North Missouri Career Opportunities: The State of the
Economy and Implications for Students
Mary Bruton| Missouri Economic Research and Information Center| Missouri
Department of Economic Development
Overview
Employer Outlook
Workforce Trends
Employer Needs
Employment Decline in Recession
Source: Rockefeller Institute of Government
Impact of Recession by County
AP Economic Stress Index – March 2010
The combined impact of foreclosures, unemployment, and bankruptcy
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
Unemployment Insurance Claims by Industry
Missouri UI Continued Claims by Industry
22,185
Construction
12,500
Manufacturing
9,487
Administrative and waste services
Retail trade
8,163
Accomodation and food services
7,781
5,497
Health care and social assistance
4,182
Transportation and warehousing
3,320
Wholesale trade
Unclassified
2,866
Professional and technical services
2,823
Other services
2,271
Arts entertainment and recreation
2,110
Finance and insurance
2,098
Information
1,550
Educational services
1,461
Real estate and rental and leasing
1,438
Public administration
960
Mining
834
Agriculture forestry fishing and hunting
674
Management of companies and enterprises
253
Utilities
118
0
5000
Source: MERIC, Missouri Dept. of
Labor & Industrial Relations
10000 15000 20000 25000
Unemployment Insurance Claims by Level of
Educational Attainment
Missouri UI Claimants by Educational Attainment
2%
0%
0% 3%
Grade 0 - 12
6%
1 Year College or Tech School
4 Years College or Undergrad
34%
55%
1 Year Post Grad
2 Years Post grad or Masters
Doctorate
Info not available
Source: MERIC, Missouri Dept. of Labor & Industrial Relations
Generational Impact of Recession
2009 Unemployment Rate by Gender and Age
30.0%
25.0%
Males
20.0%
Females
15.0%
10.0%
5.0%
0.0%
16-19
20-24
25-34
35-44
45-54
55-64
65+
Source: MERIC, US BLS – Local Area Unemployment Statistics
400
Jan-90
May-90
Sep-90
Jan-91
May-91
Sep-91
Jan-92
May-92
Sep-92
Jan-93
May-93
Sep-93
Jan-94
May-94
Sep-94
Jan-95
May-95
Sep-95
Jan-96
May-96
Sep-96
Jan-97
May-97
Sep-97
Jan-98
May-98
Sep-98
Jan-99
May-99
Sep-99
Jan-00
May-00
Sep-00
Jan-01
May-01
Sep-01
Jan-02
May-02
Sep-02
Jan-03
May-03
Sep-03
Jan-04
May-04
Sep-04
Jan-05
May-05
Sep-05
Jan-06
May-06
Sep-06
Jan-07
May-07
Sep-07
Jan-08
May-08
Sep-08
Jan-09
May-09
Sep-09
Jan-10
Shifting Employment Trends
450
Missouri Employment for Selected Industries
Thousands of Persons, Seasonally Adjusted
Recessions
Manufacturing
Educ. and Healthcare
Prof. and Business Services
350
300
250
200
Source: US Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current
Employment Statistics 1990-2010
Long-term Industry Outlook for Northwest Missouri
Fastest Growth
Industry
Plastics and Rubber Products Manufacturing
Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services
Waste Management and Remediation Service
Repair and Maintenance
Warehousing and Storage
Administrative and Support Services
Ambulatory Health Care Services
Amusement, Gambling, and Recreation Industries
General Merchandise Stores
Specialty Trade Contractors
Real Estate
Health and Personal Care Stores
Construction of Buildings
Heavy and Civil Engineering Construction
Social Assistance
Nursing and Residential Care Facilities
Truck Transportation
Hospitals
Insurance Carriers and Related Activities
Local Government (excl. Education and Hospitals)
2008 Estimated 2018 Projected
Employment
Employment Net Change % Change
203
253
50
24.6%
2,165
2,688
523
24.2%
166
201
35
21.1%
961
1,157
196
20.4%
433
510
77
17.8%
3,987
4,681
694
17.4%
3,030
3,502
472
15.6%
798
917
119
14.9%
3,352
3,844
492
14.7%
2,303
2,631
328
14.2%
539
610
71
13.2%
555
628
73
13.2%
1,082
1,219
137
12.7%
696
780
84
12.1%
1,575
1,751
176
11.2%
4,028
4,464
436
10.8%
1,129
1,245
116
10.3%
4,743
5,090
347
7.3%
1,887
1,999
112
5.9%
5,211
5,510
299
5.7%
Source: Northwest Missouri Long-term Industry
Employment Projections, 2008-2018
Long-term Occupation Outlook for Northwest Missouri
Fastest Growth
2018
Career
2008
Projected
Net
%
Average
Grade Occupation
Employment Employment Change Change
Wage Education/Training Required
A+
Network Systems & Data Communications Analysts
120
170
51
41.80% $74,790 Bachelor's degree
B
Home Health Aides
570
750
179
31.51% $19,540 Short-term on-the-job training
AComputer Software Engineers, Systems Software
100
120
28
29.17% $78,380 Bachelor's degree
AMedical Scientists, Except Epidemiologists
80
100
20
26.67% $67,090 Doctoral degree
B
Pharmacy Technicians
330
420
85
25.68% $24,560 Moderate-term on-the-job training
APersonal Financial Advisors
70
90
19
25.68% $91,280 Bachelor's degree
BFitness Trainers & Aerobics Instructors
130
160
31
24.41% $25,290 Postsecondary vocational award
B+
HVAC Mechanics & Installers
140
180
35
24.31% $40,880 Long-term on-the-job training
BTree Trimmers & Pruners
50
70
12
22.22% $29,370 Short-term on-the-job training
A+
Cost Estimators
160
200
36
22.22% $57,690 Bachelor's degree
AComputer Software Engineers, Applications
220
270
49
22.07% $76,060 Bachelor's degree
BEntertainment Attendants & Related Workers
60
70
12
20.34% $20,450 Short-term on-the-job training
B
Bill & Account Collectors
350
410
65
18.73% $28,780 Short-term on-the-job training
B+
Self-Enrichment Education Teachers
190
220
35
18.62% $35,420 Work experience in a related occ.
AMixing & Blending Machine Setters & Tenders
390
460
72
18.37% $35,130 Moderate-term on-the-job training
B+
Physical Therapist Assistants
50
60
9
18.00% $43,620 Associate degree
AEmployment, Recruitment, & Placement Specialists
120
140
21
17.95% $46,260 Bachelor's degree
ACompliance Officers
130
160
23
17.42% $50,250 Long-term on-the-job training
D
Physical Therapist Aides
20
30
4
17.39% $21,920 Short-term on-the-job training
ATraining & Development Specialists
150
180
26
16.99% $49,530 Bachelor's or higher, plus work exp.
Source: Northwest Missouri Long-term Occupational
Employment Projections, 2008-2018
Long-term Occupation Outlook for Northwest Missouri
Most Total Openings
2018
Career
Projected
Grade Occupation
Employment
BCashiers
3,580
BRetail Salespersons
3,160
BWaiters & Waitresses
1,660
C+
Combined Food Preparation & Serving Workers
3,210
A+
Registered Nurses
2,460
ACustomer Service Representatives
1,530
D
Laborers & Freight, Stock, & Material Movers
1,550
BOffice Clerks, General
2,720
D
Child Care Workers
1,440
B
Nursing Aides, Orderlies, & Attendants
2,180
ATruck Drivers, Heavy & Tractor-Trailer
1,660
BStock Clerks & Order Fillers
1,460
D
Janitors & Cleaners
1,840
ASales Representatives, Wholesale & Manufacturing
1,330
ALicensed Practical & Licensed Vocational Nurses
860
B+
Elementary School Teachers
1,170
C+
General & Operations Managers
1,030
D
Team Assemblers
1,330
B+
First-Line Supervisors of Retail Sales Workers
1,320
A
Insurance Sales Agents
870
Average Growth Replacement
Wage Openings Openings Education/Training Required
$18,050
51
1,585
Short-term on-the-job training
$24,980
177
831
Short-term on-the-job training
$17,930
23
902
Short-term on-the-job training
$16,870
266
623
Short-term on-the-job training
$56,670
301
378
Associate degree
$30,990
191
421
Moderate-term on-the-job training
$25,710
0
514
Short-term on-the-job training
$27,720
138
352
Short-term on-the-job training
$19,040
0
428
Short-term on-the-job training
$21,660
226
195
Postsecondary vocational award
$38,110
144
272
Moderate-term on-the-job training
$22,630
85
317
Short-term on-the-job training
$22,170
0
348
Short-term on-the-job training
$57,740
34
300
Work experience in a related occ.
$34,180
83
243
Postsecondary vocational award
$43,720
72
250
Bachelor's degree
$96,030
0
314
Bachelor's or higher, plus work exp.
$26,470
0
309
Moderate-term on-the-job training
$39,020
26
277
Work experience in a related occ.
$54,170
77
183
Bachelor's degree
Source: Northwest Missouri Long-term Occupational
Employment Projections, 2008-2018
Shifting Workforce Trends
Percent of Tomorrow’s Talent Pool Already At Work
Source: MERIC, US Census Bureau Population Projections
Shifting Population Trends
Talent Attraction
& Retention
Workforce 2025 Profile
• Total population is projected to increase by 9.5 %
• Older population groups are projected to increase
• Top employing sectors have most retirements
• 60% of workforce in 2025 is already working
• New technologies will be embedded in nearly every job
• Latino workforce participation is higher than others
Workforce 2025 Challenges
• Not enough students and workers with foundational and advanced math
and sciences skills
• The percent of students at or above proficient in math declined from Grade
4 to Grade 8. There is more consistency between 4th and 8th grades.
• The percentage of first time freshman enrolled in remedial math and
reading classes at Missouri Public Institutions has increased.
• Institutions of higher education are producing fewer college graduates in
science and mathematics-related fields.
• Quality v. quantity of degrees
Employer Challenges
Missouri Businesses Description of Quality of Recent Hires
Adequate
46.6
Inadequate Due to Lack of Job Relevant Skills
14.8
Other
13.9
Inadequate Due to Poor Work Habits
13.1
Inadequate Due to Lack of Experience
7.3
Inadequate Due to Drug or Alcohol
4.2
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
Skills Needed for Missouri’s Growing Industries
Competency Models outline industry-identified skills and talents necessary for
future workers to be successful in Missouri’s Targeted Industries
The P-20 Education Continuum
Missouri Green Jobs Report
The Missouri Green Jobs survey is the first
survey of Missouri employers that quantifies
the number of green jobs in the state.
Missouri defines green jobs as jobs directly
involved in generating or supporting a firm’s
green-related products or services.
What is Green?
Green Economy – Includes industries that contribute to at least one of the following:
• The conservation of energy (energy efficiency)
• The creation of renewable energy
• Organic food production
• The reduction (or elimination) of the direct negative impacts a product, company,
or individual may have on the environment
• The reduction (or elimination) of the direct negative impacts the environment
may have on an individual
• Research and development that goes to supporting any of the aforementioned
functions of a green job
What is Green? (cont.)
Green Jobs – Primary occupations engaged in generating a firm’s green-related
products or services.
Green Industries – A detailed industry that is likely to contain firms that produce
parts, components, products, or services related to the green economy. Industries
and firms were classified as green-related based on their primary product or service;
not based on whether they were taking internal steps to use less energy or be more
environmentally responsible.
Missouri’s Green Economy Sectors
Missouri Green Employment by Sector
Missouri boasts 131,103 total green jobs—both direct and support positions—among
employers, making up 4.8% of total employment in the state.
Primary vs. Support Green Employment
www.missourieconomy.org