Distribution of Defects in Wind Turbine Blades & Reliability Assessment of Blades Containing Defects Authors: Henrik Stensgaard Toft, Aalborg University Kim Branner, Risø-DTU Peter Berring, Risø-DTU John Dalsgaard Sørensen, Aalborg University / Risø-DTU Contents • Introduction • Distribution of Defects in Wind Turbine Blades • Influence of Delaminations and Reliability Assessment • Non Destructive Inspection • Conclusion • Future Work Introduction Uncertainties in calculation of the load carrying capacity for wind turbine blades. 1. Material properties • • Physical uncertainty (Aleatory) Statistical uncertainty (Epistemic) Downwind side Towards tip Trailing edge 2. Finite Element calculation • Model uncertainty (Epistemic) Aerodynamic shell Leading edge 3. Failure criteria • Model Uncertainty (Epistemic) Upwind side Main spar (load carrying box) Introduction Uncertainties – captured by partial safety factors. Local production defects are not taken into account ! • • Quality control of the production process Non Destructive Inspection (NDI) of the blades Stochastic models for the distribution of defects. The models are set up on an empirical basis and have not yet been calibrated against observations from blade manufacturing and testing. Production Defects Local production defects: • • • Delaminations Wrinkles Matrix cracks Influence parameters: • • • Type of defect Size of defect Position of defect Delaminations: • Areas of poor or no bonding between adjacent plies. Voids Defects in glued joints Distribution of Defects – Model 1 Defects are completely random distributed in the blade. The blade can be considered as a 2-dimensional planar region A since defects tend to occur in a layer or in the interface between two layers. i) The number of defects in the region A follows a Poisson distribution ii) The distribution of defects is an independent random sample from a uniform distribution Distribution of Defects – Model 2 Defects occur in clusters which are randomly distributed in the blade. i) The “parent” defects follow model 1 ii) Each “parent” defect produces a number of “offsprings” following a Poisson distribution iii) The position of the “offspring” defects relative to their “parents” is independently and identically distributed according to a bivariate probability density function. (Normal distribution) Distribution of Defects Model 1 Completely Random Distribution Model 2 Random Cluster Distribution Load Carrying Capacity of Main Spar Transverse strains in main spar – Failure defined according to: • • Maximum Strain First Ply Failure Normalized strain [-] 4 3 Transverse xx Longitudinal zz First Ply Failure 2 1 0 -1 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 Normalized load [-] 1 1.2 Production Defects – Delaminations • Size refers to percent of plate width • Through thickness position 20% Defect Size Longitudinal strain (compression) Transverse strain (tension) - 1.00 1.00 Delamination 30% 0.63 0.82* - 40% 0.47 0.74* - 50% 0.32* 0.66* No defect * The value is estimated. Influence of Delaminations Delamination at the most critical position in the main spar cap. Size refers to percent of cap width. Defect Size Load Carrying Capacity - 1.00 30% 0.91 - 40% 0.86 - 50% 0.81 No defect Delamination Influenced only by strength reduction in the transverse direction. Buckling stability increased by the aerodynamic shell. Reliability Assessment of Blades Containing Defects Reliability of blade containing defects: g X R R σ max , ε max , E, D X L L The limit state function cannot be used directly. factor characteristic load can be increased before blade failure (characteristic material properties) Influence of specific defects introduced by reduction factor on the load carrying capacity. g intact X R R σ max , ε max , E X L L Reliability Assessment of Blades Containing Defects Reliability of main spar with delamination at the most critical position. 1 PF Target reliability index in IEC 61400-1, = 3.09, PF = 10-3 per year. Size PF - 1.910-3 2.90 30% 4.010-3 2.65 - 40% 6.210-3 2.50 - 50% 1.010-2 2.33 Defect No defect Delamination Non Destructive Inspection Probability of Detection (PoD) Updated probability of failure: PF|defect ,NDI P g intact 0 P | NDI P g defect 0 1 P | NDI Cumulative Value [-] 1 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 PoD-curve 0 0 0.2 Defects are assumed perfect repaired. PF - 1.910-3 2.90 30% 2.210-3 2.85 - 40% 2.210-3 2.84 - 50% 2.310-3 2.84 No defect Delamination | NDI 0.8 1 Delamination size without/with NDI 1 Cumulative Value [-] Size Defect 0.4 0.6 Delamination size s [m] 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0 Without NDI With NDI 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 Delamination size s [m] 0.8 1 Conclusion • Probabilistic models for the distribution of defects have been proposed and can be calibrated to observations. • Probability of failure increased by large delaminations. (strength reduction in transverse direction is estimated) • Updating of PF by Non Destructive Inspection. Future work • Quantify uncertainties in stochastic models for reliability. • Local defects influence on material properties in fatigue. Distribution of Defects in Wind Turbine Blades & Reliability Assessment of Blades Containing Defects Authors: Henrik Stensgaard Toft, Aalborg University Kim Branner, Risø-DTU Peter Berring, Risø-DTU John Dalsgaard Sørensen, Aalborg University / Risø-DTU