendy merchandise than Wal-Mart. Its customers are more educated, younger, and more affluent than those who go to Wal-Mart. So, a high-income customer, who may shop at Nordstrom for higher-priced soft goods, may not hesitate to go to Target for low-price goods for a wide-variety of ordinary needs (King, 1998; Target’s website: http://sites.target.com/images/corporate/abou/pdfs). The Poor--“Survival” (“Bottom of the Pyramid”) In America members of this class usually are those who occupy minimum-wage jobs without benefits, or rely on government welfare programs, and non-profit charity organizations. This group falls in the bottom quintile in TABLE 2, with an income ceiling of $19,178. In 2005, a staggering 58% of the households in this group were headed by females1. In 2005, 37 million Americans—about one in eight—lived below the poverty-level income, defined as $19,874 for a family of four. In 2005, the bottom 20% of U.S. households received 3% of total income, while the top 20% received over half of all income. Over 46 million Americans—about 16% of the population—did not have health insurance coverage in 2005 (Crain & Kalleberg, 2007: 3). There are two schools of thought about what causes poverty. One view focuses on socioeconomic attributes--such as education and skills--and behavioral attributes, such as poor motivation to work, and other negative attitudes. Proponents of this view describe these traits as 1 2005 U.S. Census Bureau, Table HINC-05 (http://pubdb3.census.gov/macro/032006/hhinc/new05_000.htm). June 22-24, 2008 Oxford, UK 24 2008 Oxford Business &Economics Conference Program ISBN : 978-0-9742114-7-3 “culture of poverty.” A contrasting view regards poverty as a structural characteristic of a capitalistic society. So, poverty, according to this view, is attributable to social factors that are beyond the control of an individual (Crain & Kalleberg, 2007: 4-5). David Shipler (2004: 285) rightly argues that poverty cannot be explained by simplistic theories because it is caused by a complex web of factors. He frames this issue so eloquently: [P]overty is a constellation of difficulties that magnify one another: not just low wages but also low education, not just dead-end jobs but also limited abilities, not just insufficient savings but also unwise spending, not just poor housing but also poor parenting, not just the lack of health insurance but also the lack of healthy households….The t roubl es run strongl y al ong bot h m acro and mi cro l evel s, as systematic problems in the structure of political and economic power, and as individual problems in personal and family life (also see Crain & Kalleberg, 2007: 5). In view of the above discussion, it is, therefore, quite appropriate to describe the life style of the poor as “Survival”: because their life seems to be perpetually in a survival mode. In a pioneering study, Hart and Prahalad (2002) have drawn an economic pyramid of the world. This pyramid has five tiers, the lowest representing 4 billion poor around the world. So, I think it is quite apt to call America’s poor, too, as “The Bottom of the Pyramid.” The “Near Poor”--“Just Making It” Clerical, pink, and blue collar workers, with low job security, are typically those who belong to this group. This group falls in the 20-40th percentile in TABLE 2, with an income range of $19,178 and $36,000. According to Newman and Chen (2007, chap 1), we all know a lot about the poor—37 million of them-- because the media consistently keep them in the news. Yet, there is a much larger group --57 million Americans--that doesn’t get much attention: the “near poor.” They make more money to be considered the “working class,” yet too insecure to be “middle class.” June 22-24, 2008 Oxford, UK 25 2008 Oxford Business &Economics Conference Program ISBN : 978-0-9742114-7-3 Newman and Chen (2007) define members of this group to be those, who earn an annual household income between $20,000 and $40,000.” They are the “Missing Class.” Newman and Chen (2007: 3-4) paint below a moving picture of this class: [They] live in this “nether region above the poverty line but well below a secure station….The hard-won wages of Missing Class families put them beyond the reach of most policies that speak to the conditions of life among the poor. Yet they are decidedly not middle class Americans. In decades past we might have called them working class, but even that label fails to satisfy, now that many Missing Class workers toil in traditionally white collar domains like health clinics and schools, even as their incomes, households, and neighborhoods lack the solidity of an earlier generation’s blue-collar, union-sheltered way of life. Missing Class families earn less money, have few savings to cushion themselves, and send their kids to schools that are underfunded and crowded The near poor live in inner-ring suburbs and city centers where many of the social problems that plague the truly poor constrain their lives as well (italics added). The dedication of the “near poor” to their work, ironically, has had a harmful effect on their family life, as their children spend long hours in substandard day care centers, and have to raise themselves during their teen years (Newman & Chen, 2007:5). In a foreword to Newman and Chen’s (2007) The Missing Class, Senator Edwards has provided an excellent picture of the plight of the “near poor.” He says the “near poor” are less likely to own a home, a savings account, or other assets, and are “just one pink slip, divorce, or health crisis away from the edge.” They work at jobs many don’t want—“jobs with stagnant wages, no retirement funds, and inadequate health insurance, if they have it at all.” They are “susceptible to predatory lenders, credit-card debt, and oppressive mortgages with unfair interest rates” (pp. ix-x). Given such a hard life of constant struggle, there is no better way to characterize the life style of the “near poor” than “Just Making It.” June 22-24, 2008 Oxford, UK 26 2008 Oxford Business &Economics Conference Program ISBN : 978-0-9742114-7-3 The Traditional “Middle” Class: From “Keeping up with the Joneses” to “Good Quality Public Schools in Suburbia” Members of this class generally include professionals, bureaucrats, school teachers, merchants, some farmers, and skilled workers. This group occupies the 40-80th percentile, with an income between $36,000- $91,705 (TABLE 2). During the mass production era of the 1950s, the middle class wanted to keep up with the Joneses: people who were like them, and who lived next door (Schor, 1998, chap. 1). However, as more and more married women entered the labor force, they were exposed to the spending patterns of a much wider spectrum, including superiors, who made a lot more money. As mentioned earlier, Frank and Cook (1995, chap 5) suggest that we now live in, what they call, a winner-take-all society. Thus, incomes within occupations have become more unequally distributed than before. Schor (1998), therefore, suggests that as high-income earners have emerged in one occupation after another, they have provided “a visible, and very elevated, point of comparison" for those who are not so fortunate (p. 10). So, instead of trying to emulate others in their own social class, people now want to “measure up within some idealized group.” Marketers call such groups clusters—e.g., “yuppies”--groups of people who share values, orientations, and lifestyles (pp. 10-11). And this shift in the standard of "belonging" has been driving even the middle class toward, what she calls, competitive conspicuous consumption. However, Warren (2007) offers a different point of view. She says that Schor (1998) blames this overconsumption on the “new consumerism,” with its obsession with designer clothes, Michael-Jordan athletic shoes, and so on. Robert Frank (1999: 4-5), too, argues June 22-24, 2008 Oxford, UK 27 2008 Oxford Business &Economics Conference Program ISBN : 978-0-9742114-7-3 that--with static or declining income--this “luxury fever” is forcing middle-class families to finance their consumption increases largely by reduced savings and increased debt. To test this hypothesis, Warren (2007), looked at the spending patterns of American families in federal archival data going back to the 1970s. Based on this analysis, she has concluded that middle-class Americans are not “blowing their paychecks” on “designer clothes and restaurant meals,” and that they are not spending on such “frivolous” things more than their parents did a generation ago (p. 42).1 Warren concludes that, even with both parents working, today’s middle-class couples have less cash left after they have met their basic expenses, than their one-income parents had a generation ago. And the biggest single reason for that is: very high home mortgage costs. Juliet Schor (2000:11) explains why: Within the middle class, and even the upper middle class, many families experience an almost threatening pressure to keep up, both for themselves and their children. They are deeply concerned about rigors of the global economy, and the need to have their children attend “good” schools. This means living in a community with relatively high housing costs (italics added; also see Warren & Tyagi, 2003: 25). Warren & Tyagi (2003: 33) underscore the historical importance of public schools: The concept of public schools is deeply American. It is perhaps the most tangible symbol of opportunity for social and economic mobility for all children, embodying the notion that merit rather than money determines a child’s future (italics added). Warren and Tyagi (2003: 28) suggest that there is a limited supply of homes in suburban areas which are safe, and have reputable public schools. So, this has triggered a bidding war Today’s middle-class family of four is spending less on the following four types of expenses--35% less on clothing, 18% less on food, 52% less on appliances, and 24% less on owning and operating a car (per car)-compared to their counterparts a generation ago (Warren, 2007). 1 June 22-24, 2008 Oxford, UK 28 2008 Oxford Business &Economics Conference Program ISBN : 978-0-9742114-7-3 which was exacerbated, when “a growing number of families brought new artillery to the war: a second income” (also Krugman: 2007: 246-47). Warren (2007: 45) says the cost of being middle class has been rising faster than incomes. As we have seen before, only 30% of families can now enjoy the middle-class dream. In many families both parents are now working full time “just to make mortgage payment and health insurance.” Now they need two paychecks just to survive, and if someone is laid off, or becomes too sick to work, “the whole house of cards will come tumbling down” (italics added). Based on the foregoing discussion, we can therefore conclude that “Good Quality Public Schools in Suburbia” is a much better descriptor of the values and life-style of today’s middle class, than the erstwhile “Keeping up with Joneses.” The Upper Middle Class—“Cultured Affluence” Highly-educated professionals1, corporate executives, and business owners are usually the kind of people who belong to this group (Thompson & Hickey, 2005: 216). In 2005, the household income of this group was in the 80-95th percentile range, with an income between $91,705 and $166,0002 (TABLE 2). Gilbert (2008: 233) says the key to the success of the upper middle class is the “growing importance of “educational certification.” Lind (1995: 202), however, offers a different view of professional certification. He suggests that the professional class—e.g., lawyers, doctors, accountants, tenured professors--is the beneficiary of a “hidden protectionism based on 1 For example: physicians, dentists, lawyers, architects, engineers, scientists, accountants, university professors, etc. 2 As indicated in footnote 3 of Table 2, a more appropriate figure at the upper end for this group is $184,500. June 22-24, 2008 Oxford, UK 29 2008 Oxford Business &Economics Conference Program ISBN : 978-0-9742114-7-3 credentials and licensing.” He adds that “American professional accreditation is a non-tariff barrier par excellence” (italics in original). Barbara Ehrenreich (1989: 6) calls this class the “professional middle class.” She says then that “this class plays an overweening role in defining ‘America’: its moods, political direction, and moral tone;” that it often brings social movements to the forefront, such as, the Peace Movement, Environmentalism, and Anti-Smoking laws. Gilbert (2008: 233), too, suggests that its lifestyle and opinions exert considerable influence on the entire society. Most members of this class generally put heavy stress on advanced post-graduate education. They also give a lot of importance to the fine arts—music, painting, and sculpture. They regularly travel to foreign countries, because they consider this as an extension of their education, and because it can give them a better understanding of different cultures in today’s global economy. Since they engage in foreign travel frequently, they tend to acquire a more cosmopolitan taste. So, they are more likely to enjoy gourmet food. Because of their concern for the environment they are also more likely to buy organic food. Today, going to private school is becoming an important part of standard of living of the upper-middle class—and even middle class (Schor, 1998: 86). The reason is that parents worry that without a private-school education their children will fall behind, and will not be able to maintain their “class” status. And as members of the upper-middle class—and even middle class—withdraw from public schools, the result is that it leaves public schools with a tainted lower-class image, thus further widening class divisions (ibid). Based on the above, I have labeled the life style of this group as “Cultured Affluence.” The Rich: Conspicuous Consumption” June 22-24, 2008 Oxford, UK 30 2008 Oxford Business &Economics Conference Program ISBN : 978-0-9742114-7-3 This group encompasses the top 0.1-.01% (TABLE 2). It includes top-level corporate executives, business owners, famous movie stars, top athletes, top professionals, and inheritors. The threshold income for this group of 145,880 tax payers is $1,722,926 (TABLE 1). The rich have always indulged in conspicuous consumption in buying such things as luxury cars, expensive jewelry, expensive clothes, and so on. But over the past several years, the most noteworthy symbol of their conspicuous consumption is the sharp growth in “trophy” homes and McMansions. The sharp increase in the number of millionaires has spawned an upsurge in the construction of trophy homes--mansions with over 10,000 square feet of living space (Frank, 1999, chap. 2). A mansion--more than luxury cars or anything else--shows everyone in the community that you are wealthy. Thus, the million--or multi-million—dollar mansion is becoming a "high-profile badge of the gilded late 1990s"(Uchitelle, 1999). The emergence of McMansions provides another striking example of conspicuous consumption. As the pejorative nickname suggests, the McMansions are “just too big--for their lots, for their neighborhoods, and for the number of people who actually live in them” (McGuigan, 2007). While families are getting smaller, houses are getting bigger. In 1970, the average single family new house measured 1100 square feet; today it equals 2300 (ibid). McMansions are not only springing up in new developments, they are also showing up in older neighborhoods. This practice involves replacing existing homes in ordinary neighborhoods with McMansions that are called: "in-fill" in Memphis, "teardown" in the Northeast, and "scraper" in San Francisco. As a result, a community of small homes gradually becomes a neighborhood of “million-dollar mansions cheek by jowl.” So, as a reaction to this practice, June 22-24, 2008 Oxford, UK 31 2008 Oxford Business &Economics Conference Program ISBN : 978-0-9742114-7-3 some suburbs have either placed restrictions on the "teardown" phenomenon, or are considering doing so (Uchitelle, 1999). Sarah Susanka, an architect, points out that “a good architect understands the importance of human scale. Under the dome of St. Peter’s, you’re meant to feel awe. But if your bedroom’s is the size of a barn, how cozy can you get?” (McGuigan, 2007). So, based on the foregoing discussion, it seems quite reasonable to award the “trophy” of “Conspicuous Consumption” to this group. The Mega-Rich: “Masters of the Universe” and “Keeping up with the Gateses” A look at TABLE 1 clearly shows why the tiny top .01% segment (one ten-thousandth) 1-numbering 14,588 tax payers in 2005--stands head and shoulders over even the top 0.1%: The Rich. This group includes owners of a business empire, and heirs to a big fortune. A look at the astronomical levels of income revealed for the “Mega Rich” by TABLE 1, convinced me that the lofty status of “Masters of the Universe”2--made famous by Tom Wolff--is the right identity for this group: because it evokes the powerful image of “king of the jungle.” The sheer proliferation of luxury goods over the past many years has made them available to millions. Thus, truly exclusive luxury does not exist anymore. The “Mega Rich” have come to realize that the “best things in life aren’t necessarily flashy objects but “discreet, meaningful experiences” (Foroohar, 2007, italics added). So, now these luxury customers are looking for “discretion, special access, surprise, humor and even secrecy.” They would welcome the challenge of having an appointment with 1 Their threshold income is almost six times that of the top 0.1%, 27 times that of the top 1%, and 68 times that of the top 5%! And if we consider average income, the results are even more dramatic. 2 I got the idea of using this identity from Krugman (1994: 138). June 22-24, 2008 Oxford, UK 32 2008 Oxford Business &Economics Conference Program ISBN : 978-0-9742114-7-3 the “Parisian jeweler JAR,” or be invited to a resort where they will be “entertained by rock stars and educated by Nobel laureates.” Most importantly, they seek “meaning, emotion and connection” (Foroohar, 2007; italics added). “Keeping up with the Gateses.” Thus, the “Mega Rich” are now showing a great interest in philanthropy. The most famous example is the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation— world’s largest charitable foundation—that was founded by Bill and Melinda Gates in 2000, and was doubled in size by Warren Buffet in 2006. (http://www.gatesfoundation.org/default.htm). Here are two instances of how the “Mega Rich” are helping the poor: “Richistanis are not only consuming like crazy, they’re also shaking up the establishment’s bureaucracy, slow-moving charity network, making lean, results-oriented philanthropy an important new driving force”(italics added; Frank, 2007, inside front jacket). “[Here] visitors to ultraposh resorts in far-flung places might help build a school or launch a mini-foundation for water-sanitation projects in between beachcombing. It is not about keeping up with the Joneses, but about keeping up with the Gateses” (italics added; Foroohar, 2007). “Luxury goes undercover.” The “Mega Rich” are very protective of their privacy. So, they prefer to patronize low-profile designers, and cutting-edge boutiques which sell their designer clothes in small hidden stores. Having salespeople fly outfits to their second homes has now become quite a standard procedure. Increasingly they—about 98 % of them--are shopping on the web, and shopping at home: by having luxury retailers make house calls. And they attend fashion “trunk” shows at fancy places for a small number of elite viewers (Foroohar, 2007). Whereas the “Mega Rich” are willing to pay just about any price for great service, they also crave “immediacy and convenience” (Foroohar, 2007). ). The “Mega Rich” are busy people; so having a private jet or helicopter of your own makes a lot of business sense because it June 22-24, 2008 Oxford, UK 33 2008 Oxford Business &Economics Conference Program ISBN : 978-0-9742114-7-3 can save a lot of time. Also, owning homes around the world allows them to sleep in their own beds more often (Hesseldahl & Dubow, 2000). This exclusive group wants to be rich only in private. As a result, “members-only services for dining, travel, entertainment, and retail” are flourishing. A concierge service is launching a chain of members-only hotels in 2008, where a swipe card flashed at the door by a guest will alert staff who will greet each guest personally (Foroohar, 2007). The “Mega Rich” have discovered yet another way to distinguish themselves from the mere rich: traveling in private jumbo jets like Boeing 737, or Boeing 787. These are long-haul planes that are converted to private jets that can carry not only “pampered passengers and their entourages, but also, in some cases, their Rolls Royces and racehorses” (Sharkey, 2006). To celebrate a special birthday, a honeymoon anniversary, or a successful deal, the “Mega Rich” can stay in vast fancy suites that are now increasingly becoming common at the “pinnacle” of five-star hotels. But some go beyond that, and look for a place that provides a sense of history: for example, the $14,312-a-night Villa La Cupola, Rome; or the $10,950-a night Hotel Crillon, Paris (Kolesnikov-Jessop, 2007). According to Forbes, the latest “toys” for the Forbes 400 are private jets, helicopters, owning a sports team, collecting rare works of art, owning one or more getaway, whose location is secretly guarded, big yachts, etc. The single biggest expense of a billionaire is for personnel: getting “all the people that you need to fly your planes, build your homes, manage your ranch, hang your paintings,” and private chefs to cook your meals (Hesseldahl & Dubow, 2000). “My boat is bigger than your boat.” Earlier in this section, we have learnt that the “Mega Rich” are very discreet, and are keen to protect their privacy. But, when a “Richistani” June 22-24, 2008 Oxford, UK 34 2008 Oxford Business &Economics Conference Program ISBN : 978-0-9742114-7-3 has a prized possession—say his or her yacht--that is on public display for all the other “Richistanis” to see, then that is an entirely a different matter. That is why only “in Richistan would a hundred-foot-boat be considered a dinghy. Personal pleasure craft have started to rival navy destroyers in size and speed” (italics added; Frank, 2007, inside front jacket). Return of the butler and live-in servants. The second largest group of people in the workforce in America around 1900 was domestic live-in servants. Eighty years later they became extinct in the developed countries (Drucker, 1995: 216). Now the sharp growth in the population of the rich--with their vast homes, multitude of toys, and complex lifestyles—has created a big demand for household help. Currently, there is a boom in the number of “newly trained butlers—‘household managers’—who will serve just the right cabernet when a Richistani’s new buddies from Palm Beach stop by” (Frank, 2007, inside front jacket). Now a company offers a rigorous eight-week course for aspiring butlers that is better known as “Butler Boot Camp” (ibid, chap. 1). Since most members of the “Mega Rich” group came from the middle class, they, too— like the new butlers--have to be taught how to behave like rich people! (Frank, 2007, chap. 1). It is clear from the above discussion, that the “Mega Rich” are on a relentless march toward the goal of creating a private—and exclusive--world of their own, far away from the ordinary folks: private islands or getaways, private jumbo jets, private hotels, membership in private clubs (for dining, travel, entertainment, retail, etc.), and so on. DISCUSSION June 22-24, 2008 Oxford, UK 35 2008 Oxford Business &Economics Conference Program ISBN : 978-0-9742114-7-3 The issue of class is a touchy subject in America (Fussel, 1992:15). DeMott (1990: 9-10) complains that the nation is shackled by a myth of classlessness. For example, according to former President George Walker Bush, class is “for European democracies or something else—it isn’t for the United States of America. We are not going to be divided by class.” It is clear from the socio-economic class profile in TABLE 3 that class divisions in America are very sharp, and that they are as real as they can get. In this section there are six topics that merit attention. These are: 1) From a Mass to a Class Market, (2) Mass Market was a Unifying Force in America, (3) Sharpening of Class Divisions Causing Social Tensions, (4) The Wealthy Isolating Themselves from Society, (5) Upward Economic Mobility Stalled in America, and (6) A Matter of Equity. From a Mass to a Class Market One result of the sharpening of economic inequality in America over the last three decades has been the splintering of the erstwhile mass market into a class market. As I have earlier indicated in this paper, the American market now consists of six major price-quality segments: “out-of-sight” or “price is no object,” “ultra-premium,” “premium,” “mid price,” “economy,” and “ultra-economy”(TABLE 3; also Datta, 1996). Now due to new technology, product proliferation, and fragmented media, businesses are targeting their advertising message to micro segments: an approach that is akin to using “a highpowered rifle instead of a shotgun” (Bianco, 2004). This evolution from mass to micromarketing is a vital change in a country that has now “atomized into countless market segments defined not only by demography, but by increasingly nuanced and insistent product preferences” (ibid). June 22-24, 2008 Oxford, UK 36 2008 Oxford Business &Economics Conference Program ISBN : 978-0-9742114-7-3 While increased economic inequality has played an important role in the breakup of the mass market, this process had started a long time ago (Datta, 1996). By the end of the 1970s, the American consumer had become tired of the standardized goods produced by America's vaunted mass production machine (Piore & Sable, 1984: 184-85). The failure, during the seventies, of the mass-circulated general-purpose magazines--Life, Look, and Saturday Evening Post--symbolized the demise of the mass production era (Naisbitt, 1982: 99-100). Mass Market was a Unifying Force in America Even into the 1970s, the mass market was a unifying force in America. Based on a Gallup survey conducted in 1954, historian Manchester (1974) has reported that "by gourmet standards" the eating habits of Americans were "dull." The overwhelming choice of most Americans for dinner--if cost were no object--was fruit cup, vegetable soup, steak, french fries, and apple pie a' la mode (pp. 895-97). Phillips (1993: 17), too, makes a similar point, and says that by 1950 class differences were declining in clothing, autos, food, and even personal hygiene. Such a broad consensus exists no more. June 22-24, 2008 Oxford, UK 37 2008 Oxford Business &Economics Conference Program ISBN : 978-0-9742114-7-3 Sharpening of Class Divisions Causing Social Tensions More and more American enterprises are embracing the "Tiffany/Wal-Mart"--"UpstairsDownstairs"—strategy, because it is the top and the bottom segments of the market that are growing. But the "Tiffany/Wal-Mart" environment is causing social tensions by identifying particular brands with a certain class that "helps put people in their uniforms” (Two-tier marketing, 1997). Regardless of their social class, Winnie-the-Pooh connoted a single image for the readers of A.A. Milne's classic books in the past. Today, however, the image of Pooh depends on where a child lives, and how much money his or her parents can afford. Now Walt Disney Co. is marketing two distinctly different Poohs: one the original line-drawn figure on fine china sold at Nordstrom, and the other a fat cartoon-like Pooh sold at Wal-Mart (Two-tier marketing, 1997). In the past, theme parks presented themselves as egalitarian havens, where the CEOs and the celebrities waited in line for their ice cream cones just like everyone else (Kaplan, 1998). This is not true anymore. This democratic custom has now been taken over by a new ethos of commercial elitism. One example is Universal Studios, California. As its website shows, one can buy a VIP pass for $199: “a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity to feel like a celebrity for the day” (http://www.universalstudioshollywood.com/tic_vip.html). The Wealthy Isolating Themselves from Society One offshoot of increasing economic inequality has been the trend toward private— many gated--communities, called common-interest housing developments (CIDs). In many towns and cities, the wealthy have withdrawn their financial support of public places and June 22-24, 2008 Oxford, UK 38 2008 Oxford Business &Economics Conference Program ISBN : 978-0-9742114-7-3 institutions shared by all, and instead have chosen to spend that money for their own private services. Reich (1991) calls this development as "the secession of the successful." Murray, a conservative political analyst, regards the growth of CIDs as a sign of America becoming a "caste society." He goes on to say (McKenzie, 1994: 187): I am trying to envision what happens when 10 or 20 per cent of the population has enough income to bypass the social institutions it doesn't like in ways only the top fraction of 1 per cent used to be able to do...The Left has been complaining for years that the rich have too much power. They ain't seen nothing yet. In 2003, The Wall-Street-Journal assigned Robert Frank as its first reporter to report full-time on the “life and times of the New Rich” (Frank, 2007: 2). His comments below are quite startling (pp. 3-4): Today’s rich had formed their own virtual country…[T]hey had built a self-contained world unto themselves, complete with their own health-care system (concierge doctors), travel network (Net Jets, destination clubs), separate economy…and language (“Who is your household manager?”). They didn’t just hire gardening crews; they hired “personal arborists.” The rich weren’t just getting richer; they were becoming financial foreigners, creating their own country within a country, their own society within a society, and their economy within an economy. They were creating Richistan (also see Krugman, 2007: 246). Upward Economic Mobility Stalled in America The authors of “Class Matters” study of The New York Times, mentioned earlier, also conducted a study of income mobility. They found “that there is far less mobility up and down the economic ladder than economists once thought or than most Americans believe” (editorial: Class and the American dream, 2005, May 30; italics added). Even the conservative The Wall Street Journal has acknowledged that, as the “gap between rich and poor has widened since 1970, the odds that a child born in poverty will climb to wealth—or a rich child will fall into the middle class—remain stuck” (italics added; `, 2005). June 22-24, 2008 Oxford, UK 39 2008 Oxford Business &Economics Conference Program ISBN : 978-0-9742114-7-3 Bernstein (2007) says that he found mixed results in his study of economic mobility. While some of the findings show that American society has become less mobile over time, others suggest status quo. Nevertheless, none shows a rise in mobility. Bernstein (2007) points out that he was surprised to find that America has less economic mobility than other advanced countries, including those of Scandinavia. A Matter of Equity I will discuss the following three issues here. They are: (1) Decoupling of wages from productivity, (2) Wages lag corporate profits, and (3) A secretary is paying a higher tax rate than her billionaire boss. Wages decoupled from productivity. The old link between wages and productivity in America has long been broken. The nonfarm business productivity index (output per hour of all persons) climbed 80% between 1973 and 2006.1 In contrast, the real wages of production or non-supervisory workers in the private sector fared far worse: they went down! As I have reported earlier, they declined 16% during this period.2 Wages lag corporate profits. According to The New York Times, while corporate profits have gone up sharply during the last few years—and the economy has become much more productive—the take-home pay of the ordinary worker has failed to keep up with inflation (Not sharing in the gains, 2006). At the end of the first quarter of 2006, the share of wages--at 1 It was 75.3 in 1973 (1992=100). In 2006, it stood at 135.4. "Economic Report of the President," 2007, Table B-49. (http://www.gpoaccess.gov/eop/tables07.html). 2 "Economic Report of the President," 2007, Table B-47. (http://www.gpoaccess.gov/eop/tables07.html). June 22-24, 2008 Oxford, UK 40 2008 Oxford Business &Economics Conference Program ISBN : 978-0-9742114-7-3 45.3% of G.D.P.--was at its lowest level on record. On the other hand, corporate profits (before tax)--at 10.3% of G.D.P.--were at the highest point since the 1960s.1 Secretary pays a higher average tax rate than her billionaire boss. According to Warren Buffet, the world’s third richest person, his secretary is paying a higher percentage of her pay as federal income and payroll taxes than he does on his income2. He offered the Forbes-400 billionaires a million dollars to their favorite charity if they could prove that they were paying a higher average tax rate than their secretaries. So far he has had no takers. Even if we just consider federal income tax, the top rate for capital gains and dividend income is now only 15%. However, the marginal tax rates on ordinary income—the primary source of income for the middle class--are much higher: ranging from 10% to 35%. In every economic expansion, the real income of most American families grew when the economy also grew. The last U.S. economic expansion ended in 2000, and the year 2007 seems to be the last year of the current expansion. The median family income went down from $61,000 in 2000 to $60,500 in 2007! This has never happened ever since the U.S. government has been keeping records (Leonhardt, 2008). CONCLUSION Clearly, the central contribution of this paper is a socio-economic class profile of America. I have done my best to offer a portrait of each class that is as realistic as possible. 1 (http://www.nytimes.com/imagepages/2006/08/28/business/28wages_chart.html). 2 While his average tax rate was 17.7%, the average for 15 of his employees was 32.9%.(http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Cu5B-2LoC4s). June 22-24, 2008 Oxford, UK 41 2008 Oxford Business &Economics Conference Program ISBN : 978-0-9742114-7-3 In 1997, Irving Kristol, a neoconservative intellectual, wrote an article in The Wall Street Journal, titled: “Income Inequality Without Class Conflict” (Krugman, 2007: 245). He argued that we shouldn’t worry about income inequality, because we had social equality. As an example, he said that “in all of our major cities, there is not a single restaurant where a CEO can lunch or dine with the absolute assurance that he will not run into his secretary” (ibid, p. 245). Krugman (2007) says that Kristol was actually acknowledging that “income inequality would b a problem if it led to social inequality.”…. “It does. Kristol’s fantasy of a world in which the rich live just like you and me, and nobody feels socially inferior, bears no resemblance to the real world we live in” (italics added; p. 246). He then goes on to say (2007: 246-47): The fact is that vast income inequality brings vast social inequality in its train. And this social inequality isn’t just a matter of envy and insults. It has real, negative consequences for the way people live in this country. It may not matter much that the great majority of Americans can’t afford to stay in the eleven-thousand-dollar-a-night hotel suites popping up in luxury hotels around the world. It matters a great deal that millions of middle-class families buy houses they can’t really afford, taking on more than they can safely handle, because they’re desperate to send their children to a good school—and intensifying inequality means that the desirable school districts are growing fewer in numbers, and more expensive to live in. As I have noted before, Wolff (2002) has reported a sharp concentration of wealth in America: with the highest 1% of households owning 38%, and the top 5% controlling 59% of the total household wealth in 1998. Commenting on this phenomenon, Greenspan, the former Federal Reserve chairman, warned Congress in a testimony in 2004, that for a democracy this was not a desirable development (Class matters, 2005: 188). In the same vein, some of the wealthiest capitalists in America--such as, Warren Buffet, George Soros, and Ted Turner--have issued the following warning (ibid): [S]uch a concentration of wealth can turn a meritocracy into an aristocracy and ultimately stifle economic growth by putting too much of the nation’s capital in the hands of inheritors rather than strivers and innovators (italics added). June 22-24, 2008 Oxford, UK 42 2008 Oxford Business &Economics Conference Program ISBN : 978-0-9742114-7-3 Finally, Piketty and Saez (2007: 167), too, add a note of caution: [T]he decline of progressive taxation observed since the early 1980s in the United [States] could very well spur a revival of high wealth concentration and top capital incomes during the next few decades (italics added). 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June 22-24, 2008 Oxford, UK 48 2008 Oxford Business &Economics Conference Program ISBN : 978-0-9742114-7-3 TABLE 1 Threshold Incomes of Top 5% American Families in 2005 (Income includes Realized Capital Gains) (Computations based on Federal Income Tax Returns)1 Percentile Income Threshold No. of Families Income Threshold Ratio: Top .01 % /Others Top .01% $9,585,705 14,588 Top 0.1% $1,722,926 145,880 5.6 times Top 1% $350,501 1,458,800 27.3 times Top 5% $140,125 7,294,050 68.4 times Source: Adapted from Prof. Emmanuel Saez’s Home Page. (http://elsa.berkeley.edu/~saez). Contrary to the income data from the U.S. Census Bureau, the data from federal income tax returns excludes government transfer payments (e.g., Social Security, Unemployment Benefits, Welfare Payments, etc.), but includes capital gains. Also the income reporting units are not quite comparable. For 2005 the June 22-24, 2008 Oxford, UK 49 2008 Oxford Business &Economics Conference Program ISBN : 978-0-9742114-7-3 Census Bureau data in Table 2 shows 114 million households, whereas the data from this table indicates 146 million tax payers. June 22-24, 2008 Oxford, UK 50 2008 Oxford Business &Economics Conference Program ISBN : 978-0-9742114-7-3 TABLE 2 An Economic Class Structure of America (Based on household income)1 (114 million households2) 2005 Household Income Percentile Range Broad Economic Class Class Name Percentile Upper Class I The Mega-Rich Top .01% Upper Class II The Rich Top 0.1-.01% The Affluent Top 1-0.1% Class Income Threshold 95—100th percentile Refined Economic Class Top 5-1% $166,0003 80—95th percentile Middle Class The Upper Middle Class 80-95th percentile The Traditional Middle Class 40-80th percentile $91,705 60—80th percentile (the fourth quintile) $57,658 40—60th percentile (the middle quintile) $36,000 1 The income data up to the 95th percentile is from the 2005 U.S. Census Bureau, Table HINC-05 (http://pubdb3.census.gov/macro/032006/hhinc/new05_000.htm). The data for the top 5% comes from the federal income tax returns: Source--Prof. Saez’s Home Page.(http://elsa.berkeley.edu/~saez). 2 The 114 million households in this table include 51% married-couple families. In contrast, the corresponding figure in Table HINC06 (containing family data for 77 million families) is 75%. 3 A more appropriate figure for this group would be $184,500 from the 2005 Census Bureau Table HINC-06 which is based on family data. In that table the top-5% group included 94 % higher-income married-couple families vs. only 82% in this table: Table HINC-05. June 22-24, 2008 Oxford, UK 51 2008 Oxford Business &Economics Conference Program 20—40th percentile (the second quintile) The bottom quintile ISBN : 978-0-9742114-7-3 Lower Class The “Near Poor”1 20-40th percentile The Poor =<20th percentile $19,178 1 Borrowed from Newman & Chen (2007). The 114 million households in this table include 51% married-couple families. In contrast, the corresponding figure in Table HINC-06 (containing family data) is 77 million families. The 114 million households in this table include 51% married-couple families. In contrast, the corresponding figure in Table HINC-06 (containing family data) is 77 million families. June 22-24, 2008 Oxford, UK 52 2008 Oxford Business &Economics Conference Program ISBN : 978-0-9742114-7-3 TABLE 3 A Socio-Economic Class Profile of America Economic Class Upper Class I The Mega-Rich: (Top .01%) Upper Class II: Life Style Profile “Masters of Universe” Typical Members of the Group the Owners of a business empire, and heirs to a big fortune “Keeping up with the Gateses” “Conspicuous Consumption” The Rich (Top 1-.01%) Where They Generally Shop Price-Quality Segment “Out-of-Sight,” (“Price is No Object”) Top-level corporate executives, business owners, famous movie stars, top athletes, top professionals, and inheritors Ultra-Premium Type of Stores Some Examples Keen to protect their privacy; increasingly shopping on the web; having luxury retailers make house calls; have fashion “trunk”shows at a fancy place for a small number of elite viewers. Prefer to patronize small, lesser-known shops who sell their designer clothes in small hidden stores. Having salespeople fly outfits to their second homes has now become a standard procedure. Luxury department stores, Neiman Marcus, Tiffany’s, Cartier, and very expensive specialty Vuitton, Hermes stores Upper-Middle Class (80-95th percentile) “Cultured Affluence” Highly-educated professionals, corporate executives, and business owners Premium Upscale department stores The Traditional Middle Class From “Keeping up with the Joneses” to “Good Quality Public Schools in Suburbia” “Just-Making-It” Professionals, bureaucrats, school teachers, merchants, some farmers, and skilled workers Mid-price Mid-price department stores Nordstrom, Bloomindales, Saks Fifth Avenue, Coach Trader Joe’s, Wild Oats, Liz Claiborne, Victoria’s Secret Macy’s, Sears, J.C. Penney, Kohl’s Discount department stores Target Clerical, pink, and blue collar workers with low job security Economy Large discount stores Wal-Mart, K Mart Discount warehouse stores Costco, Sam’s Club (40-80th percentile) The “Near Poor” June 22-24, 2008 Oxford, UK 53 2008 Oxford Business &Economics Conference Program (20-40th percentile) The Poor (=<20th percentile) ISBN : 978-0-9742114-7-3 Having minimum-wage “Survival” (“Bottom of the jobs without benefits, or who rely on govt. welfare Pyramid”) programs, and non-profit charity organizations Ultra- Economy Small stores having low prices, with a very limited selection, minimal service, and often no credit cards. Neighborhood convenience stores in inner cities Aldi, Sav-a-Lot, Dollar General, Family Dollar, Dollar Tree, 99-Cents Only Stores Higher prices due to greater store costs; absence of big- name chain stores June 22-24, 2008 Oxford, UK 54 2008 Oxford Business &Economics Conference Program ISBN : 978-0-9742114-7-3 June 22-24, 2008 Oxford, UK 55