New Directions in Welfare OECD 6-8 July 2011, Paris Theories of justice and the measurement of well-being Guillermo Alves – Matías Brum – Andrea Vigorito Instituto de Economía Universidad de la República - Uruguay Motivation • Recent discussion on the dimensions to be considered for comparisons across countries, held internationally (Sarkozy commision, UNDP, World Bank, Foro Consultivo Mexico) • Availability of international indexes (Better Life Index, Human Development Index, Human Opportunity Index) • Available measures consider different dimensions and use aggregation procedures, leading to different country rankings • Main indexes (GDP, BLI, HDI) and measures exclude important items in their calculation: different • Inequality (lacking in HDI until 2009, BLI soon) • Agency/Autonomy (though UNDP has made attempts) • Uruguay: local discussion on how to measure the impact of the recent redesign of the social protection system Correlations btw diff rankings of OECD countries Correlations between HDI, GNI & BLI rankings HDI GNI HDI 1 GNI 0.735 1 BLI 0.809 0.826 BLI 1 Outline of the presentation I. Main purposes II. Principles underlying social indicators III.Theories of justice and the dimensions of well-being: a proposal IV.An empirical exercise - International rankings: a comment - Trends: an application to Uruguay V. Final comments I. Main purposes • Drawing from the main contemporary approaches to justice and justice theories, discuss which dimensions should be taken into account for wellbeing comparisons • For each approach, identify the informational basis needed in order to make comparisons. This implies: • Choosing relevant indicators • Choosing a combination procedure for the indicators • Approaches covered in our paper: Utilitarism, Welfarism, Libertarianism, Egalitarian liberalism (Rawls, Dworkin), Equality of Opportunities (Roemer), Capabilities Approach (Sen) • Stress the importance of inequality as an important (even central) feature to be taken into account when comparing countries II. Principles underlying social indicators • Principles guiding the system (Atkinson et al, 2002) • Principles guiding individual indicators (Atkinson et al, 2002) • Databases to be considered • Household , individual surveys microdata • • • • • • • • • • • • • Balance among the different dimensions Consistency among components Transparent and accessible for all systems Levels of importance must be determined Identify the essence of the problem and have a clear normative interpretation Robust and statistically validated Responsive to policy interventions but not subject to manipulation Comparable at international standards Timely and susceptible to revision Required data should not impose a large burden to states or statistical offices Firms and organizations microdata National accounts system data Administrative records, laws, decrees, norms III.Theories of justice and the dimensions of well-being: a proposal III.1 Utilitarianism and Welfarism • Both approaches base interpersonal comparisons on subjective well-being • Nevertheless, for a long time interpersonal comparisons carried out in Economics used data on income or consumption • Recently, subjective evaluation has been favoured by a stream of the economics profession led by the new Economics of hapiness. • Whereas Utilitarianism considers aggregate utility, Welfarism considers also its inequality or dispersion. III.1 Utilitarianism and Welfarism Dimension Subjective Well-being Objective wellbeing • • Indicator Happiness / Life satisfaction: % of individuals that declare being very satisfied or satisfied with their lives Adjustment among desires and their satisfaction: Life satisfaction by domain and ranking carried out by interviewee Perception of economic situation: % of individuals that perceive it as good or very good Wealth: Average and SD of a durable goods index. Income: Per capita average household income. Gini index. Generalized Lorenz curves. Consumption: Per capita average expenditure and Gini index of per capita expenditure. Utilitarianism as sum of individual utility Welfarism as inequality in utility III.2 Libertarianism (Nozick) • Assesses first generation civil and political rights, economic freedom and property rights • Regarding negative freedoms, egalitarian treatment relies in the supression of all barriers to these freedoms • Main dimensions considered under this approach are: • • • • • • The warranty of fundamental freedoms The vigency of a judicial system Circulation freedom Freedom of expression, asociation, right to strike and demonstrations Economic freedom Warranty of property rights III.2 Libertarianism (Nozick) Dimension Indicator Existence of an independent judicial power Vigency of a judicial system Productivity of the judicial power Limits to economic freedom Economic freedom index Limits to expression freedom Position in the international ranking of the Press freedom index Warranty by the state of fundamental freedoms Existence of discriminatory laws against population groups Tax burden Interference of the government Public expenditure in defense as % of public expenditure in the economy Social expenditure as a % of public expenditure Presence of public monopolies Limits to property rights Existence of norms that limit property rights: taxes, assaults by 100.000 inhabitants Limits to right to life Homicide rates for 100.000 inhabitants Limits to economic freedom Laws or regulations against the right of association, demonstration or citizen participation III.3 Egalitarian Liberalism (Rawls) • Rawls’ two justice principles establish the ground for comparisons • The first principle implies that basic freedoms are above the rest of the dimensions (lexicographic priority) • The second principle is twofold: establishes two conditions that are necessary for tolerance, and to prevent situations of social inequality: - Equality of possibilities to access jobs and positions - Difference principle: inequalities need to turn into a major benefit to the less advantaged members of society. • Dimensions: access to primary goods - Social basis of self-respect - Wealth - Income • Operationalization has many caveats: - Identification of less advantaged groups - Unidimensionality of disadvantage (based on income only) - Tolerance to high inequality levels (without contradicting the Difference Principle) Lexicografic priority to basic freedoms Dimension Vigency of a judicial system Indicator Existence of an independent judicial power Productivity of the judicial power Limits to economic freedom Economic freedom index Limits to expression freedom Position in the international ranking of the Press freedom index Warranty by the state of fundamental freedoms Limits to right to life Limits to the freedom of association Existence of laws that regulate competition Validity of a constitution that Warranties equality of opportunity Validity of property rights Existence of discriminatory laws against population groups: existence of norms that allow slavery. Homicide rates for 100.000 inhabitants Laws and regulations that restrict the freedom of association Existence of institutions and laws that regulate competition Indicators based on rights warranted in the constitution Indicators based on the norms on property rights and their limitations Equal access to positions and the difference principle Dimension Equal access to positions Income gap by gender and education Indicator Proportion of public and private work positions subject to open competition (total and by educational attainment required) Average hourly labor earnings by gender and schooling Average GDP and per capita household income Income distribution by quantiles Income Average household income before public transfers compared to the poverty line FGT indexes (0, 1, 2) Type I and II errors in public transfers targeting Average wealth index Wealth Wealth distribution by quantiles Evolution of the average wealth of the first quantile Taxation Public transfers Average tax burden and progressivity of the tax system % of public transfers relative to GDP III.4. Roemer’s equality of opportunity • This approach distinguishes between circumstances (out of control of the individual) and effort. Only inequality due to differences caused by external circumstances is “unfair”. The isolation of the portion of inequality due to external circumstances is a difficult task as long as effort is correlated with circumstances Recent attempts of operationalization include: i) ex-ante and expost approaches; ii) parametric and non parametric decompositions of inequality (Ferrando, 2011) • In this proposal we concentrate in providing indicators that can approximate inequality of opportunity The selection of the relevant dimensions is a key issue, although it has been less controvertial than in the capabilities approach The dimensions that have been currently used in empirical literature are health, work, education and income III.5 Capabilities approach (Sen & Nussbaum) This approach considerably broadens the informational basis used to carry out interpersonal comparisons Sen separates well-being (functionings and capabilities) and agency Within the CA, there are different positions in relation to the dimensions to be considered in well-being and agency assessments. Whereas Sen leaves this task to communities and researchers, Nussbaum advocates for the definition of a list of universal combined capabilities. Alkire and Robeyns also argue for the existence of a list but not necessary the Nussbaum one. This approach has significant operationalization problems Freedom indicators: additions to egalitarian liberalism Dimension Indicator Associativeness index Conflict index Civil society organization Existence of trade unions and entrepreneur associations, and affiliation rate Existence and evolution of the number of NGOs Existence and evolution of the number of neighborhood organizations, parents associations, women associations, affirmative action organizations on sexual and ethnic rights, environmental organizations, etc. Incidence of the civil society in the public debate Numbers of referendums per legislative period Empowerment IEM (as in UNDP methodology) Basic functionings & capabilities indicators Dimension Indicator Access to the public sewage network. % of individuals living in households with access to the public sewage network Health Proportion of children aged 0 to 3 with stunting Infant mortality rate. Total and dispersion by geographic areas Psychological distress Dwelling condition Social integration Work/income Aggregate index of dwelling quality Over-crowding (%) neither study nor work/Unemployed without social security coverage/Elder adult without social security coverage/ residential segregation (Duncan index) Under-employment/lack of social security coverage/ poverty/non transfer income/income inequality Education Average years of completed schooling in population elder than 23/ Attendance rates by educational level/% of students reaching the minimum requirements in PISA assessments and its dispersion Participation % of individuals participating in civil society activities (total and by educational attainment and sex) % of individuals aged 18 or more that voted in the last national elections Dimensions and indicatorsagency and autonomy Dimension variable a. Practical reason Indicators (and basic questions) Domain of reference Can people like you change things in your community? Self-perception of empowerment by domain (9 steps) Life plan and conception of the good Dimension are to be defined Can people choose their own destiny? Can you imagine changes at the personal level? Perception of selfdetermination Are you confortable living with the persons that compose your household? b. Affiliation Do you feel that your opinions are considered by your family and friends/work? Do you feel you play a key role with respect to your family and friends?/Work? Do you feel you were not able to participate in certain social events because you did not have the appropriate clothing? To what extent do you feel you can make desitions in your household (RAI index). c. Control over the enviroment (political and material) To what extent do you feel you can make desitions in regards to your household assets (RAI index). To what extent you decide where to participate? Reasons to participate Capability of living with others/social basis of self-respect Near surroundings Material Political IV. An Empirical excercise IV.1 A comment on international rankings Inequality Traditional View GDP HDI GDP Health Education Better Life Index Housing Income Jobs Community Education Environment Governance Health Life Satisfaction Safety Work-life balance Missing dimensions Agency Freedoms Justice Theories Utilitarianism Libertarism Rawls Capabilities Eq. Op X p X p p p X X X p X X X X X p X X p p p p p p X X X X X X X X X X X X p X X X X X X p X X X X X X X X p X X p X X p X X X X p X X p X p p p p p p p p X p p p p p p p X X p X p X X X X X X p X p p p X p IV.2 The proposed dimensions and assessments of well-being over time: some results for Uruguay • Covering 2001-2008 • Data from our National Household Survey and from Latinobarometer • Information missing / incomplete / unavailable for some years and/or indicators: our paper makes a proposal regarding this missing data • As expected, the different informational basis and indicators lead to different stories regarding what happened in the period • In some cases, even within an approach, different indicators evolve in the opposite direction Dimension Variable Indicator 2001 2003 2005 2007 2008 Trend Life satisfaction % of individuals satisfied or very satisfied with their lives 76,3 71,7 73,8 s/d s/d ? Wealth Average value of a composite index on access to durable goods 1,56 1,60 1,64 1,79 + Income Average per capita household income (2001=100) 100,0 74,7 77,9 93,9 104,6 + Life satisfaction SD on lifesatisfaction 0,73 0,78 0,73 s/d ? Wealth SD on composite index on access to durable goods 0,47 0,50 0,49 0,49 0,48 steady Income Gini index 0,45 0,44 0,44 0,46 0,44 + Utilitarianism Subjective well-being Objective well-being Welfarism Subjective well-being Objective well-being s/d Dimension Variable Indicator Economic freedom index Heritage foundation index Press freedom index value International Press freedom index Tax burden Tax revenue/GDP 2001 2003 2005 2007 2008 Trend Libertarianism Limits to economic freedom Limits to expression freedom Public expenditure composition Social expenditure as a % of public expenditure Limitations to property rights Robbery rate Robbery rates over 1000 inhabitants Limits to rights to life Homicide rate Homicide rates over 100.000 inhabitants – 8.3 – 27.8 27.9 29.5 29.0 26.2 – s/d Public expenditure in defense as % of public expenditure Interference of the government in the economy 70.7 69.8 66.9 68.4 67.9 4.0 9.8 11.8 1.2 – 22.4 20.8 19.7 22.0 21.7 ? 20.8 27.2 31.4 30.0 32.7 – 6.6 – 1.6 6.0 5.7 5.8 8.9 Dimension Variable Indicator 2001 2003 2005 2007 2008 Trend Average hourly labor earnings by gender 0.91 0.89 0.91 0.90 0.88 + 6 years or less/12 years 0.68 0.69 0.68 0.68 0.71 Steady 6 years or less/16 years or more 0.31 0.32 0.31 0.33 0.35 – 12 years/16 years or more 0.46 0.46 0.46 0.49 0.49 – 1st decile average income 100.0 101.9 113.6 140.2 167.8 + Average income ratio 1st decile/median 0.35 0.36 0.34 0.35 0.34 + Average income ratio 1st decile/10th decile 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 steady 18.8 30.9 29.4 25.5 20.6 + 6.0 10.4 10.6 9.2 6.6 + 2.7 4.8 5.3 4.3 3.0 + 4-5 82.7 83.9 88.0 88.1 90.1 + 13-15 93.5 94.5 93.9 92.9 93.2 steady 18-22 43.9 49.3 49.8 43.4 44.6 steady Schooling Average years of schooling (25 and more) 8.4 8.6 8.7 9.0 9.1 + Expenditure Public expenditure in education/GDP 3.1 2.9 3.3 3.7 + Expenditure Public expenditure in health/GDP 3.6 3.4 4.0 4.5 + Egallitarian libertarianism (Rawls). Second principle Income gap by gender and education Labor earnings Income of the most deprived strata Household income Poverty School attendance rates by age Education Health FGT indexes (0 ,1 and 2) Dimension Variable Indicator 2001 2003 2005 2007 2008 Trend % hh. Having access to the sewage public network 60.1 61.4 63.9 59.1 60.6 steady Child mortality rate (0 to 1) 13.9 15.0 12.7 12.0 10.0 + SD by geographical areas 2.2 3.8 2.3 + % of ppl declaring distress 3.1 3.4 3.0 + SD 1.1 1.0 1.1 steady Capabilities Sewage Health and nutrition Child mortality Psychological distress Housing Social integration Dwellling condition Composite index on quality of housing Crowding Over 2 persons per room 8.6 7.8 7.9 Desaffiliation Not study or work/uninsured unemployed/elder adult with no access to pension system 17.4 18.4 16.5 Under employed Employment & Income 11.9 ? 7.9 6.8 + 16.0 15.1 13.8 + 20.4 18.6 14.5 12.8 + % informality % with no access to social security 18.8 30.9 29.4 25.8 21.6 + Poverty FGT0 18.8 30.9 29.4 25.5 20.6 + FGT1 6.0 10.4 10.6 9.2 6.6 + FGT2 2.7 4.8 5.3 4.3 3.0 + Dimension Variable Capabilities (education already considered) Education Participation 2001 2003 2005 2007 2008 Average years of schooling (>23) 8.4 8.5 8.7 8.9 9.1 Attendance rates (13 to 17) 77.2 Voice actions Indicator Trend + 80.0 78.5 75.0 76.7 % persons that signed a public letter or petitioon 0.6 0.5 - % persons that contacted a public leader 0.2 0.2 steady % persons that contacted a public employee to complain 0.2 0.1 % persons that contacted a parliament member 0.2 % persons that contacted a political party 0.2 % of persons that contacted an NGO 0.2 0.2 % persons that contacted the mass media 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 steady steady V. Final Comments • Based on previous research, we propose dimensions to carry out comparisons consistent with the main contemporary approaches to distributive justice • Broadening the informational basis entails significant increases in the number of relevant indicators as well as on data sources, and advances in the two fields are required • Results are sensitive to the choice of dimensions and indicators • When operationalizating different conceptions • In some cases philosophical differences tend to fade • In others, approaches empirically overlap V. Final Comments • A large effort in data collection needs to be done in the fields of agency and freedoms • As long as household surveys are built on the basis of traditional approaches to well-being, they need to broaden the dimensions in which they broaden their informational basis. Particularly relevant for developing countries • Aggregate indicators or separate indicators? Since evolution may be different and even in opposite direction, among other reasons, we make our case for a disaggregate view • Approaches to justice are embedded in indexes; inequality and agency should not be left behind. Thanks for your attention