ORGANISATION DE COOPÉRATION ET DE DEVELOPMENT ÉCONOMIQUES OECD OCDE ORGANISATION FOR ECONOMIC CO-OPERATION AND DEVELOPMENT Food and Agriculture Policy: A Positive Reform Agenda Ken Ash Deputy Director, Food, Agriculture and Fisheries California, 19-20 January 2003 Directorate for Food, Agriculture, and Fisheries 1 Agriculture Policies in Canada, Japan, the EU and US • instruments and impacts • recent and on-going developments • alternative policy approaches Directorate for Food, Agriculture, and Fisheries 2 Producer Support Estimate (% PSE) % PSE 70 60 Japan 50 40 EU 30 Canada 20 10 US Directorate for Food, Agriculture, and Fisheries 20 02 19 96 19 91 19 86 -8 8 0 3 Canada: Composition of PSE 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% 1986-88 2002 Payments based on input constraints, overall farm income, etc. Payments based on historical entitlements Payments based on area planted/animal numbers Market Price Support and payments based on output and input use Directorate for Food, Agriculture, and Fisheries 4 Japan: Composition of PSE 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% 1986-88 2002 Payments based on input constraints, overall farm income, etc. Payments based on historical entitlements Payments based on area planted/animal numbers Market Price Support and payments based on output and input use Directorate for Food, Agriculture, and Fisheries 5 EU: Composition of PSE *(simulated CAP Reform) 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% 1986-88 * 2002 Payments based on input constraints, overall farm income, etc. Payments based on historical entitlements Payments based on area planted/animal numbers Market Price Support and payments based on output and input use Directorate for Food, Agriculture, and Fisheries 6 US: Composition of PSE 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% 1986-88 2002 Payments based on input constraints, overall farm income, etc. Payments based on historical entitlements Counter cyclical payments Payments based on area planted/animal numbers Market Price Support and payments based on output and input use Directorate for Food, Agriculture, and Fisheries 7 Composition of PSE 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% Canada Japan EU US Payments based on input constraints, overall farm income, etc. Payments based on historical entitlements Counter cyclical payments Payments based on area planted/animal numbers Market Price Support and payments based on output and input use Directorate for Food, Agriculture, and Fisheries 8 Production linked support is… • inefficient: 25% goes to farm income • ineffective: capitalisation increases costs and reduces profitability; can harm the environment • inequitable: wealthiest farms receive most support • trade distorting: relies on import protection and/or export subsidy, imposing a burden on other countries Directorate for Food, Agriculture, and Fisheries 9 Evolution of PSE Support * % 100 95 90 85 Japan 80 75 70 65 60 55 %PSE 0 EU US 1986-88 Canada 10 Directorate for Food, Agriculture, and Fisheries 20 30 2002 40 50 60 70 80 10 Alternative Policy Approaches Food and Agriculture Policy • reduce border protection • eliminate export subsidies, and • pursue domestic objectives with – decoupled support – targeted measures – tailored support Non-Sectoral Policies • economic, social, environmental Directorate for Food, Agriculture, and Fisheries 11 Farm Household Income: Which Policies? • avoid broad, output-based measures • target uncontrollable income risks (commodity markets, income insurance) • target on-farm performance (skills, technologies) and/or diversify income sources (rural development ) • target systemic low incomes (social safety nets) Directorate for Food, Agriculture, and Fisheries 12 Rural Communities Which Policies? • agriculture policy is not rural policy • target the root causes of economic disadvantages (local, multi-sectoral initiatives) • target systemic policy bias against rural and remote areas (infrastructure, public services) Directorate for Food, Agriculture, and Fisheries 13 Environmental Sustainability Which Policies? • avoid production-linked incentives • target the source of negative impacts of farm production (“polluter-pays” taxes, regulations) • target the provision of desired, positive impacts of farm production (direct payments) • integrate policy approaches (link to broader environmental policy) Directorate for Food, Agriculture, and Fisheries 14 How Important is Capitalisation? • much of existing support has been capitalised into asset values (perhaps 15-20% of land values, production quotas) • the short-term economic adjustment is considerable • the long-term offers benefits, but the “transition period” must be managed Directorate for Food, Agriculture, and Fisheries 15 Conclusion • international and domestic benefits of reform are generally accepted (?) • the overall approach is widely understood (?) – decouple support from farm production – target clear objectives and beneficiaries – reduce amount and scope of support – limit duration of intervention – avoid unintended impacts (review and revise policies) Directorate for Food, Agriculture, and Fisheries 16 Conclusion (cont.) • sustainable reform requires a viable adjustment and compensation strategy (?) – adjustment within the sector (competitive suppliers, diversified income sources) – transition out of the sector (into more viable employment opportunities) – compensation for policy change and any associated “losses” (limited duration) • what else is required? Directorate for Food, Agriculture, and Fisheries 17