Spatial pattern of adult trees and the mammal-generated seed rain in the Iberian pear Jose M. Fedriani, Thorsten Wiegand and Miguel Delibes J. M. Fedriani and M. Delibes, Estación Biológica de Doñana (CSIC), Avda. Américo Vespucio s/n, Isla de la Cartuja, ES-41092 Sevilla. — T. Wiegand, UFZ Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research — UFZ, Dept of Ecological Modeling, PF 500136, DE-04301 Leipzig, Germany. The degree to which plant individuals are aggregated or dispersed co-determines how a species uses resources, how it is used as a resource, and how it reproduces. Quantifying such spatial patterns, however, presents several methodological issues that can be overcome by using spatial point pattern analyses (SPPA). We used SPPA to assess the distribution of P. bourgaeana adult trees and their seeds (within fecal samples) dispersed by three mammals (badger, fox, and wild boar) within a 72-ha plot across a range of spatial scales. Pyrus bourgaeana trees in our study plot (n =75) were clearly aggregated with a critical spatial scale of ca 25 m, and approximately nine randomly distributed tree clusters were identified. As expected from their marking behaviors, the spatial patterns of fecal deposition varied widely among mammal species. Whereas badger feces and dispersed seeds were clearly clustered at small spatial scales ( B10 m), boar and fox feces were relatively scattered across the plot. A toroidal shift null model testing for independence indicated that boars tended to deliver seeds to the vicinity of adult trees and thus could contribute to the maintenance and enlargement of existing tree clusters. Badgers delivered feces and seeds in a highly clumped pattern but unlike boars, away from P. bourgaeana neighborhoods; thus, they are more likely to create new tree clusters than boars. The strong tree aggregation is likely to be the result of one or several non-exclusive processes, such as the spatial patterning of seed delivery by dispersers and seedling establishment beneath mother trees. In turn, the distinctive distribution of P. bourgaeana in Doñ ana appeared to interact with the foraging behavior of its mammalian seed dispersers, leading to neighbourhood-specific dispersal patterns and fruit-removal rates. Our study exemplifies how a detailed description of patterns generates testable hypotheses concerning the ecology of zoochorous. Pyrus bourgaeana dispersers were unique and complementary in their spatial patterning of seed delivery, which likely confers resilience to their overall service and suggests lack of redundancy and expendability of any one species. Patchiness, or the degree to which plant individuals are aggregated or dispersed, co-determines how a species uses resources, how it is used as a resource, and how it reproduces (Condit et al. 2000, Wiegand et al. 2007). For instance, the spatial distribution of plants can influence the movements of frugivores leading to neighbourhood-specific dispersal patterns and fruit-removal rates where isolated plants are less often visited than plants growing in clusters (Carlo and Morales 2008). In turn, seed dispersers often influence the spatial distribution of plants by establishing the initial template on which post-dispersal processes act (e.g. seed survival, germination, seedling survival, establishment; Fragoso 1997, Russo and Augspurger 2004). Therefore, plant-frugivore interactions can be seen as a dynamic twoway process in which the interacting organisms (plants and seed dispersers) mutually affect their spatial patterns at a range of scales. The emerging spatial patterns, e.g. the pattern of adult plants and the pattern of seed dispersal, are therefore expected to conserve signals from the underlying processes, and precise spatial pattern analysis can help recovering this ‘‘hidden’’ information (Wiegand et al. 2003, 2007, 2009, Wiegand and Moloney 2004, Grimm et al. 2005, McIntire and Fajardo 2009). However, too simple or imprecise analytical tools have often hindered linking the observed patterns to processes (McIntire and Fajardo 2009 and references therein). One of the most important methodological issues in this respect is the use of oversimplified null models which does not allow the characterization of the different features of spatial patterns in enough detail for meaningful inference (Schurr et al. 2004, Wiegand and Moloney 2004, Wiegand et al. 2007, McIntire and Fajardo 2009). However, spatial patterns have many features that can be revealed when appropriate techniques are used. For example, earlier applications of spatial pattern analysis in ecology have compared the observed patterns only with random patterns. This approach can reveal the range of scales with significant aggregation, but does not provide further information such as the number of clusters, the average size of clusters, or if the pattern is likely to be a superposition of independent 545 patterns with different characteristics (Wiegand et al. 2007, 2009). However, clustered patterns may be the rule rather than the exception (Condit et al. 2000, Wiegand et al. 2007) and, especially in the case of plant populations dispersed by several frugivores with contrasting behaviors (e.g. scatter- and clump-dispersal; Howe 1989), seed rain is expected to show a superposition of patterns. Spatial point pattern analysis (SPPA; Diggle 2003, Illian et al. 2008) deals with the statistical analysis of mapped point patterns, which comprise the coordinates and additional features of ecological objects. The assumption is that the objects can be approximated as points (but see Wiegand et al. 2006) and that either all points are mapped within a given study site or a random sample of all points. Secondorder statistics such as the pair correlation function or Ripley’s K are the summary statistics of choice for describing the characteristics of point patterns (e.g. clustering) over a range of spatial scales (Stoyan and Stoyan 1994, Wiegand and Moloney 2004, Law et al. 2009). Additionally, they can be applied in conjunction with realistic null models to help in the identification of the underlying patterns (Schurr et al. 2004, Wiegand and Moloney 2004, Wiegand et al. 2007, McIntire and Fajardo 2009). In this study, we applied recent extensions of SPPA to better understand the processes that determined the spatial pattern of adult trees in the Iberian pear, Pyrus bourgaeana, in southwester Spain. In our study region, P. bourgaeana appears to be distributed in clusters (Fedriani and Delibes 2009a) though no formal analyses of the spatial patterns have been undertaken for this species. The spatial structure of P. bourgaeana is likely to be the result of several nonexclusive processes, including edaphic variables (Clark et al. 1999), establishment beneath mother trees (Chapman and Chapman 1995), and the pattern of seed delivery by its seed dispersers (Russo and Augspurger 2004). Therefore, we also assessed the spatial patterns of P. bourgaeana seed rain generated by its dispersers, as well as its potential relationship with the local patterning of adult tree distribution. The main local dispersers of P. bourgaeana are the Eurasian badger Meles meles, the wild boar Sus scrofa, and the red fox Vulpes vulpes (Fedriani and Delibes 2009a). Disperserspecific mobility (Spiegel and Nathan 2007), habitat preferences (Jordano and Schupp 2000), and fecal marking behavior (Fragoso 1997) are likely to lead to differences in the pattern and scale of seed delivery, which may contribute to the persistence of the tree population despite disturbance (Frost et al. 1995, Peterson et al. 1998). Thus, seed dispersers that apparently seem redundant often operate at contrasting spatial scales, providing uniqueness and complementariness (sensu Spiegel and Nathan 2007) to their services and, thus, cross-scale resilience in terms of seed dispersal (Fragoso 1997, Loiselle et al. 2007). Nonetheless, even when different dispersers operate at the same spatial scales, they may provide within-scale resilience to the dispersal service (Peterson 2000). Therefore, differentiating among the seed rain generated by different disperser species is important not only in assessing their potential as underlying mechanism of tree spatial patterns, but also in estimating the resilience of disperser’s service. More specifically, we used spatial data of P. bourgaeana adult trees and dispersed seeds (within fecal samples) by the three main dispersers within a 72-ha plot during two 546 consecutive fruiting seasons to address four objectives: 1) to characterize the spatial distribution of adult trees, 2) to characterize the spatial distribution of seeds delivered by each disperser, 3) to assess the spatial relationship between the distribution of adult trees and the seed rain generated by each disperser, and 4) to find out if P. bourgaeana seeds were more frequent in mammal deposition sites closer to adult P. bourgaeana trees. We then discuss in light of our pattern analysis several hypotheses on the processes acting in this plant-frugivore system and the consequences of our results for dispersal service resilience and implications for conservation. Methods Study system and site Pyrus bourgaeana (Rosaceae) is a monoecious small tree (typically 3—6 m in height) distributed across the southern Iberian Peninsula and northern Morocco (Aldasoro et al. 1996). Our focal population is located in the Doñ ana National Park (510 km2; 3789?N, 6826?W; elevation 0—80 m), on the west bank of the Guadalquivir River estuary in southwestern Spain. In the Doñ ana area, P. bourgaeana distribution is very fragmented, with trees occurring at low densities (generally B1 individual ha—1) in several Mediterranean scrubland patches that are isolated from each other by marshes, sand dunes, or cultivations. The climate is Mediterranean sub-humid, characterized by dry, hot summers (June—September) and mild, wet winters (November—February). Annual rainfall varies widely, ranging during the last twenty-five years from 170 to 1028 mm (mean9SD =583.09221.1 mm). Though most rain (‘80%) falls between October—March, there is a marked interannual seasonal variability in rainfall. For example, the coefficients of variation for summer and winter rainfall were 93.3 and 54.4%, respectively, between 1984 and 2005. In our study population the understory is dominated by Pistacia lentiscus shrubs growing singly or in small clumps separated by unvegetated sandy substrate or sparse Halimium halimifolium, Ulex spp., and Chamaerops humilis (Fedriani and Delibes 2009a). Scattered across the area there are Quercus suber, Olea europaea var sylvestris and Fraxinus angustifolia trees. The fieldwork (see below) was undertaken in a tetragonal plot of 72-ha (‘0.6 x0.9 x 0.8 x1.0 km) where the locations of all 75 P. bourgaeana reproductive trees were known (Fig. 1B). Most of the plot (49 ha) is occupied by Mediterranean scrubland as detailed above, whereas its southwestern side (23 ha), delimited by a fire-break, is occupied by a ‘‘dehesa’’, i.e. the habitat resulting of a traditional form of management of the Mediterranean forests, in which native trees (e.g. Q. suber and O. europaea var sylvestris) are spaced out or inserted in a continuum of grasslands with no or sparse understory of Mediterranean scrubs (P. bourgaeana does not occur in this side of the plot). In Doñ ana, P. bourgaeana flowers during February— March, with each individual producing 200—450 fruits that ripen during the autumn (September—November; Jordano 1984). Developed fruits are globose pomes (2—3 cm diameter; ‘9.5 g wet weight; Fedriani and (B) P. bourgaeana (A) 700 0.8 100 G(y) Pair correlation function g (r ) 120 80 0.6 0.4 600 0.2 60 0.0 40 0 10 20 30 500 40 Distance y to NN [m] 20 400 0 (C) 300 0.8 100 G(y) Pair correlation function g (r ) 120 80 0.6 200 0.4 0.2 60 0.0 40 0 100 10 20 30 40 Distance y to NN [m] 20 0 250 0 0 10 20 30 40 350 450 550 650 750 850 950 50 Spatial scale r [m] Figure 1. Analysis of the spatial pattern of adult P. bourgaeana. (A) Point pattern analysis of the pattern adult P. bourgaeana shown in (B) using a Thomas process. The fit of the pair-correlation function with the Thomas process (eq. 3) yielded approximately nine clusters and a cluster size of rC :2s =22.6 m (shown as circles in B). The pair correlation function of the data (dots), the expected pair-correlation function of the Thomas process (grey solid line), and simulation envelopes of the Thomas process (solid lines) being the 5th lowest and highest values of the pair correlation functions the 199 simulated of the null model. The cell size was 1 x1m and the ring width dw = 2 m. The small inset shows the corresponding accumulative distribution function of the distances y to the nearest neighbor. Note that the pattern of P. bourgaeana comprises several ‘‘isolated’’ trees with nearest neighbor distances y >15 m that are farther away than expected by the Thomas process. (B) The spatial pattern of adult P. bourgaeana, isolated trees (gray circles), and a visual reconstruction of the clusters (circles). The trees outside the clusters are isolated trees. (C) same as (A) but analysis of pattern without isolated points. The fitted cluster size yields rC :2s =22.2 m and the estimated number of clusters was 8.26. Delibes 2009b) that comprise a sugary water-rich pulp (Herrera 1987). Each fruit includes 1—5 viable seeds (46— 91 mg each; Fedriani and Delibes 2009b) with easily breakable coats. Several medium- and large-sized mammals consume the fruit of P. bourgaeana; whereas badger, fox, and the wild boar ingest the whole fallen fruit and thus potentially disperse their seeds over long distances, red deer Cervus elaphus also ingest whole fruits but act strictly as seed predators (Fedriani and Delibes 2009a). Also, small mammals such as the European rabbit Oryctolagus cuniculus and up to four species of rodents eat P. bourgaeana seeds (and some fruit pulp), but they destroy and grind into tiny pieces all ingested seeds; thus, act as seed predators (Fedriani and Delibes 2009a). Because in P. bourgaeana seed germination requires that attached fruit pulp be removed, fruit processing by mammals is an important service for the tree (i.e. most seeds within fallen fruits decay at the end of the dispersal season; Fedriani and Delibes unpubl.). Birds (e.g. azure-winged magpie Cyanopica cianea, blackcap Silvia atricapilla) mostly act as pulppredators rather than as seed dispersers (Fedriani and Delibes 2009a). Fecal collection and seed quantification Collection of fecal samples was carried out weekly during the dispersal seasons (September—February) of 2005—2006 and 2006—2007. During the surveys, sampling effort was distributed homogeneously across the plot. We set a total of twelve ‘‘starting points’’, three along each side of the plot, which were regularly distributed. During each survey, an observer walked from a starting point (which changed among consecutive surveys by rotating them clockwise) to the opposite side of the plot following a non-fixed zigzagging trajectory and, once there, came back following a different path to a changing location of the departure plot side (Fedriani and Delibes 2009a). Each survey took about two hours and overall we undertook 104 different surveys (‘208 h-observers). On average, each starting point was used 8.7 times. Based on twenty-one surveys for which distance travelled was measured (using a Global Position System; GPS), the minimal lengths of surveys were, on average, 2.849 0.21 km (mean91SE). Thus, overall, we walked a minimum of 295 km searching for mammal feces within the plot (whose longest side is 1.0 km). In each survey, the observer collected any fresh feces of foxes and badgers (which were locally scarce) and up to five samples of boar (which were most abundant). A GPS-reading was attained for each mammal feces, recorded into a geographic information system to establish their map location (using ArcView software). Mammal feces were identified at the species level on the basis of shape, odor, and color (Fedriani et al. 1999). For example, fox feces are cylindrical, tapered at one of the extremities, with a strong repulsive smell, and deposited over the substrate (plants, raised spots, etc). Badger feces are deposited in small dugs (or latrines) often buried shallowly with loose substrate and, typically, with a distinctive musky smell. Boar droppings are usually cylinder shaped, with disc-shaped sections fused together. Overall sample sizes 547 were 121, 118, and 19 for the boar, badger, and fox, respectively. Also, for comparative purposes, we collected feces (n =81) delivered by the red deer, a strict predator (not disperser) of P. bourgaeana seeds. Feces were air dried and stored individually in paper bags. Each fecal sample was thoroughly washed under running water on a sieve (0.50 mm mesh size) and air-dried. Seeds and other fruit remains (skin, pulp, pedicels, etc) were identified using a reference collection. Further, seeds were examined with a 20—40 xmagnification glasses and the number intact seeds was recorded (for details, see Fedriani and Delibes 2009a). Nearest neighbor statistics The ‘‘shortsighted’’ accumulative distribution function G(y) of distances y to the nearest neighbor provides important additional information about the nature of clustered univariate patterns (Illian et al. 2008). It serves as an independent test statistic to assess how well fitted point processes describe the data (Jacquemyn et al. 2007, 2009, Wiegand et al. 2007). We calculated G(y) without edge correction (Diggle 2003). This is a reasonable approximation because the scales we investigate (i.e. r B100 m) are much smaller than the smallest side of the plots (roughly 1 km; Stoyan 2006). Generalities of point pattern analysis We used recent techniques of spatial point-pattern analysis (Ripley 1981, Stoyan and Stoyan 1994, Diggle 2003, Illian et al. 2008) to investigate the distribution of adult trees, mammal feces, and dispersed seeds. To quantify the uni and bivariate spatial patterns we employed the pair-correlation function (Stoyan and Stoyan 1994, Illian et al. 2008), a normalized neighborhood density function, and the distribution function of the distances to the nearest neighbor (Diggle 2003, Illian et al. 2008). For estimation of these summary statistics we followed the grid-based approach of Wiegand and Moloney (2004) and used an adapted grid size of 1 x1 m. This is a fine resolution compared with the size of our study plots (72 ha), but necessary to study the apparently small-scale clustering of the trees and the feces and the accuracy of their recorded coordinates. To avoid problems in estimating some spatial patterns due to environmental heterogeneity within our study plot (i.e. scrubland vs ‘‘dehesa’’), we conducted the corresponding point pattern analyses only in a rectangle (‘52 ha) centred over the homogeneous part of the study region covered by Mediterranean scrubland. Pair-correlation function To characterize the spatial patterns of P. bourgaeana trees and feces, and potential associations between them, we used uni- and bivariate pair-correlation functions, respectively. The univariate pair-correlation function g(r) is based on the distribution of distances r between pairs of points. It can be defined for homogeneous patterns using the quantity O(r) =lg(r) which has the intuitive interpretation of the expected intensity of points at distance r of a representative point of the pattern (Wiegand and Moloney 2004, Illian et al. 2008), where l is the intensity of the pattern in the study region (i.e. number of points divided by area of the study region). In practice the mean number of points within a ring (r —dw, r+dw) with an adapted width (or bandwidth) dw =2 m around the points of the pattern is determined and divided by the mean area (i.e. the number of cells) of these rings that fall within the study region (Wiegand and Moloney 2004). Bivariate extensions of the pair correlation function for patterns composed of type 1 and type 2 points follow intuitively (Wiegand and Moloney 2004); in this case O12(r) =l2g12(r) is the expected intensity of type 2 points at distance r of a representative type 1 point where l2 is the intensity of type 2 points. 548 Test of significance The empirical test statistics were contrasted to appropriate null models (see below), which represent a ‘‘benchmark’’ point process with known structure adapted to our questions. We used a Monte Carlo approach for construction of simulation envelops of a given null model and test statistic. Each of the 199 simulations of the point process underlying the null model generates a g(r) function (or another appropriate test statistic), and simulation envelopes with an approximate a =0.05 were calculated for the test statistic using its 5th highest and 5th lowest values. Note that we cannot interpret the simulation envelopes as confidence intervals because we tested the null hypothesis at several scales of r simultaneously. This may cause type I error (Stoyan and Stoyan 1994, Diggle 2003, Loosmore and Ford 2006). To test overall departure of the data from the null model without type I error inflation we used a Goodness-of-Fit (GoF) test that collapses the scale-dependent information contained in the test statistics into a single test statistic ui which represents the total squared deviation between the observed pattern and the theoretical result across the scales of interest. The ui were calculated for the observed data (i =0) and for the data created by the i = 1, . . . 199 simulations of the null model and the rank of u0 among all ui is determined. If the rank of u0 is >190 there is a significant departure from the null model with a =0.05 over the scales of interest (i.e. 0—50 m). Details can be found in Diggle (2003), Loosmore and Ford (2006), and Illian et al. (2008). Null models for analysis of univariate patterns For univariate patterns that did not show apparent clustering we used a homogeneous Poisson process, which is sometimes called ‘‘complete spatial randomness’’ (CSR) as null model. To this end we assigned the points of the pattern to random coordinates within the study plot. Because most univariate patterns were apparently not random but strongly clustered (e.g. Fig. 1), we fitted a simple cluster process to the data. Note that this process is phenomenological, not mechanistic, and does not provide a direct link to the underlying processes. However, the cluster process serves as ‘‘benchmark’’ processes with known structure and directly interpretable parameters, which allows us to characterize fully the key properties of clustering. To this end we used the Thomas process (Thomas 1949, Stoyan and Stoyan 1994, Seidler and Plotkin 2006, Jacquemyn et al. 2007, 2009, Wiegand et al. 2007, 2009, Morlon et al. 2008) which is based on a simple stochastic construction principle; it consists of a number of randomly and independently distributed ‘‘clusters’’ with properties specified below. The pair-correlation function of the Thomas process yields: g (r ; s; r) = 1 + 1 exp(—r2=4s 2) r 4ps2 wrapped as a torus, one pattern is fixed, and the other is shifted as a whole random vector (Dixon 2002, Wiegand and Moloney 2004). Results Distribution of adult trees : The parameter r is the intensity of clusters in the study region of area A (i.e. Ar is the number of clusters) and the parameter s described the cluster size. The points are randomly assigned to the clusters, i.e. the number of points per cluster follows a Poisson distribution with mean m = l/r where l is the intensity of the pattern. Note that the Thomas process also describes situations were the number of clusters is higher than the number of points (i.e. l Br). In this situation a given cluster may be empty (i.e. there is no point assigned to the cluster) or comprise only one point. This is a consequence of the stochastic construction principle underlying the Thomas process in which the definition of a cluster is not related to the number of points belonging to a given cluster. The probability for a given cluster to be empty yields P[n =0, m] =Exp( —m), and the probability that a given cluster has just one point yields P[n =1, m] =mExp( —m). Low values of m thus indicate that the pattern is basically a random pattern but with a few ‘‘paired’’ points that imprint clustering. The proportion of points occurring in clusters with only one point yields mExp( —m)/[1 —Exp( —m)]. The distribution of the locations of points belonging to a given cluster, relative to the center of the cluster, is assumed to be a two-dimensional normal distribution with variance s2. The cluster size rC can be defined as rC :2s includes ca 87% of the points belonging to a given cluster, and the approximate area covered by one cluster is AC = p r2C =4ps2 . Note that this definition of a cluster size is not directly related to properties of individual clusters (e.g. the number of points belonging to a given cluster, or the area covered by an identifiable cluster), but based on the stochastic construction principle of the clusters underlying the Thomas process (Wiegand et al. 2009). The unknown parameters r and s were determined using minimum-contrast methods based on the paircorrelation function (Stoyan and Stoyan 1994, Wiegand et al. 2007, 2009). To test if the fit with the Thomas process was reasonable, we evaluated this null model using the accumulated distribution function G(y) of the distances y to the nearest neighbor as additional test statistic. Null model for analysis of association between patterns To find out if there was an association between the spatial patterns of the trees and that of feces we contrasted the data to a null model of independence (Wiegand and Moloney 2004). A test for independence requires conservation of the spatial structure of the individual univariate patterns, but to break their dependence (Dixon 2002). We achieved this by using a toroidal shift null model where the study rectangle is Adult P. bourgaeana trees showed a strong clustering, with local densities at distances 2—7 m being ca 40 times higher than expected by a complete random distribution [Fig. 1A; note that the expectation of the pair correlation function for a random pattern is g(r) =1 and that g(r) =40 means that the neighborhood density at scale r is 40 times higher than under CSR]. The data at scale 0—50 m could be fitted well with the Thomas process (rank =37), yielding Ar* =10.7 randomly distributed clusters and a cluster size of rC : 2s =22.6 m (Fig. 1B). However, the distribution G(y) of distances y to the nearest neighbor y indicated some departure from this benchmark process: nearest-neighbor distances y >10 m were less frequent than expected (small inset Fig. 1A; rank =199). This departure was caused by nine adult P. bourgaeana trees (12%) which had no nearest neighbor within 40 m (grey disks in Fig. 1B); thus growing clearly outside the clusters. It is therefore likely that the pattern of P. bourgaeana is a superposition pattern, comprising a clustered and a non-clustered component pattern. In case of an independent superposition of a random pattern and a pattern generated by a Thomas process the estimate of the parameter r is influenced by the superposition. In this case the ‘‘true’’ value yields r =r*pC 2 (Wiegand et al. 2007) were pC is the proportion of trees belonging to the cluster component pattern (i.e. pC 2 = (62/71)2 =0.76) and r* the initial estimate based on the fit of the entire (superposition) pattern. Thus, the number of clusters should be Ar* =10.7*0.76 =8.2. Indeed, repeating the analysis without the nine isolated points (Fig. 1C) yields an estimate of 8.3 clusters comprising on average m =62/8.3 =7.5 trees. The distribution function G(y) of distances y to the nearest neighbor are now well in accordance with the benchmark cluster process (small inset Fig. 1C; rank 160). However note that the number of points is relatively low and that the stochastic nature of the Thomas process prevents a further reconstruction of the cluster structure. Spatial patterns of mammal fecal delivery Badger feces showed extreme clustering, with local densities approximately 1000 times higher than expected by a completely random distribution (Fig. 2D). Nonetheless, by analyzing the distribution of the distances to the nearest neighbor, we found that 24 feces had no nearest neighbor within 15 m (small inset Fig. 2D), but 76 feces were clustered in a few (say five) small clusters (Fig. 2A). This resulted in extremely high values of the pair-correlation function at scales B10 m (Fig. 2D). The pattern is thus a superposition of an extreme cluster pattern with a less clustered component. Because of this complex structure and 549 (A) Badger (B) Wild boar (C) Red deer 700 700 700 600 600 600 500 500 500 400 400 400 300 300 300 200 200 200 100 100 100 0 250 350 450 550 650 750 850 950 0 250 350 450 550 650 750 850 950 (E) Wild boar univariate (D) Badger univariate (F) Red deer univariate 12 80 0.8 1200 60 0.4 0.2 800 0.8 0.6 G(y) 1600 G(y) Pair correlation function g(r) 2000 8 0.4 6 0.0 0 400 10 0.6 0.2 40 0.0 10 20 30 40 Distance y to NN 4 0 20 10 20 30 40 Distance y to NN 2 0 0 0 10 20 30 40 50 0 0 10 Spatial scale r [m] 20 30 40 50 0 12 10 10 10 8 8 8 6 6 6 4 4 4 2 2 2 0 10 20 30 Spatial scale r [m] 40 50 30 40 50 40 50 (I) P. bourgaeana - red deer (H) P. bourgaeana - wild boar 12 0 20 Spatial scale r [m] 12 0 10 Spatial scale r [m] (G) P. bourgaeana - badger Pair correlation function g(r) 0 250 350 450 550 650 750 850 950 0 0 10 20 30 Spatial scale r [m] 40 50 0 10 20 30 Spatial scale r [m] Figure 2. Analysis of feces and its relationship of P. bourgaeana. (A—C): the pattern of feces (open disks) and P. bourgaeana (grey disks). Note that, for badgers, we show isolated feces (those with no neighbors within 15 m) as open squares. (D—F): univariate point pattern analysis of the feces using a CSR null model for red deer feces and a Thomas process for wild boar feces. (G—I) bivariate point pattern analysis testing for independence between feces and trees using a torodial shift as null model. The pair correlation function of the data (dots), the expected pair-correlation functions of the null model (grey solid line), and simulation envelops of the null model (solid lines). The cell size was 1 x1m and the ring width dw =3 m. the relatively low number of feces we did not conduct more detailed analyses for this pattern. The distribution of wild boar feces (Fig. 2B) showed a significant clustering up to scales r =5 (Fig. 2E). To approximate the small-scale clustering we fitted a Thomas process to the data that reproduced the observed clustering of the data well, both for the pair correlation function (Fig. 2E; rank =142) and for the nearest neighbor distribution function (small inset Fig. 2E; rank =162). The fit yielded a cluster size of rC :2s =4 m and 353 clusters. Thus, the expected number of feces per cluster were m =107/353 = 0.295 (there were 107 feces in the study rectangle). Thus, the proportion of feces occurring in clusters with only one point yields mExp( —m)/[1 —Exp( —m)] =0.86 or 92 feces indicating that most boar feces are randomly distributed 550 (i.e. some 92 feces are distributed in clusters with only one feces), but a few feces (ca 15) are aggregated in small clusters of two or tree (Fig. 2B). Limited sample size prevented SPPA for the red fox (see below); however, for comparative purposes, we also assessed the spatial patterns of feces delivered by the red deer, a species that act strictly as predator of P. bourgaeana seeds. In contrast to the clustered patterns of badger and wild boar, we found that the distribution of deer feces (Fig. 2C) did not differ significantly from a random pattern (Fig. 2F; rank 132). As a consequence of their fecal marking behaviors (Fig. 2), the three dispersers noticeably differed in their patterns of seed delivery (Fig. 3). Badger and boar generated the highest and lowest seed aggregations, respectively (Fig. 3). Red fox Vulpes vulpes No. of observations 4 3 2 1 0 25 75 125 175 225 275 325 Badger Meles meles 22 The spatial pattern of badger feces was independent from that of adult trees (Fig. 2G; rank 175); however, when randomizing the badger feces not with a torus shift null model that conserves the strong clustering of feces, but using a random pattern (CSR) as null model, we found significant and positive association (results not shown), which highlight the importance of accounting for the specific distribution of feces in assessing second order patterns. Conversely, the pattern of wild boar feces was significantly and positively associated with adult P. bourgaeana trees, especially at distances 4—9 m from the trees (Fig. 2H; rank 199). The pattern of red deer feces was independent from the pattern of adult trees (Fig. 2I; rank 57). Distance between dispersers deposition sites with and without P. bourgaeana seeds and the nearest adult tree Finally we had a closer look at whether the distribution of P. bourgaeana seeds within deposition sites of the dispersers was dependent on the distance to the nearest P. bourgaeana tree. Because the radius of statistically significant tree clusters was ‘25 m, whereas clusters were generally >100 m apart (Fig. 1B), we categorized all distances between fecal deposition sites and the nearest neighbor into three categories: short distance (525 m; i.e. seed movements within the typical cluster radius), long distance ( >100 m; i.e. seed movements among different tree clusters), and intermediate (i.e. >25 m and 5100 m). Though all three legitimate dispersers (fox, badger, and boar) delivered some feces up to three hundred meters away from the nearest P. bourgaeana tree (Fig. 4), they differed clearly in the frequencies of distances to the nearest tree for both feces with (x2 =13.78, DF =4, p B0.010) and without seeds (x2 =30.57, DF =4, p B0.001). For the 18 No. of observations Spatial relationship between the distribution of adult trees and the mammal-generated seed rain 20 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 25 75 125 175 225 275 325 Wild boar Sus scrofa 35 30 No. of observations Figure 3. Number of P. bourgaeana seeds per square cell (50 m side) within the study plot for each of the three legitimate dispersers of this tree in Doñ ana. Boxes and error bars show mean9SE and 95% bootstrap confidence intervals, respectively. Feces with seeds Feces without seeds 25 20 15 10 5 0 25 75 50 125 100 175 150 225 200 275 250 300 Distance to the nearest neigbour Figure 4. Frequency distribution of distances between fecal deposition sites (with and without seeds) and the nearest P. bourgaeana conspecific for the three legitimate seed dispersers in Doñ ana. fox, the feces with P. bourgaeana seeds were significantly closer to adult trees than feces without seeds (Fisher exact test, p =0.002), but because of the small sample size for this species, SPPA were not performed for the fox. Conversely, for the badger and the boar, feces with and without seeds were mostly delivered at intermediate distances from the nearest tree ( >25 m and 5100 m; Fig. 4) and no significant differences were found in their respective distribution of distances (Fisher exact test, p >0.129). Therefore, for these two species, all fecal deposition sites 551 appear to be potential dispersal sites. Though these results indicate that most badger and boar-dispersed seeds are delivered at intermediate distances away from the nearest adult tree, this metric does not fully characterize the spatial pattern of seed delivery in relation to the whole conspecific neighborhood, which is an important point due to the strong aggregated pattern of P. bourgaeana. However, our data do not allow for a more refined analysis (i.e. trivariate random labeling; De la Cruz et al. 2008, Biganzoli et al. 2009) to find out if the presence of seeds in feces depends on the distance to adult P. bourgaeana trees. Discussion SPPA allowed us to characterize in detail the spatial patterns of adult P. bourgaeana trees, dispersed seeds, and the relationship between trees and seeds at a range of spatial scales. We used the Thomas cluster process to characterise important properties of our empirical data with much higher precision than, for example, a null model of complete spatial randomness. The key properties (average number of points per cluster, cluster size, number of clusters, and assessment of potential superposition patterns) fully characterize the features of the observed spatial patterns. In addition, to evaluate the independence between the spatial pattern of adult trees and feces of different dispersers, we preserved the spatial structure of the individual univariate patterns, but broke their dependence by using a toroidal shift null model (Wiegand and Moloney 2004). All these features enhance the accuracy of our results, improving our understanding of the distribution of adult trees and the potential underlying processes. Distribution of P. bourgaeana in Doñana Pyrus bourgaeana trees in our study plot were clearly aggregated, with a critical spatial scale of ca 25 m (Fig. 1). A similar aggregated pattern appears to occur for neighboring trees located outside of our study plot (Fedriani et al. unpubl.). In addition, both within and outside our study plot, the distribution of this tree within Mediterranean scrubland does not seem to correlate with habitat factors (Fedriani et al. unpubl.). Therefore, the strong aggregated patterning found is likely to be the result of one or several other non-exclusive processes. First, by creating the initial template on which post-dispersal processes act, seed dispersers can be responsible, at least partially, for P. bourgaena aggregation (Fragoso 1997, Wenny 2000, Russo and Augspurger 2004). Nonetheless, the sequence of concatenated post-dispersal events (seed germination, seedling survival, establishment) could erase the initial patterns in seed distribution imposed by P. bourgaena dispersers (Jordano and Herrera 1995, Schupp and Fuentes 1995, Rey and Alcántara 2000; but see Garcı́a et al. 2005). Thus, our ongoing research examining emergence, survival, and establishment of seedlings from mammal-dispersed and non-dispersed seeds is required to fully assess the role of mammals on P. bourgaeana distribution. 552 Second, dispersal limitation sometimes leads to seedling establishment beneath mother trees, resulting in an aggregated patterning (Chapman and Chapman 1995, Bustamante and Simonetti 2000, Cordeiro and Howe 2003). This is a likely possibility since a fraction of the fruit fallen beneath adult trees are not taken by mammals. Many seedlings emerge beneath mother trees every season and, eventually, some of those seedlings get established (Fedriani et al. unpubl.). Finally, rhizome sprouting in response to disturbance (Barnes et al. 1998, Bond and Midgley 2001) could result in clustering if different sprouts emerge from a single individual and eventually produce fruit. In Doñ ana, P. bourgaeana experience heavy browsing by red deer and sprouts of a range of sizes emerge beneath some trees; thus, the possibility that those shoots grow and eventually reach the adult size leading to tree clusters needs to be evaluated. On the other hand, the aggregated patterning of adult P. bourgaeana trees might have important consequences for their interaction with fruit consumers (Blendinger et al. 2008, Carlo and Morales 2008). Both simulation models and empirical evidence suggest that as fruiting plants become aggregated, inequality among individuals in fruitremoval rates increases and seed dispersal distance decreases and, in turn, both of these processes could help create and maintain plant aggregation (Carlo and Morales 2008). Our data on fruit removal for P. bourgaeana during the autumn of 2005 (Fedriani and Delibes 2009a) suggest that isolated individuals (i.e. those with no neighbors within 25 m) are visited by legitimate dispersers less frequently (0.5090.29 visits per night, n =4) than individuals located within tree clusters (1.0890.19 visits per night, n =12). Furthermore, nearest neighbor distances between adult P. bourgaeana and badger, fox, and boar deposition sites were always lower for aggregated trees (38.4991.0, 40.094.1, and 22.592.2, respectively; n =63) than for isolated ones (91.0914.8, 70.799.6, and 39.297.3, respectively; n =12). Therefore, our preliminary data support the hypothesis that the distribution of P. bourgaeana in Doñ ana interacts with the foraging behavior of its mammalian seed dispersers, leading to neighbourhood-specific dispersal patterns and fruit-removal rates (Aukema and Martinez del Rı́o 2002, Carlo and Morales 2008, Levey et al. 2008). Spatial patterns of mammal feces and seed delivery As expected based on disperser’s marking behaviors, the spatial patterns of fecal deposition varied widely among mammal species at a range of spatial scales. Badger feces and dispersed seeds were clearly clustered at small spatial scales, which is consistent with their intensive usage of shared defecation sites (latrines) which are preferentially placed in the vicinity of main setts and along their territory boundaries (Kruuk 1989, Revilla and Palomares 2002). Boar feces were only lightly clustered, which may be related with the small boar group size in Doñ ana (Fernández-Llario et al. 1996). The few fox feces found were located on conspicuous sites (plants, raised spots) scattered across the plot, which is a typical pattern in this species (Lloyd 1980). Furthermore, badger and boar differed in their fecal deposition behavior with respect to P. bourgaeana neighborhoods. If the initial pattern of seed delivery persists beyond subsequent ontogenic stages, boars likely contribute to the maintenance and enlargement of existing tree clusters. Badgers, however, delivered feces and seeds away from the tree neighborhoods; thus, they are more likely to create new tree clusters. Conversely, the pattern of fecal delivery by the red deer, a seed predator of P. bourgaeana seeds, was neither clustered nor associated with adult trees. Interestingly, the spatial patterns of both badger feces and adult trees were a superposition of an extremely clustered pattern, in conjunction with a less clustered component, which further suggests a role of badger dispersal on tree distribution. Furthermore, badgers were the only dispersers that delivered seeds in the ‘‘dehesa’’, a habitat where at present P. bourgaeana does not occur. Badgers frequently use dehesa habitat (Fedriani et al. 1999) and may play an important role in colonization of new areas (Nathan and Muller-Landau 2000). Therefore, even if badgers and boars were redundant in other aspects of the dispersal process (see below) they show important disparities in seed delivery as a result of their spatial and fecal marking behaviors. Thus, they provide complementary dispersal services (Spiegel and Nathan 2007), which may confer resilience to P. bourgaeana dispersal (Peterson et al. 1998). Nonetheless, these inferences should be taken with caution since our analyses ‘‘only’’ evaluate seeds and adult trees. To interpret fully the influence of seed dispersal on plant demography other stages (seedling, sapling) should be taken into account. Dispersal service resilience and conservation implications In humanized landscapes, such as the Doñ ana area, it is important to account for the susceptibility of frugivores to anthropogenic disturbance when assessing the resilience of the dispersal service (Wright et al. 2000). Intense human activities in Doñ ana have lead to increases of red fox and wild boar populations during the last four decades (Rau et al. 1985, Gortázar et al. 2008), whereas hunting has decreased the population of badgers (Revilla et al. 2001) and led to extinction of other potential dispersers such as wolves Canis lupus (Valverde 1967) and, long ago, bears Ursus arctos (Swenson et al. 2000). Thus, dispersers more tolerant to human activities (fox, boar) may replace to some extent susceptible species (wolf, badger) when and where levels of humanization decrease their populations, which could provide resilience to P. bourgaeana dispersal (Wright et al. 2000). For instance, because foxes and boars are highly mobile and P. bourgaeana distribution in Doñ ana is very fragmented, with trees occurring at low densities in several isolated patches, they can potentially replace humansensitive species (e.g. badgers) in terms of (re)colonization at vacant patches, connecting different subpopulations, and enhancing the genetic flux among them (Nathan and Muller-Landau 2000, Levin et al. 2003). Nevertheless, the overriding influence of post-dispersal processes makes it very difficult to predict accurately how a particular tree species will respond to the reduction of its main dispersers (Chapman and Russo 2006). For instance, contrasting microhabitats often lead to varying seed and seedling survival (Rey and Alcántara 2000, Traveset et al. 2003), depending on a myriad of variable biotic and abiotic factors (Schupps 2007), and P. bourgaeana seed dispersers differ in their microsites of seed deposition. Whereas Pistacia shrubs were the most frequent microhabitat of deposition for badgers (43% of cases; n =140), for foxes and boars the most frequent microhabitat was open interspaces among Pistacia shrubs (82% [n =22] and 45% [n =112], respectively; Fedriani and Delibes 2009a). Given the unpredictability of the Mediterranean weather (Thompson 2005), which diversifies the environmental conditions at seed deposition sites, the assemblage of P. bourgaeana dispersers likely spreads the risk (sensu Cohen 1966) of countering conditions particularly unsuitable for survival, resulting in a complementary dispersal service that enhances recruitment. However, the loss of any one dispersal agent could lead to a more stereotyped seed rain (i.e. lesser variability in the microhabitat of deposition), which, under some circumstances, could lessen recruitment. In Doñ ana, fox, badger, and boar disperse at least, ten, nine, and six species of fleshy fruits (Fedriani and Delibes 2008), respectively, and thus some of our results are also relevant to the overall local community of fleshy-fruited shrubs. As is generally true (Janson 1983), large-fruited species are dispersed more frequently by mammals (P. bourgaena, C. humilis, Juniperus oxycedrus subsp. macrocarpa) than small-fruited species (Rubus ulmifolius, Juniperus phoenicea, Daphe gnidium). For instance, J. oxycedrus subsp. macrocarpa (1.5 cm of fruit diameter) is an endangered and protected species in Spain, with a range limited to some coastal dunes of the Mediterranean basin (Muñ oz-Reinoso 2003). In Doñ ana, its only known dispersers are the red fox, the badger, and the wild boar (Muñ oz-Reinoso 2003, Fedriani et al. unpubl.) and thus these mammals are of paramount importance for the dispersal of this endangered species. Therefore, preserving a diversity of highly mobile mammalian seed dispersers is central for the resilience of the Doñ ana ecosystem (Lunberg and Moberg 2003). In conclusion, SPPA is a powerful tool that allowed us to characterize in detail the distribution of P. bourgaeana trees and the mammal-generated seed rain in Doñ ana. Pyrus bourgaeana dispersers delivered ingested seeds in contrasting spatial patterns, providing complementary dispersal and suggesting lack of redundancy and expendability (sensu Kareiva et al. 2003) of any one disperser species. The singularities of the dispersal services provided by each disperser likely affords a degree of resilience to their overall service (Peterson et al. 1998) in an area under high levels of human disturbance. The strongly aggregated pattern of trees might be an outcome of seed dispersal and, in turn, likely has a strong effect on disperser behavior and the resulting patterns of seed delivery. 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