Getting Inside the Budget Process for Homeland Security Cindy Williams Security Studies Program Massachusetts Institute of Technology Security Studies Program at MIT 112907 1 About the Project • Part of an independent research project by Cindy Williams of MIT and Gordon Adams of American University • Project sponsored by John D. and Catherine T. MacArthur Foundation • Transition paper for 44th President and 111th Congress to be published by IBM Center for the Business of Government, January 2008 • Book to be published by Taylor and Francis 2008 Security Studies Program at MIT 112907 2 Homeland Security Budget Authority FY 2008 Request ($ Billions) DHS 29.7 Defense 17.5 Health & Human Services 4.4 Justice 3.3 Energy 1.8 State 1.4 Agriculture 0.7 National Science Foundation 0.4 Other Agencies 1.6 Total Homeland Security 61.1 Security Studies Program at MIT 112907 3 Buying Homeland Security Outline of Discussion • The promise of a consolidated Department of Homeland Security, circa 2002 • Check on progress toward the promise • What went wrong • Findings specific to the biosecurity case • Recommended remedies Security Studies Program at MIT 112907 4 The promise of a new department: unity of effort “Creating a unified homeland security structure will align the efforts of many of these organizations….” Tom Ridge, testimony before Senate Judiciary Committee on President’s proposal for reorganizing the federal homeland defense infrastructure, June 26, 2002 Security Studies Program at MIT 112907 5 The promise of a new department: resource allocation based on national priorities & risk “We must carefully weigh the benefit of each homeland security endeavor and only allocate resources where the benefit of reducing the risk is worth the amount of additional cost.” One “goal for homeland security spending is to prioritize those activities that most require additional resources.” National Strategy for Homeland Security, White House Office of Homeland Security, July 2002 Security Studies Program at MIT 112907 6 The promise of a new department: cost effectiveness “…The cost of the new elements (such as the threat analysis unit and the state, local, and private sector coordination functions), as well as department-wide management and administration units, can be funded from savings achieved by eliminating redundancies inherent in the current structure.” Tom Ridge, testimony before Senate Judiciary Committee on President’s proposal for reorganizing the federal homeland defense infrastructure, June 26, 2002 Security Studies Program at MIT 112907 7 Progress check: Not realizing unity of effort • DHS cannot be expected to bring unity of effort across federal homeland security activities – DHS controls only half of the federal homeland security budget – 40% of DHS budget is not for homeland security Security Studies Program at MIT 112907 8 Progress check: Not allocating resources based on national priorities & risk • Within DHS, little top-down exercise of the budget tool to instill national priorities • Legacy components still call the shots on their own budgets • Little money shifted from one DHS component to another Security Studies Program at MIT 112907 9 Component Shares of DHS Budget (Percent) 2003 2004 2007 Secret Service FEMA Ops Coast Guard TSA 4 n.a. 20 17 4 1 19 15 3 1 19 14 ICE CBP CIS 9 19 5 9 17 5 11 21 4 Component Total 73 69 73 Security Studies Program at MIT 112907 10 Top national priorities • As reflected in strategy documents – Weapons of mass destruction in hands of terrorists – Prevention of terrorist attacks • As reflected in budgets….would expect to see a lot of money to prevent weapons of mass destruction from falling into the hands of terrorists – In fact….less than 2% of federal budgets for homeland security go to prevent WMD from falling into the hands of terrorists Security Studies Program at MIT 112907 11 Progress check: Little evidence of savings from consolidation or elimination of duplicated effort • Obvious overlaps: air forces in CBP, ICE, Coast Guard • Internal DHS study of duplication in support structure brought no changes Security Studies Program at MIT 112907 12 Progress check: Cost of central administration and new elements not offset by eliminating redundancies • Budgets for central administration and new elements tripled • Components retained their 73 percent share of total Security Studies Program at MIT 112907 13 What went wrong: Problems in Executive Branch • Executive Office of the President not well structured or staffed to integrate strategic planning & resource allocation to address longterm security challenges – Homeland Security Council is weak and understaffed – OMB was realigned to handle DHS, but multiple divisions & branches get involved in cross-cutting issues • No explicit linkage between strategies and resource allocation Security Studies Program at MIT 112907 14 What went wrong: Problems in Executive Branch (continued) • Weaknesses in DHS Planning, Programming, Budgeting and Execution (PPBE) Process – Leaders engaged too late, did not sign integrated planning guidance, held one-on-one meetings with components – Program review’s focus on performance leaves little time for tradeoff studies – PA&E understaffed and junior • DHS components remain stronger than the department – White House may not want a strong department – Office of Vice President plays a powerful role, especially in bio area Security Studies Program at MIT 112907 15 What went wrong: Congress • Congress lacks a unified approach to homeland security • Jurisdictions for homeland security remain splintered across committees, particularly for Senate oversight – Little authorizing legislation (exception is bio) – Frequent committee requests for testimony & reports – Back door is always open for legacy agencies & concentrated interests • Appropriation subcommittees are now aligned with DHS, but that leaves seams in areas that cross department lines Security Studies Program at MIT 112907 16 Some Oversight Committees for DHS Big 7 House Senate Coast Guard Homeland Security; Judiciary; Commerce, Science & Transportation & Infrastructure Transportation ICE Judiciary; Ways & Means Judiciary; Finance CBP Homeland Security; Judiciary Finance; Judiciary CIS Judiciary Judiciary FEMA Homeland Security; Homeland Security & Transportation & Infrastructure Governmental Affairs TSA Homeland Security Commerce, Science & Transportation Secret Service Judiciary Judiciary Security Studies Program at MIT 112907 17 What went wrong: Congress (continued) • Absence of homeland security budget function – Inhibits transparent audit of spending for key initiatives, weakens links between planned & executed budgets – Circumvents focused attention of budget committees – Prevents consolidated allocation to homeland security in Congress’s budget resolution • Congressional agencies lack staff to conduct homeland security tradeoff studies Security Studies Program at MIT 112907 18 Findings specific to the biosecurity case • Budgets not firmly linked to priorities – HSC-led end-to-end review set top-down priorities, but not clearly linked to budgets • No single office tracks budget details – 18 separate branches in OMB • Homeland Security Presidential Directives (HSPDs) not well understood by those who must resource & implement them • HSPD -18 realigns medical countermeasure roles, but treats DOD as exception • Much of new funding came through emergency supplemental appropriations – Little planning within or across departments • High potential for pork-barrel politics in pull from biotech industry, state & local grants • No formal allocation of roles for new labs Security Studies Program at MIT 112907 19 Recommended remedies • Abolish Homeland Security Council and fold its functions into expanded National Security Council • Move OMB’s homeland security branch into the National Security Resource Management Office • Create dedicated cells in NSC and OMB to conduct long-term planning, risk assessment, tradeoff studies Security Studies Program at MIT 112907 20 Recommended remedies (continued) • Institute Quadrennial Homeland Security Review (QHSR) – Mandated by Congress – Must follow the thread from strategy to budgets • Strengthen DHS leadership engagement in PPBE – Involve Secretary earlier through review & decision on Integrated Planning Guidance – Schedule meeting with senior leaders of major components for review & decision on key priorities, resolution of cross-cutting issues – Institute department-wide, consolidated leadership review of operating component Resource Allocation Plans Security Studies Program at MIT 112907 21 Recommended remedies (concluded) • Expand DHS PA&E with senior staff, skilled in conducting cross-cutting tradeoff studies – Provide clear alternatives across tools aimed at prevention, protection, & preparation to respond – Reexamine roles & missions across main operating components • Establish single committee of jurisdiction for DHS oversight in each chamber of Congress • Create a Homeland Security budget function • Expand Congressional Budget Office to conduct tradeoff studies on homeland security • Eliminate “constant-shares” as a planning algorithm; budget based on priority missions Security Studies Program at MIT 112907 22 Backup Slides • Homeland security funding by critical mission • Spending for central administration & new elements • DHS planning, programming, budgeting & execution (PPBE) system Security Studies Program at MIT 112907 23 C Em er g In fr T Pr ep /R es p op hi c rit Ca ta st r Pr ot ec t C Tr an sp Do m es tic Bo rd er & I& W Fraction of Homeland Security Funding 0.5 0.4 0.3 2003 2008 0.2 0.1 0 24 Central administration & new elements in DHS ($ billions) Departmental operations Inspector General S&T (including in DNDO) Analysis & operations Total central & new elements 2003 2008 0 0.7 0 0.6 0.1 1.1 0.1 (estimated) 0.3 0.7 2.2 Security Studies Program at MIT 112907 25 Department of Homeland Security PPBE Process • Homeland Security Act of 2002 requires Future Years Homeland Security Program (FYHSP) • DHS established PPBES, modeled after DOD’s • DHS established office of program analysis & evaluation (PA&E) within CFO organization Security Studies Program at MIT 112907 26 Purposes of a PPBE • Executive management – Civilian control of military – Unity of effort across components • Resource allocation • Rational process for exploring priorities and tradeoffs – Make decisions based on explicit criteria of national strategy, not compromises among institutional forces – Consider requirements & costs simultaneously – Consider multi-year plan, to project consequences of present decisions into the future Security Studies Program at MIT 112907 27 DHS’s PPBES for FY 2008 Planning Phase Oct 05 Threat & Vulnerability Assessment Office of Intelligence & Analysis, with Components Oct 05 Strategic Assessment Report Director, Strategic Plans Nov 05 to Jan 06 Integrated Planning Guidance (IPG): strategic goals & objectives, program priorities, cross-cutting issues; program performance assessments (PART) Assistant Sec. for Policy, with PA&E Jan 06 IPG Instructions for Resource Allocation Plans (RAPs) & funding targets by component CFO (PA&E and Budget) Security Studies Program at MIT 112907 28 DHS’s PPBES for FY 2008 Programming and Budgeting Phases Jan to Apr 06 Resource Allocation Plans (RAPs) Apr to Jul 06 Program Review, culminating in Resource PA&E, Allocation Decisions (RADs) to Secretary components: emphasis on resource allocation, priorities Jun to Sep 06 Budget Review, culminating in DHS budget & FYHSP: emphasis on pricing, phasing, performance, financial execution CFO (Budget) Sep 06 DHS budget & FYHSP to OMB CFO Feb 07 DHS budget & FYHSP to Congress OMB Security Studies Program at MIT 112907 Components 29