Statistics 4220 Final NAME: _________________________________________ Instructions: Read these instructions Do not turn the page until the test begins You have 50 minutes This test is printed on both sides, so don’t miss a page. Each question is worth double the number of minutes. This test is timed for 50 minutes. For this test you may use two pages of notes, a calculator, z-tables, t-table If you need any of these please find a solution before the exam begins If you have a question during the test please come forward quietly so that you are not disruptive. If you leave early please do so quietly. Note that I cannot give answers that are part of the test, only clarify the English being used. All hypothesis tests need to show all 7 steps. You must show your work. Answers which are correct but do not show any work may not get full credit. I might assume you either guessed, cheated, or used some fancy calculator. Cheating is not tolerated. Any inappropriate activity will be discussed after the final Hats or hoods must be moved so that your face is not obscured. Please turn off your cell phone. You cannot have your phone out at all. No one wants to hear a fire alarm sound going off during the test. 1) (3 minutes) A survey in Laramie looked at college students and non college students and how many traffic violations each had. A 90% confidence interval for the average difference between the groups was (-1.47, 5.83). Which of the following (if any) would be statistically correct wording? The probability that this confidence interval captured the true average difference is 0 or 1 90% of all confidence intervals done this way would correctly capture the true average difference We cannot show with 90% confidence that the true averages are statistically different The true average difference is between -1.47 and 5.83 90% of the time We are 90% confident the true average difference is between -1.47 and 5.83 There’s a 90% probability the next confidence interval captures the true average difference 2) (8 minutes) Does long term exposure to sun harm bricks? To answer this engineers visited 49 buildings and measured the hardness of the bricks outside (facing the sun) and the bricks inside (away from the sunlight). Based on the findings below test whether the sunlight lowers the hardness of the bricks. Assume both distributions are normal and that bricks were selected randomly. Bricks in the sunlight Bricks not in the sunlight n=49 n=49 x = 37.77 x = 38.44 s = 8.41 s=8.44 Pooled standard deviation = 8.425 Matched pairs deviation = 2.39 3) (4 minutes) Last semester of the 200 students in STAT2050 there were 142 that finished early. Find an 88% confidence interval for the proportion of students who finished early. 4) (4 minutes) They say half the people born are male, but I’d like to get a 99% confidence interval to narrow down exactly what the true proportion is, and I’d like the interval to have a margin of error of only half a percent. How many people am I going to need to survey? 5) (7 minutes) We have just received a report from Cowboy L00 that CSU is testing the average temperature before a student stays home from classes. We want that hypothesis test. Unfortunately the only thing L00 managed to sneak out of Fort Collins was the picture of their hypothesis test as shown below. Reconstruct all 7 steps as best you can. 6) (3 minutes) Full time civil engineers are expected to work 40 hours a week. That may not match what happens in real life. A survey of 18 random civil engineers from all over the US found an average of 64 hours with a standard deviation of 36 hours. Find an 80% confidence interval for the true average amount number of hours an engineer works per week. 7) (5 minutes) We assume the distribution of weights for railroad ties is normal, but we have no idea what the standard deviation is supposed to be. We randomly sampled 10 railroad ties and got an average of 150 lbs with a sample standard deviation of 25 lbs. Find a 96% confidence interval for the average. 8) (10 minutes) The police are very frustrated with the intersection at the corner of Jefferson and Pierce streets. They have noticed nearly half the people there run the light. They want to know if the time of day changes how likely people are to run the light. They sample cars in the middle of the day, and in the middle of the night. Test the data shown below to answer their question. Ran light Stopped Day 22 18 Night 16 30 9) (6 minutes) A study found 100 engineers who had children that also became engineers. After adjusting for inflation they compared the starting salary of the parent to the child. The regression output for the study is shown below. Regression Statistics Multiple R 0.714812 R Square 0.510956 Standard Error 15.30323 Observations ANOVA Regression 100 df SS MS F P 102.3909 6.68E-17 1 23978.81 23978.81 Residual 98 22950.52 234.189 Total 99 46929.33 Coefficients Std Error t Stat P-value Intercept 2.670427 9.152379 0.291774 0.771076 Parent 1.183646 0.116974 10.11884 6.68E-17 Find a 95% confidence interval for the slope. Interpret your answer using the numbers you found, the 95%, and the problem in context. (Bonus! This question was judged “too hard for a final” by my peers. It’s worth 5 bonus points) I had an ANOVA table written on my board with the numbers written on post-it notes. The janitor came in last night and cleaned the board and put the post-it notes on my desk! Now I have no idea which number went where except I’m pretty sure the F-value was 3. The numbers were: 2, 3, 4, 6, 15, 19, 24, 30, 54 Fix my table please DF SS MS F Groups Error Total