Housing markets and ethnic segregation in the Nordic countries Hans Skifter Andersen Affiliated professor Danish Building Research Institute at Aalborg University The NODES project about ethnic segregation NODES = Nordic welfare states and the dynamics and effects of ethnic residential segregation • Research on causes of ethnic segregation in the Nordic countries and how it is influenced by housing policies and housing markets • Financed by the NORFACE research programme on migration • Co-operation between 12 researches in four countries 2010-2014 Content of the presentation • Some conclusions from the research literature on causes of social and especially ethnic segregation • Empirical findings on some of the causes from the Nordic countries • Discussion in short of the connection between housing policies, housing markets and ethnic segregation • A NODES analysis of this connection in the four capital cities Aspects of spatial segregation 1. Different social or ethnic groups are separated from each other in the cities 2. Some neighbourhoods have a high concentration of certain social or ethnic groups 3. Especially concentrations of low income groups and ethnic minorities are for different reasons seen as problematic Causes of segregation and concentration 1. Socio-economic inequality and ethnic/cultural differences • Groups with higher income can choose to live in the most attractive places and avoid others – low-income groups can not • Different social and ethnic groups might prefer to live close to people that are alike themselves, or avoid other specific groups 2. Inequality among different neighbourhoods in the city (spatial inequality) • Differences in housing supply • Differences in attractiveness of the physical and social environment, social status, access to services, transportation etc. 3. Segregation and spatial inequality interacts because concentrations of low-income groups and ethnic minorities make these neighbourhoods less attractive Special causes of ethnic segregation and concentration • Ethnic minorities have lower incomes. Social segregation produces also ethnic segregation, but studies show no straight-forward connection • Immigrants often prefer to rent because they are uncertain about their future limitations on where to live • Ethnic minorities have often difficulties in getting access to private renting they move to social housing (in Norway co-operatives) • Especially new immigrants prefer to settle nearby an ethnic social network where they can get support they often move into ‘multi-ethnic neighbourhoods’ • But preferences change over time and some ethnic minorities move out again (called spatial assimilation) • Natives move away or avoid moving to multi-ethnic neighbourhoods (White flight and avoidance) Reduced probability among immigrants for moving into homeownership compared to ‘natives’ 0 -0.1 Region of origin -0.2 Eastern Europe -0.3 Africa and West Asia -0.4 Other Asia -0.5 -0.6 -0.7 Copenhagen Helsinki Stockholm Development with years of stay in per cent of NonWestern immigrants living in social housing (DK) Immigrants who did not come with family reunification 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% Immigration period Before 1987 1988-91 1992-94 1995-96 20% 1997-2000 10% 2001-04 2005-08 0% 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 Years of stay in Denmark Number of multi-ethnic neighbourhoods in Denmark with different proportions of Non-Western ethnic minorities 1000 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 Prop. of non-W minorities in neighbourhood (%) > 20 > 30 > 40 > 50 > 60 200 100 0 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2008 Average proportion of Non-Western ethnic minorities = 7.2 % in 2008 The development in ethnic concentration Per cent of immigrants from Non-Western countries living in multiethnic neighbourhoods 60 50 Prop. of N-W Minorities in neighbourhood (%) > 20 > 30 > 40 > 50 > 60 40 30 20 10 0 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2008 Development with duration of stay in Denmark for living in multi-ethnic neighbourhoods for all NW immigrants since 1984 and for newly moved. (increased statistical probability compared to situation at arrival) 2.2 2 All 1.8 Moving families 1.6 1.4 1.2 1 2-5 years 6-10 years 11-15 years 16-24 years Four kinds of selective moving behaviour creating and maintaining spatial concentrations of ethnic minorities (multi-ethnic neighbourhoods) • White Flight: Natives tend more often to move away from multi-ethnic neighbourhoods • White Avoidance: Natives tend to avoid moving to multiethnic neighbourhoods • Ethnic Attraction: Ethnic minorities tend more often to move into multi-ethnic neighbourhood • Ethnic Retention: Ethnic minorities tend less often to move away from multi-ethnic neighbourhoods Size of segregation processes in Denmark depending on ethnic composition of neighbourhood (based on statistical estimations of ‘normal ‘moves) 9% 8% White flight 7% White avoidance 6% Ethnic retention 5% Ethnic attraction 4% 3% 2% 1% 0% -1% 0-19 20-29 30-39 40-49 50 -59 60-69 70- Proportion of ethnic minorities in neighbourhood Reasons for leaving neighbourhood Percentage of ‘native’ leavers stating ethnic composition of neighbourhood and schools as important reason 70 60 Too many immigrants Too many immigrant children in school 50 40 30 20 10 0 Oslo ethnic Oslo other Helsinki Helsinki Stockholm Stockholm nbhs nbhs ethnic nbhs other nbhs ethnic nbhs other nbhs Important for choosing neighbourhood Percentage of native movers stating ethnic and social composition of neighbourhood and schools as important for choice 45 Similar income and/or occ. status 40 Majority with native background 35 Ethnic composition in school 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 Oslo Helsinki Stockholm The effects of housing markets on segregation • Housing market segmentation: Different social and ethnic groups are separated in different housing tenures • Spatial segregation of housing tenures: Tenures are separated in different neighbourhoods in the city. Large urban areas with uniform tenures have been created • Strong housing market segmentation and strong segregation of tenures results in strong social or ethnic segregation • But segregation within housing tenures is also important, especially in homeownership Main features of Nordic housing systems • Major social housing sectors in Denmark, Finland and Sweden, small in Norway • Social housing in Denmark and Sweden open to all, in Norway and Finland they are reserved for low-income groups • Norway and Sweden have large market based co-operative sectors. • Norway based on homeownership and have relatively few rented dwellings, mostly in private renting. • Private renting and co-operatives in Denmark are under rent control, queues and non-market distribution Immigrants (foreign born) in the four Nordic capital regions 2008 The capital regions Population in regions, 1000 inhabitants Copenhagen Helsinki Oslo Stockholm 1.369 1.022 1.079 1.849 11.7 8.8 14.3 21.3 Per cent of population. coming from Eastern Europe 1.9 3.5 3.0 3.5 Per cent of population coming from Non-European countries 6.8 3.6 9.3 11.1 Non-Western immigrants total 8.7 7.1 12.3 14.6 Proportion of population born outside the country. per cent Housing markets in Nordic capitals Copenhagen Helsinki Oslo Stockholm Distribution of population on tenure per cent 42 57 57 Owner-occupied 16 3 22 Co-operatives 16 16 15 Private renting 25 22 3 Social housing 1 2 2 Other Total 100 100 100 34 29 17 17 4 100 Non-Western immigrants distributed on housing tenures in the Nordic capital regions Oslo Stockholm Housing tenures Owner-occupied Co-operatives Private renting Social/public housing Other Total Non-Western immigrants 19 18 27 8 30 14 16 25 13 58 62 1 4 4 100 100 99 14 20 24 41 0 100 Over-representation Owner-occupied Co-operatives Private renting Social/public housing Other -55 -48 -11 131 18 -69 -65 4 182 23 -52 37 66 306 70 -59 -31 41 141 57 33 42 30 32 Distribution % Index of tenure segmentation Copenhagen Helsinki Measures of uneven spatial distribution of different housing tenures across neighbourhoods in the Nordic capitals (Index of segregation). Copenhagen Helsinki Oslo Stockholm Owner-occupied single .56 .62 .32 Owner-occupied flats .47 .12 .39 Co-operatives .50 Private renting .42 Social/public housing Combined index of tenure segregation .55 .43 .36 .27 .21 .45 .56 .33 .35 .52 .51 .23 .33 .46 Illustration of ethnic segregation and concentration: Proportion of Non-Western immigrants in neighbourhoods ordered in deciles after increasing proportion 50% 40% Copenhagen Helsinki Oslo Stockholm 30% 20% 10% 0% 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Neighbourhood deciles 8 9 10 Ethnic segregation in Nordic capitals (Index of dissimilarity) .60 All immigrants From Eastern Europe From Non-European countries .50 .40 .30 .20 .10 .00 Copenhagen Helsinki Oslo Stockholm Segregation of Non-Western immigrants, and proportion caused by the housing market (statistical analyses) Copenhagen 33 Helsinki 42 Segregation of tenures .51 .23 .33 .46 Segregation: Index of dissimilarity .36 .27 .40 .48 - caused by tenure segmentation and -segregation 48 % 70 % 65 % 61 % Other causes 52 % 30 % 35 % 39 % Index of tenure segmentation StockOslo holm 30 32 Conclusions on the effects of housing systems for ethnic segregation • Nordic Welfare States have important differences in housing policies, which affect the ethnic (and social) segmentation of their housing markets • Also the spatial structure of the housing markets differ, to some extent because of differences in urban policies • The effect of ethnic segmentation of housing tenures can be overruled by the way tenure composition varies across neighbourhoods, which seems to have a stronger effect • Housing policy and housing market have a major influence on the spatial distribution of immigrants and on ethnic segregation, but the effects differ across countries and cities, probably because the extent of social, ethnic and spatial inequality differs